Chapter 106, green and yellow

In the past, the old people knew that spring is generally the most difficult season of the year. The reason is that during this season, the family's harvest of last autumn has been exhausted after a winter's consumption, and spring is the time for planting. Last year's harvest has already been harvested, and this year's has not yet grown, and it is the season of green and yellow, so in the old days, spring was the most urgent time of the year for the average family. China's stock market seems to have this pattern, and in March and May every year, there are few decent market conditions.

The positive stimulus of the annual report has been exhausted, and the negative of the quarterly report will explode from time to time, especially this year's quarterly report, Zuo Yuliang's judgment is even more ugly. Under this kind of bad psychological expectations, the funds that are willing to enter the market to take over are naturally more cautious.

In the stock market, there is a lack of buying, there is no push to enter the long market, and the stock wants to rise, that is a myth.

It is precisely because of the overall recession of the stock market that some demon stocks want to create myths, through the concentrated operation of short-term funds, to create a trading volume, to create the illusion of rising, so as to create artificial bull stocks and demon stocks, in order to attract the attention and pursuit of a pair of eager eyes who expect to find benefits in the green bushes.

Therefore, this signal gave Zuo Yuliang a good indicator to observe the bulls and bears of the stock market, the more demon stocks are rampant, the more it shows that the overall market in the stock market is worse, and the weaker the willingness of stock market participants to enter the market.

The stock market after the Qingming Dynasty seems to have verified Zuo Yuliang's point of view, only a handful of stocks in the green bush are rising, and most of the stocks are quietly adjusting quietly. The downturn of the bear market has permeated the entire A-share market.

Powerful people in the world are never particularly public. It's the same in the stock market, where strong stocks have always risen steadily. For example, Kweichow Moutai, such as Wuliangye.

Too many bear market reminders in the market made Zuo Yuliang discourage his willingness to buy stocks after the holiday, which gave him more time to seriously think about how the stock market will evolve during the epidemic.

In the face of this sudden epidemic, although after many efforts, the outbreak and spread of the epidemic in China have been basically controlled, and all parts of the country have also started to resume work on the basis of the gradual reduction of the epidemic alarm. Although there are still sporadic cases of epidemic infection, the big risk is basically solved, which undoubtedly makes a strong guarantee and support for the future development of the economy. In other words, the overall economic development situation of the country this year may not be as difficult as imagined. For the stock market, perhaps the next trend is not so pessimistic.

Even if the stock index falls back in the future, the probability low is near the upper edge of the range of 2400 to 2600 points that he predicted before, that is, the low point of the stock index that may be seen in the future, with a high probability of being around 2600 points. In other words, from the existing stock index, at best, it is a decline of more than two points. If it is a sharp fall, it can be in place in a few days, and if it is a slow fall, it may turn on the killing mode of a boiled frog in warm water.

From the perspective of the market, if there is a sharp decline in the market in the future, it will be a very good opportunity to buy the bottom when it reaches around 2600. And if the stock index is constantly implicated by the external market and comes out of the slow decline mode, it will not be a good thing. The slow decline hits and erodes the confidence of shareholders and their willingness to enter the market, and there is no hope for a long time, and the blow to people's confidence is huge. Therefore, Zuo Yuliang hoped in his heart that if the stock index was to be adjusted, it would be best to fall sharply in place, and at that time, the bottom-buying funds may be more enthusiastic.

If the main force is willing to sacrifice space in exchange for time, it means that they can't wait to end the four-year long stock index bear market adjustment time in one step.

But if the stock index comes out of the bullhide market that continues to adjust slowly, then how should we deal with it next? Zuo Yuliang couldn't think of a good way for a while. Speculating in stocks and encountering the cowhide market is the most torturous way to move! It's like on the battlefield, looking for but not finding the enemy's main force that can fight a decisive battle, where do you say victory comes from?

"Brother Zuo, are we going to wait like this?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.

"What else can we do if we don't wait? Fortunately, we didn't enter the market, otherwise we would have had to eat again these days. Zuo Yuliang replied with a message.

"At the end of the first week after the holiday, many hot sectors have died. The 5G sector has been ebbing for a long time, and occasionally rebounding, it is also more than enough to be enough. The excitement of the pharmaceutical sector has also come to an end, and several demon stocks set off by the epidemic have also begun to fall sharply, after all, people do not live by taking medicine every day, and no matter how hype the concept is, it will be a flash in the pan after all. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"Then Brother Zuo, how will the stock market evolve under the certainty of this epidemic?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.

