Chapter 165, post-festival speculation

On the occasion of the Mid-Autumn Festival, the stock market closed in a broken step of wanting to fall and being ashamed. The main board symbolically fell by 6 points, and the gem barely turned red by 11 points.

Of course, Zuo Yuliang and several of his friends are also performing various programs for the festival in their respective worlds. In the group, Cao Yinqiu and Chen Menglong, who had made an appointment in advance to travel together, took their families and went to Jiuzhaigou, Sichuan, to taste the beautiful scenery and the joy of family happiness. Hu Weiyong also brought his family and went all the way back to his hometown in northern Jiangsu to get together with relatives and friends. Du Wenfeng also made an appointment with the people in his circle, it is said that he went to Tibet to play, these guys, they cry poor on weekdays, but when it is time to enjoy life, none of them will be left behind.

Only Liu Pengfei is busy contacting the high school auxiliary class, helping his beloved daughter with homework, and thinking that his daughter will step into the door of 985 or 211 schools in the future.

And Li Ruyun, who has not been in contact with them for a long time, is now busy with the family's textile factory, and has not been in touch for a long time, recalling their friendship for so many years, from the original seven-person group gradually evolved into today's six-person organization. Life is like this, deducing the story of disintegration in the gathering and dispersion.

Circumstances determine the direction in which a person is headed, and ideals, driven by reality, have to deviate from the originally planned path. From like-minded to different-minded, this is the true life of friends.

Zuo Yuliang didn't go anywhere, he spent a dull Mid-Autumn Festival with his wife and children at home, and the family was reunited, and the warmth was also beautiful. Coincidentally, during the festival, my sister's family, who was far away from home, also took advantage of the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday to come to him to take a look. Naturally, he had a lot of work during the long vacation. After arranging for his sister to go to Hangzhou, he had time to calm down and think about the stock market, which is his inseparable scripture.

Thinking of the sparse transactions before the holiday, even the super tour capital, which has always been good at making waves, has gradually died down, what kind of information does this reveal? Zuo Yuliang felt that it was necessary to think clearly, and even if it was a guess, he had to make a reasonable explanation.

Let's first study the trend of the broader market index and see what the current situation looks like. At present, the Shanghai Composite Index is in a sideways pattern of shrinkage, but this offline sideways pattern, in Zuo Yuliang's impression, is often very fragile, and there are generally two trends. One is that as long as there is a big bearish release, it is very likely to break the position and fall. If this phenomenon occurs, the market falls near the annual line, and it is possible to see the low point of this round of adjustment. If this happens, there is a high probability that the participants will get a loss of at least 20 points, and then there will be a lot of mourning. And the stocks with poor performance will fall even more, for this, Zuo Yuliang feels that it is necessary to guard against this.

Another possibility is that at the bottom of the so-called box in the eyes of various bulls, the stock index continues to move sideways. In Zuo Yuliang's experience, if a sideways pattern is formed, it may last longer, after all, the bearish moving average wants to reverse the trend, except for the surge, there is no accumulation of more than 20 days, and it is difficult to reverse the current bearish pattern. However, once a sideways pattern is formed, the stock index is likely to be dominated by shock consolidation, and the opportunity for the market is mostly based on the pulse opportunity of individual stocks, and the opportunity for a large general rise is rare. However, it is even more difficult to grasp the upside of individual stocks among thousands of stocks.

Looking at the current situation of the market, Zuo Yuliang feels that in the next two months, the market of the main board will not be good. In addition, the end of the year is approaching, and the pressure on the demand for funds in various industries will also increase, and the stock market is not expected to be much better.

Let's take a look at the current situation of the ChiNext index. In Zuo Yuliang's view, many stock review articles are simply talking nonsense with their eyes closed. There have been bearish articles saying that the GEM stock index has come out of the bear market and fallen. It is not known where these people saw the conclusions.

In Zuo Yuliang's view, the GEM stock index seems to be weak, but in fact, the trend has begun to repair the trend of this round of breaking and killing in advance. Next, there is a high probability that there will be a small double-bottom bottoming rebound pattern, if the market volume can cooperate, it is not ruled out that the gem will go out of the rebound trend of Haidilao month.

For the ChiNext index, this round of breaking through the bottom of the box is actually the result of the management's strong bull's head, and if there is no management suppression, the ChiNext stock index may be much stronger than the market. After all, the GEM was inflow of a wave of chasing funds in the early stage. This is a trading volume basis for the future rebound of the ChiNext index, and the so-called volume comes first in price! Even if the money that goes in is trapped, he is still in it. It can be seen from the fact that some GEM stocks are not falling before the holiday, and these strong stocks may be the leaders in the next rebound of the GEM in the future, which is also the main point that Zuo Yuliang wants to express.

Judging from the analysis of the main board and the GEM index, Zuo Yuliangdi intuitively told him that the next opportunity may be in the strong stocks of the GEM.

Judging from the activity of the pre-holiday tour capital, the focus of the activity of the super tour capital is still in the GEM stocks, but due to the high-intensity supervision of the management, this round of speculation is estimated to be a loss of troops, otherwise, it will not die down so soon. Nine times out of ten, they are brewing new countermeasures.

How to re-operate effectively on the basis of complying with the rules of the industry is estimated to be the new rising model that the GEM stocks will show in the future, and the junk stocks will not be allowed to skyrocket.

Most of the high-performance stocks are the main heavy positions of institutions, and if you want to operate such stocks, you must achieve win-win cooperation with the fund. Zuo Yuliang guessed that most of it was behind the scenes, and most people didn't know about it.

In Zuo Yuliang's view, no matter how much it is suppressed, it is necessary to give all kinds of money in the market a way to live! If they are all wiped out, then there will really be no way to play with the stock.

Another reason why Zuo Yuliang is still optimistic about GEM stocks in such a weak market pattern is that GEM stocks are very flexible. Sometimes a wave of market rises by three or five points just a matter of minutes, which provides a possibility for short-term profits. This has greatly attracted retail investors in the market to follow suit. As long as there is a money-making effect, aggressive market participants will be more willing to choose GEM stocks for operation. This should be the stock market rush in the coming months.

Of course, which stocks are specific, Zuo Yuliang thinks, should be those strong stocks in the market, whether they are low or high prices, as long as they are strong, they may be favored by funds and speculated. This avoids the market regulation that comes with simply speculating on penny stocks. Top-performing stocks are rising, and penny stocks are also rising, which is the king of the market. Instead of forcing the market to become more and more thoughtful retail funds to take the initiative to take over high-performing stocks with high stock prices.

Most of the people who can enter the stock market will not be fools! Everyone knows the rules. Of course, it is also everyone's instinct to pursue advantages and avoid disadvantages, and it is also the fanatical nature of this kind of capital to chase up in groups.

After some comparative thinking, Zuo Yuliang came to this conclusion: In the stock market after the holiday, the opportunity is likely to be in the individual stocks of the GEM.

In a word, on the first day of the stock market after the holiday, I dare not say anything else, there will be a new leader in the GEM stocks, and at that time, the new hype style of the market may also be presented in front of everyone.

At that time, it should be noted that in the face of the new "playing board mode", participants must be aware of it.