Chapter 525: The United States in a Dilemma (Ask for Subscription)
The news of the YSL revolution in Iran and the cessation of oil exports shook the world in an instant.
In particular, developed countries that need large quantities of oil for development are even more alarming.
In the New York futures market, the world's first oil futures just appeared more than a month ago, and the price jumped directly, from the price of $14.8 a barrel to $16.1 a barrel, and with the influx of capital, it is still rising at a rapid pace.
Governments have ordered personnel to be sent to Iran to try to get the most up-to-date information.
Governments can wait, but the capitalists of the world will not wait stupidly.
None of the capitalists is a fool, and they all know that once a revolution breaks out, it cannot be ended in just ten days and half a month.
As a result, when Iranian oil will be sold again, no one can say, in a few months, or even a year or a few years?
Other countries such as Saudi Arabia and Iraq, even if they want to seize the Iranian market, are powerless, after all, oil extraction is not achieved overnight.
Therefore, capital has foreseen that the price of oil will continue to rise in price for a short period of time, which will be followed by a series of vicious reactions, inflation, and the continued depreciation of the dollar.
Originally, European and American countries have fallen into an economic quagmire, and the rise in international crude oil prices has made the situation even worse for various countries, and even a little improvement has been cast a shadow.
So in order to avoid losses, capital began to take refuge quickly.
There is no doubt that gold has become the only refuge for capital!
Huge amounts of funds poured into the world's New York and London gold markets, not only securities companies, fund companies, asset management companies, and even banks and central banks around the world are buying gold for the first time to preserve the value of assets.
What's more, some industrial companies have also invested idle funds in the gold market.
As a result, a large amount of money poured into the gold market, pushing the price of gold up.
In the face of the huge amount of money pouring in, the major banks in London were busy, Xia Yu's funds suddenly seemed insignificant, the market information became chaotic, and Xia Yu's security increased greatly.
......
Xiangjiang, the mansion of the Bao family.
Bao Yugang and Huo Yingdong sat together and drank tea, their faces filled with bright smiles.
"Tsk, Lao Huo, I didn't expect that Xia Yu would speculate on London gold, and he expected the outbreak of the crisis more than half a month in advance, it seems that his intelligence ability is too strong!"
Bao Yugang said with emotion, admiring.
"Yes, his business intelligence ability is really strong, in the entire Xiangjiang, no one can compare to him, after all, a Jiuding News Agency is all over the world, which is the only scorpion in our Xiangjiang!"
Huo Yingdong nodded in agreement, agreeing, and at the same time raised the importance of Jiuding News Agency by several levels in his heart.
The news agency can be said to be a country's heavy weapon, and it is generally supported by the state, but Xia Yu has one privately.
Huo Yingdong suddenly had the urge to build a news agency in an instant, but fortunately, he didn't lose his mind and knew that he didn't have that ability, so he suppressed the impulse that suddenly popped up in his heart.
"However, Xia Yu is also bold and daring to bet, or his internal market analysis is strong, if it were us, he might not really dare or find out. ”
"Indeed, although Xia Yu is young, he can be said to be the first in Xiangjiang in terms of the overall situation, even if I have been in the mix for decades, I don't think I can compare to him. ”
"Now that the price of gold has risen by more than 10 percent, the profits that belong to us alone are nearly 10 million dollars, not to mention, I really feel ashamed of it, after all, we have not done anything. ”
Bao Yugang shook his head and sighed, his face a little complicated.
Huo Yingdong said with a smile: "Lao Bao, what do you want to do so much, since Xia Yu only brought the two of us in the entire Xiangjiang, then let's take note of this favor and pay it back slowly in the future, you are not confident to help Xia Yu in Xiangjiang?"
"How is this possible, although the Fujian Chamber of Commerce and the Chaoshan Chamber of Commerce are now powerful, but you and I work together, and we don't necessarily have to be afraid of anyone, how can we not help Xia Yu?"
Bao Yugang said loudly, and there was a majesty of the richest man in Hong Kong in his words.
He and Huo Yingdong can stand at the peak of the Xiangjiang River, they are naturally quick to think, and they can guess part of Xia Yu's thoughts, but they have no opinion.
After all, Xia Yu chose them because he could afford them, and it was normal for businessmen to be mutually beneficial and form alliances.
Xia Yu could have chosen others, but they didn't have a choice.
With Bao Yugang and Huo Yingdong's dripping grace as a spring, the two of them have already made up their minds to support this little brother.
"Lao Huo, Xia Yu is not in Xiangjiang during this time, we can't slap ourselves in the face, I am not as good as you in that regard, and I still need you to take care of it more. ”
Bao Yugang restrained his smile and said solemnly.
"No problem, if you and I can still have an accident when we look at it, then what face do we have to mess around in Xiangjiang?"
Huo Yingdong's eyes flashed with a sharp edge, and he said in a deep voice.
......
Liu Ji and George Berkeley and others were busy, but Xia Yu seemed to have nothing to do.
Wandering outside, I unconsciously came to the vicinity of Huashang Bank.
Thinking that he was a shareholder and director of Huashang Bank, but he did not fulfill his due responsibilities and obligations, Xia Yu thought about it and went to Huashang Bank.
In the respectful salutation of the staff, Xia Yu took Li Qian upstairs and saw Wu Hongyi busy with work.
