Chapter Seventy-Five: The Second Way of Thought (I)
Ruoke Restaurant is a self-operated restaurant in the Tiantai Building, at noon, Zhou Ming and Lin Muqing came to Ruoke Restaurant for lunch, they had just finished a meeting with Tong Gang, Li Cheng and Ilbedov, and the reason why they were not together was that they needed to sort out their ideas in the meeting just now.
Lin Muqing helped Zhou Ming order two very domestic dishes, but despite this, she still felt that Zhou Ming seemed to be a little frowning, so Lin Muqing couldn't help but ask worriedly: "Zhou Ming, hasn't the situation in the Middle East been developing according to your expectations? Why are you so worried now? Haven't you always been the most confident?"
Zhou Ming smiled bitterly at this, it stands to reason that he should indeed have self-confidence, not because the situation in the Middle East has been developing as he expected, but according to the memory of his previous life, the situation should develop like this.
On August 2, 90, Iraq invaded Kuwait, and the Kuwait War broke out, and on that day all U.S. military bases near the Gulf were brought to a state of first-class combat readiness. Then the US "Desert Shield" operation began, and the United States began to urgently increase troops and establish a defensive line in the Gulf region to prevent Iraq from continuing to invade Saudi Arabia, and secretly drew up a "Desert Storm" plan to act at any time.
Subsequently, the United States and the Soviet Union reached a consensus demanding that Iraq unconditionally withdraw its troops from Kuwait and fully restore Kuwait's sovereignty, legitimate regime, and territorial integrity, and at the same time stop all arms supplies and military assistance to Iraq. On the same day, the Arab League also demanded that Iraq immediately withdraw its troops and jointly adopted Resolution 661, which aimed at condemning and imposing economic sanctions on Iraq.
When the US Secretary of State and the Iraqi Foreign Minister met in Geneva, but both sides agreed that there was no room for compromise and that the talks did not produce any results, the US-led multinational forces began to bomb the Iraqi capital Baghdad, and the Gulf War officially broke out.
This is the Gulf situation in Zhou Ming's memory, although Zhou Ming does not remember the time of various war events very clearly, but one thing Zhou Ming is sure of, such a process will still happen, even if it has its own influence, with Robert Adams as an obstruction, but the conspiracy plan of the two major consortia is unlikely to make fundamental changes because of the willfulness of a young man, even if this young man is an important figure in the Addams family.
In this way, with the continuous deterioration of the situation in the Middle East and the subsequent outbreak of the Gulf War, the continuous rise in oil prices is certain, and in my memory, oil prices once broke through the $40 mark, and the highest was $45, which is not after the new millennium, and the price of $40 crude oil is already an astronomical figure, because the price rose from $15 before the war in Kuwait.
That is to say, as long as you seize the opportunity to place an increase in the price of crude oil before the war, then you can reap twice the benefits after the end of the war, just like you did before the stock market crash in Hong Kong.
If you have just come out of China, have just been reborn or don't know so many things, you must have placed an order and waited for the account to be collected, but the problem is that you are no longer the self you were three years ago.
Zhou Ming still deeply remembers that he didn't understand anything at that time, he only remembered the exact time of Black Friday, so he dragged the loan of 400,000 yuan, and came to Hong Kong City early with Lin Muqing, pinching the time and waiting for Black Monday to happen.
Thinking about it now, Zhou Ming felt that he was really ignorant and fearless at that time, and he didn't understand why Black Monday happened and what was hidden behind it, so he was so stupid and stunned to bet all his belongings on it, and he didn't think about what would happen if Black Monday didn't happen.
But I couldn't help it at that time, anyway, I was poor and white, even if I started all over again, I would still gamble on it.
But now the situation is very different, with huge assets in hand, even if you don't do anything, you can live happily for a lifetime and be a happy loser. Therefore, there is no need for me to make such a big gamble, and now I use the Gulf War to buy crude oil futures, which is just in line with the principle of making money and not making bastards, and wants to make my assets in the United States grow more, not a desperate gamble three years ago.
In addition, what is more important is that I have learned some of the inside stories behind the Gulf War.
First of all, the occurrence of the Gulf War was not an accident as he initially thought, but a conspiracy carefully planned by American capital; secondly, he offended Robert, a figure in an important family in the consortium, who also had some ability to manipulate and influence.
This is very important because the Gulf War did not break out immediately after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, but was a four-month wait.
These four months were for the US Government to coordinate relations with the whole world and to prepare for war, and at the same time, who can say that it was not giving capital time to adjust the market? Although Zhou Ming could not remember the specific things clearly, Zhou Ming clearly remembered that after the outbreak of the Kuwait war, oil prices fluctuated and even increased in reverse for a period of time.
Perhaps for most people, as long as the overall market of crude oil prices is rising, if it was three years ago, Zhou Ming would definitely think the same, but with these three years of experience, especially since half a year of study at Harvard, Zhou Ming knows more, real investors will never look at it this way, and the futures market will never have a good face for such lazy investors.
It is a very simple truth, in the capital market, whether it falls first and then rises or rises first and then falls, the final result for investors is a loss.