Due to the sudden outbreak of the epidemic, a plunge has resolved the impact of this bad news. I originally expected this fall to become a stage low, but now it seems to be a bit of an extravagant hope! I didn't expect that the epidemic abroad began to break out on a large scale again, causing our stock index to be dragged down and re-embarked on the road of correction, and it has the meaning of accelerating the fall!" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.

"There is too much uncertain news on the periphery, so it is unrealistic to expect A-shares to strengthen in the short term. In particular, our stock index has the characteristics of following the fall but not rising, and the future stock index may be even more tangled. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"That's really sad, it seems that there is not much market for stock speculation this year!" Hu Weiyong said in a message.

"As for Hu Daring, I don't think so, just look at the two stocks you bought this year, buy one and earn one! Could it be that you are a cat?

"Hehe, Du Wenfeng, you have a lot of associations! But it really makes sense to think about it, so why don't I be bold again and buy a stock to try?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.

"You guy, you hit the right two times, and you really think of yourself as a god?" Du Wenfeng sent a message.

"Du Wenfeng, don't say it, my biggest advantage is that I am bold, dare to try and make mistakes, isn't buying stocks just a chance to make money? Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.

"You guy, you just started making some money, and you took all the credit! I don't know that you have always made a profit on the basis of everyone's research! You guy with no conscience. Du Wenfeng sent a message and said.

"Hehehe, Wen Feng is really angry, I'm just talking, isn't it okay to be arrogant occasionally?"

"Okay, don't talk about it, and think about how we should deal with the volatility of the stock market when we have time. Let's discuss and see if there is an opportunity to operate. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"From the current point of view, if the external epidemic is not controlled, it is estimated that the domestic stock index will not be able to make a big improvement. After all, the development of our economy is becoming more and more international. There is no way we will not be affected. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"If that's the case, there's no hope until June at the earliest. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"Pretty much the same, the countries that are currently optimistic about the epidemic situation on the periphery are estimated to have an inflection point in May. It is expected that the initial control and improvement will be achieved in June. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"Then according to Pengfei, do we have to wait until June to be able to act?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.

"It's better to be like this, but the stock market is always unpredictable!" Liu Pengfei said in a message.

"However, I think the epidemic has been happening in China for so long, and the bad news that should have happened is probably over. The market should also digest the negative news in this regard. The probability of another large drop is very small. Chen Menglong sent a message and said.

"The epidemic should be over, but the impact of the epidemic on corporate efficiency may be gradually reflected. In particular, individual stocks have begun to enter the centralized release period of quarterly and annual reports, and it is not excluded that due to the general decline in performance, it will bring a new round of killing and falling in the market. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"What Brother Zuo said makes sense, especially if the performance expectations of the leading stocks in the market deteriorate, the effect of leading the decline is quite obvious. If you don't get it, the market situation will be brought by a wave of performance. Stocks with poor performance will fall, while stocks with good performance will rise. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.

"Then why don't we lay out some listed companies with excellent performance next?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.

"The annual report shouldn't be a big problem, right? After all, it was last year. But the quarterly report estimates that the divergence will be severe. Companies with good performance should be pharmaceutical stocks and some consumer listed companies. No matter how epidemic it is, eating and drinking are still necessary!" Du Wenfeng said in a message.

"Well, you can think about it in the direction that everyone is talking about. It is better to consider basic life supply sectors such as medicine, food consumption, water supply and power supply, etc. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

"Then do we divide the labor, everyone chooses an industry, carefully selects a few stocks, and then we summarize it?" Liu Pengfei said in a message.

"That's a good idea, I'm in favor of it. I'm going to do pharmaceutical stocks. Chen Menglong sent a message and said.

"Then I'll study food stocks!" Liu Pengfei said.

"Then I'll study power stocks and see if there are any dark horses. Cao Yinqiu sent a message and said.

"Hehe, everyone's enthusiasm is very high! Congratulations, it seems that everyone is equal in front of making money!" Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.

In this way, after everyone discussed, after having a rough understanding of the market outlook, everyone received their own tasks, and once again began to choose their own optimistic and favorite stocks for the next time they entered the market.

This is the power of unity, after all, a person's vision and energy are not as broad as everyone's cooperation. The biggest advantage of traveling together is that everyone can help each other and tide over the difficulties together!