Miyamoto Naoto nodded, in fact, this reason was just made up by him, because he couldn't tell Ito Hirobumi that he knew that overseas Chinese had crossed over from the future and brought powerful weapons far beyond this era, so it was impossible for Britain and France to defeat East China. I had to work backwards from the results to find such a reason that I actually felt that I couldn't fully convince people.

And Miyamoto Naoto also knows that in the future, someone will definitely ask him this question, or ask himself to explain it in detail, so during this period of time, Miyamoto Naoto has also supplemented and improved his reasons for judging that East China ** will win, and feels that this kind of persuasiveness is almost enough. Fortunately, the current results have proved that his judgment is correct, of course, how to say it is reasonable.

Seeing Ito's question, Miyamoto Naoto said: "Mr. Ito, I don't know much about military affairs, and my judgment is mainly based on the principle of 'eliminate all impossible factors, then the result is the truth, no matter how absurd this image is'. ”

In fact, before Miyamoto Naoto crossed, this sentence was a bad sentence on the street, and it often appeared in various detective and suspense novels, but in this era, the famous detective novel [Sherlock Holmes] has only been published for 20 years, and it has not yet been written, and its influence is far less than that of later generations, so Ito Hirofumi is still hearing of it for the first time, and from the literal meaning alone, I think this sentence is of course very reasonable.

Miyamoto Naoto said again: "Mr. Ito, in your mind, what kind of people are the leaders of East China?"

Ito Hirofumi was silent for a while before he said: "Although it is a hostile position, I still admit that the leaders of East China are indeed a group of quite outstanding figures, and their views on the world, their judgment of the international situation, their ability to govern the country, and their diplomatic skills in building the army are all the best choices." ”

Miyamoto Naoto nodded and said, "Okay, then Mr. Ito, we can regard the leaders of East China as a group of people who are capable, have brains, and remain rational." ”

Ito Hirobumi nodded and said, "Yes." ”

Miyamoto Naoto said: "At the time of the Portsmouth negotiations, Britain and France had already conveyed to East China through various channels that once the Portsmouth negotiations failed, Britain and France would inevitably enter the war, and at this time, East China ** faced two choices, one was that the Portsmouth negotiations were successful, but they could not get any compensation; And East China** obviously chose the second one. Of course, the leaders of East China will think that Britain and France are deliberately bluffing, but I don't think the leaders of East China will make such a stupid judgment. ”

Ito Hirobumi nodded again and said, "Not bad!"

Miyamoto Naoto said again: "There are two kinds of second choice in East China...... Let's estimate three endings, one is the defeat of East China, the second is that the war has entered a stalemate stage, and the third is the victory of East China. And the first outcome, after the defeat of East China**, will gain nothing, and will lose more, which is obviously not as good as accepting the successful result of the Portsmouth negotiations; the second outcome, the war enters a stalemate stage, and in the end I am afraid that the two sides will take a step back and hold negotiations again, and it is basically impossible for East China ** to obtain reparations from the new negotiations; therefore, only the third outcome can explain the reason why East China ** chose to let the Portsmouth negotiations break down. ”

Hirofumi Ito thought about it carefully, the truth that Miyamoto Naoto said was not complicated, but it was really rare to see such a clear analysis as Miyamoto's analysis.

Miyamoto Naoto continued: "Just now we have determined that the leaders of East China are a group of rational people with precise vision, their decisions are carefully considered, planned and then moved, and they will never be hot-headed, act impulsively, or simply gamble, they can't be unclear about the strength of Britain and France, but they still chose to let the Portsmouth negotiations break down, which shows that they must have enough certainty of winning, which is ' Remove all the impossible, and the result is the truth, no matter how absurd it may be.'" ”

Ito Hirofumi smiled bitterly, Miyamoto Naoto's explanation seemed to make sense, but he always felt that something was not quite right, and for a while he couldn't say that something was wrong. In fact, Miyamoto Naoto is just complicating simple things and applying a seemingly advanced theory. This trick is often seen in modern society, but in this era, it is a completely new method, and the results have proved that Miyamoto Naoto's judgment is correct, which is also the most persuasive, so with the wisdom of Ito Hirobumi, it is also entwined.

