Chapter 728: Decision-making (2)
These are all good things, but the problems in the northeast are still very serious, and the problems in the northeast can be roughly divided into four aspects, the first of which is, of course, the Russian threat.
According to the reconnaissance of the People's Army, when Qin Zheng left Shenyang, the Russian army had gathered more than 300,000 huge troops in Chita, of course, there were also a considerable number of logistics personnel, so the combat army would not exceed 200,000. Of course, such a force is not enough to launch a counterattack on the northeast region, but it is also enough to pose a huge threat to the northeast region, resulting in East China will have to station a large army and a large number of logistics personnel in the northeast, which consumes a lot of manpower and material resources.
Of course, during this period of time, East China was not idle, on the one hand, it stepped up production in Shandong, and on the other hand, it transported various materials to the northeast region, and now the materials of the Northeast agglomeration can ensure that the People's Army launches 3-4 wars with a scale of 100,000. Moreover, the People's Army will not blindly defend passively, and the Northeast Theater Command has drawn up an offensive and operational plan against Russia, and the main idea is to defend the west and advance eastward, abandon the western front heavily guarded by the Russian army, and launch an offensive on the eastern front where the Russian army is empty, mainly in the Ussuri River area. The purpose is to suppress Russia and force Russia to make concessions to East China and pay reparations.
The Russian army's garrison in this area is quite empty, basically will not cause a big obstacle to the offensive of the People's Army, what can stop the People's Army is its own logistics capacity and human resources, but for Russia, what it has lost is its own territory, and it is unlikely to wait until the People's Army reaches the limit of expansion, and it is impossible to stop itself, so it is very likely to finally compromise with East China.
This battle plan has been approved by the Military Commission, but in the previous stage, the main goal of East China was to deal with Britain, France and Japan, so it was not approved, and now Britain, France and Japan have been settled, and East China can also concentrate on dealing with Russia, and it can be said that now as long as the Military Commission gives an order, the People's Army in the northeast can launch an attack on Russia. Of course, there are still many variables in forcing Russia to submit, and the process and time will not be too short.
The second is the issue of banditry. Although East China has made remarkable achievements in suppressing bandits in the northeast, the bandits have not been completely eradicated, although the large bandits have been exterminated, or broken into pieces, and there are still a large number of small bandits, they dare not operate in big cities, county seats, important villages, and towns, but they can still carry out plundering and raiding in remote villages, but it is more difficult to deal with than before, because the northeast region is vast and sparsely populated, the mountains and forests are dense, and there are too many places where bandits can hide, and it will take a considerable amount of time to completely eliminate the bandits.
Moreover, in the face of such a small group of bandits, dispatching the People's Army to carry out conquest and suppression is really killing chickens with a knife, and it is not a normal phenomenon for the regular army to participate too much in domestic battles, and at the same time it will also reduce its own combat effectiveness, after all, the intensity of this kind of battle is too low, and in addition to accumulating a certain amount of combat experience for recruits, it is really not beneficial to the army. In the old days, the US military was caught in a war of law and order, which led to a major misunderstanding of the entire military thinking, and produced a number of flashy weapons with an excessively poor performance ratio, such as Zumwalt-class destroyers and littoral combat ships.
However, the police force is not enough to deal with bandits, and the main function of the Bijing police is to maintain public order, not to fight. Therefore, Qin Zheng suggested that an armed force should be established to be responsible for the internal security of the country.
In fact, this is also a commonplace problem in East China, at the beginning of the establishment of East China, Shandong is also facing a serious problem of banditry, at that time someone suggested the establishment of the National Guard, internal security tasks. However, at that time, the People's Army had just been formed, and even the Marine Corps had not yet been formed, and it was planned to use bandits for the People's Army to train its hands, so the establishment of the National Guard was shelved. However, the current situation is very different from that when East China was first established, so whether to establish the National Guard must also be seriously discussed.
The third problem facing the Northeast is Mongolia, and now East China has actually occupied the Mongolian region, such as Manchuria, which is heavily guarded, so it is inevitable that it will come into contact with the Mongolian forces, and now the Mongolian region is very seriously infiltrated by Russia, because it is in Outer Mongolia, the upper forces are almost all pro-Russian, and the momentum of independence is very strong, to China, to East China ** The attitude is quite hostile, when the People's Army and the Russian army are at war, there are Mongolian forces to assist the Russian army in the war, although now Mongolia's forces have been reined in, mainly by the People's Army's combat effectiveness, and the Russian forces behind them are not strong enough, but in the long run, Mongolia has always been a major threat to the northeast.
