Chapter 328: The Battle of Fengtian (Part II)
After Japan launched the Mukden Campaign, the East China Government not only immediately increased its troops and transported supplies to Jinzhou, but also sent troops northward and stationed in the areas around Guangning and Heishan Fort, and had already approached the Liaohe River, which was enough to pose a threat to Liaoyang and Shenyang.
What Japan did to ignore this was to turn a blind eye to this and attack the Russian army with all its might, and it was not until after the victory in the Battle of Mukden that it mobilized troops and arranged them along the Liao River to prevent the expansion of the People's Army. However, although the People's Army failed to cross the Liaohe River and enter the Liaodong Peninsula, at this time the strength of the People's Army in western Liaoning had reached 3 divisions, 2 regiments, and nearly 40,000 people, and at the same time, a large amount of military supplies were also transported. At the same time, it has further complicated the situation on the Liaodong Peninsula.
However, Britain and France had no way to blame the East China government, because it was Japan that broke the mediation situation first, so the East China government also had ample reasons to send more troops to Liaoxi. Or even intervene in the war.
Of course, such a situation was not what Britain wanted to see, because the overly complicated situation made it difficult for Britain to control, and it was also worried that the East China Government would join forces with Russia to deal with Japan, and during the Battle of Mukden, Russia frequently made overtures to the East China Government, but Britain knew that although the East China Government did not reach any agreement with Russia, the relations between the two sides had improved significantly, at least not hostile, which was also a fact. Britain is well aware of the truth that "there are no eternal enemies, no permanent friends, and only interests forever," so there is also a great possibility for the East China government to cooperate with Russia. Once the East China Government joins forces with Russia, Japan will by no means be the other side, and even the East China Government alone will be enough to defeat Japan, which is now almost exhausted.
Although Japan was not under the control of Britain, its actions were generally favorable to Britain, and it was not in Britain's interests if Japan really had to be defeated by the East China Government and Russia, or if it was defeated by the East China Government alone, so whether Japan should continue to support Japan and let Japan win a complete victory, or whether Japan should lose the war and learn a little lesson, became a choice question in front of Britain.
If Japan is helped to win, it can only let Japan sit big in the Far East, although Japan will not immediately turn against Britain, but it will not be controlled by Britain, and act in accordance with the interests of its own country, but Japan's interests and Britain's interests may not be the same, Britain only hopes to use Japan to contain Russia's expansion, the rise of the East China government, and protect its own interests in the Far East, but does not want Japan to become the new hegemon in the Far East.
However, if Japan does not support Japan and let Japan lose this war, it will be difficult to achieve the goal of containing Russia and the East China government, and it will easily cause Japan and Britain to centrifuge, which is obviously not Britain's goal. Of course, the most ideal result is that Britain still gives Japan some support, and can successfully hold Japan down, so that Japan is not enough to win the battle, but it will not lose too badly, but the difficulty of operation to achieve this result is not ordinary, and even Britain is not completely sure that it can operate well. Therefore, the British government has been holding urgent consultations for several days on what strategy should be adopted to deal with the current situation.
Of course, Japan dared to ignore the mediation of Britain and France and resolutely launch the Mukden Campaign, not entirely a gamble, but a certain certainty, after all, Britain still needs Japan to maintain the balance of power in the Far East, from this point of view, Britain cannot completely abandon Japan, and after winning the Mukden Campaign, Japan has also taken frequent diplomatic actions to ensure that it is not isolated.
The first focus of Japan's diplomacy is still Britain, after all, the Anglo-Japanese alliance is still the greatest confidence and guarantee to ensure that Japan will continue the war, although Britain cannot completely abandon Japan, but Japan is also inseparable from Britain's support, not to mention that Japan still has two battleships under construction in Britain, and the Combined Fleet also urgently needs these two battleships to enter service. Therefore, immediately after the end of the Battle of Mukden, Japan repeatedly explained to Britain the reasons for Japan's launching of the Battle of Mukden through the ambassadors of the two countries, and also promised that Japan would do its best to help Britain, suppress the Russian and East China governments, and ensure British interests in the Far East.
However, Japan did not put its hopes entirely on the United Kingdom, so the second priority country for diplomacy was the United States. As far as this war is concerned, the help of the United States to Japan, by its help on the financial side, is in no way weaker than that of Britain. In the event of instability in the United Kingdom, it is necessary to stabilize the United States. Moreover, Japanese Ambassador to the United States Kentaro Kaneko and the current President of the United States, Theodore Roosevelt, were classmates at Harvard University and had extensive contacts in the United States, and Japan also made full use of this relationship to carry out activities.
The United States supports Japan's war against Russia, on the one hand, it is also to curb Russia's expansion, and on the other hand, it is to seek interests in China's northeast region, and now China has basically been demarcated by various countries to have spheres of influence, Britain occupies the southeast and the Yangtze River valley, France occupies the southwest, Russia occupies the northeast, Japan occupies Taiwan, and overseas Chinese occupy Shandong, only the northwest has no clear belonging, but the northwest is too barren, and all countries disdain to occupy it.
