Chapter 968: I don't want to be the person I hate the most
The central processing unit is one of the very few modern high-tech products that the Chinese have not really conquered, and they have not been able to take off the crown of the master of modern industry, and they have been suppressed by the developed countries of the West, to be precise, the United States.
In Fang Chen's eyes, designing and producing a world-class CPU is far more difficult than nuclear weapons.
Even this is a huge divide that naturally exists between military and civilian goods.
Military supplies have a quality that civilian products do not have, that is, they do whatever it takes.
The production and research and development of military supplies can be done without considering any economic costs, and everything is aimed at manufacturing, but obviously civilian products are not possible.
Civilian products must consider economic benefits, if a product takes a lot of effort, a lot of cost to develop and produce, but can not produce the corresponding economic benefits, then this is a failed product.
In addition, the society has been peaceful for a long time, and civilian products have been rapidly iterating to produce better and cheaper products for the people, but this is not the case with military supplies.
More than 50 years have passed since Huaxia mastered the technology of the atomic bomb, and probably no one thinks that Huaxia's original atomic bomb could not kill people.
Among them, the most difficult and fastest iteration of civilian products is undoubtedly the CPU.
Moore's Law, proposed by Moore, the founder of Intel, has not yet expired.
Moore's Law says that when the price is constant, the number of components that can fit on an integrated circuit doubles about every 18-24 months, and the performance will also double.
In other words, every dollar that can be bought for a computer will more than double every 18-24 months.
If a CPU company can't double the number of components it can accommodate in 18-24 months, it will face elimination, loss, and defeat in the competition with other CPU companies.
It is Moore's Law, the sword of Damocles hanging over all CPU companies, that forces all CPU companies to move forward desperately and invest a lot of R&D expenses in CPUs.
Because the slightest slack will be crushed by Moore's Law.
In terms of CPU, the Western world is too far ahead of Huaxia, and this lead is not just a simple technology, but an all-round lead.
Because to produce a qualified, competitive CPU, it takes a very complicated manufacturing process, and countless top-notch equipment can cooperate with each other to achieve it.
Having a first-class CPU design is just the beginning, from silicon purification, to wafer fabrication, cutting, photocopying, etching, layering, packaging, and testing, each of these levels can be described as full of difficulties and dangers, with extremely high difficulty, requiring great investment.
CPU, on the other hand, is still a winner-takes-all product.
The first place takes the vast majority of the market, the second place can barely drink some soup and water, and as for the third place to the Nth place in the future, it is really hot to eat.
This also means that CPUs that spend a lot of money often face the fate of losing money and dying before they are on sale.
It is precisely because of this characteristic that although there have always been people of insight like Ni Guangnan in China calling for the development and production of CPUs belonging to Huaxia, and the above is also aware of the seriousness of not being able to develop and produce CPUs on their own, and has included it in the "nuclear high-base" plan as early as possible, but there has been no great success.
There is no way, investment means losing money, and there will be no chance of even one percent of making money.
Even to put it mildly, unless Huaxia does a good job of throwing tens of billions of funds every year, and then loses at least ten or eight years, that is, burning hundreds of billions, maybe it can also touch the threshold of civilian CPUs.
However, with the intensification of investment and construction costs of large fabs, this part of the investment will increase a lot.
After all, it takes more than $4 billion to build a 12-inch 32/28nm scale production line, and the investment in a 12-inch 14nm production line is as high as $10 billion.
10 billion US dollars, 70 billion Chinese dollars, that is, the cost of building a production line, it feels terrible to think about.
As for the current situation of domestic CPU companies, in terms of design, it is more gratifying, Loongson, Shenwei have made great achievements, and the products have practical applications.
For example, the chip on the Beidou is Loongson, and Shenwei's Shenwei Taihu Light supercomputer is the first place in supercomputing.
Huawei HiSilicon's Kirin chips already have a world-class level, and with Huawei's continuous and nearly ten years of investment, it is gradually gaining a firm foothold, and it is not impossible to surpass Qualcomm Snapdragon series CPUs in the future.
