Chapter 100: Let's talk about the stock market
Chapter 100: Let's talk about the stock market
Stock speculation cannot be rushed for quick success, and buying stocks cannot be changed overnight, these are the real feelings that Zuo Yuliang has drawn in the specific practice of stock speculation. After the end of a wave of upward market, the next period of reciprocal time is used to rest and think. The purpose of rest is to relax one's body and mind in order to adjust one's tension, and the purpose of thinking is twofold: one is to summarize the lessons learned, and the other is to plan specific actions for the next step.
The red envelope market after the holiday lasted for nearly 3 weeks, and the time for the next pullback will not be less than three weeks, that is, in these three weeks, the stock market will not provide you with a universal and stable opportunity to make money. Unfortunately, few people in the group know about this view, or even if they know this truth, few people abide by the conclusion that you can't buy stocks.
Hu Weiyong is the most typical representative. If it hadn't been for Zuo Yuliang's warning, he would have rushed in with the hot spot a long time ago. By extension, this may be the main reason why many people in the stock market speculate in stocks, and they obviously make money, but why they quickly lose their profits! The "Symmetry Theory" studied by Zuo Yuliang still makes some sense for stock speculation.
At the very least, Zuo Yuliang is methodically speculating in stocks according to his theory. But in order to let several stockholders in the group gradually have this stock speculation literacy, Zuo Yuliang still had a discussion with everyone, and tried to instill his own point of view to everyone.
Just when Zuo Yuliang wanted to talk about the stock market with his friends in the group, Hu Weiyong's news came again.
"Brother Zuo, it's been a few days since the last stock sell, have you found any results?
Regarding Hu Weiyong's idea of being eager to buy stocks, Zuo Yuliang couldn't cry or laugh, so he also sent a message and said: "Hu Weiyong, you really responded to the old saying, you don't want to sit on the stack of money! It's a pity that I can't let you get your wish every time!"
"I've just been off for a few days, and I'm thinking about making money again, not to mention a treat or something?" Du Wenfeng said in a message.
"I want to have a treat, but are you rushing out to party during this epidemic?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"Oh, feelings are you waiting for me here? hahaha. Du Wenfeng sent a message and said.
"I have to wear a mask when I go out, all the major hotels are closed, where do you let me treat myself?
"Don't talk nonsense, if you want to have a treat, there will be opportunities in the future. I think let's talk about the recent stock market situation! Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"What we did in the last wave of the market can be called a classic, and I admire Brother Zuo's suggestion to death. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"Since the stock index saw its high point on February 21, what do you think about the next trend, and it's easy to talk about it today. Zuo Yuliang continued to send a message and said.
"Judging from the decline of the stock index in the past two days, I judge that this round of rally is coming to an end. It has risen for about two weeks, and that pullback is a high probability thing. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"Tell me about your bearish reasons?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"One is what I said last time, the northbound funds have begun to continue to go out, and the other is that the trading volume has been expanding in the past few days, but the stock index has been falling, and I judge that there are funds leaving the market. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"It makes sense, do you mean to say that in addition to the northbound funds are out, it is estimated that there are also mutual knowledge funds in the field that are also taking advantage of the rebound to make profits?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"Yes, Brother Zuo, I estimate that there are major domestic funds that are also out, because the external market as a whole has deteriorated, especially the US stock market has plummeted. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"Fortunately, my stock is out, otherwise I would really be trapped again, hehehe. Chen Menglong sent a message and said.
"If the main capital reduces its position, then we have to avoid the limelight. After all, people are elephants, and we are ants!" Liu Pengfei said in a message.
"Did the stock index just go all the way down?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.
"I'm afraid it won't go all the way. According to the trend of market development, each wave of rise should be at least three stages, first the rising stage, then should be a shallow pullback, and then the stock index will rebound As for whether it is a new high, it is not necessarily. After that, it is estimated that the real pullback will begin. We will verify this gradually in the future. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Then are we selling stocks a little early? Now that the stock index has just begun to pull back, according to Brother Zuo, the stock index will have a second upward rush! It seems that it is a loss. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
"I'm talking about convention, and sometimes it doesn't follow that law exactly. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"That's why the stock market has always been uncertain! Let us guess, then aren't you really a stock god?" Liu Pengfei said in a message.