In the old time and space, after the Russo-Japanese War, armed forces such as Tauktaohu, Baiyin Dajiao, and Yashi supported by Russia invaded the Northeast and plundered, so after the end of the war, Russia is likely to adopt similar tactics, not directly with East China**, but to support the Mongolian forces to be the enemy of East China**, and support the Mongolian forces to collude with the bandits in the Northeast, and constantly create trouble for East China**. Naya must now be prepared for this and formulate corresponding countermeasures.
If the first three problems are only external problems, then the fourth problem is within East China, that is, there is a serious shortage of manpower.
According to the official figures of the Qing court, the population of Liaoning in this era was 15 million, Jilin was 3.2 million, and Heilongjiang was 1.2 million; and the population of the three provinces combined was not as much as a province in Shandong, and the official figures of the Qing court, the population of Shandong Province was 30 million, and the census of East China ** had actually reached 35 million, and the concealed population accounted for about 2 percent.
Moreover, the population of the Northeast region is not large, the population distribution of the three provinces is also extremely uneven, but the smallest Liaoning Province has the largest population, which is three times that of Heilongjiang and Jilin Provinces, but the area is only about 1/5 of the two provinces. Heilongjiang and Jilin provinces have small populations but large local populations, so there is a huge labor gap.
Although the use of captured prisoners in East China and the capture of a large number of people from Japan can temporarily alleviate the problem of labor shortage in Heilongjiang and Jilin provinces, this is not a long-term strategy. Only by settling down in the two provinces of Jilin can the population of the two provinces effectively change the population of the two provinces and promote the development of the local economy, and whether they are captives or captured from Japan, they are actually equivalent to prisoners; although they can open up wasteland for farming and carry out infrastructure construction, the role of driving local economic development is not great, after all, they are not residents, they have no normal income, and their consumption capacity is limited; second, this group of people are all foreigners, and most of the people who travel through are not ultra-nationalists, but it is still difficult to trust foreigners, and they are Japanese。
In order to fundamentally solve the problem of small populations in Heilongjiang and Jilin provinces, we can only rely on immigrants to solve the problem, and the famous Guandong in the old time and space was a large-scale migration operation to the northeast region, which has been carried out for decades, and the main people of immigration come from Hebei and Shandong provinces, as well as some Shanxi. For example, Zhang Zuolin's ancestral home is Nanzhao Fufengzhuang, Dacheng County, Hebei Province, and his great-grandfather Zhang Yonggui was in the Daoguang period, due to floods, so he took his children to Kandong to make a living, and came to Linghai in Liaoning Province to set up a living, open up wasteland and farm land, and support his family.
Originally, after the Russo-Japanese War, there would be a ** who broke into the eastern part of the country, and the average number of immigrants to the Northeast every year was between 50-600,000, which is still a figure in the case of a great mortality rate, after all, the immigrants basically walked on two legs, and there was no guarantee along the way, most of the immigrants were in a hurry, while begging for food to complete the process of breaking through the Kanto, so the process of immigration is quite dangerous. However, now history has changed, although Shandong Province will basically not migrate to the northeast on a large scale, but there will still be a large number of immigrants in Hebei and Shanxi, and East China should come forward to be responsible for the organization, response and settlement of immigrants, so as to reduce the death of immigrants. Of course, changing the demographic structure of Northeast China through immigration is a long-term process, at least a 10-year cycle.
Another aspect of the shortage of manpower also refers to the lack of management personnel in East China, and now there are about 400 non-military crossers in the Northeast, of which 200 have come to the Northeast in the last 3 months, and according to the administrative division of the Northeast by the Qing court, the three provinces in the Northeast have a total of 26 prefectures, 8 prefectures, and 58 counties, and a large number of farms will be established in East China, so a large number of grassroots officials are needed.
According to the current situation in Shandong Province, the local officials at the county level are all traversers, and the naturalized citizens are only subordinate members of the traversers, even if five traversers are led by one prefecture and three traversers in one county, it is obviously far from enough to give the current number of traversers in the northeast region. Even the subordinate members who are traversers have a huge vacancy in number. The place northeast of Bijing is too big.
Moreover, most of the traversers and naturalized people in the Northeast have not been engaged in local management work before, and now they are also chasing ducks on the shelves, even if this is the case, at present, East China can only ensure that there are 3-4 traversers in a prefecture, and then spread about 20 naturalized people, and assisted in the management of the People's Army, and had to use a considerable part of the original Qing court local officials, With the assistance of officials and others, with the exception of a few important county seats, ordinary county towns could only be managed by the military, or by local officials of the original Qing court temporarily.
In a short period of time, such a model can be maintained, but it will definitely not work for a long time, but to ensure the full control of East China's ** in the Northeast, Qin Zheng estimates that at least about 500 more traversers need to be added, of which those with local management experience must account for half.