Chapter 554: The Judgment of the Market!
Seeing Yang Jie, Wang Yonglin and others looking at him, Selder R&F Breg also felt a strong sense of superiority surging in his heart, and he felt that he wanted to make these Chinese people clear that airplanes were not so easy to make.
"Mr. Yang, Boeing is now relying on the double-decker B747, the world's largest long-range passenger aircraft with a capacity of 416 passengers, to let Boeing survive the bankruptcy crisis and establish the status of global aviation supremacy, and now it is very popular, and now Airbus has invested heavily in the development of the same type of aircraft. ”
Boeing and Airbus both believe that with the growth of population and economy, the degree of globalization progresses, the middle class will continue to grow, the speed of urbanization will accelerate, the population will gradually gather in megacities, and the passenger flow between important international aviation hubs such as Sydney, Tokyo, and Paris will rise sharply, resulting in more crowded runways and tighter take-off and landing times. This solution would require relying on very large aircraft, transporting as many passengers as possible to important air hubs at one time, and then diverting them to other small and medium-sized cities by small and medium-sized aircraft. ”
"So I think that if Mr. Yang really wants to buy Fokker, he must develop in the direction of developing super-large aircraft, so that he can get a big piece of the pie from the aviation market. ”
"So I don't think the $7 billion R&D that Mr. Yang proposed is far from enough, at least $20 billion to develop a super-large aircraft," said Selder R&Fred. ”
Wang Yonglin glanced at the chairman of Fokker at this time, and thought to himself that this Selder R&F Breg would open his mouth to spend so much research and development, what a big gamble! Will Yang Shao approve of his concept?
Yang Jie smiled, "Mr. Selder, I have to say that Airbus's conclusion is very bad, before that, my company has a professional part and overseas market research companies have made a fire analysis, now Europe and the United States are no longer able to emerge more than 10 million people of emerging cities, now the only place that can emerge more than 10 million people of new cities will only emerge in our Huaxia country and India, Brazil, Russia, South Africa is one of the four emerging economies, and the most likely places for more than 10 million urban populations in China include Yanjing, Jinshan, Yangcheng and Tanzhou. ”
"I know that Airbus has also asked a professional market research company to conduct a fire analysis of our Huaxia country, and they believe that 90% of the passengers who go to China from all over the world will first land in the three major cities of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, and they conclude that the population of these cities will exceed 40 million megacities in ten years. I can only say that they don't understand the situation of our country at all, our country's urban plan is not to build a few super-large cities, but urbanization, that is to say, the population of these large cities will be strictly controlled, and it will not exceed 20 million in more than ten years, and a large number of medium and large cities will emerge at the same time, and the role of large hub airports will be reduced, that is to say, the routes suitable for super-large passenger aircraft have become very limited, and the future belongs to' Point-to-point routes, where passenger traffic will be diverted from major hubs to second- and third-tier airports, and the market is more welcoming to medium-capacity aircraft. ”
"As far as I know, Airbus has invested up to $25 billion in research and development on this aircraft, which is almost the sum of the profits of the past ten years, and it is a big gamble that at least more than 400 aircraft need to be sold to achieve the break-even of the project. Airbus speculates that in the next 20 years, the market demand for this giant will reach more than 1,000 aircraft, but I can only say that they have no measures to achieve this goal. ”
"Boeing has preemptively completed the market layout of super-large passenger aircraft and cargo aircraft, and has robbed up on the basis of this market segment, leaving the market for Airbus will not be too much, and from the number of orders for Boeing's 747, most of the orders for Boeing 74 aircraft come from cargo models, and the number of orders for passenger models is declining, which confirms that the actual demand for super-large passenger aircraft is declining. ”
"Traditional network airlines are more susceptible to economic downturns than low-cost airlines, which directly affects the scale of their aircraft procurement," Yang said. The outbreak of the Internet economic bubble in the United States in previous years, coupled with the attack this year, the entire aviation industry has been hit hard, and the price of oil is now rising, those airlines that operate super-large passenger aircraft The cost of operating super-large passenger aircraft is very high, especially the cost of refurbishing internal equipment is very high, and the occupancy rate is not too high. ”
"At this stage, there will not be too many new aviation hubs, Dubai in the United Arab Emirates is located in the desert of the Middle East, but it is the best transit point to connect the Eurasian continent, and can also radiate Africa and Australia, which will become one of the emerging aviation hubs, that is to say, the market share left for Airbus is very small, I can make a conclusion here, Airbus's super large aircraft project is very likely to be smashed in the hands. ”
Selder R&F Breg opened his mouth, but he was speechless, the young rich man in front of him seemed to have done sufficient market research before buying the aircraft production company, and seemed to be very different from those rich people who played a ticket and left.
"In addition, now that the United States has launched a fight against terrorism, the dollar continues to fall as the fight against terrorism begins, and oil prices have entered an upward channel, and our company's research institute speculates that oil prices will continue to remain at a high level in the next seven or eight years. ”
Yang Jie said: "The rise in oil prices will have a big impact on the revenue and profits of airlines around the world, and these airlines need passenger aircraft with lower cost and lower fuel consumption, especially low-cost propeller regional airliners are very marketable." ”
"Our Huaxing group company is now developing a lower noise motor propeller system, and will produce a very low noise motor propeller when the time comes, and develop a fuel cell propeller aircraft, which can greatly reduce the cost of passenger aircraft, and at the same time bring a more comfortable experience to passengers, which only our company can do at this stage. ”
"Fuel cells or motor propellers?" Stark and Selder Rfrifrieger were shocked.
"Hehe, our Huaxing group company has matured the helicopter motor rotor system, and the two of you can see the products launched by our company at the air show tomorrow, and then we will develop a motor propeller with better aerodynamic design and lower noise on this basis. ”
Yang Jie said with a smile: "I am very confident in pushing the lowest-noise motor propeller on the Birth Realm. And now our country is developing a lot of hydrogen energy, as long as the fuel cell propeller regional airliner is made, hydrogen fuel will immediately follow, I think this airliner is very popular in our country. ”
“......”
Stark exchanged shocked glances with Selder Frieg.
"Mr. Yang, I'm really looking forward to seeing your company's motor rotor system tomorrow. Stark said.
Selder R&F Breg also nodded, he just wanted to show his judgment on the aviation market, but the young rich man in front of him obviously had his own clear judgment on the aviation market, and he couldn't come up with any strong evidence to refute it, so he didn't dare to say anything.
Before coming, he also had an understanding of this young rich man, but after some contact, he created this rich man in Huaxia is not easy to fool, and his grasp of the aviation market is far more accurate than him.
It seems that he really despises this rich man, Selder Fulbray thought to himself.
Think about it, such a young rich man has amassed such a grand fortune in a short period of time, where can he be a simple figure!
Although the young rich man in front of him does not seem to be a very flamboyant character, but all of them exude an incomparably calm and conceited personality, and only those who are particularly strong and strong will give people this kind of momentum.
Reborn University Tyrant Latest Chapter 554 Chapter 5 The Judgment of the Market!