"Brother, tell me the truth, how sure do you think there is a big incident in Iran in the past two days?" Comrade Lao Ding, who was still undecidable for the time being after thinking about it, gritted his teeth and asked.

"Not less than fifty percent. Chen Geng gave a figure that looks radical, but is actually very conservative.

But Comrade Lao Ding was already stunned: no less than fifty percent?!

In diplomatic work, not to mention not less than 50 percent, many times the success rate of the things they have to face is not even higher than 10 percent! But even if the success rate is so low, they have to work hard to do it with 100 percent, and now, Chen Geng has gone so far as to say that the probability of a big incident on the Iranian side is more than 50 percent.

His heart trembled: if he was really told by Chen Geng......

He didn't dare to think about it anymore, if he was really said by Chen Geng, how accurate and unique this person's strategic vision was!

Try it!

Even if it's for validation, try it!

After making up his mind, Ding Haijun subconsciously lowered his voice: "I can find a way to borrow the radio station on the train and ask a friend to understand the situation...... But what was the major turning point you were talking about?"

Looking at Comrade Lao Ding's resolute expression of preparing to get out of the oil pot, Chen Geng's stomach was about to burst with laughter.

Holding back a smile, Chen Geng deliberately hesitated, and also lowered his voice: "Actually, I'm also quite curious if my guess is right, it would be great if you could help ask...... I think that in these two days, it is very likely that the Pahlavi king will 'visit abroad' with his wife and children, and it is very likely that it will be a camel house or a mummy's house. (Camel: Saudi, Mummy: Egypt, let's try to speak as black as possible)

The Pahlavi king took his wife and children to "visit abroad"?!

Of course, Comrade Lao Ding is not a fool, of course he knows that the "overseas visit" in Chen Geng's mouth is actually a flight at all, but has the situation in Iran really reached such a bad level, to the extent that the current king has to flee?

It's just that the situation is not particularly important, what matters is Chen Geng's next analysis: if the development of the situation at this step is accurately guessed by Chen Geng, then what about the next situation?

There is no doubt that if it is proved that Chen Geng's views on this matter are correct, then his views and opinions will have great reference significance and value for the Republic's Middle East strategy!

After thinking about it, Comrade Lao Ding no longer hesitated, nodded and said, "I'll go and discuss with the conductor to see if I can use their radio station...... It's just a little embarrassing......"

"I know, I'm a foreigner," Chen Geng didn't mind: "Just tell me after you verify it, to be honest, I'm really curious." ”

Comrade Lao Ding didn't speak, but nodded gratefully to Chen Geng.

........................

The conductor, who had already received the order of "full cooperation", after verifying Ding Haijun's work card, without saying a word, helped Comrade Lao Ding connect the phone of the railway bureau of the province where the railway is now located, and after layers of transfers, the call was finally transferred to the general office - yes, the call was not transferred to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, but to the general office, I don't know how many people are paying attention to Chen Geng.

"What is the current situation in Iran?" Deputy Director Cui of the General Office was a little strange: "Xiaoding, why are you asking this?"

"Just now I talked with Comrade Chen Geng about oil, and while chatting, we talked about Iran, and Comrade Chen Geng predicted that in the next two days, there should be a major turning point in Iran......

"What turning point?" asked Deputy Director Cui.

After all, the focus of his work is domestic affairs, and he does not pay much attention to foreign affairs, but no matter how much he does not pay attention to what is happening in Iran, what is happening in Iran is also a hot international issue at present, and the leaders are also paying attention to it.

Mr. Chen Geng said that the biggest possibility is that the Iranian king will bring his whole family to visit abroad in the past two days, "Speaking of which, Ding Haijun has no room to turn back, he gritted his teeth: "It is exile and fugitive......

“......”

There was a sudden silence on the other end of the line.

Listening to the sudden absence of movement on the other end of the phone, Comrade Lao Ding suddenly felt a little flustered: What is the situation?

In the winter, it was several degrees below zero outside, but Ding Haijun was already sweating.

"Xiao Ding, ah......" I don't know how long it took, but Deputy Director Cui's voice finally sounded.

"In. Ding Haijun hurriedly responded.

"Do you know?" Deputy Director Cui's tone was strange, or rather weird: "Just yesterday, the Pahlavi king took his whole family to the country of mummies......"

The Pahlavi king took his whole family to the country of mummies......

Comrade Lao Ding was stupid on the spot!

If it weren't for someone on the other end of the phone who was at a much higher level than himself, Comrade Lao Ding's tone must have been like this: "Really...... True...... True...... He really said it?!", but at this moment he obviously couldn't be so emotional, so it became like this......

