"Hello students, I'm Duan Yongping. ”

"To be honest, I'm just a businessman, not an expert in economics, and I'm not qualified to give a lecture here. It's just that the dean learned that I recently returned to China and pulled me hard, so I will rush the ducks to the shelves and talk to you about the development trend of China's three major industries in the future. ”

Duan Yongping is not handsome, with a flat head, but he speaks very energetically.

Chen Yu also admired this legendary businessman for a long time, and sat in the middle to listen.

You know, this is not an existence like yourself.

He was able to succeed entirely on his own true ability.

It is of great benefit to be able to listen to the experience of this senior.

Of course, this is also the reason why major colleges and universities are so popular.

Even if you haven't learned anything in various universities, if you can often listen to the speeches of these bigwigs, your vision is not comparable to ordinary people.

"We all know that when we divide the industry, we divide it into three major industries. That is, the primary, secondary and tertiary industries. The primary industry is relatively simple, and it is only the most basic agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry, which has existed in China for thousands of years. Here we will mainly talk about the secondary and tertiary industries. ”

"The secondary industry is industry, and the tertiary industry is the service industry. If we look at the national conditions in our country, the secondary industry occupies the leading force, and the tertiary industry has just developed. But if we look at developed countries, if we compare them with the United States, the tertiary industry in the United States already accounts for more than 70% of GDP. So, we have to ask, will our future trend in China be the same as that of the United States, and will we take the route of tertiary industry development in the future?"

In fact, this question is not only what Duan Yongping said, as long as you study economics, you are studying this problem.

However, how China's economy and industry will adjust in the future is only a matter for the future.

No one knows until the future comes.

"Of course, because the future has not come, what will happen in the future, we don't know. However, although the future has not yet come, we can still make certain predictions, or in other words, in the face of the basic national conditions in our country, we will have relatively large opportunities in which aspects. ”

Speaking of this, Duan Yongping smiled: "I heard a sentence when I came to Shenzhen University, saying that Shenzhen University is a pragmatic university. If Shenzhen University is always there to study theory but not practice, what is the difference between it and Peking University? ”

As soon as this sentence came out, all the students present laughed.

This sentence can be said to be a profound saying.

At the same time, it can be regarded as the pride of Shenzhen University.

Isn't going to college just to live better?

You want to study theories, you want to be a philosopher, you want to be a scientist...... Deep is not for you.

"So, let's be pragmatic today. ”

Duan Yongping is not a theoretician, he is also a pragmatic person. Since it is pragmatic, let's talk about something practical, always say those economic theories or something, which seem to make sense, but they are useless.

"I think that in the future, whether China will embark on the road of tertiary industry development or not, but with China's more than one billion people, the country must always firmly develop labor-intensive industries, because only labor-intensive industries can solve the employment of a large number of people. At present, the most concentrated labor-intensive industry is the secondary industry, let's talk about the secondary industry.

"The secondary industry is mainly industry and manufacturing, which includes resource extraction, petrochemical industry, machine manufacturing, wood and garment processing, and electronics manufacturing...... Wait. Let's analyze the same, even if resource exploitation and petrochemical industry are concerned, there is not much opportunity for development, and ordinary people cannot enter. At the same time, China is not rich in resources in the world, especially oil, and we import a lot of oil every year. The later machine manufacturing has great potential for development, but our advantage is not great. For example, automobile manufacturing, we have a very big gap with foreign countries, and it is difficult to catch up in a short time. We have a relatively big advantage in wood garment processing, such as our garments have been exported to all over the world, but this advantage is based on an environment with very low labor costs, and the profit of wood garment processing is very low, and there is not much technology. Even in the future, when our labor costs rise, wood and garment processing may be transferred to places where labor is cheaper......"

For this, Chen Yu couldn't agree more.

In later generations, the garment processing industry has indeed shifted to Southeast Asia and even Africa.

The reason is the same as Duan Yong's comment, that is, the labor there is very cheap.

"Finally, let's talk about the electronics industry, which includes home appliances, but also various electronic products, computers, mobile phones, VCDs, well, and our Xiaobawang learning machine. ”

The scene laughed again.

However, everyone also knows that Duan Yongping is just joking, and there is no longer much market for Xiaobawang learning machines.

Duan Yongping's main business now focuses on the BBK series of electronic products.

"The reason why I focus on the electronics industry is not because I am engaged in this industry, but because the electronics industry has its own special characteristics. We all know that if you want to say that the fastest industry is upgrading, I am afraid that it is the electronics industry. According to Moore's Law, the electronics industry doubles its performance every 18 months? ”

"What does it mean for the electronics industry to double its performance every 18 months, it means that the industry is updating very fast, and what does it mean that the update speed is very fast, and it represents new products and new technologies will continue to enter the market. At the same time that some new products and new technologies enter the market, he will inevitably eliminate the old products and old technologies. For example, the Xiaobawang learning machine will be eliminated, and the VCD repeater will also be eliminated...... And in the midst of the continuous elimination of these products, this is our opportunity. ”

"Although we also know that our electronics industry is still very different from Europe, the United States, Japan and South Korea in this area. But it doesn't matter, the faster the update speed, the more new forces will inevitably appear. China has a population of more than one billion people, as long as our technology catches up a little, then the entire electronics industry will be our opportunity. ”

Chen Yu nodded again.

Sure enough, it's a cow man.

Although the future has not yet arrived, except for a small number of Chen Yu who do not approve of it, most of them have basically been predicted by Duan Yongping. In fact, in the future electronics industry, China has indeed caught up all of a sudden, achieving corner overtaking.

This is unlikely to be possible in other industries.

For example, in the area of automobile manufacturing.

Why can't China overtake in corners in the area of automobile manufacturing?

In fact, the speed of updating in the machine manufacturing industry such as automobile manufacturing is too slow and too slow, and the slower the update speed, the slower the technological development, and the slower the technological development, the slower the entry of new forces. This is also why although the domestic automobile industry has developed for so many years, there is still a huge gap with Europe and the United States.

Of course, the explosion of electric vehicles in later generations has suddenly advanced the technological update a lot.

Perhaps, in the future, this is an opportunity for domestic cars to overtake in corners.

Of course, despite that, there is also a big gap in the area of cutting-edge electronic technology in China.

Like CPU, for example.

However, if we analyze it through the past life, even if it is a CPU, China is slowly overcoming this huge difficulty.

"Pat the ......"

The audience burst into applause.

Those who can be admitted to the university are people with bright minds.

Coupled with the profound and pragmatic tradition, Duan Yongping doesn't know how many people have been inspired by this translation.