Chapter 471: Qin Fei's Inference

"Brother Qin thinks, what else will there be on Long Chuang's side?" Chen Wei asked.

In fact, in his heart, Chen Wei himself didn't think that Long Chuang would surrender so easily.

Now the stock price is thirty-two, but from this stock price, it is still within the acceptable range of Longchuang, and it is not enough for Longchuang to have a financial crisis.

What's more, there is still the Jiang family behind Long Chuang, and Long Chuang does show his strong financial strength today.

If Qin Fei hadn't chosen the right time and caught Longchuang off guard, he might not have been able to smash Longchuang's stock price down.

Today's tail market has plunged sharply, and tomorrow will definitely open low, but even if it is low to 30, or even a lower price, as long as Longchuang exerts his strength, with the financial strength in his hands, Chen Wei and their side are a little relaxed, Longchuang will be able to pull the stock price back.

So, they really can't be careless.

Now the only thing Chen Wei is not sure about is how many back hands on Long Chuang's side, or hole cards, are there. And, what is the lowest stock price that Longchuang can afford.

"Long Chuang's backhand, needless to say, in terms of funds, backed by the Jiang family's big tree, as long as the Jiang family is willing to come forward, it is not too difficult to help Long Chuang raise tens of billions of funds. Of course, within these big families, there must be no shortage of constraints, how much the Jiang family is willing to contribute to Longchuang's affairs, we don't know this, we can only prepare for the worst now. In addition to funding, Longchuang can also do something in other aspects. For example, if it were me, I would prepare a few pieces of good news and release it at a critical time, which can also offset the impact of negative news to a certain extent. Qin Fei said calmly.

Chen Wei frowned, the two points that Qin Fei said were indeed a bit tricky.

In terms of funds, even if there is some disharmony within the Jiang family and will not fully support Longchuang, from another point of view, this is also an opportunity for the rest of the Jiang family to take the opportunity to seize Longchuang's equity.

Longchuang's share price was smashed down and smashed to a low point, so the rest of the Jiang family can take this opportunity to buy Longchuang's shares.

Put yourself in their shoes, if Chen Wei was in the position of the Jiang family, he would definitely do this.

Of course, the purchase price will definitely not be too high, at least until the share price of Longchuang falls again.

However, Chen Wei's purpose in suppressing Longchuang's stock price this time is to trigger Longchuang's financial crisis, so that Longchuang has no spare strength to compete for the Jiulong Mountain Scenic Area.

But if the Jiang family wants to take the opportunity to acquire Longchuang shares, they will definitely not watch Longchuang fall into a financial crisis, and when Longchuang's stock price falls to an appropriate position, they will definitely make a move.

In this way, Chen Wei's purpose will be frustrated.

So from this point of view, no matter what the relationship between the Jiang family and Xu Tianyin is, they have a direct conflict of interest with Chen Wei.

They will inevitably prevent Chen Wei from further suppressing Longchuang's stock price.

On the other hand, Longchuang can indeed concoct a few pieces of good news.

There is a lot of good news like this, such as winning several important plots in one fell swoop, or signing several heavyweight cooperation agreements, which can effectively divert investors' attention and offset the impact of negative news about Jiulong Mountain.

Even, Longchuang can also speed up the process of the film and television base project, which is equivalent to disintegrating the negative news from the root.

Then the whole reason for shorting Dragon Creation does not exist.

If Longchuang takes advantage of the trend, it is easy to pull up the stock price, or at least stabilize the stock price.

And Chen Wei's side, if he wants to smash the plate down, it will not be so easy.

Chen Wei thought of a few countermeasures, but he felt that it would not have a good effect, so he asked again: "Then how should we deal with it?" ”

Qin Fei glanced at Chen Wei and felt a little relieved in his heart.

If Chen Wei didn't think about it and asked him directly how to deal with it, then Qin Fei would definitely be a little disappointed.

As a boss, you must have your own ideas and judgments, if you don't have your own judgment, ask your subordinates for ideas about everything, then such a boss obviously can't do anything big.

Although Chen Wei is also asking him for his ideas now, it can be seen that Chen Wei has been thinking carefully for a while just now.

