275. Black Tuesday

"Xiao Guo, you are playing very irrationally this time, the US stock market is very good now, there is a huge risk in shorting, and you still use 20 times leverage, which is simply throwing money into the water.

"Listen to my uncle's advice, it's better to be steady, I can recommend you a few stocks here, and make a small profit, it shouldn't be a problem." ”

Guo Yongkun could see that this Lu was always really well-intentioned. However, he is not a traverser, no matter how professional and far-sighted he is, it is impossible to change the trajectory of history.

If you want to change Wen Caini and David, Guo Yongkun will definitely blast out directly, but this, not to mention that he is a friend of Old Man Chen, is kind enough to come over to persuade him, and it is not good to treat him maliciously.

"Uncle Lu, I appreciate your kindness, but ...... I'm sure. ”

"Sure?"

Lu Xiwen was almost not angry, raised the information he had just received from David in his hand, and said, "Coca-Cola, General Electric, Telephone and Telegraph Company...... Do you know what the nature of these companies is? It's all American, oh no, it should be the world's leading companies in various industries. The stock market has always been stable, and it is not easy to buy in the market, so you still want to short?"

"Yes. ”

“......”

Lu Xiwen was helpless for a while, he didn't expect this young man to be so difficult to convince, and if he was replaced by other customers, which one didn't ask him for guidance on stocks?

Whenever he reveals a trace, it is all good words, and he treats it as a secret to make a fortune.

"Xiao Guo, I have been in the industry for more than 20 years, and I have handled countless stock transactions, and the same is true for short trading, do you know what my success rate is?"

"How much. Guo Yongkun said in obedience.

"Nearly 80 percent. ”

That's a ruthless man.

Lu Xiwen said seriously: "The reason why I can achieve such a high success rate is because I am cautious, never blind, and pay attention to the stock market of major exchanges every day, which takes up a lot of my time." I can tell you very clearly that U.S. stocks can now operate in the long and short term, and there are profits, but they are definitely not suitable for shorting. ”

After he said this, not to mention the three traders next to him, that is, Chen Dashao, his heart was a little shaken.

It is often said that the expert is the best stock expert in the country.

"Yongkun, will it ...... Is it really a mistake?" Chen Dashao asked, I have been going to Goldman Sachs a lot recently, and the industry insiders I have come into contact with, including this Uncle Lu, are all optimistic about U.S. stocks, and none of them think that there is a play in shorting.

"No, it won't. ”

"......" Chen Dashao didn't react yet, but Lu Xiwen sighed. I thought to myself, this kid surnamed Guo, I'm afraid it's a cow, and when it comes to this, I can't pull it back?

How did he know that Guo Yongkun was only now called a headache. I've told you, I've made up my mind, why don't you leave?

Can you not be so warm-hearted.

Seeing that the other party was about to speak, he took the lead in using his nirvana.

"Uncle Lu, you might as well go back first and compare the trend of the U.S. stock market this year with the 1929 analysis report. I should be able to understand why I'm sticking. ”

"In 1929?" Lu Xiwen's eyebrows sank suddenly, and his expression was terrifying.

Any veteran stock practitioner should feel palpitations when he hears about this vintage. Not to mention, the company he works for is still an American company.

October 29, 1929, was the darkest day in the history of U.S. securities, with the outbreak of the most influential and harmful economic event in U.S. history, which affected the entire Western country and even the world.

In one day, the Dow Jones plummeted 22%.

Then it continued to fall sharply, and by November, the Dow Jones index slipped to 198 points, a drop of 48%!

In a short period of time, many rich people were reduced to poverty, and thousands of people had a nervous breakdown and committed suicide by jumping off buildings.

Then, the United States and the world entered a decade-long period of economic depression. Mobile phone \ terminal one second remember 『' for you \ for \ wonderful \ reading

The financial industry named October 29, 1929 "Black Tuesday".

"You mean, the global financial crisis is about to break out?" Lu Xiwen glared at him and said this, not even believing himself.

The world economy is no longer as fragile as it was at the beginning of this century, and the securities mechanism is constantly improving, and after more than half a century and 58 years, the securities industry has been developing steadily.

And today, in this small trading room, a young man who appeared out of nowhere actually spoke wildly, telling him that the world's financial industry was going to collapse?

Lu Xiwen wants to hit someone!

"That's right. Since everything has been said, Guo Yongkun is also simply.

At this time, it was only a few hours before the US stock market closed, and Goldman Sachs was already off work, so it was impossible to carry out its work normally, even if it knew the news.

Besides, they don't necessarily believe it.

Just look at the angry expression of the person in front of you.

"Okay, that's all there is to it, since you are bent on going your own way, I can't help it. Lu Xiwen shook his head and left the trading room.

Guo Yongkun let out a long breath and said, "Ziang, lock the door." ”

No matter how special it is, no one wants to come in!

In the corridor outside the door, seeing Lu Xiwen coming out of the trading room, Wen Caini and David hurriedly walked out of the office and greeted them. I wanted to talk a few words, but I found that the boss's expression was a little wrong.

"Mr. Lu, then you go slowly. ”

Lu Xiwen left without saying a word, but when he came to the elevator, his footsteps stopped again. Then, he turned back and walked briskly to his office.

Wen Caini and David had been watching him, but they had not yet entered the house at this time, and when they saw this situation, they looked at each other and were a little confused.

