Chapter 437: The Politician (2)

Miyamoto Naoto said, "Okay, that's fine, but I have one more suggestion, I hope Mr. can seriously consider it." ”

Ito Hirobumi smiled bitterly, knowing that what Miyamoto Naoto was going to say was definitely not an easy thing, but the suggestions he had made to himself before were very pertinent, so he couldn't be taken lightly, and said, "I don't know what the suggestion is?"

Miyamoto Naoto said: "We in Japan should consider negotiating peace with the East China government, and whether this withdrawal can be successful or not, I think the East China government should immediately negotiate peace, and the sooner the better." ”

Ito Hirobumi's eyes lit up and said, "Why?"

Miyamoto Naoto said: "This battle has been fought so far, I think the overall situation has been decided, and the overseas Chinese will definitely win, the difference is only in the size of the victory." ”

Ito Hirobumi was stunned for a moment and said: "Is Miyamoto-kun so pessimistic about the future of the war? I don't think it's like this, as long as our army can smoothly withdraw to Phoenix City and preserve its strength, overseas Chinese may not be able to say victory lightly." Didn't you also say yesterday that if the People's Army is consumed by the Russian army, then our army can join the war again, defeat the People's Army, and reap the benefits of Liaodong. ”

Miyamoto Naoto smiled bitterly and said: "I said that yesterday, just to persuade Mr. to work hard to urge our army to withdraw from Liaoyang, but I think that even if our army can successfully withdraw to Phoenix City, at most it can only preserve its strength, and if you want to participate in the war again, it is absolutely impossible to capture Liaodong." ”

Ito Hirobumi said: "This is why Miyamoto-kun has such a pessimistic view, are overseas Chinese so powerful?" ”

Miyamoto Naoto said: "Mr. Ito still despises the overseas Chinese, since they have established a foothold in China, they have been preparing for this war for 4 or 5 years, planning and then acting, just looking at the timing of their move, it is the time when we and Russia fight to the final blow, the opportunity to grasp is accurate, breathtaking, if I were not Japanese, I would have to cheer for them." Moreover, as soon as the battle was made, we and the Russian fleets were crushed, and absolute sea supremacy in the Far East was obtained. Japan is an island country, and shipping is the lifeline of Japan, once the shipping is cut off, our army in Liaodong will lose its logistical supplement, even if the army successfully withdraws to Phoenix, food and medicine can still be obtained from North Korea, but weapons and ammunition cannot be replenished, without weapons and ammunition to replenish, even if there is an army of millions, it is just a pile of clay sculptures and wood carvings. ”

When Ito Hirobumi heard this, he was also silent, because what Miyamoto Naoto said was indeed the truth, Japan and the Japanese army in Liaodong had to rely on sea transportation support, and now the East China government had begun to block Japan's shipping routes to the Korean Peninsula.

Miyamoto Naoto said: "If when the overseas Chinese first participated in the war, Russia and Japan could put aside their contradictions and work together to deal with the overseas Chinese, there would still be a fight, because our materials could be transferred through Vladivostok, but it is a pity that Russia is short-sighted, and greedy nature, seeing small profits and forgetting big harms, and actually wants to seek skin with overseas Chinese, resulting in the fact that now Japan and Russia not only can not work together, but are also hostile to each other, and the result can only be broken by overseas Chinese one by one." After our army withdrew to Phoenix, only the Russian army was left to face the overseas Chinese alone, and they suffered at that time. ”

Ito Hirobumi said: "But Russia may not be easy to deal with, as far as I know, now Russia has gathered more than 600,000 troops in the Far East, and its strength is strong, to be honest, even if Japan continues to fight, it may not be sure of victory." Moreover, Russia has a vast land, abundant resources, a large population, and strong national strength, and overseas Chinese may not be able to win, and even if they can defeat Russia, it will inevitably consume a huge amount, and it is not impossible to lose both. ”

Miyamoto Naoto shook his head and said: "The soldiers are expensive but not expensive, they will be planning but not brave, Russia has a huge army, but there are no people who make good use of it, it is also wasted, Russia's land, resources, and population are all the best choices, but helpless domestic political corruption, ills, high fiscal deficits, empty treasury, but the rich and powerful are still arrogant and lascivious, drunk and dreaming of death, the bottom is the people are not living, poverty is down, the society is seriously intensified, the contradictions are extremely deep, the crisis is everywhere, and it is about to erupt, which happened in February this year." Bloody Sunday was the outbreak of a crisis, which has not yet been completely resolved, and of course there are also the results of the activities of our Japanese intelligence agents in Russia, but as long as the war continues, the social contradictions in Russia will not be resolved, and sooner or later they will break out again. With such internal and external troubles, how can Russia confront overseas Chinese? As far as our intelligence department knows, for this war, overseas Chinese have developed some advanced weapons, such as armored train guns and airplanes. It is enough for them to defeat the Russian army with a small number of troops. ”

The East China government did not hide the development of fixed-wing aircraft, and there was propaganda in the newspapers, but in the eyes of people in this era, airplanes are just novelty toys like cars, but Miyamoto Naoto knows the great value of airplanes in the military, although he does not know whether the aircraft developed by the East China government has combat capability, but he knows that the East China government still has some helicopters, in this era, these helicopters are definitely like artifacts. In order to increase his own persuasiveness, Miyamoto also exaggerated the power of fixed-wing aircraft.

