Chapter 474: Diplomatic Struggle (3)
Although the East China government will be big because of this war, because the East China government has not been established for a long time, the foundation is still very weak, and the territory, population, and resources are limited, so it does not pose a threat to Britain, and Japan can surpass the East China government in terms of national strength as long as it recovers for about five years. In addition, Britain also had the idea of simply bringing Japan in and forming a grand alliance formed by Britain, France, Russia, and Japan, so that Britain, France, and Russia would deal with it on the European side, and Russia and Japan would be in charge on the Asian side, so naturally it would not be afraid of the rise of the East China government.
However, there is a precondition for all this, that is, the war has ended here and cannot be continued. If the war continues, the People's Army is indeed very likely to completely defeat the Russian army and seize the three northeastern provinces of China, then the territory, population, and resources of the East China government will skyrocket, and it will inevitably become a new power in the Far East, which is by no means the result that Britain wants to see, so forcing the East China government to cease the war, and trying to reduce the East China government's profits in this war, such as obtaining a large amount of reparations and territory, has also become the consensus of the British cabinet and parliament.
Of course, forcing the East China government to cease war did not mean that Britain would allow Russia to continue to occupy China's northeast region, because Britain also knew very well that it was necessary to cut off Russia's idea of expansion in the Far East, so as to bring Russia's attention back to Europe and intensify the contradictions between Germany and Russia, so as to achieve a situation in which Britain, France, and Russia formed an alliance against Germany.
In the northeast of China, Britain believed that the best outcome was only to return to the rule of the Qing court, so Scholes proposed to Li Sanjie to bring the Qing court into the negotiations, and also talked about a lot of "legal principles" and "legitimate government" and other reasons, that is, to test the attitude of the East China government.
However, Li Sanjie was not confused, and he didn't hesitate to scare him back, leaving no room for Britain.
After sending off the British consul, Li Sanjie also immediately submitted the recording of his meeting with Scholes to the military team to let them know the full content of the meeting. Of course, the East China government will not accept Britain's conditions, but its interference with Britain cannot be underestimated, and although Britain has weakened a little, it is still the world hegemon and the number one power in this era. Therefore, the members of the military team listened carefully to the recording, and Guan Jian listened to it repeatedly before discussing it.
Xiao Jianjun first said: "Why should we give up the places we have worked so hard to fight to the Qing court, and what kind of legitimate government can we talk about, bullshit! Why is the Qing court the legitimate government of China?" ”
Qin Zheng also said: "This is the wisdom of the British, if we follow their train of thought and draw the Qing court into this negotiation, not only will it be impossible to get the territory of the three northeastern provinces, but it is equivalent to recognizing that the Qing court is the legitimate government of China, and we are only a dominion under the rule of the Qing court, and in the future Britain can support the Qing court to restrict our development, which is quite unfavorable to us, so this time the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has done the right thing." ”
Xia Bohai said: "Just take this opportunity to completely cut off with the Qing court, anyway, with our current reputation, even if we completely cut off with the Qing court, it won't have much impact." ”
Wang Yunpeng said: "Didn't we cut off with the Qing court a long time ago?"
Xia Bohai said: "We are only politically and militarily completely cut off from the Qing court, but the economic, cultural, and civil cutting is not complete, and on some occasions, it is in Tianjin and Shanghai for convenience, and it will deliberately blur the line between us and the Qing court, but from now on, all departments, including Tianjin and Shanghai, these situations can not happen again, and we must unify our voices and make our positions clear, anyway, after this battle is over, we will completely tear our faces with the Qing court." ”
Xu Jichao said: "I'm worried about what if the Qing court wants to forcibly intervene in the northeast? Although we don't recognize it, all countries in the world, including the vast majority of Chinese, and even some people in our jurisdiction, recognize that the Qing court is the legitimate government of China. Therefore, if Britain instigates behind the scenes, it is very likely that the Qing court will really forcibly intervene in the northeast region, such as sending troops to the northeast to forcibly occupy land, or receiving the cities ceded by Russia. ”
Qin Zheng said: "I think we can ask the Beijing office to go to Yuan Shikai or Zhang Zhidong to give the Qing court a wake-up call, or to give them a warning, asking the Qing court not to intervene in the war in the northeast, otherwise the consequences will be borne by itself, and the tone and wording may as well be tougher." ”
Xia Bohai said: "This should be done, but we must also prepare for the worst, we can't use normal people's thinking to judge the decision-making of the Qing court, Yuan Shikai and Zhang Zhidong may be smart people, but Cixi has a time when her brain is not clear, and the Gengzi Kingdom Revolution has been committed once, although it has not been committed again in the old time and space, but it is difficult to say in this era, Bi Jing's era The Qing court received a much lighter lesson after the Gengzi State Change, and it may not have a warning effect on Cixi, because it was instigated by the British, Cixi will be willful again." ”
Qin Zheng nodded and said, "That's right, not to mention that Cixi still has a lot of princes and Baylors around her, and the IQ of these people has always been in arrears, and they have to pay a lot of responsibility for the occurrence of the Gengzi Kingdom Change." Moreover, the princes and Baylors of the Qing court have always looked at us the most unpleasantly, so we cannot rule out the possibility that under the instigation of the British, they will hijack Cixi to make trouble again. ”
Xiao Jianjun said: "If that's the case, what should we do to do it?"