Regardless of whether Chen Wei has his own judgment now, he thought about it for a while before asking him, and it was worthy of Qin Fei's affirmation.

In fact, during the time he knew Chen Wei, Qin Fei also had a general understanding of Chen Wei.

Chen Wei is definitely a person with his own ideas, and he will never be easily swayed by others.

He is only inexperienced now, so he has to ask Qin Fei for advice on many things.

And this attitude of letting go of the boss's figure and taking the initiative to ask for advice is precisely the most precious.

There are many bosses who do have their own ideas and judgments, but the problem is that they have too many ideas of their own and can't listen to the advice of their subordinates at all.

Such a boss also can't do anything big.

In Qin Fei's view, it is no accident that Chen Wei can go from scratch to his current net worth of 10 billion in such a short period of time.

Qin Fei himself also felt a little emotional, back then, he was too conceited, conceited to the point of arrogance, and he couldn't listen to other people's opinions at all.

He ended up in prison and was defeated, and for good reason.

If he could have listened to the advice of his subordinates and not rushed into Dingyu, there might not be anything to follow.

It's just that it doesn't make much sense to think about these things now, the past is gone, and doing the present is the most important thing.

Qin Fei also sighed for a moment, and quickly came back to his senses, and did not directly answer Chen Wei's question, but asked rhetorically: "What do you think, how will Long Chuang's side deal with the current situation next? If they release news, what kind of news will they release?"

Chen Wei briefly told Qin Fei the points he had just thought of.

After hearing this, Qin Fei nodded slightly, with a little approval in his eyes.

I have to say that Chen Wei has already thought about it very comprehensively, and he even thought of some possible reactions from the Jiang family.

"Yes, in addition to directly supporting Longchuang, the Jiang family's side will indeed take the opportunity to acquire Longchuang's shares. It's the same starting point as our previous acquisition of Ningdong shares. But have you thought about it, if Longchuang's stock price falls too sharply, and even has threatened Longchuang's own business operations, do you think the Jiang family will still invest in the acquisition of Longchuang's shares?"

Qin Fei looked at Chen Wei meaningfully, with a faint smile on the corner of his mouth.

Chen Wei listened to Qin Fei's words, and after a little pondering, he understood.

There are still some differences between a real estate company like Longchuang and an electronic manufacturing company like Ningdong.

Ningdong itself has a certain technology, and some of them are still patented technology, plus Ningdong's plant and production line, these are real assets, even if Ningdong's stock price falls hard, these patented technologies, plants, production equipment, will not depreciate, this is the investment value of Ningdong.

Therefore, when Chen Wei acquired Ningdong at that time, he was not worried about the sharp drop in Ningdong's stock price.

Even the more Ningdong's stock price falls, the more beneficial it is for him.

But Longchuang is different.

The valuable asset in Long Chuang's hand is probably land. But most of that land has been mortgaged, and in the event of a financial crisis, it is likely that the land will be taken away.

Therefore, the assets in Longchuang's hands are actually not insured.

Previously, Longchuang has always maintained a high debt ratio and relied on a high turnover rate.

Once there is a problem in the operation and the capital chain is broken, the entire company's financial system will collapse instantly.

Therefore, the more Ningdong's stock price falls, the more valuable it is for investment, but once Longchuang's stock price falls below the line, it is worthless.

Another point is that many real estate development companies like this do not have their own core competitiveness.

There are only a few leading enterprises, relying on their years of accumulation, they have a certain brand awareness and have core competitiveness.

However, young real estate companies like Longchuang, which have just risen for a few years, rely on capital and connections, and in addition, they do not have too many core competitiveness.

To put it bluntly, enterprises like Longchuang are not irreplaceable.

As long as you have money and connections, you can create another dragon creation in that time.

This also means that for the Jiang family, Longchuang does not have to get it.

Long Chuang's business is going well, so the Jiang family is naturally covetous, but if Long Chuang has a problem, the Jiang family will not want this mess.

Anyway, the Jiang family has no shortage of funds and connections, as long as they are willing, they can create another dragon creation.

So the current situation is that if Longchuang can keep the stock price, prevent the stock price from collapsing, and maintain the company's financial situation, then the Jiang family is naturally willing to take the opportunity to acquire some Longchuang shares, and by the way, help Longchuang keep the stock price.

