Chapter 311: Preparations for War (5)
According to the East China government's battle plan, it participated in the Battle of Tsushima, first defeated the Japanese and Russian navies in one fell swoop and gained sea supremacy, and then landed on the Liaodong Peninsula to formally intervene in the war situation in the northeast.
Because the KPA controls the sea dominance, Japan has nothing to fear, and after the KPA lands, the Japanese army is caught in the middle of the KPA and the Russian army, and it will inevitably be defeated, even if the rest can escape back to the Korean Peninsula, as long as the Japanese army's sea route is cut off, it will be difficult for Japan to make great achievements, that is to say, after the KPA enters the war, the main opponent is the Russian army, not the Japanese army.
However, after the People's Army landed on the Liaodong Peninsula, the general route of the advance was basically the same as that of the Japanese army, and it marched north along Lushun, Liaoyang, Shenyang, and Tieling to Jilin and Changchun. Although the People's Army will not blindly rely on people like the Japanese army to fight a war, if it wants to advance all the way north like this, it will eventually reach the limit of attack like the Japanese army, and the situation may not be much stronger than that of Japan, after all, the comprehensive strength of the East China government is still some distance from Japan. Therefore, the attack on Vladivostok has considerable tactical and strategic value for the KPA.
Moreover, compared with Japan, except for the distance from Qingdao to Vladivostok, which is almost doubled, the rest of the conditions are similar, and even better, because the People's Army Navy has modern warships under the command and now has a special Marine Corps, so Luo Yue believes that the probability of success is at least between 6 and 7 percent, and it can be implemented.
After Luo Yue drew up this battle plan, he first consulted with Qin Zheng. Qin Zheng has always been engaged in political work, and he is not very proficient in tactics, but he thinks that Luo Yue's plan is very bold and indeed a little unexpected, so he showed it to Xiao Jianjun. After reading this plan, Xiao Jianjun thought that it could be executed, at least a tactical choice, so he left this plan and studied it further.
A few days later, the General Staff conducted several military chess exercises on the process after entering the war, and came to the same conclusion as Luo Yue's prediction: After the KPA entered the war, the Japanese army would be quickly defeated, and the rest would flee to the Korean Peninsula, and the KPA would mainly compete with the Russian army for dominance in the northeast region, while the KPA could advance to the Shenyang and Tieling lines, almost reaching the limit. The Russian army will retreat to Jilin and Changchun, and there are still more than 200,000 troops. The end result is not much better than Japan's. It's okay to force Russia to admit defeat, but it's not enough to get war reparations from Russia.
So Xiao Jianjun ordered, on the condition of the success of the sneak attack on Vladivostok, another military chess exercise, the result of this time was very ideal, the People's Army finally captured Jilin, Changchun, pushed the front all the way to the line of Harbin, Songjiang, and there was enough spare strength to attack Harbin, but also confirmed the great value of attacking Vladivostok.
And at this time, there was also good news on the diplomatic front, and Russia intended to let the People's Army enter Jinzhou.
It turned out that Japan officially notified the East China Government through its consul in Qingdao, Keishiro Matsui, that it clearly hoped that the East China Government would not send troops to the war, on the grounds that Russia and France had an alliance agreement, and at this time France had already exerted pressure on the Japanese Government and would not sit idly by and watch Russia be defeated in the Far East, and once the East China Government entered the war, it was possible that France would also be involved in the war, and the current battlefield situation would be enough to defeat Russia by relying only on Japan's strength, so at this time, it was best not to complicate the situation. Of course, Japan also expressed its gratitude to the East China government for its support since the start of the war, and promised that after victory, it would also protect China's interests.
Although Japan has accepted Britain's proposal, it does not want to turn against the East China Government at this time, because after all, there are still several tough battles to be fought in the future, and if the East China Government is forced to rush and tilt to the side of Russia, it will be unfavorable to Japan. Therefore, Japan promised that after its victory, it would definitely protect China's interests, hoping to fool the East China government.
On behalf of the East China Government, Li Sanjie expressed strong dissatisfaction with Keishiro Matsui, and accused Japan of betraying the cooperation agreement between the two sides, which the East China Government absolutely cannot accept, and whether or not to enter the war will depend on the East China Government's judgment of the situation and its own preparedness, and will never be interfered with by other factors; if the Japanese Government is unwilling to cooperate, then the East China Government will take its own action.
Of course, the reaction of the East China Government was also expected by Keishiro Matsui, so he repeatedly explained that Japan had absolutely no intention of betraying the cooperation agreement between the two sides, but was only worried that after the East China Government entered the war, it would give France an excuse to enter the war, and once France entered the war again, the situation in the Far East would inevitably develop in the direction of complication, which would also be unfavorable to the East China Government, and the attitude of the Japanese Government was only a suggestion, and the decision of the Japanese Government would still have to be negotiated by both sides.
