Chapter 630: Oil Futures

"Once the price of oil reaches $28, we will start to liquidate our positions. Pen, fun, pavilion www. biquge。 infoBefore $32, all the inventory in hand should be cleared. This node must be determined, and the position can be cleared in advance, but it must not exceed the $32 line, and the chips in the hand have not been cleared. After that, you can consider shorting oil futures in a small short period of time, from $30 to $20. There is no need to mobilize bank leverage, just rely on our previous profits, take out three billion dollars to short, so that there will be about a billion dollars of profits. ”

The notepad in Chen Fa's hand kept recording Hu Wenhai's orders, but his expression looked a little speechless.

As soon as Hu Wenhai finished speaking, he looked up and saw her like this, raised his eyebrows and asked, "What's the matter?"

Chen Fa hesitated for a moment and nodded decisively: "Mr. Hu, I don't understand. ”

Say. ”

Hu Wenhai nodded.

"Regarding the market of oil futures, since the end of the Asian Games, it is now within reach of $28, and it will be able to reach this level within this week. But it is only October, and it may be two or three months before the war really begins. As for oil futures, isn't it so difficult that the real upward trend will only come after the start of the war?"

Hu Wenhai shook his head silently: "Do you still remember what I said about the stock market crash in the United States? If even the cleaners in the stock market come to buy stocks, it will not be far from a crash." ”

"The same is true of oil futures, which is the judgment of the vast majority of ordinary people to believe that there will be a real upward trend after the war begins. But as long as the current oil price is analyzed, it can be found that the price of oil futures has risen by at least 100% since Iraq's invasion of Kuwait!! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)。 This price not only stimulated other oil-producing countries to increase production, but also made the Soviet Union's economy show certain signs of recovery. This alone is already something that the United States absolutely cannot tolerate. ”

When Chen Fa heard this, he immediately thought about it, the Americans fought the Iraq War, and in the final analysis, it was still a drunkard who did not mean to drink.

If Iraq wants to increase production and raise prices, what does this have to do with the United States? The main oil importers of the United States are China and Mexico, accounting for 30 percent of US oil imports!! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING)! (MISSING) STRONG. Even if the Middle East does play a dog brain, it will not threaten the energy security of the United States, and even the worst case scenario is that the United States will extract oil within its own borders.

One fact that is often overlooked is that the United States itself is the world's third-largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia and the Soviet Union. In the early nineties, with the rapid growth of gasoline consumption, the United States was still rapidly increasing its oil production capacity.

Judging from the current petrodollar system, as long as the U.S. economy does not have problems, the value of the U.S. dollar will not fluctuate drastically. And if the dollar is not volatile, its control over the oil market is unequivocal.

Under such a stable system, the Americans are quite comfortable with the price of oil. Even if Iraq's invasion of Kuwait really caused the international oil price to rise, the United States has 10,000 ways to push down the international oil price again.

Why did the Americans mobilize the entire NATO military force and spend hundreds of billions of dollars in capital just to support Kuwait just because Kuwait was invaded?

Let's have fun!

Can the United States make money back on the oil market for the expenses incurred in the Gulf War? On the surface, the Americans are doing a completely loss-making business this time.

But from another point of view, if you can kill the Soviet Union, let alone more than 100 billion dollars, one trillion dollars is also a big deal.

This is the real intention of the Iraq War, and through the Gulf War, the United States not only won the war, but also won the interview examination for the position of the world's policeman.

From then on, the Soviet Union's international influence was almost nil. The Gulf War not only hit Saddam Hussein, but also slapped the Soviet Union in the face, making people all over the world see the weakness of the Soviet Union and the fact that it could be bullied.

This truth is easy to sum up from the perspective of hindsight, but in the early nineties, the international situation still presents a situation of confusion.

Not only Chen Fa, but many people in China are still superstitious about the theory of the people's war. It is believed that the United States will be caught in the ocean of the Iraqi people's war, repeating its experience in Korea and Vietnam.

At this time, the Chinese still had a very superficial understanding of the Middle East, and they probably felt that the people's war, a difficult strategy of a decisive battle for the whole people, could be played by any political system.

However, in fact, looking at it, except for East Asia and Maozi, it can be said that in terms of combat effectiveness -- the East Asian monster house is basically all garbage.

Once a militaristic regime like Iraq finds itself in obvious military difficulties, it will simply collapse. Want to play the People's War, and they deserve it too?

With such a misconception, it is no wonder that Chen Fa believes that the rise in oil prices to $30 is a relatively conservative estimate for Hu Wenhai.

