Chapter 307: Jiagu's Intelligence Network (1/3)
Jiagu was able to receive official praise at the beginning of the new year, which is a good start to this year that is destined to be turbulent. See. Wool, Chinese net
The natural disaster has passed, and immediately after that, all parts of the country have entered into post-disaster reconstruction.
In this catastrophic snowstorm, the country's crops were affected by as much as 17.8 billion mu, and even in the Jiagu system, some winter crops such as pasture were frostbitten, but fortunately, the loss was not large.
And the farm is because of the protection work in advance, and survived the snow disaster unharmed. But pig farms everywhere don't have such luck - even people have been frozen into dogs, where is the energy to take care of the pigs?
"Because of the sudden attack of the snow disaster, especially in the most affected southern region, millions of piglets were frozen to death, and now not only the price of pork has reached a new high, but the piglets have sky-high prices, and the piglets in Yue Province, Hunan Province, Min Province and other places can be sold for 1,000 yuan a head!" At the meeting after the New Year, Li Dongliang of Jiagu Agriculture and Animal Husbandry first reported the market situation.
As soon as this price came out, everyone gasped.
What was the price of piglets the year before last? 100 yuan for three or even five heads. Even if the swine fever epidemic was suffered last year, the price of piglets rose simultaneously with the price of pork, but it was only two or three hundred yuan per head at the top of the day, which shows how much loss the snow disaster has caused to the breeding industry.
Li Dongliang then said: "Because the stock of breeding sows is sufficient, the piglet resources in our Jiagu pig farm are excessive. Now the question is, the pork market is also very hot, do we choose to expand the scale of farming, or do we put piglets on the market?"
It seems like a blissful annoyance, and it's a big profit anyway.
But Ding Xian of the Strategy Department doesn't think so.
"I suggest selling the piglets now while the market is hot, after all, at the current piglet price, the profit of selling a piglet can even match that of a pig. As for scaling up, that's exactly what I'm warning about – don't look at the price of pork is still rising, but there is already a huge risk of the market ahead. Ding Xian said in a calm tone.
According to the sky-high price of piglets today, Jiagu makes no less money by selling a piglet than by selling a pig, after all, the cost of piglets is lower. But Li Dongliang didn't care about this, he was more concerned about the risk of the market outlook that Ding Xian said.
Qi Zheng asked on his behalf: "Lao Ding, what do you say exactly?"
Ding Xian handed several pieces of information to everyone, and then explained: "Last year, the price of pork skyrocketed, in order to improve the enthusiasm of farmers, the state issued seven 'gold medals' in a row, through insurance, tax exemption, subsidies and other forms to protect the interests of farmers. Looking at 1 Mao 2 Line 3 Chinese Network Many foreign capital also saw the high profits of pig breeding during this period, as well as the policy support trend for large-scale breeding, and began to rush in. ”
"The swine fever epidemic at the beginning of last year was basically controlled in May, but the Ministry of Agriculture only came forward in July to disclose the epidemic situation and the death of pigs, which was both lagging and not detailed enough, which directly misled the majority of farmers to judge the relationship between supply and demand in the market. ”
"This snow disaster is an accident, piglets are frozen to death a lot, but the number of live pigs on the market is actually beyond people's expectations, I have a few data here......"
"That is to say, in a few months at most, a large number of pigs will be slaughtered, then the relationship between supply and demand will be completely reversed, pork prices will inevitably fall, and we can make a lot of money in the first few months......"
Li Dongliang's face was a little solemn.
The information given by the Ministry of Strategy includes the basic data of the pig herd in each province, as well as the general data of the supplementary columns in various places, which shows that Ding Xian's analysis is reasonable and well-founded.
In this way, it is indeed not the right time to expand the scale of pig breeding now, which is equivalent to entering the game at a high point, but it looks like a trough. It's better to sell the piglets and take advantage of the crazy market to settle down.
Qi Zheng calmly finished reading the information and glanced at Ding Xian approvingly.
It can be seen from the lag of the introduction of national policies that the domestic pig market actually lacks an efficient information collection, processing and analysis system, so as to not reflect the changing trend of the pig herd in a timely and accurate manner, and put forward an important early warning to farmers to supplement and stop filling the column - to put it bluntly, the current state has a good grasp of the pig market information is not as good as the Jiagu Strategy Department.
This all depends on the Ministry of Information, which is vigorously built by Qi Zheng under the Ministry of Strategy.
This Ministry of Information is actually the "Intelligence Bureau" of Kaya.
Business intelligence is not as mysterious as ordinary people imagine, for enterprises, thrilling espionage warfare is not what they want, and commercial spies are not knights who fly off the wall. Collecting a lot of information and then spending a lot of money to hire some professionals such as social behavior analysis to analyze and discuss the intelligence is actually the best solution.
