Open a single chapter and share some personal thoughts (with small spoilers)
Things have to start with a book review, someone actually said that the logistics industry must not be intelligent, otherwise it will affect the stability and structure of the whole society, and deduce that there is a problem with my values, extremely ignorant......
I laughed!
First of all, I admit that I am ignorant. For example, the mathematical things in the book are actually all kinds of fancy Baidu, because the author doesn't understand mathematics, and he belongs to the kind that can't be learned no matter how he learns. Even failed the college entrance examination mathematics, only more than 80 points, and was able to pass the college entrance examination all by more than 100 points in all other liberal arts subjects, and ranked first in the whole grade of politics.
So I have a blind admiration for people who are good at math, and I especially like to write about math that I don't understand.
Let's get down to business.
1. I don't want to say much about the productive forces, the relations of production, the means of production, and the relationship between the economic base and the superstructure in the political class of primary school.
Let's take a brief look at why I think the reader's statement is ridiculous.
In my understanding, low value-added labor will inevitably be replaced, and the era of labor diversification has officially arrived.
In the feudal era, 90 percent of the people in the country were peasants, making a living by digging up soil, and people of that era would never have imagined that one day the working class would become the mainstream of society.
In the eighties and nineties of the last century, everyone knows what the relatively backward productive forces have caused, and for some reasons, I will not discuss it.
In the year 2000, with the advent of the Internet era, how many people have been fed by IT and related derivative industries, and career diversification has initially emerged.
To give a few examples, you can ask the older generation of the post-60s and post-70s, who dares to believe that in the near future, ordinary people can become stars through the draft, and even derive a thriving fan economy;
Also, at that time, who believed that everyone could make money by live broadcasting and making short videos? Who would dare to believe that there would be a profession like mukbang?
Until 2013, I never imagined that one day I would rely on online coding words to support my family.
And all this depends on the progress of productive forces and the increasing development of Internet technology.
Even the work provided by the developed logistics to the property brother is supported by the Internet industry such as Tmall, Taobao, JD.com, Meituan, Ele.me, etc. Without these large-scale Internet companies, how could SF Express, Three Links and One Da and other enterprises grow to the point where they are today and can snatch food from the postal service?
And I firmly believe that Ma Huateng founded Tencent in 1998, and when Ma Yun brainwashed his 18 Arhats in his apartment in Hangzhou in 1999, he could not have imagined that China's Internet could develop into its current pattern.
2.
Next is the future development trend of productivity in the eyes of individuals, as well as some personal judgments on the future.
If the Internet is a huge leap in productivity brought about by the third industrial revolution, then the fourth industrial revolution is likely to be a leap in productivity based on the popularization of artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things.
The biggest possibility of the popularization of AI and the Internet of Things on logistics is that drones and unmanned trucks can solve the problem of last-mile delivery.
In fact, once AI is highly developed, it will definitely replace not only logistics brothers, but even doctors, lawyers, simultaneous translators, and other professions that we now think are extremely high-end. If you pay attention to technology news, you will find that relying on AI combined with various machine detection data, the accuracy rate of diagnosis of certain diseases is as high as 96.7%.
In terms of legal application, especially for common law countries that follow past precedents, it is not impossible for AI to replace ordinary litigators, after all, manpower is poor, but as long as enough information is input into the computer, the speed of AI reading and selection must be hundreds or even thousands of times faster than that of humans (subject to the computer's computing speed).
Therefore, the replacement of these professions seems to me to be a historical necessity!
3、
Will the disappearance of a large number of jobs due to the leap in productivity lead to a massive wave of unemployment? Will it affect the stability of the social structure?
The former seems to me inevitable! But the latter is negative!
Why?
This has to start with the added value of labor.
Let's take Apple and Qualcomm, which Pudding likes to do in the book, as examples.
Apple's largest production base is in China, and everyone knows Foxconn.
Let's take a look at Foxconn's data, according to the company's financial data in 2017, Foxconn has 270,000 employees, annual revenue of 354.5 billion yuan, and net profit of 16.2 billion yuan!
Compared with Apple's financial data in 2017, Apple has 132,000 employees, annual revenue of 3175.27 US dollars, equivalent to about 2.2 trillion yuan, and net profit of 684.16 US dollars, equivalent to 470 billion yuan!
Why is Apple so awesome?
Because the high value-added labor that represents the progress of the productive forces, their people do it, and then throw the low-value-added labor into China.
Qualcomm's example is more obvious, at present, except for Huawei, other domestic mobile phone companies, every time they produce a mobile phone, part of the profits are handed over to Qualcomm, because they need their CPU architecture authorization. What is it called?
That's right, it's called lying to earn!
It represents the lying income of advanced productive forces, and can rely on intellectual property rights to extract profits all over the world without heavy labor. This is the reason why I have always insisted on using Huawei mobile phones, even if Huawei has everything that makes me want to complain, but it represents the primary productive force, and the primary productive force can be kept in China.
This is also the root cause of the current 5G standard battle.
On the other hand, it is recommended that you take a look at Douyin, where many overseas Chinese popularize the price of food that Americans need to ensure every day...... Can you believe that a high-quality steak at the supermarket is on sale for less than $1?