PRODUCTION IS MUCH BEHIND, THE MOST POWERFUL SMIC, THE LATEST PRODUCTION CAPACITY IS 14NM, AND THE MOST ADVANCED 7NM PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY, THERE IS STILL A GAP OF TWO GENERATIONS.
However, with the arrival of ASML7NM lithography machines in the Netherlands, the situation will improve considerably, and perhaps catch up with Intel and AMD before Moore's Law comes to an end.
Moreover, SMIC can basically say that it has been losing money year after year, and it will lose hundreds of millions of dollars at every turn in its financial report.
In terms of packaging, Huaxia has also done a good job, AMD's Ryzen processors and N card packaging are from Huaxia enterprises.
Su Daqiang's Tongfu Microelectronics Company, in 2015, when AMD was at its most impoverished, with the support of the national fund, swallowed 85% of the shares of AMD's two packaging subsidiaries.
Testing and packaging are basically connected, in the test area, in addition to Tongfu Microelectronics, there are two domestic packaging and testing companies, Changdian Technology and Huatian Technology.
These three packaging and testing companies are called the three major packaging and testing giants in China.
And the latter two companies are ranked higher in the world than Tongfu Microelectronics, ranking 3rd and 7th respectively, while Tongfu Microelectronics is 8th.
And it is worth mentioning that the reason why JCET ranks so high is because JCET formed a consortium with the National Semiconductor Fund and SMIC's subsidiary Xindian Semiconductor to jointly acquire the world's fourth largest packaging and testing factory, Xingke Jinpeng.
That's why it jumped to third place in the rankings.
However, what is even more helpless is that even if it produces a world-class CPU, Huaxia is still within the rules of the game set by others, and can only operate according to the trajectory set by others, and cannot get rid of it.
It can even be said that the production of first-class CPUs is only the first step in the long march, which solves the problem of core shortage, but it still lacks souls.
Because Microsoft's Windows series of operating systems has built a powerful ecosystem, almost all software applications are built based on the Windows operating system.
Even if Huaxia has the ability to build another operating system, it will face the embarrassing situation of no software available.
An operating system without software applications is not even as good as a burning stick.
And there are countless kinds of software on Windows, which have been built by millions of programmers around the world over decades.
It's an extremely horrible thing, and it's something that is almost impossible to replicate.
However, in this era, there may still be a way to break the situation, so Fang Chen is not as desperate as in later generations.
If he is in the afterlife, seriously, he can definitely get as far away from the CPU, as far away from the operating system, he will not touch it at all.
It's a puzzle that can't be solved.
Perhaps only by waiting for the era of quantum computers can Huaxia completely solve the problem of lack of cores and souls, and see the possibility of overtaking in corners.
Just as electric vehicles are to the automotive industry.
After putting away his cranky thoughts, Fang Chen looked at Duan Yongping, who was frowning, and couldn't help but chuckle, patted Duan Yongping's shoulder, and said with a smile: "Okay, don't worry about this, enter the computer industry, I just told you this, really enter, at least two or three years later, and it will not be too late for you to worry at that time." ”
Duan Yongping glanced at Fang Chen and said unceremoniously: "Who said that I was worried about the computer industry, I was thinking about the core components of the VCD." ”
If he starts worrying about the computer now, then he might as well die head-on, and the daily life of the province is better than death.
What he was worried about just now was that after Fang Chen's reminder, he suddenly felt that it was really better for Ni Guangnan to agree to Fang Chen and serve as the chief technician.
Otherwise, he looked at the core components of VCD, not to mention the soup, but in three or five years, he would definitely not see any results.
Of course, he didn't think that as soon as Ni Guangnan joined Qingtian, the R&D and production of the core components of this VCD would definitely be successful, but at least he didn't have to worry too much, right?
Perhaps, if he doesn't worry about the R&D and production of VCD core components, he can live for two more years.
But after thinking about it, Duan Yongping wilted in an instant.
According to his understanding of himself, I am afraid that this matter will be handed over to Ni Guangnan, and he will never worry less about what he should worry about.
Co-author, is he such a toiling life?
Why are you so cheap!