Large companies in Europe, the United States and Japan use such a system - mainly collect public information, and then analyze the public information, and often get the right conclusion.
Greenspan in history is a typical example, when he was not the chairman of the Federal Reserve, but a wage earner, he analyzed the American aircraft industry during World War II, and actually obtained specific data such as American industrial aluminum and industrial rubber through public information, which was exactly the same as the Pentagon's storage.
Modern business intelligence is the same thing.
The role of intelligence is unquestionable. Doing business is often taking advantage of information asymmetry. There is a popular saying among entrepreneurs in island countries: "Intelligence is money". Therefore, the big conglomerates of the island countries have super intelligence capabilities.
According to statistics, the contribution rate of the intelligence system of companies like Microsoft to business operations is about 17%, while trade consortia like Mitsui take information as the ultimate economic benefit, and its intelligence is the lifeblood of the entire company.
Although Jiagu Group currently relies on products rather than trade, as a grain enterprise aspiring to become an international grain merchant, it needs accurate intelligence to make decisions based on the control of upstream resources or the construction of downstream sales.
Modern information technology has greatly reduced the cost of intelligence transmission and collection, but the establishment of a business intelligence system and the training of intelligence personnel are not established overnight.
Now domestic enterprises, which are obsessed with making money, have not yet been sublimated to the level of the economy, let alone boring intelligence analysis. Even if there were, it was only a temporary intelligence gathering, and the investment in intelligence was pitiful.
In terms of scale, Jiagu's intelligence system is far superior to that of many large and small enterprises in China.
As early as the second year of Jiagu's establishment, the Ministry of Information was formed. The Ministry of Information is directly responsible to Qi Zheng, and Ding Xian also reports to Qi Zheng.
The Ministry of Information began with the establishment of offices and information and communication systems in all the provinces of the country, which was responsible for collecting all kinds of open and semi-public information. Theoretically, the Ministry of Information will not engage in any illegal intelligence gathering, but if someone wants to sell it, they must be approached under the guidance of a lawyer.
Intelligence refers to extracting information about a certain department or a certain product or commodity from a large amount of information, and this work needs to be done by "experts".
As far as the Jiagu intelligence system is concerned, there are generally two types of these "experts": one is the talent with professional commodity knowledge and trade skills, generally the employees of the Jiagu system, and the other is the talent with rich network resources, similar to the "stepping stone" style, generally the local people.
Of course, there are also some super talents who have both "professional" and "network" functions. These people are very professional talents, and they know how to pick out "truly valuable information" in the sea of information - such talents are only a few in the palm of the hand in the Jiagu system.
The headquarters of the Information Bureau is located at the Jiagu headquarters and occupies a separate floor. Ding Xian of the Strategy Department is in charge, and he collects and analyzes the intelligence information collected at home and abroad every day, and submits the selected information to Qi Zheng or the board of directors according to the level, and sends the information to the management for review and processing every day, ranging from a dozen to dozens of pieces of information.
It is by relying on this round-the-clock intelligence network that the Jiagu system has been able to watch the changes in the relevant domestic industries. Now it seems that it has shown more and more effect.
From the perspective of pig breeding, the first is information collection. A pig breeding professional will collect information related to pigs. In addition to reading the information published in publications such as China Animal Husbandry News, it is also necessary to collect some market price information, production data, weather data, etc., as well as the sales volume of feed, so as to judge the market situation in advance.
Thirdly, there is a special team at the headquarters that is responsible for analyzing the information summarized internally and externally, and the team size varies from one to six or seven people, establishing a model to conduct comprehensive and strategic research, looking for business opportunities or drawing conclusions.
This is how Qi Zheng's current data, which can predict changes in the market situation months in advance, was issued.
Corresponding to this is a large investment by the Ministry of Information. Since the beginning of the previous year, the annual investment in the Ministry of Information has been as high as hundreds of millions of yuan, and the Ministry of Information has even begun to go abroad.
The Jiagu system has been painstakingly operated in the Russian Far East for two years, and it is not deep-rooted, but it has some foundations. Although Vasily is the most powerful background of Kagu in the Far East, with his power, the Ministry of Information also operates a considerable network of contacts and intelligence in the Far East.
In addition, the Ministry of Information has also set up overseas offices in many large cities such as New York, London, and Sydney, but the scale is not as large as that in China for the time being.
Qi Zheng had just begun to establish the Ministry of Information, in fact, for an unspeakable purpose - to cover up his prophecy.
Many times, it is difficult to reason for the right outcome. But knowing the result, it is not too easy to reverse the reason. If Qi Zheng wants to make a prediction about a certain economic situation and arrange for the Ministry of Information to collect information from relevant aspects, the prediction will be based on "correct and reasonable" information.
But now, it is obvious that this intelligence network has given Qi Zheng more surprises and expectations.
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