A month or two after the official confirmation of the first case of African swine fever was the darkest period for the domestic pig industry.

On the one hand, the confirmed African swine fever epidemic is coming from the north to the south, and one province after another has declared "fall", and the speed of transmission and the incidence rate are beyond people's imagination.

On the other hand, there is the "falling and falling" price of pork.

Many people may think that pork prices will rise in response to the epidemic, but this is not the case.

African swine fever is a zoonotic epidemic, and the negative impact on pork demand is not obvious, and changes in the supply side are the dominant factors affecting price changes.

In the early stage, in the face of this menacing epidemic, farmers took the initiative to throw the fence to bring about a phased surge in pork supply, and even every obvious spread of the epidemic will lead to a new round of panic selling by farmers. As a result, in the short term, repeated pig prices have had a significant suppressive effect.

Many farmers don't know that pig prices will rise after the market is cleared, but they panic. Not everyone can afford the cost and risk of epidemic prevention, so instead of being scared, it is better to act as soon as possible.

Even some listed pig companies, after the first outbreak of the epidemic, launched an early sales policy, reducing the listed weight to the range of 105 kg to 115 kg to buffer the sales risk caused by the possible implementation of the lockdown order.

In this period of "nightmare", it is time to fight for confidence. If you don't have enough confidence in prevention and control, you can only cry without tears under the double impact of non-plague and price crash.

And those who have confidence can sit calmly and drink tea.

In a large pig farm somewhere in Hebei Province, Luo Bang, a biosecurity officer sent by Jiagu Agriculture and Animal Husbandry, had just come out of the pig barn and returned to the office area.

Lao Zhou, the owner of the pig farm, poured tea and handed water, eager to treat Luo Bang as a guest.

This is not excessive. In a non-plague storm, any epidemic prevention expert who can help pig farms implement biosecurity measures without leakage can become a guest of honor for the pig farm owner, not to mention a "master" who is skilled and serious and always on the front line of prevention and control.

After Luo Bang drank two cups of tea in one go and came to his senses, Lao Zhou sat down to chat.

"I heard that the non-plague has spread to Min Province, how many cases are this? Eleventh or twelfth cases? Alas, the southern pig market is also completely dangerous. ”

"Sooner or later. ”

"I heard that the Ministry of Agriculture has written your Jiagu prevention and control experience into the public prevention and control regulations?"

"Sooner or later. ”

"Tut-tut......" Lao Zhou smacked his lips, not knowing what he was sighing about.

Luo Bang glanced at him and said, "The so-called prevention and control experience is not a secret. At the end of the day, it's the ability to execute it properly. ”

Tsk, that's ...... So that Lao Zhou couldn't refute.

Biosecurity is a science, but to put it bluntly, that's what it is. However, "knowing" does not mean "doing". Can pig farmers do all in and out? Will they take a bath when they enter and leave the pig house every day? Will the pig cart that pulls the pigs require disinfection? Will the pigs that have been introduced back be isolated and raised?

I'm afraid most of the answers are no.

In many areas, the level of epidemic prevention at the grassroots level is limited, resulting in many prevention and control measures being only on paper and difficult to operate. The relevant leaders of the Ministry of Agriculture said bluntly, "The prevention and control of African swine fever epidemic has indeed exposed the shortcomings of the domestic animal epidemic prevention team, especially the construction of the grassroots animal epidemic prevention team." ”

Like Jiagu Agriculture and Animal Husbandry, it is a miracle of wonders to have an overly capable grassroots epidemic prevention team, which can not only meet the needs of Jiagu pig farm, but also extend a helping hand to all partners.

Lao Zhou's pig farm prevention and control, without the help and supervision of the biosecurity officer stationed by Jiagu, he would never have the heart to sit and drink tea and chat now.

After all, the next county is the outbreak of the first non-plague epidemic in Hebei Province.

Speaking of this, Lao Zhou subconsciously lowered his voice: "You don't know, the county next door is now a mess, and pig farmers, no matter how big or small, are frantically throwing fences." In the middle of the night, the cart went straight to that side, and the cart of pigs was transported out......"

Robin frowned.

This is the appearance of all living beings in society and the various states of the world.

Pig farmers in the epidemic area are the most panicked, regardless of whether there is a virus lurking, just thinking that "one can be sold", and the price of pigs thrown into the fence has also fallen to the bottom.

As soon as the price is low, there is a benefit. In Lao Zhou's words, it is "the price of 3 pigs in the epidemic area, and more than 6 yuan in the non-epidemic area, and the interests drive the car to go low, and the pig to go to the high place......"

The problem is that according to the requirements of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, if there is one county, the transfer of pig products from the county to the city where the county is located, and the transfer of pig products from the remaining counties under the jurisdiction of the city to the province should be suspended...... The county next door undoubtedly falls into the category of "suspension of transfers".

It is said that there is more than one temporary checkpoint for the prevention and control of African swine fever set up in the next county, but the pig dealers can cross the sea with immortals, and each has its own way.

"People die for money, and birds die for food!" Lao Zhou pouted.

Robin was silent.

In fact, since the introduction of African swine fever into the northern neighboring countries in 07, the country has begun to further strengthen the monitoring of African swine fever, and formulated a series of emergency plans for prevention and control to "prevent it before it happens". It should be said that after the outbreak of African swine fever, the relevant departments responded quickly and responded in a timely manner.

