Chapter 478: Diplomatic Struggle (7)
Compared with Germany's pragmatic attitude, the United States' request to the East China government to send a military observer mission is more pragmatic, but its ideas and goals are also more complicated.
Of course, the United States does not want to see the East China Government rise by taking advantage of this war, but it is also very dissatisfied with the practice of Britain and France blindly pressuring the East China Government, because the situation in the past few years has proved that the East China Government is not the Qing court, and there is almost no possibility for it to succumb to external pressure, unless Britain and France can directly send troops to completely defeat the East China Government on the battlefield, so the result of this pressure can only force the East China Government to expand the scale of the war, and even make the situation unstable. The U.S. government believes that it cannot pin its hopes on Britain and France, and that it must do something about it.
At present, the military strength of the United States is not very strong, and of course, the United States does not have the habit of attacking anyone who does not like it, so it has directly ruled out the option of military intervention or military pressure. In fact, the relationship between the United States and the East China government has always been good, but the relationship between the two sides is mainly in the economic field. Although the number one trading partner of the East China government is now Germany, followed by the United States. However, a large part of the economic relationship between the East China government and Germany is dominated by the government, and the purely commercial trade relations between the United States are much larger than those of Germany. However, militarily and politically, the relationship between the United States and the East China government is basically zero.
However, the United States is now in the stage of turning from a big to a strong one, and although the isolationist ideology at home is still very large, far-sighted politicians hope that the United States will participate more in international politics and make its voice heard on the international stage, and the East Asian region has major economic interests of the United States, and although there are many intertwined forces, the European countries are beyond their reach, so it has also become an important fulcrum for the United States to enter the international arena.
For more than 10 years, the United States has been involved in Asian affairs, from instigating Japan to provoke the First Sino-Japanese War in 1894, provoking the Spanish-American War in 1898 and seizing the Philippines as a foothold in Asia, joining the Eight-Nation Allied War of Aggression against China in 1900, and then fully supporting Japan in launching the Russo-Japanese War in 1904.
The East China Government is a newly rising political force in East Asia, and the United States is naturally not satisfied with maintaining only economic relations with the East China Government, but hopes to develop military and political relations with the East China Government, which is also conducive to US interference in the East Asian region. Therefore, the United States' attitude toward the East China Government's participation in the war is very subtle, and it does not oppose it as strongly as Britain and France, and to a certain extent, it still has a certain amount of support, but in fact it hopes that the East China Government will enter the war and muddy the waters so that it can take advantage of the opportunity to fish in troubled waters. Before the East China government entered the war, the United States allowed the East China government to issue bonds worth 15 million pounds in the United States, which not only supported the East China government's participation in the war, but also created conditions for the development of military and political relations with the East China government. On the basis of this relationship, the United States is also qualified to request the dispatch of a military observer mission.
However, the purpose of the United States' request to dispatch a military observer mission was first and foremost to test the attitude of the East China Government. If the East China Government signs the US demand, it will show that the East China Government is also willing to develop military and political relations with the United States, and this will of course play into the hands of the United States, so that the United States can intervene in the war in Liaodong in a deeper way, and at the necessary stage of the war, the United States can intervene in mediation and promote peace talks between the three parties by virtue of its relatively good relations with the three sides. This will not only serve the interests of the United States, but also enhance the international standing of the United States.
At the same time, the United States also takes into account that the current war situation in Liaodong is that the East China Government has the greatest advantage, and that in the future, even if the East China Government cannot occupy all of Liaodong, it will still have a place, so it is necessary for the United States to establish better political relations with the East China Government from now on, and this will not only be conducive to US interference in the East Asian region, but also conducive to the expansion of US economic interests in East Asia.
Originally, the United States had always hoped to carry out commercial development in China's Liaodong region, because the Liaodong region was rich in resources and had great potential, but since Russia forcibly leased Lushun in 1898, it regarded the Liaodong region as its own forbidden territory and did not allow others to get involved. However, the attitude of the East China government is much more open than that of Russia, and there are many cooperative projects with the United States in Shandong, and it has vigorously invited American capital to enter, although there are stricter conditions and restrictions, but it also provides a better investment environment and services. Now all powerful countries are facing the pressure of overcapacity, the United States because of the huge domestic market, so the pressure is less, but we must not prepare early, not to mention a new market, if you do not occupy it, others will have to occupy it.
Now that the East China government has defeated Russia, whether it will monopolize Liaodong in the future or partially occupy Liaodong, it will win an opportunity for US capital to enter Liaodong, and if the United States can carry out large-scale investment and development in Liaodong, it will be of great benefit to the United States in digesting production capacity and expanding its economy. Therefore, the United States proposed to send a military observer mission to the East China Government because of an extremely complicated background.