Because there is a problem of closing price in the securities market, it is not so obvious for real-time prices, but the futures and foreign exchange markets have real-time prices, that is to say, if the price rises, you will make money immediately, and if you lose, the money will disappear immediately, and the game is a heartbeat.
It is for this reason that the average investor will keep a lot of reserves when investing in futures and foreign exchange, which is to cope with this situation, otherwise the price will rise and fall dozens of times a day, and any investor will lose money. But this time, because Zhou Ming determined the time in advance, he invested all the funds into it, and did not leave reserves, in case of fluctuations, then he didn't know how much money he would lose.
Of course, you can also keep enough reserves like other investors, so that you can cope with price fluctuations, but if you do this, then why bother to find Tong Gang, Li Cheng, and Ilbedov to invest together? Wouldn't it be good to prepare a few million dollars to invest in yourself? Anyway, according to the price increase and some operational means, it is no problem to earn tens of millions of dollars by yourself.
Now that they have been called, they must invest all the funds in it, you must know that charity is all about striving to maximize the benefits, not to mention that this is a serious speculation, you can't do more than charity, right?
However, now that someone must have dug a hole in front of them and waiting for them, the problem becomes complicated.
Yesterday, when the negotiations between Iraq and Kuwait broke down, Zhou Ming deliberately invested 10 million to be bearish when the entire market began to panic, Zhou Ming will do this to test the water, but Zhou Ming's test of the water is not to test the water of the entire oil futures market, but to test Robert's water to see if he has the ability to affect the market.
It was because of the final result that Zhou Ming couldn't worry any more, and he looked very unconfident.
Under these complicated thoughts, Zhou Ming finally sighed and said, "Sister Mu Qing, I also want to be confident, but I can't help but consider these key issues. Now what is in front of us is already so complicated, and we don't know how many problems we don't know about behind it. β
"So Zhou Ming, you said that just now?" Lin Muqing asked.
Zhou Ming nodded helplessly: "That's right, we can't go all the way to the dark, we always need to change our thinking when we encounter problems." β
......
At the same time, in another restaurant, Tong Gang and Li Cheng were also sitting together discussing problems, their brows were tightly locked, and the food in front of them was almost untouched, which showed that what they were thinking about was not so easy.
"Brother Tong, do you think the matter is really as serious as Zhou Ming's little brother said?" asked Li Cheng.
Tong Gang shook his head and said: "It's hard to say about this matter, after all, what Zhou Ming said so far is his speculation, and nothing can prove this speculation, even if it was the sudden drop in oil futures prices yesterday, it is difficult to say that it is specifically for him or has been set a long time ago, after all, a naΓ―ve young man can influence such a big plan, and this setting itself is too unreasonable, I believe that the Addams family can exist for more than three hundred years, it should not be like this." β
Tong Gang suddenly changed his words when he said this, and then said: "But there is one thing, do you remember what I said when we commented on Zhou Ming? We believe in Zhou Ming as a person, and we believe that he will definitely bring us benefits." β
"So we should have fully believed him, at least on this issue. Li Cheng asked.
"Don't be suspicious of employing people, although Zhou Ming is not our subordinate, but even if we only belong to collaborators, I think we should also believe him, otherwise we might as well break up and do our own work as soon as possible. Tong Gang said.
Li Cheng nodded silently: "I understand Brother Tong, I will explain this to the board of directors of the company." β
Tong Gang waved his hand and said: "No need, I think it would be better for me to say this kind of thing personally, after all, this time the company still has many temporary investment customers, and only what I said is the most convincing." β
......
Almost next door to Tong Gang and Li Cheng, Ilbedov was sitting there talking on the phone in Russian, and a few Northern Russians were also sitting here, watching Ilbedov talk on the phone without eating.
One of these people was a very young Northern-Russian, his name was Vaniusha, who had been brought out of North Russia by Ilbedov, but because he was too young, Ilbedov did not take him into the conference room.
At the moment, Vaniusa was sitting there slicing his steak leisurely, as if absent-mindedly listening to Ilbedov's call.
"That's right, that's what Mr. Zhou Ming said today, he is worried that direct investment will have certain risks, so his suggestion is to think differently, I personally think his idea is very good, Tong Gang and Li Cheng are Chinese, I believe they will also support this idea." So I'm calling you now, and I'm giving you a way out, don't you always say that you missed the last opportunity? Now that the second chance has come, I'll call you as soon as possible, can you grasp it for yourself? β
After saying that, Ilbedov hung up the phone and said with some indignation: "These damn guys, who want to make money and are afraid but risky, are really a bunch of eggless bastards!"
Vaniusha, who had been concentrating on competing with the steak, raised his head and said to Ilbedov: "What the teacher said is very true, they are all a group of greedy demons, but in my opinion, that Mr. Zhou Ming from China is the real demon king, because he can perfectly manipulate the desires of these demons. β
Ilbedov shook his head and said, "Van Niusha, you are wrong, what Mr. Zhou Ming is really powerful is his ability to restrain his desires." It is the most rare thing that he can give up oil and change his way of thinking despite the fact that the situation in the Middle East is bad. β
"But teacher, what do you say if Mr. Zhou Ming guesses wrong?" Vaniusha asked another question.