"Really...... He said ...... right."

There is surprise, there is disbelief, and there is admiration.

"Yes, he really said it," Deputy Director Cui on the other end of the phone repeated Comrade Lao Ding's words word for word, the tone was very obscure, but the shock was a little more: "What else did you talk about?"

"Uh...... Just talked about this," Ding Haijun's tone was a little embarrassed: "Then I want to make a phone call to verify, the leader is ...... right."

"You did a good job," Before Ding Haijun could finish speaking, Deputy Director Cui defined his move, and even felt that it was not clear enough, and added: "It's very good!"

"After you go back, you and Mr. Chen Geng have a good chat on this issue, and you must keep his views and opinions firmly in mind," said Deputy Director Cui, although he did not say that Chen Geng's views and opinions are very important to us, but his words and practices have already shown this: "I will talk to the comrades of the railway when I go back, and put your call request in the first priority." ”

The so-called first priority is that even if something big happens on the train, if the Ding Navy needs to use the radio station, it must first meet the requirements for the use of the Ding Navy. In addition, in the process of transfer, everything to meet the transfer requirements of the Ding Navy is the first priority, if the line is not enough, the line of others will be cut off first, and the communication line of the Ding Navy will be connected first.

In the current era when communication is still stuck in the old movies, which requires manual link connection and switching, this is really the highest priority in peacetime - the central priority is like this.

........................

On the one hand, he was shocked by Chen Geng's keen judgment ability on the international situation, and on the other hand, he was also shocked by the importance that the senior leaders attached to this matter: his communication requirements were the highest priority?

All of this, so that when Ding Haijun sat in front of Chen Geng again, he was still in a trance.

"What's wrong?" Looking at Comrade Lao Ding's appearance, Chen Geng knew the result: "Did I guess wrong......?" Let you see the joke......"

"You guessed it right. ”

"Huh?"

"You guessed right," Comrade Lao Ding licked his lips and repeated again, he didn't sell it, and told Chen Geng the truth about what he had verified: "Just yesterday, January 19, the Pahlavi king took his whole family to visit the country of mummies...... In fact, it's a flight. ”

Chen Geng was "stunned for a moment" and said in surprise: "I was really blinded by me?"

"Brother, aren't you blinded?" Unexpectedly, Chen Geng suddenly became humble at this time, and Ding Haijun was a little crying and laughing: "You are strength." ”

"Hehehe......" Chen Geng touched his chin, and suddenly turned his head to look at Mirren: "How about we play oil futures and earn some pocket money?"

Mirren, who had witnessed his boss's magic, replied almost without thinking, "Okay, I think it's a good idea...... How much do you think the price of international crude oil can rise per barrel in the short term?"

"I'm a little bit more optimistic than the analysts, who think $13 a barrel is about the same, but I think it should be more than $14...... Go back and call Miss Rosemary and ask her to do it, and to be on the safe side, clear the warehouse at $13.95 a barrel, and ...... after that."

Listening to Chen Geng actually began to discuss how to make money with great interest, Mirren was of course very happy, which meant that he could also follow behind to make a little money, but Comrade Lao Ding was anxious and hurriedly stopped him: "Brother, don't worry about making money, you can tell me how the next situation will go." ”

"What's next?"

"That's right, next. ”

"If my analysis is correct, then the Pahlavi dynasty will end completely, and then the stupid Damu (Ila @k) will fight with Iran, and finally these two countries will find it not fun to talk about each other and start to fight. ”

Chen Geng said it very casually, but Ding Haijun heard that his hairs were about to stand up, and he said in a trembling voice: "What do you mean...... Is Iran going to fight Silly Big Wood?"

"Wrong, it's not that Iran wants to do it with Silly Big Wood, it's that Silly Big Wood wants to do it with Iran, and there is a big difference between that. Chen Geng earnestly corrected the mistake of Comrade Lao Ding's words: "Then the next development can also be thought of with the soles of the feet, as one of the world's two largest oil-producing countries, after Comrade Silly Damu and Iran do it, it will inevitably affect the global oil supply, I speculate that the international crude oil price will reach a historical record that has never been reached, and at this time, there will be a great chance of a second world oil crisis."

The second oil crisis will plunge the world economy, which has not yet recovered from the economic crisis caused by the first oil crisis, into another large-scale and severe economic crisis...... Just like the dominoes, when the first one falls, everything is doomed. ”

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PS: Finally got it before 12 o'clock.