However, Li Sanjie once again sternly refuted Matsui Keishiro, pointing out that Japan's so-called worries were just excuses, and Japan's real goal was that it could now defeat Russia by relying only on Japan's strength, so it did not need the help of the East China Government, and that if it wanted to occupy the Northeast region alone after the war, it did not want the East China Government to enter the war.
Keishiro Matsui hastened to say that Japan has absolutely no ambitions for China's territory, and at the same time suggested that high-level officials of the two sides hold consultations, and that Japanese Foreign Minister Komura Shotaro is willing to visit Qingdao on this matter and hold consultations with the East China Government.
Li Sanjie did not refuse Komura Shoutaro to visit Qingdao, but he made a request: If Japan really has no ambitions for China's territory, then it is hoped that this visit will have a practical and feasible plan to protect China's interests.
As a matter of fact, the East China Government did not refuse Komura Shotaro's visit, and it did not really want to negotiate with Japan, but only hung up on Japan for the time being, so that Japan could feel that the East China Government still had illusions about Japan, and asking Japan to come up with a feasible guarantee plan was actually a difficult problem for Japan, because after all, what is a feasible plan to protect China's interests?
After meeting with Matsui Keishiro, Li Sanjie immediately made an appointment with the Russian consul Petrov, hoping that Russia would show sincerity and practical actions to fulfill the [Treaty on the Settlement of the Three Eastern Provinces], and if it was just an empty word, then it would not waste time, so the East China government may now send troops to the war at any time.
Petrov hurriedly said that Russia had always intended to fulfill the [Treaty on the Settlement of the Three Eastern Provinces], but it was only because Japan suddenly launched a war, otherwise Russia might have completed the withdrawal of its troops. Of course, the war has not yet ended, and it is impossible for Russia to fulfill the treaty immediately, but in order to show Russia's sincerity, the East China government can send troops to Jinzhou, and as soon as the war is over, it can immediately take over the rest of the three eastern provinces.
Russia's attitude was a great surprise to Li Sanjie. Although Li Sanjie does not understand military affairs, he also knows that Jinzhou has always been a battleground for soldiers, because Jinzhou is too famous in the history of Chinese warfare. In the old time and space, one of China's three major battles, the Battle of Liaoshen, the Battle of Jinzhou was one of the key points, and the famous Battle of Tashan also took place in the Battle of Jinzhou, so Li Sanjie also knew that Jinzhou was an important place. Of course, in fact, the southern gateway to the northeast of Jinzhou, the geographical location and strategic value are very huge, before the Russo-Japanese War began, the German Major General Merkel, who had taught in Japan, put forward a plan, let Japan feint to attack Lushun, land in the Bohai Bay, surprise attack Jinzhou, and then directly attack Liaoyang.
And at the time of the Russo-Japanese War, Russia was willing to let the People's Army enter Jinzhou, and there must be a reason for this, and there may be a huge conspiracy. Li Sanjie couldn't see through the secrets, so he used the excuse of asking the Executive Yuan for instructions to delay the army.
It turned out that the Foreign Affairs Committee had refused the Russian consul's interview three times, and it also made Russia understand that the East China Government was by no means easy to fool, and that it was impossible to divide the East China Government and Japan without showing some truly valuable interests. However, after all, there are also high-ranking people in Russia, so they came up with this trick to fulfill the [Treaty of Settlement of the Three Eastern Provinces] and invite the East China government to enter Jinzhou.
Although Jinzhou is the gateway to the northeast, at that time, based on the topographical conditions of Chinese mainland, Jinzhou was insignificant for the Russo-Japanese War, because Japan mainly entered the northeast through the sea and the Korean Peninsula, and did not need to pass through Jinzhou at all, and the Russian garrison in the Jinzhou area was less than 1,000 people, so there was no loss to Russia for letting the People's Army enter Jinzhou.
But for Japan, it was different, the People's Army's entry into Jinzhou was equivalent to giving the People's Army a garrison in the northeast, and it could directly threaten the flanks of Liaoyang and Shenyang, making the Japanese army extremely uncomfortable, and it was necessary to prevent the East China government from stabbing itself in the back at all times. After all, the cooperation between the East China Government and Japan is not wholeheartedly, so as long as the People's Army is stationed in Jinzhou, although the East China Government and Japan will not immediately turn against each other, there will basically be no more cooperation.
Of course, after the People's Army was stationed in Jinzhou, in the long run, it was also a huge threat to Russia's occupation of Northeast China, but judging from the current situation, it was almost impossible for Russia to win the war, and at most it would take the current occupation areas of Japan and Russia as its sphere of influence and cease the war, so after the end of the war, it was basically impossible for Russia to monopolize Northeast China.
Moreover, Russia's center of gravity is in Europe, and it is impossible to invest too much strength in the Far East, and it is inevitable that it will be a little powerless to fight Japan alone in the Far East in the future, so the introduction of the East China government, so that the post-war Northeast is divided into three forces to control, which can contain each other and effectively offset Japan's threat to itself, although the plan of Yellow Russia is impossible to complete in a short period of time, but it can ensure that Russia still has a strong influence in the Far East, which is also cost-effective.