"I suggest that everyone sell stocks, which is a more prudent way to take it, and when others are crazy, we can calmly get out. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Brother Zuo, can you fight back?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.
"Yes, it depends on when you come in. Zuo Yuliang replied with a message.
"So what kind of stocks should I buy?" asked Hu Weiyong in a message.
"It's really hard to say, it's best to encounter a sharp drop in the stock index. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"I still suggest that you don't think about buying the bottom for the time being, the main funds are out of the game right now!" Liu Pengfei said in a message.
"Brother Zuo, according to what you said, the main funds are all on the market, how can the stock index rebound?" Du Wenfeng also sent a message and asked.
"I can't say for sure about this explanation, because in addition to the main force in the market, there are also the vast number of stockholders! This is also a force to be reckoned with in our stock market!" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"Then Brother Zuo means that the power to grab the rebound and go long for the second time is retail investors?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"I guess it's not just retail investors, but also all kinds of big investors who will also fish in troubled waters. The funds that did not dare to buy the bottom at the bottom of the previous wave of rise must have stepped on this wave of post-holiday rebound, and the second pullback of the stock index just gave them the opportunity to get on the bus. But keep in mind that the main force of the second rebound is out, so this wave of rebound will not be too strong. Because once resistance is encountered, the funds that entered the market in the early stage will also turn from long to short, thus starting a real pullback trend. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Is it really as God as Brother Zuo said?" Hu Weiyong said with obvious disbelief.
"Basically, every market is interpreted like this. I don't believe that Hu Wei hugged you to study the daily K-line trend of individual stocks to see if there is such a rule. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Isn't that the trend of the Five Waves Theory?, Brother Zuo, you have another syllogism?" Cao Yinqiu sent a message to ask.
"Any theory entering the Chinese market must be combined with our actual national conditions! If we simply copy the five waves theory to speculate in stocks, the final result will be buried by the stock market. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Don't say it, in our market, the most reliable is the syllogism, that is, one up, two downs and three rebounds. Basically, this pattern is based on the way it goes. Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
"Well, I understand, listening to everyone say this, my heart is really bright, and it seems that I can't buy stocks in a hurry. It is necessary to wait for the index to pull back before entering the market. Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
"Even if you know each other, if you are in a hurry to enter the market, what if the days of losing money are still ahead?" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"Then according to your judgment, Brother Zuo, when should we have a chance to enter the market?" Hu Weiyong asked in a message.
"It depends on when this wave of rally ends, but I estimate that it will be about 20 days, and according to this calculation, the stock index may see new entry opportunities after Qingming. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"It seems that we have to wait patiently for the next time!" Du Wenfeng sent a message.
"Yes, wait patiently, let's talk about it after Qingming! However, we can start paying attention to some sector stocks and prepare for our next layout!" Zuo Yuliang said in a message.
"Judging from the recent estimated stock index, the foreign market is also falling, and it is estimated that this will have a certain impact on us.
"Maybe there's more chance of falling down? Hu Weiyong sent a message and said.
"If the stock index really falls below the low point of the last kill, it is not a good thing, indicating that the market funds are resolute, then the low point may be lower! Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Brother Zuo, do you mean that if the stock index falls below the low point you saw last time, you should be careful?" Liu Pengfei said in a message.
"Yes, if this round of pullback does not fall below the low of 2685 points, we can consider buying the bottom, if it effectively falls below 2685 points, then it is estimated that the extreme low point will appear in the 2400 to 2600 points of the stock index range that I judged a few years ago. When the time comes, we will have to continue to wait patiently. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"When is the specific time?" Hu Weiyong said in a message.
"Originally, I judged it to be in June, but now it seems that there is really such a possibility!" Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Brother Zuo, then let's give you a suggestion! Let's continue to refer to it!" Liu Pengfei sent a message and said.
For the stock index, let's look at 2685 points. If it effectively falls below this point one day in the future, then we will continue to wait for short positions, and if it does not fall below, we will make a decision according to the specific situation of the stock market. Zuo Yuliang sent a message and said.
"Then listen to Brother Zuo's persuasion, let's continue to wait for the empty position!" Liu Pengfei replied with a message.
A chat dispels everyone's impulse to buy stocks, there is no good and appropriate opportunity to enter the market, and it is the best choice to wait and see. Because no one can guess how the stock index will evolve next.