After receiving the applications from Germany and the United States, the top level of the East China Government was also a little surprised, and Germany did not expect that the United States would make a request to send a military observer mission. However, after careful consultations at the executive meeting, everyone agreed that this would not be harmful to the East China government. This is because the arrival of the military observation mission is also subject to the jurisdiction of the East China government, and it will not allow them to come arbitrarily, and it can also take advantage of the arrival of the military observation mission to exert pressure on Britain, France, Japan, Russia, and other countries, because according to the usual practice, only countries with good relations will send military observation missions to each other.
Although Germany and the United States will try their best to clarify that the dispatch of a military observer mission does not express support for the East China government, Britain, France, Japan, Russia, and other countries may not easily believe it. Moreover, there will be some scruples in future behavior, and of course, the East China government will also make full use of this incident to maximize its own interests.
In addition, taking advantage of the arrival of the military observer group to develop military and political relations with the United States is also a good thing for the East China Government, because after all, the East China Government knows very well that although the United States is now big but not strong, its huge potential far exceeds that of European countries, and the United States and European countries are not monolithic at present, so there is still a broad space for cooperation between the East China Government and the United States. The ultimate goal of the East China government is to overthrow the Qing court and be the master of the country, but the new country needs to be recognized by other countries, although it is enough to say that as long as its own strength is reached, after all, the Qing court is finished, and other countries can only recognize it, but if the relationship between the countries is good, of course, it will be recognized as soon as possible. For these reasons, it is absolutely necessary for the East China government to develop political and military relations with the United States.
Two days later, the East China Government also sent a reply to Germany and the United States, saying that it welcomed the two countries to send a military observer mission to the East China Government and would immediately arrange personnel to hold consultations with the consulates of the two countries on the personnel, arrangements, and rules of the observation mission. At the same time, the East China government also proposed to the two countries to issue additional bonds worth 1,500 pounds in each country, and to use the proceeds from the sale of bonds to buy goods directly from the two countries.
In fact, the East China government is not short of money now, after all, it has not been in the war for a long time, and the income from the bonds issued in Germany and the United States last time worth a total of 30 million pounds has not yet been used up, and the East China government has already issued bonds in Shanghai, and the first phase plans to issue 10 million taels of silver, and now the sales are also very hot, so the financial situation of the East China government is still very good, and it is not in urgent need of funds. However, it is not very likely that this war will end in a short time, after all, Japan and Russia have been fighting for nearly one and a half years, and the East China government estimates that after it enters the war, it will fight for at least a year, maybe more, so the East China government is ready to propose a long-term war, and the preparation of funds must naturally be planned in advance.
Moreover, of course, the purpose of raising funds is to buy materials, so instead of accumulating funds, it is better to accumulate materials directly. On the one hand, it is used to supplement the current shortage of military production capacity of the East China Government; on the other hand, the East China Government captured a large number of warships in the Battle of Tsushima, and most of the spare parts for repairing the warships cannot be produced on its own, so it needs to be imported from Germany. In fact, before the start of the war, the East China government purchased a batch of spare parts and materials for warships from Germany, but it did not expect that there were too many warships captured in the Battle of Tsushima, plus several warships salvaged from Port Arthur, a total of nearly 30 ships, and the spare parts and materials purchased in the early stage were simply not enough, so they could only increase the purchase from Germany.
The materials purchased from the United States are medicines, cloth, ordinary steel, timber, production machinery, and so on, which are either materials needed for the war or necessary materials related to the national economy and people's livelihood. Although the East China government is not short of these materials at present, it is always not wrong to be prepared and stock up on more, and no one can say for sure what will happen in the future, and it is not impossible to have money to buy things.
After the East China Government's reply was issued, the German and American consuls did not dare to slack off, and immediately sent the East China Government's request back to China for the country to make a decision. In fact, these demands put forward by the East China government are not excessive, and they are quite beneficial to Germany and the United States, not only to buy the bonds of the East China government is profitable, but also to sell domestic products and digest domestic excess capacity. Although Germany and the United States do not need to look at the faces of Britain and France, there is no need to offend Britain and France too much, so they also need to carefully consider and plan and weigh the success or failure before they can reply to the East China Government.
As the telegraph continued to penetrate between countries, the struggle between the parties in the diplomatic field became increasingly fierce, and below the table, all sides were using all their tricks to coerce and induce themselves to gain their own interests.