Chapter 809: Predictions

On July 16th, a regular seminar on the development of the film industry was held in the Future Science and Technology City of Beijing.

Normally, this kind of seminar is a conference that is, bragging, looking for a sense of existence but no sense of existence, but just after noon, some reporters who had arrived at the venue in advance were quite puzzled to find that there were a lot of colleagues who came today.

The official time was three o'clock, and now it's less than half past one, and the huge venue is almost full.

"Brother Liu, isn't the carriage fee given by Fulai Pictures today very generous?" The little reporter Zhang Can came after dinner because his home was nearby, and he would be extremely puzzled to deduce a reasonable reason based on experience.

Reporter Liu Hufan just sat down and didn't have time to wipe his sweat, and when he heard this, he was shocked and said, "Don't you know? Forrest Gump will attend in the afternoon." ”

"Ah, didn't he just come back?" Zhang Can was also stunned, "No, Beijing Blu-ray and Fulai Pictures have never cooperated, why did he come?"

Liu Hufan first drank two large sips of mineral water with a "grunt", and then shrugged his shoulders and said: "I haven't heard that there is cooperation, but there may be cooperation in the future, Fulai and Xinyu are not close, even if they were close before, now that Xinyu is so low, people with a discerning eye know how to choose." ”

Zhang Can felt that this was very reasonable, although there was no big guy in the previously announced guest list, but people of their level must be more direct to talk about cooperation.

After the two reporters talked for a short time, the venue was completely full, and the polite greetings between each other gradually became a little noisy.

"This ...... Half of the people must be here for Forrest Gump!" Zhang Can was very familiar with this kind of existential meeting with the carriage fee, glanced at it a few times, and sighed.

Liu Hufan did not let in much of his experience in this area, and said with a smile: "How is it possible? ”

Zhang Can didn't object to the numbers, but just sighed: "This is Forrest Gump." ”

"Hey, today's carriage and horse expenses are estimated to be more generous, and I have already seen the people of the blue light in the capital. Liu Hufan laughed happily twice, the preferential treatment of Beijing Blu-ray in the industry is not only reflected in their company, but also often more than other families on occasions like now.

Zhang Can nodded, thinking that not only the carriage and horse fares, but also the first-hand photos and interviews today may also have a small bonus.

There was still a long time before the meeting began, and the two reporters began to exchange ideas and consider what kind of good questions should be asked if there was an opportunity to do so.

The venue went from whispering to noisy, and when the guests gradually entered, the voice slowly lowered again.

At three o'clock in the afternoon, the heaviest guest of the film industry development seminar entered the venue.

This actor is different from other guests, he walked all the way to the stage accompanied by the greetings of peers, reporters, and fans who heard the sound, and there was a trend of sound in just a short passage.

Although Gan Jing has been busy making movies recently, he is really no stranger to this situation, and he is familiar with the road and responds concisely while walking - today's trip is purely temporary, and it happens that there is a Rausch sub-industry seminar in Beijing, so let the agent contact it is a proper voice channel.

The host of the industry seminar is Sun Yi, the host of the radio film and television program, and the guest lineup includes Chen Pei, vice president of Fulai Pictures, who sponsored the conference, Qiao Yi, a well-known film critic, and Cao Lie, a famous producer, and so on.

But this well-known, that famous, Gan Jing really didn't know anyone, and then, he soon found that the level of the audience was only Erer.

Seminars are such things...... Just listen to it.

Soon, it was the turn of the temporary arrival of the heavyweight guests to speak, both the host and the audience had been waiting for a long time.

"Mr. Gan, what do you think of the current film industry?" The host Sun Yi usually hosts a radio program to talk about popular movies, and the most mentioned by him in the past two years is Gan Jing and Beijing Blu-ray, but it is really the first time I see me, and I am still a little excited.

"I just heard Mr. Chen and Producer Cao talk a lot. Gan Jing got the microphone and slowed down, for fear that he would call the wrong name, his eyes turned to the audience, "The current film industry is indeed very prosperous, and the Beijing Blu-ray where I am located is almost the company that has benefited the most from the rapid development of the industry in the past two years, but ...... it."

"Let me tell you a statistic, the total number of screens in the country last year was 42,000, an increase of 30% compared with the year before. ”

"As of June this year, that number has become 51,600. ”

Gan Jing took a look at the specific data last night because he was going to attend this seminar today: "I prefer to compare the number of screens, because theaters are the most front-line position in the film industry chain, and they are very sensitive to profits, whether it is the first line or the second or third line, or the so-called sinking fourth or fifth line, if there is money to be made, the number of screens will grow quickly, and if there is no money to earn, it will slow down or decrease." ”

"To put it simply, the screen growth in the first half of this year was 23%, and the box office figures were steady compared to the same period last year. ”

"Of course, 23% is still a high number, which means that our film industry is still developing rapidly, but if there is no special stimulus in the second half of the year, the growth rate of this whole year will not be higher than last year. ”

Gan Jing took a sip of water, and also gave the others time to digest their own words.

The host Sun Yi took a few seconds before answering: "Mr. Gan, do you mean that the development of the film industry is slowing down?"

"Yes. Gan Jing didn't care about the identity of any industry bigwig, and directly gave a positive opinion, "The development cannot go on at a high speed, and there will be a slowdown period after the high speed, which is a very simple truth, if there is no influence of external factors, the film industry is no exception." ”

The two guests who had just spoken glanced at each other, a little embarrassed, although not too obvious, but they both advocated attitudes.

The host Sun Yi asked: "How long does Mr. Gan think the number of screens can maintain a growth of more than 20%?"

Gan Jing wanted to laugh a little, it's 23% this year, why does this host still think about the figure of 20%?

He didn't answer immediately this time, thinking about how to predict it more tactfully.

At this time, Sun Yi felt that he had been asking someone who was a little unsightly on the scene, so he made up and said, "Mr. Chen, Producer Cao, what do you think?"

Producer Cao Lie said cautiously: "I think this growth will have to take five years." ”

Chen Pei, vice president of Fulai Pictures, agreed: "Almost. ”

Gan Jing glanced at the two people who spoke, and felt that what he had just said was in vain, and you were really more optimistic than expected.

"The 20 percent figure shouldn't be used as a benchmark, and I'm skeptical that number will be there next year. Gan Jing decided to be more straightforward, "The competition in the industry is intensifying, and the entry and exit of capital depends on their expectations for the future, and I am afraid that after accepting the figure of 20%, we will soon face the arrival of 10%. ”

The host Sun Yi was shocked, what this big man said was that the growth rate of the total number of screens next year will be around 20%?

This, this deviates a lot from the mainstream opinion in the current film and television industry!