Of course, if Ito Hirobumi analyzes it carefully, it is not impossible to see Miyamoto's routine, but now is not the time to study Miyamoto Naoto's explanation, so Ito Hirobumi does not intend to dwell on this topic, and said: "Miyamoto-kun, I agree with your principle that 'Japan should decide on the national strategy to adopt in its own interests', but if Japan is at this time and East China** Negotiations, although from the current point of view, in line with Japan's national interests, but I am afraid that it will greatly offend Britain, after this war, East China will definitely rise strongly, and Japan's vitality is greatly damaged, at least within 10 years is unable to compete with East China, if it loses the support of Britain, Japan's recovery time will be slower, and it will not be able to face the competition of East China, this is a real problem, I don't know how you think about it. ”

Naoto Miyamoto nodded, Hirobumi Ito was on the point, and to be honest, he was a little disappointed with Hirobumi Ito now. Before the crossing, Japan had a very high regard for Ito Hirobumi, and even respected him as the greatest politician in Japanese history, which made Miyamoto Naoto full of expectations for Ito Hirobumi, but through the contact with Ito Hirobumi in recent years, Ito Hirobumi may be regarded as an excellent politician, but he is far from the "greatest" On the one hand, Ito Hirobumi's understanding of the general trend of the world and the international pattern also has certain limitations, of course, it belongs to the limitations of the times, Miyamoto Naoto not only has more than 100 years of experience in international political struggles than Ito Hirobumi, but also before crossing over, he was in an era of information explosion, and the resources at his disposal are far richer than Ito Hirobumi; on the other hand, Ito Hirobumi is shrunken in doing things, looking forward and looking backwards, and missing many good opportunities for Japan to stop losses, which is unforgivable.

However, Miyamoto Naoto also admits that at least in this era, Ito Hirobumi is indeed the best politician in Japan, and he cannot achieve his ideals in this era without Ito Hirobumi's help. It's a pity that Ito Hirobumi doesn't trust himself enough, so he just took this opportunity to show a few more hands to Ito Hirobumi, so he said: "Mr. Ito, I have some objections to your opinion, I think that even if Japan gets rid of Britain this time and negotiates with East China alone, Britain will still support Japan after the end of the war." ”

Ito Hirobumi was also a little surprised, and said, "Why?"

Miyamoto Naoto said: "Mr. Ito, you only see Japan's demand for Britain, but you ignore that Britain also needs Japan, and this demand is by no means under Japan's demand for Britain. Think about it, after the end of the war, East China will inevitably replace Russia as the biggest threat to Britain in the Far East, and East China will be located further south, with a large number of ports and a strong navy, so the threat to Britain in Asia is much greater than that of Russia. There are also facing the threat of East China, not only Britain, France and the United States, but these countries are too far away from the Far East, even if they have a large number of colonies, it is difficult to project their power to the Far East, and Japan is their only choice to guard against East China and protect their interests in the Far East, so I said, even if Japan throws off Britain this time, and East China Negotiations, but after the end of the war, Britain will still fully support Japan and help Japan recover as soon as possible, because they have no other choice. ”

Ito Hirobumi was stunned, of course he knew that Britain supported Japan, not to be a good gentleman, at the beginning of the war was to need Japan to help contain Russia, and now Japan is needed to deal with East China, but he did not think about it the other way around, if there is no Japan, Britain, France, and the United States' colonies in Asia will be threatened by East China, in this sense, Britain really can't lose Japan, then Japan can get rid of Britain and negotiate separately with East China, and such a thing can indeed be put aside. Moreover, Miyamoto's words also opened a window for Ito Hirobumi to deal with Britain, France, and the United States in the future, which is a card that is beneficial to Japan.

Seeing that Ito Hirobumi was still pondering, Miyamoto Naoto said again: "Mr. Ito, we must make a decision as soon as possible, because there is not much time left for Japan, if my judgment is correct, now Britain and France should be seeking to get rid of Japan and negotiate with East China."

Ito Hirobumi was shocked and said, "What?"

Miyamoto Naoto said: "There is nothing surprising about this, Britain and France pursue a national strategy to decide on the interests of the country, and everything else can be abandoned, and now the most beneficial thing for Britain and France is to negotiate with East China as soon as possible to end the war, and the sooner the better, because the latest side to negotiate with East China ** must be the party with the most compensation and the greatest losses. France's assertive stance was just an increase in bargaining chips, and the Netherlands had already made its choice, so Japan had to get ahead of Britain and France. ”

Ito Hirobumi took a deep breath, this judgment had too much impact on him, so he couldn't react for a while.

At this moment, the door opened, and a guard hurriedly walked in and said, "Mr. Ito, the emergency meeting of the cabinet requires you to attend immediately, and the carriage has been parked outside." As he spoke, he handed a sealed briefcase to Ito Hirobumi.

After taking the briefcase, Ito Hirobumi tore open the seal, opened it, and couldn't help but change his face greatly, it turned out that Britain and France had just informed Japan that the two countries had decided to hold negotiations with East China.