Chapter 413: You're Ready to Buy
"Yes, that's why I said that your new version of martial arts dreams may come true!"
"Haha, we can really talk about everything!" Li Xin said happily.
After eating the bread and fruit, Xia Xiaona cleaned up the peels and plastic bags on the ridges and asked, "Where are we going later?
"I don't know, so I'll go over and ask the locals in a moment. But I know there's a good place to go not far from here, where cherry picking is just right in season and the scenery on the mountains is good. ”
"How far is it?" Xia Xiaona asked with interest.
"About thirty or forty kilometers. ”
"Why don't you just go where you said you are, along the way?"
Li Xin stood up and said, "By the way, it's on the way we came." It's just that it's a matter of dozens of minutes if you don't go by the way, and you can get there with one foot of the accelerator. If there are problems in these thirty or forty kilometers, then how will we travel through thousands of rivers and mountains in the future, right?
As he spoke, he took the bag of garbage in Xia Xiaona's hand, held up the sun umbrella with the other hand, and walked along the ridge to the side of the road in the distance.
The trend of sugar prices is as predicted by Ma Tianming, and there is still a lot of room for decline.
By April 7, the lowest futures price reached 3,650 yuan, which was lower than the lowest price before the Spring Festival.
Li Xin also gasped when he looked at this price: fortunately, he decisively stopped his loss and left the market at that time, otherwise he would only lose more!
It stands to reason that so far Ma Tianming has completely judged the price trend, and now it is time for him to enter the market again.
But looking at the endless stumbling trend in front of him, Ma Tianming hesitated again. He doesn't know if it's the lowest point now, if he enters the market and buys it halfway up the mountain, he will have to lose back the profits he earned at the beginning of this year.
There is also Lin Li, who has been paying attention to the price of sugar.
He has returned to the company from the sales area and now relaxes, and he does not have to be busy contacting customers all day long and taking customers to the warehouse to pick up the goods as he did outside.
With nothing to do, he stayed in the office and had a lot of time to look at the futures market, seeing that the price had fallen to near the pre-holiday low, he felt that this was a good opportunity to do the second wave, but Ma Tianming did not move for a long time, which made him wonder: What is Ma Tianming waiting for?
Seeing that the time to enter was getting better and better, Lin Li couldn't sit still. On this day, he found an opportunity to go to Ma Tianming's office, he thought that Ma Tianming was busy with other things during this time, and he forgot about restocking, so he wanted to remind Ma Tianming.
To be honest, he admired Ma Tianming's rhythm of the last wave of purchases and shipments very well, and the total profit in the first quarter of this year was more than the profit of last year.
Now the price has come to the position of the goods before the Spring Festival again, and it is now the beginning of April, this time the purchase time is better, compared with the first wave of purchases before the holiday, now after the purchase from the May Day holiday, and even the Mid-Autumn Festival, the National Day holiday have more time advantages, these time periods are the peak period of sugar.
Lin Li judged based on his rich experience in the cane sugar sales market for so many years, if he purchased at this time, the chances of making money in the second wave would not even be worse than the chances of the first wave.
To be honest, the first wave of opportunities this year is completely pie in the sky, no one expected that there would be a snow disaster before the Spring Festival, nor did they expect that the snow disaster would cause sugar prices to skyrocket and plummet, and it was a pure coincidence that the first wave of purchases before the holiday could make a lot of money. Of course, there is also the credit of Ma Tianming's quick decision.
The reason why Lin Li thinks that the opportunity now is also very good is because April is a very important time node.
In the past few years, most of the sugar branches can only do a wave of business, in April and May of previous years, the price of sugar has basically been at a high position in the year.
It's rare to see a year-to-date high in March and then fall back to a year's low again in half a month.
At this time, seize the time to buy and save it for the peak period of sugar in the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day in the second half of the year, and then sell it, it is difficult to make money or not.
This can be said to be God's delivery of money to the door again.
There are many people in the market who are engaged in the sugar business, and if you can see such an opportunity, others will definitely be able to see it, but if you delay it for another two days, I am afraid that this opportunity will not be there.
After entering the house, he saw Ma Tianming sitting in front of the computer and smoking, so he said with a smile on his face: "Mr. Ma, have you paid attention to the futures prices of these two days?"
Ma Tianming raised his eyes to look at him: "I'm watching, what's wrong?"
"I see that the price of sugar has fallen almost completely, didn't you say that you are looking for a chance to do another wave? ”
"I don't think this decline will stop for a while. Ma Tianming said with a frown.
"Even if it continues to fall, I don't think there will be much room for downside. Lin Li said cautiously.
"Do you dare to guarantee the ticket?" Ma Tianming asked coldly.