Qin Zheng said: "Of course, part of the reason why we occupy Jinzhou is to prevent the Qing court from interfering in the northeast, as long as we hold Jinzhou, not a single soldier of the Qing court will want to enter the northeast." ”
Xiao Jianjun nodded and said, "I understand, it's too easy to hold Jinzhou." ”
Xia Bohai said: "Don't forget, we still have the river and lake base area, we are not too irritating the Qing court, so as not to let the river and lake base area develop in the direction of Hebei, I think now it is possible to make a fuss in the Hebei area, sometimes using guns to speak, more effective than anything else." ”
Qin Zheng said: "Yes, this is also a way. ”
Xu Jichao said: "Didn't Scholes say that Britain would communicate with Japan and Russia? Do you think it is possible for Japan and Russia to negotiate with us, and should we make some preparations for negotiations now?" ”
Qin Zheng said: "It is basically impossible, because now Japan and Russia still have the strength to fight again, and they are counting on Britain and France to mediate, so unless we give up the reparations, it is absolutely impossible for Japan and Russia to agree to negotiate." I think that only when our attack on Vladivostok is successful will it be possible to force Japan and Russia to accept our terms and negotiate. ”
Wang Yunpeng said: "If Britain wants to intervene, I'm afraid it won't only instigate the Qing court, after all, Britain is not unaware that the Qing court is simply a piece of mud that can't support the wall, so it is impossible for Britain to pin all its hopes on the Qing court, and there will definitely be other means." ”
Xia Bohai said: " Britain can use so many means, one is to directly participate in the war, but this is basically impossible, if Britain can directly participate in the war, there will not be so much nonsense, and even Britain directly enters the war, we are not afraid; the second is to continue to support Japan, strengthen Japan's military strength, so that Japan can continue to confront us, but only buying one or two warships will not play any role at all for Japan, unless it can help Japan completely restore the 66 Fleet, but this will require a considerable amount of expenses, and Japan may not be able to afford this expense now, and it still needs enough personnel and training time, at least one year, to form combat effectiveness, I am afraid it will be too lateThe third is to impose economic sanctions on us and impose a trade embargo, which I think is the most realistic and most likely means for the UK to use. ”
Everyone listened to it, and they all nodded frequently, the word "economic sanctions" is certainly not unfamiliar to the traverser, in the old time and space, this is the United States used to punish weak and small countries, although economic sanctions can not completely hit a country, but it is indeed quite a huge lethality. The effect is also obvious for those countries with a weak economic foundation and a large dependence on foreign trade.
Xu Jichao said: "I think the United Kingdom is unlikely to impose economic sanctions on us, before we crossed, although our country in industrial strength, purchasing power has surpassed the United States, but in terms of overall economic scale, the United States is still the first, and the United States also has a strong military strength and dollar hegemony, these are the basic conditions for the United States to impose economic sanctions on other countries." And although Britain is the first power in this era, there is still a considerable gap compared to the United States before we crossed. In terms of overall economic scale and industrial strength, Britain can only be relegated to the third place; in terms of military strength, the British navy is indeed the only one in the world, but the army is obviously short, and as for monetary hegemony, it has no money. Moreover, the top two of our foreign trade partners are Germany and the United States, and the third is the United Kingdom, and although the overall national strength of Germany and the United States is not as good as that of the United Kingdom, these two countries will not look at the face of the United Kingdom, and our current economy is mainly dependent on the domestic market, and international trade is only an auxiliary, so based on these reasons, I think that it is impossible for the United Kingdom to impose economic sanctions on us, and even if economic sanctions are carried out, they will not have much impact on us.
Qin Zheng said with a smile: "Director Xu, these comparative analyses you have conducted are indeed correct, but this is the economic sanctions model of the 21st century, not the economic sanctions model of the current era, so it cannot be understood rigidly." And Britain does not need to be so complicated with us. ”
Xu Jichao was stunned for a moment and said, "What is the mode of economic sanctions in this era?"