Hu Wenhai sighed lightly, shook his head and explained.

"So you see, once the war really starts, the price of oil will not only not rise, but will have a downward trend. At this time, the Americans are trying to show their absolute control over oil prices. If a war takes oil prices out of the control of the United States, even if the United States wins this war on the battlefield, it will lose the entire strategic situation. As long as the United States announces the release of its oil reserves before the war, even if it does not need to put the stocks on the market at all, a single statement can make the price of oil plummet. ”

Hu Wenhai said affirmatively: "Look, twenty dollars is a hurdle, and the United States will never allow the price of oil to exceed twenty dollars, because that would mean a blood transfusion to the Soviet Union." ”

Chen Fa seemed a little skeptical of his words, but he still reluctantly agreed with Hu Wenhai's explanation.

In this regard, Mr. Hu's record is really unmatched. Whether it's a crow's mouth or a god's prediction, anyway, today's Mr. Hu can be bold and bold in this regard, to see which one dares to catch him and slice him.

If there really is such an eye-opening institution or scientist, you can ask the two million PLA and the hundreds of millions of Chinese workers who have taken loans and investments in China Railway Construction Investment to agree or not.

As for the various unscientific points in Mr. Hu's record, the explanation is affection, and not explaining is duty, you bite me?

At his current level, if he can't even guarantee his personal safety, and he has to become a persecuted paranoia all day long because he is different, it will be too much of a mess.

Although Chen Fa does not agree with the explanation of the trend of oil prices after the start of the Hu Wenhai War, based on his past performance, he can only operate in accordance with his deployment.

It is related to the security of tens of billions of dollars, and it is not something she can bear this responsibility.

Hu Wenhai briefly elaborated on the next operation requirements for oil futures, and the actual operation process is also a black box state that he cannot fully understand.

For financial operations, he only knows a few basic knowledge, such as leverage, short selling, etc. Fortunately, now the group not only has a reliable team of brokers, but also the professional team brought back by Fang Jiange in Japan is of stronger quality.

The two teams are based in London and Singapore, respectively, and work together to operate the global market. Hu Wenhai only needs to hand over his judgment of the market trend to them, and this team will naturally be able to maximize the benefits on this basis.

As Mr. Hu's financial secretary, Chen Fa's importance is undoubted. And her main job is to translate Hu Wenhai's will into concrete actions in the market.

After she recorded all the contents of Hu Wenhai's instructions, the door of the Xiangshan Hotel room was also knocked from outside.

"Mr. Hu, Tu Lao and they are here. ”

Qin Kai pushed open the door, and behind him were several middle-aged and old people who were not young.

The first person was Tu Jida, the chief engineer of the panda project, and behind him was Song Wencong, who had a square face.

However, behind Song Wencong, there are two other people.

The strangers looked to be in their forties, and one of them had gray hair, but both of them were still very vigorous, and at first glance it seemed as if a passion was brewing between their brows.

Seeing that a visitor was coming, Chen Fa hurriedly put away the notebook in his hand and asked Hu Wenhai with his eyes.

After Hu Wenhai nodded, she happily got up to say goodbye and turned around and left the guest room.

Qin Kai was also only responsible for opening the door and reporting at the door, and after Tu Jida and the others walked in, he consciously retreated and closed the door.

The people who followed Tu Jida to visit, even if the words they said to Hu Wenhai were punctuated marks, I am afraid they were all classified content. Since Qin Kai was transferred to the Xinke Group, he definitely didn't have this level to stay here.

"Old Tu, we haven't seen each other for a while. ”

"Mr. Hu is busy, and our project team is the same, and we can't call all people to have a meeting in the imperial capital. This time is also a rare opportunity, without the Asian Games, I am afraid I will not be able to catch you Mr. Hu. ”

Tu Jida laughed, and stepped out of the way to light up the person behind him.

"Let me introduce you, this is Song Wencong, the chief engineer of the 611 Institute. ”

Where does Hu Wenhai need Tu Jida to introduce, I don't know how many times I have seen the pictures of Chief Master Song on the Internet. The iconic square face and thick eyebrows and big eyes are too recognizable.

He hurriedly stretched out his hands, and under the surprised expression on the other side, he clenched it tightly with Song Wencong's outstretched hand with unusual enthusiasm.

"I've admired the name for a long time, I didn't expect to see the real person of Chief Master Song one day!" Hu Wenhai shook vigorously, his face full of admiration.

"Mr. Hu is too polite, I am the ......"