In fact, the situation that Lin Li said, Ma Tianming didn't know it in his heart. The price of sugar fell to this position, and it stands to reason that it should be a good opportunity to enter the market and buy again.
But Ma Tianming's mentality of wanting to win and being afraid of losing made him wander left and right, unable to make up his mind. If he didn't have the profits from the first wave in his hands, Ma Tianming would definitely start buying by now, because he always has to do business all year round.
But because the crushing season has only started now, it hasn't been long before he has earned the biggest sum of money in the past few years, which makes him daunted. He is worried that once the next operation fails, the profits will shrink, and at the end of the year, he will lose the capital to invite credit.
It turned out that when the price of sugar was 4,78, he thought that the price of sugar would return from the end to the starting point, and at that time he made up his mind that if the price returned to the level of the previous year, he would decisively buy again.
But now that the price has really fallen to a lower price than the price of his first purchase a year ago, he can't make up his mind again. An important reason for his hesitation is that this wave of sugar prices has fallen too sharply, and in less than a month, sugar prices have fallen by 1,200 yuan from high to low.
This wave of sharp rise and fall in sugar prices was completed in just about two months. When it rises, it goes up very fast, and it falls even faster than when it rises.
This phenomenon has not been seen in recent years. This trend made Ma Tianming, who has been focusing on sugar sales in recent years, also dumbfounded.
He himself knows in his heart that it is completely lucky that he can make so much money in this wave of purchases before the Spring Festival. Because he didn't expect such a big increase when he first bought the goods.
The only thing that made him feel a little confident in his heart was that he kept a clear head in the process of rising sugar prices and found that the foundation of the rise in sugar prices was unstable.
It is because of this that he was able to sell all the goods in his hand when the price of sugar was at its best.
Otherwise, as long as it is delayed for another week or two, these profits will be just a passing cloud, and they will not fall into their own hands at all.
Therefore, seeing that the current sugar price has no sign of stopping to fall, Ma Tianming is not sure that the 3,600 yuan line will be the low point of this wave of sugar prices. Having lost a clear psychological price, all he can do now is wait and see.
What he thinks now is that if the price of sugar falls a little lower, to around 3,400 yuan, it may be safer to buy it at that time.
The reason why he lowered the psychological price to 3,400 yuan is because the low point of this wave of decline has broken through the lowest point of sugar prices before the holiday.
Now that this low has been broken, the price of sugar, which has lost its support, will definitely continue to fall, and it is safer to buy at the next support level.
The next support level is just 3,420 yuan, which is the lowest point of last year.
Lin Li smiled awkwardly when he heard Ma Tianming's words. He didn't speak, but he was thinking in his heart: Why do you want me to pack a ticket? I earn a few pennies a month, so what can I give you a guarantee? Besides, if I want to give you a ticket, the responsibility, power, and interest are not equal. If you lose it, it's mine, but if you make it, you don't have anything to do with me. You say this kind of thing, which of us has water in the head?
But he only dared to think about this kind of thing in his heart, and he would never dare to show half a word on his lips.
Originally, he thought that Ma Tianming had forgotten about this, but now looking at Ma Tianming's frowning appearance, he knew that Ma Tianming was also having a headache about this matter.
But time waits for no one, Lin Li judged with many years of sales experience that the price of sugar has plummeted to the current position is already a little low.
If you don't buy it again, you may miss out on it. Thinking of this, Lin Li asked, "Mr. Ma, what price do you think is more appropriate?" He wanted to know what Ma Tianming was planning.
"Wait and see, I think the price around 3,400 yuan can be seen. ”
Lin Li thought: 3400 yuan, and then down more than 200 yuan, it seems that it is possible to see this momentum, if it really reaches that position, the price is more advantageous. But the question is, will it really fall that low? When the price of sugar was more than 4,000 yuan, you said that you would buy it when it returned to the price of the previous year, but now you are hesitant. I think you don't dare to do it when the price reaches 3400 yuan.
Although Lin Li wanted to say a few more words, but looking at Ma Tianming's demeanor, he couldn't help but hold back the words that had already reached his lips: more things are better than less things, his meaning has been explained very clearly, and the rest of the things cannot be controlled by himself, so there is no need to cause trouble for himself.
Ma Tianming saw that Lin Li was silent, so he asked, "How is the price of the sugar factory now?"
"It's different from place to place, and the price of the sugar mills we picked up last time is now 100 to 150 yuan higher than the futures price. ”
Ma Tianming said: "That's right, the cost of freight and storage fees is higher, almost close to 4,000 yuan, so let's wait and see." When the futures price fell to 3,400 yuan, the price of the sugar factory was also reduced by more than 200 yuan. ”
Lin Li said, "Okay, then wait and see." ”
"There won't be a problem with the supply of goods at the sugar factory. ”