Although the United States has proposed an open-door government and demanded that the interests of all countries be equalized, and although it can be unimpeded in the sphere of influence of various countries, after all, it will always suffer some losses if it does not have its own sphere of influence. The United States has always been eyeing China's northeast region, and has repeatedly proposed to the Qing court to build a railway in the northeast, but the Qing court has refused. The United States, as a result of Japan's proposal, was indeed very intrigued, and when he learned of this, the steel magnate Andrew Carnegie immediately met with Kentaro Kaneko to inquire about the details, and immediately subscribed for $5 million in Japanese government bonds.
As a result of Japan's successive military victories, the national debt was also extremely sought after in the United States, and the decisive victory in the Battle of Mukden immediately opened up another subscription, and Carnegie's subscription undoubtedly added another handful of firewood to the boiling water, and as a result, Japan sold another $20 million in treasury bonds and raised 140 million yen in the month after the Battle of Mukden.
In addition to Britain and the United States, Japan's third diplomatic priority is the East China government. Although relations between the East China Government and Japan had deteriorated by this time, Japan still hoped to improve relations with the East China Government so that it could concentrate all its efforts on dealing with Russia. Since it is the East China Government that Russia is trying its best to pull the Long, Japan certainly knows what kind of situation it will face if Russia and the East China Government join forces. Therefore, it is better not to be an enemy of the East China government, but not to be an enemy.
On the third day after the end of the Battle of Mukden, the Japanese consul in Qingdao, Keishiro Matsui, met with Li Sanjie and conveyed to him the attitude of the Japanese government, saying that the Japanese government still hoped to ease relations between the two sides, and proposed that Japan could recognize the East China government's sphere of influence in western Liaoning, and ensure that the Japanese army would not cross the Liao River to intervene in western Liao, but hoped that the East China government would not intervene in the war and control its actions within the scope west of the Liao River. The distribution of interests in Liaodong can be decided through negotiation after the end of the war, and the Japanese government will guarantee that it will respect China's territory and sovereignty.
Otherwise, it will be very difficult for the East China Government to believe in the sincerity of the Japanese Government, and the cooperation between the two sides in the war against Russia, as well as the mediation between Britain and France, were the first to be sabotaged by Japan, so Japan must first show sufficient sincerity. However, he did not refuse to continue negotiations with Japan.
Of course, while making diplomatic efforts, Japan has not forgotten its military preparations, because after all, diplomacy is based on national strength, and what it cannot win on the battlefield cannot be obtained at the negotiating table. Therefore, although Japan is also trying its best to stabilize the East China government, it is also prepared to become enemies of the East China government and Russia at the same time.
After the Battle of Mukden, the Japanese Army Headquarters assessed the future development of the war and held that Russia had indeed suffered a heavy defeat in this war, and that it would take at least six months to restore its combat effectiveness, and that it would be difficult to pose a threat to Japan in the short term. However, Russia's Second Pacific Fleet departed from the port of Madagascar on March 15 on the western coast of the Indian Ocean and is expected to take two months to reach the Far East, so the focus of the war between Japan and Russia will return to the sea.
However, at this time, the Russian Pacific Fleet had been annihilated, and Lushun had also been lost, so the Russian Second Pacific Fleet could only return to Vladivostok, so Japan could ambush the Second Pacific Fleet in many places along the way. What Japan is most worried about now is that the Russian and East China governments will reach a cooperation agreement within a short period of time, so that the Second Pacific Fleet can anchor at Qingdao, Yantai, Weihai, and other alleys, and even join forces with the People's Army and Navy to become enemies of Japan. If that is the case, the Combined Fleet must be stationed in Taiwan's Kaohsiung Harbor to meet the Second Pacific Fleet, and the navies of Russia and the East China Government must not be allowed to unite.
On land, although the East China government has basically controlled the western Liaoning region, after all, the preparation time is too late, and there is no railway from western Liaoning to eastern Liaodong, and the port's throughput capacity is also limited, so it is estimated that it will take more than three months to start a war.
However, although Japan won the victory in the Battle of Mukden, its own losses were not small, and it has been 15 months since the start of the war, although Japan can still raise funds to maintain the war, but its domestic resources, manpower, material resources, and production potential have also reached the limit, so these three months can also allow Japan to breathe a sigh of relief and accumulate some strength again.
Therefore, Japan's war plan for the next six months is to attack and defend the sea by sea, first defeat the Second Pacific Fleet at sea, and still have control over the sea; if the East China Government enters the war, it will still first fight a decisive battle with the East China Government at sea and defeat the People's Army Navy first, while on land it will focus on defense to ensure the results of the war so far, and then seek victory on land after the navy has achieved victory. In fact, there is also a set of tactics, that is, a copy of the First Sino-Japanese War, and Japan hopes to use the tactics and experience of the past to win again.