"What a workaholic. ”

"Yes, if we can do his job, it's hard to get promoted. ”

"But to be honest, don't say I can't do it, and even if I can, I won't do it. Twenty-four hours a day, except for five or six hours of sleep, the rest of the time is all devoted to work, obviously very rich, but I don't know how to enjoy, what is the fun of such a life?"

"That's right. ”

Speaking of Lu Xiwen's side, after entering the office, he began to rummage through the cabinets.

In the 1929 stock market crash analysis report, he remembered that he had it, but because it was an old story, he didn't know where to put the information.

He's the kind of guy who can't sleep when he has doubts.

He really didn't believe the young man surnamed Guo, but the other party spoke decently, and it didn't look like his brain was cramping, and he said it so reasonably, which made him instinctively have a kind of ambivalence.

Besides, the other party threw 150 million US dollars into it, real money, which cannot be faked.

What is it that makes him so confident?

He had to verify it.

"Click, bang, knock......" all kinds of strange sounds continue to be transmitted from the office, which is particularly harsh in this silent night.

Wen Caini and David ran out to watch at least three times, and they didn't know what Mr. Lu was doing.

Time passed quietly, and the sky outside the window gradually changed from inky black to blue, and the dawn was about to break. Guo Yongkun went into action.

"Coca-Cola, open a position, place a pending order. ”

"That's it!"

"Is there anyone taking orders?"

"Yes. ”

"The highest price per share?"

"27 block 8. ”

"Wait. Guo Yongkun waited while looking at his watch, and after a while, asked, "The highest price per share now?"

"28 pieces 2. ”

"Wait another minute. ”

A minute passed quickly, and Guo Yongkun asked again, "What now?"

"Someone made a high price, 29 yuan!"

"Okay, throw!"

Guo Yongkun has a reasonable control of time, and all he sells is blue-chip stocks, and he is not afraid that no one will take orders. I don't pursue any unprecedented price, and I feel that the price of receiving orders is almost at a psychological price, so I shoot directly, which is very simple.

The operation of the three traders is also crackling and very refreshing.

"General Electric, open positions, pending orders. ”

"I'll go, boss, rob!"

Guo Yongkun looked at the computer screen, it was full of order-takers, and the price changed again and again, which shows how popular GE's stock is.

"Then wait a little longer, two minutes. ”

Two minutes later, the price of the mess gradually stabilized, and there were still many order takers, and he picked the relatively most luxurious one. "Throw it all!"

"Come, come on, Amex. Pending orders!"

In the small trading room, the operation was as fierce as a tiger, and a large number of blue chips were sold in the market, and some buyers in the United States must have been boiling.

What the hell, so many rare things entered the market at once?

I can't buy it if I want to.

There is not much time left, the stock market is about to close, and they are not allowed to think about it at all, and there is only one thought at the moment - buy, buy, buy!

Office of the Senior Vice President.

After 9 years of effort, Lu Xiwen finally found a detailed analysis report of the 1929 U.S. stock market crash, and as for this year, he has a lot of information and K-line charts on his desktop, which are summarized to the nearest week.

He stood at his desk and swung the things he had and didn't have on the carpet. Then, put the data of the two years, one on the left and one on the right, and arrange them separately on the table.

Then compare them carefully.

The direction of the stock market at the beginning of the year, the two years, there is no similarity. However, by March...... It's kind of like that.

According to the data, in March 1929, the Federal Reserve was worried about the high stock price and announced that it would tighten interest rates to curb the sharp rise in stock prices, but Charles Mitchell, the president of the National Commercial Bank of the United States, increased capital investment in the stock market out of his own interests to avoid the fall.

In March and April this year, U.S. stocks also ushered in a surge. There are many reasons for this.

Lu Xiwen's heart sank, and the more he looked back, the more terrifying his expression became. Especially when comparing the K-line charts of the two years in the first half of this month, I was suddenly shocked into a cold sweat.

"It's too similar!"

In two years, from January to September, it has risen sharply, exceeding the same period, giving people a feeling of unprecedented prosperity in the market, and various governmental, bank, and investment banking policies have been continuously introduced, stimulating investors' confidence in the market more and more, and a large amount of funds have frantically poured in, and the trend chart of the Dow Jones stock index has almost climbed up.

By October, however, the situation had taken a turn for the worse.

The two years were exactly the same, and the market began to fluctuate more sharply, although this was explained by financial experts as a normal self-adjustment of the market.

However, after Lu Xiwen looked at it with suspicion, the feeling was completely different.

When he analyzed those candlestick charts, the lines seemed to have become a wire, and those twists and turns seemed to have an invisible hand breaking it, trying to break it!

Again, the two vintages are the same, as if a rising parabola is about to break!

"Is it really so similar, I wasn't even aware of it before?"

Lu Xiwen's shirt was soaked, and he was stunned for a while. He suddenly looked at the door, yes or no, he couldn't be conclusively determined, time was rushed, comprehensive research was not an overnight thing.

He had to ask the young man surnamed Guo. How did he become alert, studied?

Thinking of this, he quickly rushed out of the office.

"Eh, Mr. Lu, are you still there?" David asked knowingly, as he walked out of the office with Wen Caini and locked the door.

"You guys, go back?"

"That's right, the U.S. stock market is closed, and the customer has completed the transaction. ”

There is no mistake