So the question is, according to my inference, with the development of the primary productive forces, machines will compete with humans for jobs in the future, bringing about a huge wave of unemployment, what should we do?
Really, I hope that day will come soon in China.
Because when China has mastered more and more of the primary productive forces, which is roughly called industry standards or intellectual property exports, it means that it is easier and easier for large companies with primary productive forces in China to make money, and they can be like fish in water in the international arena and earn more profits, which will inevitably represent that the country will enter a truly developed country, and it also means that a high-welfare society will gradually show its embryonic form.
From the perspective of human nature, it is the nature of leisure and hard work, and diligence is often a rare accident. This is also the value of geniuses and scientists.
If all people were born with extreme self-discipline, each of them developed a strong interest in science, and studied deeply towards a certain profession and achieved success, the world would not be the way it is now.
So when the real technological era of the future really comes, what will we do without jobs?
The answer must be that the tertiary industry is highly developed, and countless new occupations are emerging frequently, and even professions dedicated to serving artificial intelligence in the future may be very sought-after.
China may usher in the greatest Renaissance in human history, and countless artists of all kinds who have amazed future generations continue to emerge, leaving an extremely valuable spiritual legacy for all mankind.
The most cutting-edge jobs are still retained, and scientists are even more admired.
The proportion of the middle class is likely to shrink to some extent, and it will take more effort to see the class crossing.
Socialism would give higher benefits to the poor. It is possible to send money from time to time, but it is certainly not for nothing, please believe that the country's think tank, when the treasury is not extremely rich, is also enough to pay attention to the people's livelihood. At that time, the country's science and technology are highly developed, and no matter how lazy people are, they can at least eat well and have a place to live!
Some people say how is it possible? There are so many Chinese?
In fact, fertility has always been inversely proportional to the level of social welfare, and the fertility rate in high-welfare societies tends to get lower and lower. These are scientific statistics, not my imagination.
Of course, it is naturally impossible for individuals to achieve a perfect life without working hard. It's just that the direction of effort is certainly not to sell cheap labor.
The poor class is likely to be like the life of the people on Donglin Star described in the opening chapter of a novel called "The Guest".
Donglin Star used to be a resource star with rich federal resources, but now it has been mined, and it is also the hometown of the protagonist in the book. There is a sentence in this book, "The life of a fool is enough to have a soap opera!"
That is to say, in the future, the government of the poor will definitely arrange some dispensable jobs, so that you can have enough to eat and have a small apartment. You will never go hungry or homeless, and you will be able to pass the time with a wide selection of soap operas or other art forms, so that you can live your life in peace, but if you want a better life, I'm sorry, please fight for it yourself!
Yes, no matter what era it is, personal effort and diligence are always closely related to your future. Productivity is highly developed, which means that you can survive without working, but if you want to have a better and more respectable life, you still have to work hard.
As for the end, when is a person the most valuable?
Inheriting the ideas of the previous book, it must be the era of interstellar exploration.
Occupying and developing new planets is something that humans themselves need to do, and artificial intelligence is only an early auxiliary at best......
As for what if you go the other way?
Please refer to a science fiction novel by Da Liu: In the end, the whole planet belongs to one person, and every breath of all mankind is a debt! (I forgot the title!)
That's it!
A small spoiler at the end......
What should I do if everyone is unemployed? What defeated Douyin Kuaishou?
A software called Cloud Star was born, and the slogan of this software is "Discover the most real you anytime, anywhere! Let the real you become a star!"
As long as you agree to the terms of service of Yunxing, the drones, unmanned vehicles and cameras all over the world will be issued in the future, without you needing to prepare and act in a story, but you can capture the most beautiful, weird or memorable life video at any time, and send it to your own mobile phone, and after you are sure that you are willing to send it, it will be directly pushed to the software by the system.
Given the theory that reality can be far more magical than the script, this software might be a hit, right?
Everyone can be the protagonist of this world for a minute......
Terrible future! Looking forward to the future!
If you can see the last you, can't you recommend a wave of tips?
Pudding Thanks!
PS:Explain,The five million agreement signed with the application treasure,It's not about selling software.,It's just an exclusive agreement.,It means that the protagonist's software can only be uploaded in the application treasure.,The copyright is still the registrant.,Profits in the future,It also has to be distributed to the protagonist in accordance with the rules.。
The significance of this agreement is only because you can only download this software in the application treasure,So if the user wants to use it,You must download the application treasure first,To put it bluntly,It is to use excellent software,Promote the market occupancy of your own platform,Not directly sell the software!
PS2: Regarding the scumbag's point of view, Lu Yuxin is in Chapter 88, you can never guess that there is a more complete explanation in the genius girl's view of love, please be sure to read that chapter carefully, because I think it's written well, I like it, of course, it's still just my imaginary genius girl's idea.
PS3: Spoilers for the next 10 chapters (yes, I actually have a manuscript!, or a full ten chapters!)
086 Mom
087 The second rule of scumbags
088 You can never guess the concept of love of a genius girl
089 Lu Yuxin's deeper considerations
090 The dream of the rich second generation
091 Your classmates are so awesome?
092 Embarrassed and embarrassed, get used to it
093 This dog food caught me off guard
094 Solicitation Scheme
095 What is the use of a business card in the WeChat era?
Above!