Chapter 254: To do decades of foundation

Qi Zheng must be in favor of building a single pig farm with millions of pigs slaughtered every year - arranging a spirit array is in place in one step, and running around to arrange multiple spirit arrays, a fool chooses the latter.

After Qi Zheng invited "foreign aid" to further ensure the epidemic prevention work of pig farms, Li Dongliang finally stopped objecting.

The first step is to choose a site. The preparatory work for Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry has already begun, and after it was determined to build a giant pig farm according to the original plan, several candidate addresses were put on the desks of Qi Zheng and other management.

This is a project with an investment amount of 1 billion yuan, and most of the decisions must be made by the senior management of the group - after the integration of Jiagu Group, no matter which subsidiary it is, as long as it exceeds 1 billion yuan of single investment, it must be on the "round table" of Jiagu management, and will be implemented after the senior executives check and fill in the gaps.

Qi Zheng was not satisfied with several candidate addresses.

Among the several candidate addresses of Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry, they are mainly distributed in the main pig producing areas in China.

For a long time, the domestic pig breeding industry has always been divided into main production areas and main sales areas.

Affected by factors such as corn and other grain producing areas, industrial comparative advantages, transportation, urbanization and industrialization, China's main pig producing areas include southwest China, the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, North China, Northeast China and other grain-producing areas.

Among the main producing areas, the climate in southwest China is suitable for pig production; the scale of pig production in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River is relatively high, and it is close to the main sales areas such as the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta, but it is located in a subtropical climate and is prone to epidemics; North China has sufficient grain, the feed cost is relatively low, the scale of pig production is relatively high, and the transportation is convenient; the northeast region is relatively remote, but the feed raw materials are sufficient, and the feed cost is relatively low.

The candidate sites for Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry are obviously biased towards the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the northeast region, one close to the market and the other close to the largest grain-producing area.

Qi Zheng is not satisfied, not that these candidate addresses do not meet the requirements of pig breeding, but that there are other considerations based on future trends.

So in the face of Li Dongliang, who came to solicit opinions, Qi Zheng bluntly said, "Seeing your candidate address, I think you are also taking into account the pressure of environmental protection." ”

Li Dongliang thought that Qi Zheng was disgusted with the remoteness of the place, and explained, "Yes. Although our pig farms have strict environmental control, there is still a lot of pressure on environmental protection. Therefore, even if the location is close to the consumer market, we can only choose the suburbs of the city as much as possible. ”

After all, pig farming is a heavily polluting industry. First of all, the harmless treatment of sick and dead animals is not complete, and the random abandonment of rivers will cause river pollution, which may breed epidemics in serious cases; secondly, it is difficult to collect and dispose of animal excrement, and the regional pollution is serious; finally, the attachments in aquaculture production will cause the impact on the surrounding environment, resulting in soil pollution and air pollution.

Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry farms attach great importance to environmental protection issues, the cost of environmental protection is even second only to the cost of feed and manpower, Rao is so, the location of pig farms is also considered in relatively remote places.

But Qi Zheng didn't think that the candidate address was too remote, on the contrary, he felt that it was not remote enough.

"I think you still underestimate the country's environmental protection restrictions, especially in the southern water network area, the environmental protection restrictions of the aquaculture industry will be more severe than you imagined. ”

Qi Zheng is the clearest that in a few years, in the adjustment of the pig industry, the state frequently issued environmental protection restriction policies, and the environmental protection ban soon entered the peak period.

From the policy can be seen, South China and East China are the first to set aside environmental protection prohibition areas, and the implementation is unprecedented. Among them, in the southern water network area, the number of live pigs reduced due to environmental protection has reached tens of millions.

With the improvement of standards, the scope of national forbidden areas has continued to expand, and the demarcated areas have gradually shifted from the initial southern water network and key areas to the southwest, northeast and northwest regions.

In this environment, if you don't choose the right address now, no matter how big you are, closing or relocating is inevitable.

Li Dongliang was a little stunned, not that he felt that Qi Zheng was alarmist, and from the perspective of the general trend, environmental protection rectification is inevitable. He just thinks that the progress will not be so fast, and the rectification will not be so fierce.