Seeing Xia Yu coming, Wu Hongyi put down the work in his hand and said with a smile: "Xia Yu, why are you here?"
"How can I be idle as a part of a bank?"
Xia Yu said quietly, making Wu Hongyi laugh.
"Yes, yes, look at my mouth. ”
"Come, say while drinking tea. ”
Then, Xia Yu entered Wu Hongyi's office and drank tea.
"Hongyi, how is the bank's capital flow now? If there is spare funds, I recommend buying all gold to hedge its value. ”
Xia Yu took a sip of tea and said.
Wu Hongyi put down the teacup and pondered: "There is still a lot of money, I also watched the news at noon, the revolution broke out in Iran, and now the price of gold has skyrocketed, but Xia Yu, I am still struggling, do you think Iran can withstand the pressure of European and American countries to close oil exports? Will the United States also intervene as before? What if all of a sudden exports are reopened?"
Xia Yu said: "Don't worry, the revolution will not end in a short time, Iran wants to eliminate the constitutional monarchy, Ruhorlah Musavi Khomeini has been in exile overseas for more than ten years, and he commands the revolution remotely, if he doesn't achieve his goal, how can he stop?"
"At a deeper level, this is the Soviet Union's counterattack against the United States, and it is estimated that the United States did not expect the revolution to break out so quickly, even if the United States wants to intervene, the Soviet Union will have measures, you must know that Iran is next to the Soviet Union!
Xia Yu's point of view is very novel, Wu Hongyi has never thought about it from a political perspective before, but when he heard it, he suddenly felt that his thinking had become broad, and he carefully chewed Xia Yu's point of view.
"With the support of the Soviet Union, didn't Khomeini say that it was very likely to succeed? The Soviet Union should want to end the revolution as soon as possible and take control of Iran, right?"
Wu Hongyi asked.
"The revolution is not so simple, even if the Soviet Union wants to settle the dust as soon as possible, it needs to look at the actual situation. ”
"At the same time as this revolution, it should also be the strategy of the Soviet Union to stop exporting oil, so as to put Europe and the United States in a dilemma, I have to say that the Soviet Union seized a good opportunity, so if the revolution is not successful, Iranian oil will definitely not be re-exported, and NATO will not be able to exert pressure as a whole!"
Xia Yu said with a smile, admiring the Soviet Union's plan in his heart.
Wu Hongyi didn't expect that there was a Tao inside, he suddenly came to his senses, and asked, "What's the solution?"
"Now that the European economy is in an embarrassment, Europe is extremely dependent on oil from the Middle East, and the United States itself is in a dilemma of inflation, both oil and the dollar have been hit, and the US government must find a way to end this bad situation as soon as possible, which requires the US to admit defeat. ”
"But if the United States invests troops in Iran to compete with the Soviet Union, then the revolution will become a proxy war between the two sides, and because of the popular and religious problems in Iran, the United States will have to invest several times more energy than the Soviet Union to win, and it will be too difficult. ”
"This fight, it will take a long time, the United States intervenes, Iran's domestic anti-American sentiment will skyrocket, if Iran does not export oil, the United States will not be able to withstand it first, and the Soviet Union will not have a. ”
"After all, the Soviet Union was already blockaded by European and American countries, and it has reached this point, and the Soviet Union itself has no shortage of oil and is completely self-sufficient. ”
"Even as a last resort, Europe has to buy Soviet oil to survive, then the blockade of NATO will open an opening, which is not what the United States wants to see. ”
"So now, the U.S. government has no choice, the long-term pain is better than the short-term pain, and instead of reaching out to other countries' affairs, it is better to solve its own problems first. ”
Xia Yu smiled at the corner of his mouth and talked eloquently.
Therefore, under the passive resistance of Europe and the United States, the Iranian revolution has basically stabilized and succeeded, but the United States will definitely not give up, and the Middle East will be lively in the future. ”
"Oh, that's a long way off, let's talk about the price of gold now. ”
"Even if the Iranian revolution is successful, it will take at least a few months, or even half a year, so it is impossible to re-export oil in these months, and there is still a lot of room for gold prices to rise. ”
"Again, even if Iranian oil is re-exported, the consequences of inflation in the United States will also be added to the fire, and the dollar will continue to depreciate, which is not so easy to reverse, so in the past two years, the price of gold has risen, so buy with confidence!"
After listening to Xia Yu, Wu Hongyi suddenly felt enlightened, he smiled, and said with emotion: "Listening to your words is better than reading for ten years, I have been taught!"
"I'll arrange for the money to be put into the gold market later. ”
Xia Yu nodded with a smile, and took the tea lightly.
I didn't tell Wu Hongyi before the revolution broke out before, because the old fox of the Wu family was there, and the risk was too great, and it was not worth Xia Yu to do this.
Even if he is a shareholder of China Commercial Bank, it is not worth the risk.
But now it's different, something has happened, it's no problem to mention Wu Hongyi, even if Wu Chengde is suspicious, it's useless, after all, there is no evidence, Xia Yu is not afraid at all.
Again, Xia Yu is a shareholder after all, if he really doesn't do anything, it will be too unkind, he still has to move when he should move, and he should always repay the favor!
Besides, Huashang Bank makes money, doesn't he make money?
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