However, as with many other policies, well-intentioned intentions are often distorted in implementation, ultimately leading to unexpected results.

Chaos like the county next door is just the tip of the iceberg. African swine fever can spread to many provinces in just one or two months, and the cross-regional transportation of live pigs, especially the "illegal" cross-regional transportation, must be the most direct reason.

In the past few decades of African swine fever, it is not uncommon for this phenomenon to harm more pig farmers for the sake of temporary petty profits. As some experts said: African swine fever is coming, pigs are still pigs, and people may not be people anymore!

As an expert in biosecurity implementation, Robin is saddened by this. But there really isn't much he can do, and he is too tired to talk if he can do his own thing.

"It's going to get better. This is almighty self-comfort, Luo Bang laughed at himself, and suddenly said to Lao Zhou: "You don't have any crooked thoughts, do you?"

Lao Zhou was stunned, and immediately shouted loudly: "How dare I." Now how many pig farm owners want to take the road of Jiagu, I am dizzy and I am dying......"

"Suicide" is definitely an exaggeration, but Lao Zhou's meaning couldn't be clearer.

There is a data that the public rarely notices, the number of large pig farms with more than 10,000 heads slaughtered annually in China is not much, but more than 60% of them are from the Jiagu system.

This is no accident.

Not all large-scale pig farms can raise pigs well, but also depends on the technical and management ability of pig raising - Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry, as a leader in highly intensive pig farming, almost leads the mainstream of large-scale pig farms.

In the case of the breeding system, large pig enterprises, such as Jiagu Agriculture and Animal Husbandry and Wen's, cover the piglets from the most upstream great-grandparents to the final commercial piglets. Medium-sized pig enterprises, starting from the binary sows of the parent generation. Small businesses buy their own piglets to fatten - Lao Zhou belongs to the third type.

The better the whole breeding process, the higher the production efficiency of commercial pigs, and the lower the production cost. In this area, Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry are famous, and if you want to introduce piglets bred by Jiagu, you have to go through some competition.

To tell the truth, the price to pay to join the Jiagu pig farm is expensive, all the means of production are affected by Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry, not to mention, people also have the right of priority to purchase slaughtered pigs.

Rao is like this, and he is still a lot of followers, so the benefits are bound to be far greater than the price paid.

No, as soon as the plague comes, the gap will be immediately apparent.

- On the one hand, you are anxious in the non-plague storm, and on the other hand, you have the leisure to drink tea, this is the most direct gap.

Lao Zhou was even idle, and asked tentatively: "Lao Luo, seeing that it has reached the 'post-non-plague era', why didn't you Jiagu say it?"

Robin, who was drinking tea, almost choked.

Hell the "post-plague era"!

How long has it been since the first case of non-plague, where did the "post-era" come from?

Lao Zhou smiled, and the pig farm did a good job in epidemic prevention and control, so that he focused on production.

Now all the Jiagu pig farms have reduced the size of the pig slaughter to prepare for the start. He just wants to know how long this "momentum" needs to be "stored".

Luo Bang was speechless for a moment, considering that Lao Zhou's cooperative attitude could not find the slightest fault, he also revealed some news that was not a secret in Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry.

He raised his finger and pointed upward, and said mysteriously: "The big boss of our group is very satisfied with the performance of the Jiagu pig farm, and can initially experience the test of non-plague under the guidance of the agricultural and animal husbandry company, which is much more reliable than the planting cooperatives in Lakuan." ”

Lao Zhou also remembered the breach of contract lawsuit of the Jiagu cooperative, and smiled.

It is no exaggeration to say that in the current pig industry system, few pig farms are willing to report the real data of their farms, even if they are forced to report, the data is also "processed and filtered", resulting in the rapid development of big data today, each pig farm is still a data island.

However, the data of the Jiagu pig farm is "open" - although it is only unilaterally open to Jiagu, it is also a big improvement.

This is also well understood. In the non-plague prevention and control war, if Jiagu cannot grasp comprehensive data, how to arrange and implement specific prevention and control? From this point of view, Jiagu pig farms can be said to have formed a "community of shared future for pig farms".

Luo Pin nodded and continued: "The group has macro data, judging that after the plague is raging, from the second half of this year to next year, the domestic pig production capacity will drop by at least 20%. In this case, whoever can make the Chinese people eat pork will be the biggest winner in this non-plague storm. ”

"Yesterday afternoon, the big boss made a request that Jiagu's own pig farm should form a production capacity of 50 million heads by the end of next year, and the whole Jiagu pig farm will have a community of destiny ......."

"Wait, wait!" Old Zhou's eyes straightened.

He was going to catch his breath.

What is the concept of 50 million heads?

Even compared with the consumption of 700 million pigs a year in the country, it is a very, very large scale.

Well, he believes that Jiagu farming and animal husbandry can soar to the sky.

The question is......

"Are you going to digest all the piglet capacity? Doesn't that mean that I want to introduce a new herd of pigs, and there is no hope for the past two years?" said Lao Zhou.

"Hehe, don't worry. You haven't seen our Jiagu breeding farm, and the ability to 'explode seeds' is definitely beyond your imagination!"

......