But if Longchuang can't keep the stock price, the stock price will collapse directly, and cause a financial crisis, then the Jiang family will definitely stand by and watch.

Of course, there is actually a premise here, that is, Longchuang's stock price must fall sharply enough, preferably the kind of crash-like crash, just like the end of today.

If Longchuang's stock price falls hard enough, but only that kind of slow decline, then the Jiang family is likely to still make a move.

But if you want to make Longchuang's stock price crash, it's not easy.

Today, it can be said that they occupy the right time and place, and all kinds of favorable factors are on their side, which forced Longchuang's stock price to plummet.

After that, if you want to make Longchuang's stock price plummet, it will be difficult.

Longchuang's own financial strength should not be underestimated, not to mention that they can also concoct all kinds of good news.

And Chen Wei's side, in fact, there are really not many means that can be used.

At the moment, it seems that the trend is on their side.

But there is never a permanent short in the capital market, nor is there an eternal long, everything is only based on interests.

As long as the situation is slightly reversed, then these current bears will immediately become bulls.

Moreover, the negative news they can concoct here is also limited, in addition to turning over the old accounts, they can also make a fuss here in the Jiulong Mountain Scenic Area.

But there is no direct evidence of old accounts, and on the side of Jiulong Mountain, Luoshui City has also issued an official statement, and it doesn't make much sense to continue to make a fuss about it.

So, speaking of which, Chen Wei still can't figure out how to deal with it.

Then he said: "If you want the Jiang family not to make a move, the premise is that Longchuang's stock price continues to plummet, but this is not easy." As long as Longchuang releases a few pieces of good news, and with the funds in their hands, it is not difficult to stabilize the stock price. ”

Qin Fei smiled faintly and said, "Indeed, relying only on us, it is indeed difficult to completely smash Longchuang's stock price." But don't forget, it's not just us who are short Longchuang. ”

Chen Wei frowned and asked, "Do you mean Honglin?"

Chen Wei didn't think that Lin Hongsheng could have any good way.

Really speaking, Honglin's financial strength may not be as good as them, and even they can't smash Longchuang's stock price, so even if Honglin is added, it is enough to choke.

Qin Fei shook his head and smiled: "It's not just Honglin. ”

Chen Wei was even more puzzled: "Now except for Honglin and us, who are firm bears, the others, whether they are retail investors or institutions, I am afraid they are not firm bears, right? ”

Chen Wei's words are not false.

Even if Svi, Houde, and Aites are a few institutions that have already been angry with Chen Wei to short Longchuang, they may not necessarily be determined to be short.

Once Longchuang's stock price stabilizes, they will definitely give up shorting, and even go long on their backhand.

To put it bluntly, they are very good at robbing them while the fire is hot, so don't count on them to send charcoal in the snow.

Qin Fei still looked confident, and said: "We really can't count on those wall grasses, but you still ignore one point. ”

Chen Wei looked at Qin Fei in surprise.

Qin Fei didn't sell it, and said, "You forgot about the exchange." ”

"Exchange?" Chen Wei was even more surprised.

Is it possible that the exchange should also be short-born?

How is this possible?

"Yes, it's the exchange. The Hong Kong stock exchange has always been known for its strict supervision. But this time, Long Chuang broke such a big news, and there was no movement on the exchange, don't you think it's abnormal?" Qin Fei said.

Chen Wei listened to this and thought thoughtfully.

Indeed, the Hong Kong stock exchange, in terms of regulation, is quite strict.

Any listed company, as long as there is a slight violation, the exchange will immediately target it.

A few years ago, even the CEO of a mainland company listed in Hong Kong with a state-owned background was detained because of irregularities.

With such a strict regulatory system, there is no movement this time, which is indeed a bit abnormal.

"It's really a bit abnormal, could it be that Longchuang took the initiative to issue a clarification announcement, so the exchange will no longer pursue it?" Chen Wei thought about it and said.

Qin Fei shook his head and said, "No, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, it's not so easy to speak." I guess that the exchange is going to prepare for a thorough investigation of Longchuang. ”

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