But Qi Zheng's judgment is rarely wrong. A pig farm with a scale of millions of pigs is no bigger than a pig farm with tens of thousands of pigs, whether it is closed or relocated, the loss is too great.

Looking at the possible forbidden areas he marked on the map, Li Dongliang sighed, "Then several sites in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River cannot be used, and there is no need to take this risk." ”

"Then we should focus on the Northeast region, which is also in line with the trend of 'raising pigs in the south and raising pigs in the north'. ”

Unexpectedly, Qi Zheng still shook his head.

With the development of large-scale breeding, in the past few years, the domestic pig breeding industry has shown an obvious trend of "southern pig raising in the north". It mainly refers to consumption in the south and breeding in the north. Specifically, in the main producing areas of North China represented by Lu Province, the proportion of pig breeding slaughter in the national pig slaughter is gradually increasing.

North China and Northeast China already have the cost advantage of feed raw materials, and as the environmental pressure in Central and South China begins to increase, pig breeding is also shifting. In particular, the Northeast has become the direction of the key layout of major breeding groups, which has further accelerated the trend of "raising pigs in the south and raising pigs in the north" in China.

However, Qi Zheng put forward two unfavorable factors in this regard.

"Although pig farming in the Northeast has cost advantages, it is not without disadvantages. ”

"First of all, the Northeast region has not yet established a complete epidemic prevention and control system. The late start of large-scale breeding in Northeast China means that both the government and farmers have relatively little experience in the operation of the pig industry, especially in the field of disease prevention and control. ”

It does not mean that the company itself can be foolproof if it does a good job of epidemic prevention itself, and the response of the local government is also very important. For example, when swine fever is rampant, if the government does not control the circulation of live pigs, especially sick pigs, in a timely manner, the pressure on enterprises to prevent the epidemic will increase dramatically.

In Qi Zheng's impression, in the next ten years, including swine fever from the end of this year to next year, there will be at least three major outbreaks in China. Only after experiencing these epidemics can the Northeast region have the corresponding experience in epidemic prevention and control;

"Secondly, raising pigs in the south and raising pigs in the north means the separation of production and marketing, and the separation of production and marketing means that it is not conducive to epidemic prevention and control. After the acceleration of the transfer of breeding capacity to the north, the demand for pig transportation in the north and south production and marketing areas has intensified. The large-scale transportation of live pigs is one of the important ways for the spread of swine fever epidemic. ”

Once a large-scale swine fever epidemic breaks out, the transportation of live pigs will definitely be stopped.

However, simply stopping the transfer of live pigs will break the balance of the domestic pig circulation market, and there will be a great distortion of supply and demand between the production and marketing areas - the pigs in the production area cannot be sold, and the deep losses will be made;

Li Dongliang admitted that Qi Zheng's analysis was reasonable, but he was still a little confused by Qi Zheng.

The pressure of environmental protection in the south is high, and the pressure of epidemic prevention in the north is not small, so there is no need to choose.

Seeing Li Dongliang's doubts, Qi Zheng smiled, "Actually, I just suggest that Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry should adjust their own layout, slow down the construction of production capacity in the main producing areas in the north, and moderately strengthen the breeding plan in the south." ”

"You know, in the future, the high-quality breeding base in the south will be a shortage of resources, who can control a certain high-quality breeding base, who can occupy the commanding heights in the southern market. ”

"But in the south of the site must be selected, the annual slaughter of millions of single breeding base, dare not say to make a hundred years of foundation, or to make a decades of foundation. I don't want to be forced to move in a few years. ”

"Therefore, the first year of Jiagu agriculture and animal husbandry slaughter of a single pig farm of one million heads, it is best to choose a place in the south that is far away from the metropolis, suitable for ecological breeding, and relatively closed, which is convenient for protection and can effectively block the introduction of the source of disease!"

Li Dongliang suddenly understood Qi Zheng's request, he thought for a few minutes, raised his head and said with a smile, "Don't say it, I really know that there is such a place that perfectly meets your requirements." ”

......