In fact, Ito Hirobumi doesn't know much about the performance of weapons, but the principle of armored train guns is not complicated, and it is not difficult to understand, and what an airplane is, Ito Hirobumi still knows it, and at this time it was originally a technological blowout, an era of rapid change, so after listening to Miyamoto Naoto's explanation, Ito Hirobumi was also a little skeptical.

Naoto Miyamoto continued: " I heard that they are still negotiating with Germany and the United States to borrow more foreign debts, and the repayment of these money will inevitably be paid by asking for reparations after the war, but this time the East China Government is fighting with Japan and Russia at the same time, so the price paid by the side that negotiates peace with the East China Government first will be much smaller, and if the Japanese army in Liaoyang can smoothly withdraw to Phoenix, then we will have a greater bargaining chip at the negotiating table, not only do we not have to pay reparations to the East China Government, but we will also be able to protect the interests of North Korea。 ”

Ito Hirobumi pondered for a while before he said: "What you said is indeed reasonable, but neither Japan nor Russia are alone, we have an alliance treaty with Britain, and Russia and France are also allies, and Britain and France will never sit idly by and watch the complete defeat of Japan and Russia." ”

Miyamoto was about to say more, but Ito said, "You're trying to say that this alliance is not reliable, are you?"

Miyamoto nodded and said: "Yes, the Anglo-Japanese alliance is just Britain using us Japan to contain Russia, of course, we are indeed facing the threat of Russia, so using this alliance to expand armaments and warfare, it can be said that each takes what it needs, but Britain will never send troops for Japan, and the Franco-Russian alliance is the same, France is using this alliance to fight against Germany, they did not want Russia to expand in the Far East, let alone fight a meaningless battle for Russia in the Far East." ”

Ito Hirofumi nodded approvingly and said, "Being able to see these truths clearly, Miyamoto-kun's insight is indeed extraordinary." ”

Miyamoto Naoto said: "Mr. has won the award." I thought to myself, these truths have long been thoroughly analyzed in the books about the Russo-Japanese War in the old time and space, but this generation is just a fan of the authorities.

Ito Hirobumi said: "But Miyamoto-kun should not forget that Britain and France have a lot of interests in the Far East, once these interests are threatened, they may still send troops, such as the table overseas Chinese won the war, and obtained a large amount of reparations and geopolitical benefits, do you think Britain and France can still sit still." ”

Miyamoto Naoto was stunned, which he really hadn't expected, because it was beyond the scope of the Russo-Japanese War in the old time and space.

"Britain and France were originally hostile, but because of the rise of Germany, the relationship between the two countries has been greatly eased, and at the beginning of this year, when the Monaco crisis broke out in Europe, Britain supported France, and if the two countries joined forces, the pressure on Germany would be greatly reduced, so I think that once the East China government wants to gain absolute superiority in the Far East, Britain and France will intervene," Ito said. ”

Miyamoto Naoto listened, and admired himself in his heart, Ito Hirobumi is worthy of being one of the most outstanding politicians in Japanese history, and his grasp and judgment of the world pattern is indeed very accurate, much stronger than himself, but this time he is facing an opponent beyond his imagination, because of this group of traversers, so Miyamoto Naoto said: "I agree with Mr.'s analysis of Britain and France, but I think that even if Britain and France participate in the war, they may not be the opponents of overseas Chinese, and we Japan cannot pin our hopes on Britain and France to send troops." ”

The reason why Ito Hirobumi was not too worried about the future of Japan was because he calculated that when the time came to Guan Jian, Britain and France would inevitably send troops to intervene, and it was absolutely unacceptable for Britain and France to become the dominant force in the Far East as soon as the East China government became bigger. And Ito Hirobumi also firmly believes that as long as Britain and France send troops, the East China government will definitely not be an opponent, so it is very likely that at a certain point in the war, Britain and France will exert substantial pressure on the East China government to force the East China government to strike the war, and it is difficult for the East China government to get much benefit at the negotiating table, and it is absolutely impossible to compensate 230 million silver like the First Sino-Japanese War.

But Miyamoto Naoto believes in such a firm tone that even if Britain and France participate in the war, they are not the opponents of the East China government, Ito Hirofumi naturally can't understand it, but Miyamoto Naoto must have a reason for saying this, so he smiled and said: "Britain and France are both among the most powerful countries in the world today, why does Miyamoto-kun think that they will not be opponents of overseas Chinese." ”