Duan Yongping suddenly became a little messy.
"Don't you see hope?"
Looking at Duan Yongping, with a sad face and a listless appearance, Fang Chen was suddenly happy and asked with a smile.
Duan Yongping glanced at Fang Chen, but didn't speak, he would really be too lazy to deal with Fang Chen.
"If you can't see hope, you can't see hope, so you should have a spare tire, or prepare for war. Fang Chen's face changed suddenly, and he said seriously.
Duan Yongping raised his head suddenly, and looked at Fang Chen in a daze, not knowing what Fang Chen meant by this.
"Now we can't purchase decoding chips, movements, and laser heads, and these are not on the export restriction list in Batumi, which means that even if we can't develop our own core components such as decoding chips, movements, and laser heads, it still doesn't affect the normal R&D, production and sales of our VCD, so what do we have to worry about?" Fang Chen said with a smile.
He has always believed that it is very important for graduate students to produce their own decoding chips, movements, and laser heads, after all, this is the core technology of VCD, and where an enterprise is truly competitive.
But at this moment, when a VCD has not yet appeared, if these core components cannot be developed in a short time, it is not very important.
He remembers that it was probably around 1996 that some companies in Dongwei, South Korea, including Europe, began to attack the Chinese market in a big way, relying on the advantages of these core components that they can manufacture by themselves, and some domestic VCD companies, BBK, Aiduo, Jin Zheng and so on.
Even companies like Philips, which were supposed to be parts suppliers, have begun to produce their own VCDs and DVDs to impact the Chinese market.
At the lowest time, the price of some domestic VCDs dropped directly to more than 1,000 yuan, less than 2,000 yuan.
In addition, because there are too many domestic VCD companies, Philips, Scoopers and other core component companies have started to raise prices and reduce the profits of Huaxia VCD companies.
Huaxia VCD enterprises can only be reduced to slaves working for these core parts production enterprises, relying on less than 5% of the meager profits, surviving.
In less than two years from 1997 to 1998, a large number of Huaxia VCD companies went bankrupt and even had to enter the era of meager profits.
And it is precisely because the profits are too low that some VCD companies have to be shoddy.
However, defective products obviously cannot be favored by consumers, and some consumers are deceived, and with the fermentation of word of mouth, they are naturally unwilling to buy VCDs produced by these companies.
And the VCD of these companies has no one to buy, so they can only reduce the price again, and then for the sake of profits, they will use some inferior components even more.
Since then, a vicious circle has been formed.
This is how the stereotype that domestic consumers think that domestic goods are not good, would rather export to domestic sales, and go abroad to buy domestically produced toilet seats at high prices.
"So you mean that now we don't need to develop these core components?" Duan Yongping asked uncertainly.
If Fang Chen can think like this, in the short term, it will be a major benefit to the company's production and operation, but according to his understanding of Fang Chen, it is impossible for Fang Chen to choose such a path.
"No, we must research and develop the research and development, and in the future, we will increase investment in the research and development of core components. Fang Chen said categorically.
Hearing this, Duan Yongping raised his head and looked at the ceiling helplessly, he knew that Fang Chen would do this.
"Besides, is it nothing more than R&D costs, I can afford this money, and I am willing to pay for it!" Fang Chen waved his hand and said freely.
He also said just now that the main difficulty in the research and development of civilian products is in terms of economic benefits, which has been unable to make a profit for several years, and it also requires a large amount of money to be invested in research and development.
And the reason why he is willing to do this is not how noble he is.
It's just that Qingtian has come to this point, and it has reached the point where it needs to gnaw hard bones.
Small businesses have no ability, no funds, can't be like this, Qingtian is already so powerful, he already has 15 billion pocket money in his pocket.
If you don't, it's really a bit of a stretch.
If Su Yan knew, he must say that he was Zhou Papi.
However, the most important thing is that DynaSky is now a large company with more than 50,000 employees, and it is really a dead end for large companies to dare to invest in R&D and master core technology.
Moreover, he has always despised Lenovo for being so powerful, and he also takes the route of trade, industry and technology, if he doesn't do this, won't he become the person he hates the most.