It's March 11th,

Countless Americans passed by the Empire Mall, looking at the lonely words "19 days and 21 hours" on the super giant LED, and their faces showed a more or less awe mixed with other complex invitations;

These days, with the fermentation of the incident, the depression of the real estate industry in the United States is visible to the naked eye, and the public is very sensitive to find through TV programs that housing prices have fallen by more than 20% compared with three years ago, and various real estate agencies are full of unwanted listings, even so, every day there are countless homeowners who list their properties in the agency.

On the street, I don't know when, more and more homeless people set up tents, and after 8 o'clock in the evening, the tents are really panicking, as if they are not in the United States in the 21st century, but in the concentration camps of World War II.

………………

In the tent, Jefferson looked at Jeff with a complicated expression: "Jeff little angel, are we really going to do this?"

Jeff's face was equally hesitant, but finally gritted his teeth: "Yes!"

Jefferson's face was full of confusion: "But, will it end up like in the movie, and it will eventually turn into a terrible riot?"

Yes, as early as half a month ago, Lin Tu and his team chartered several community theaters in the name of public welfare activities and invited these homeless people to watch the movie "The Second Depression".

What is the effect...... Just look at the homeless people who are out of the theater or angry and scolding, or have twinkling eyes.

Listening to Jefferson's concern, Jeff replied affirmatively:

"There will be no riots, I believe in your character!"

"Moreover, now is the right time to make the society and the government pay attention to you, as long as we insist on peaceful marches, there should be a relatively big chance for the government to introduce some policies that can solve your difficulties, after all, it is difficult to solve the problem of homeless people on a large scale by relying solely on private volunteers!"

"As long as we can solve your difficulties to a certain extent, even if we succeed, even if we are expelled by the police, it is nothing, we can march a second or third time, as long as we maintain restraint, there will be no danger in this environment. ”

Jefferson looked at Jeff who was faintly emitting holy light, and smiled bitterly in his heart, don't believe in our character, even I don't believe in my own character;

Besides, there are not only those people who are helped by the [Wanderer's Home] among the homeless, some people are very violent psychologically, and it is really hard to say whether there will be any accidents when the time comes.

As Jefferson pondered how to convince Jeff, Jeff continued:

"Besides, after several discussions with us from public welfare organizations, we feel that what Lin said is very reasonable;"

"In the United States, every group needs to have its own voice and fight for them to be treated legally and fairly;"

"At present, whether it is blue-collar workers, farmers, people of color, environmental groups, and feminist groups, they all have their own spokespersons, and even the gay community, but there is no spokesperson for the homeless community;"

"And if you want to fight for the rights and interests of the homeless group, either the spokesperson has enough social influence, or the homeless group itself has political and economic value, or...... The wanderers themselves began to have political influence;"

"Judging from the previous situation, the group of wanderers did not touch any of them,"

"But now it's different, the U.S. economy is currently in a visible depression, and the government must focus on stability;"

"And with the influence of 'The Second Depression,' the government must be afraid of uncontrolled riots among the homeless community, as in the plot of the movie;"

"So, now is a good time for us to expand our social influence and advocate for our own interests;"

"The idea is to get the government to set up a department dedicated to the homeless community through large-scale peaceful demonstrations,"

"Not only do we need to allocate some funds to improve the living environment and medical conditions of the homeless, but also those abandoned or unoccupied houses should also be allocated to you in a planned way, at least, to ensure that not so many people are frozen to death every year!"

"The most important thing is that in order to ensure that this measure is effective in the long term, there must be a group of homeless representatives in this department to speak out,"

"We've agreed that each organization will send a representative from the Wanderer community, and if you will, the representative of our [Wanderer's House] is you, Jefferson!"

Jefferson listened quietly, and at first he was tempted to interrupt Jeff and tell her that you were naïve;

However, when I heard that I could become a representative, as a spokesperson for an interest group, and had my own social status, I immediately thought about it;

It seems that this idea is not impossible......

………………

At this moment, Ian was walking out of the tea break room with Yang Zhu with a complicated expression, and his eyes at Yang Zhu implied a strong vigilance.

After opening the door and seeing that there was no one around, Yin En lowered his voice: "Yang, tell me, how did you know that we organized so many things?"

Yang Zhu looked indifferent and glanced at him: "I said that I may know more about your affairs than you think." ”

Ian's eyes were a little sharp: "Are you willing to swear in the name of the gods, are you not from some institution in your country?"

Yang Zhu first glanced at him with a disapproving look, and then sighed as if compromised: "Okay, for the sake of us actually being [comrades], I'll reluctantly calm your heart." ”

Then he touched his heart with his right hand, hung his head slightly, and swore in the name of his ancestors that he did not belong to any country, a member of any official body.

Yin En saw Yang Zhu swear with his gods, and his face looked a little better, so he nodded, first expressing his apologies, and then Shi Shiran left......

………………

The next day, there were several demonstrations of hundreds of homeless people in New York, holding banners and shouting slogans of "homeless people are also people", so that the government should pay attention to the homeless group and give them enough channels to speak out and provide them with living guarantees.

At the same time, the same demonstrators appeared in more than 20 cities, including Los Angeles and San Francisco;

Influenced by the plot of the movie, local government departments have dispatched explosion-proof police, and municipal officials also came forward for the first time, in front of the media camera, listened to the "three major and eleven small ones" of these marchers, and then said that the government will listen carefully to every voice of the American people.

On the third day, when the procession reappeared, the city officials came forward and told them that at present, due to financial and human constraints, they could only accept four of the small demands, that is, some conditions to ensure the survival of the vagrants, and that the rest would require the adjustment of various parties and the enactment of relevant laws before they could give a clear answer, and told them very mildly that they were confident that they would solve the whole problem;

The crowd cheered as if they had won a major victory.

However, while New York and a few cities have achieved some results for the time being, the rest of the city is different, and some local governments have brutally rejected the demands of the homeless, and although the two sides have been more restrained and there have been no serious physical confrontations, the atmosphere is very unpleasant.

This seems to have passed for the time being, but the impact has been beyond the expectations of the US government;

The so-called does not suffer from widowhood but suffers from unevenness;

As soon as you look at it, even such a frustrated group as the homeless can get the government to make concessions, so can ordinary people who have been affected by the economic depression also fight for their "legitimate rights and interests"?

After all, no matter what you say, it should be heavier than the weight of that group of homeless people.

As a result, countless marchers poured into the streets, and those who owed their mortgages, those who had been laid off and unemployed, those whose investments had been damaged, and those who felt that they were discriminated against in their lives and work, came out one after another, and demanded compensation from the government;

The relevant government officials were so overwhelmed by so many marches at the same time that they could only be comforted by gentle words, but they did not reply to their inexplicable requests.

So the teams failed and returned.

When they returned, they wondered why the results of the demonstrations were so different from those of the homeless group.

In the end, I came to the conclusion that my own number was not enough, and more importantly, the slogan was not loud;

You must know that the Western countries represented by the United States are different from East Asian countries; East Asia pursues a "culture of shame" with morality as the most resonant evaluation criterion, while the United States pursues a "culture of sin" with various original sins as the evaluation criteria.

So on the fifth day, these processions quickly swelled to more than 300 people, many of whom invited some wanderers as their members;

On the other hand, they played the slogan "the government and Wall Street are in concert to exploit people's property" and asked the government to compensate them for their losses.

Once the government makes concessions, doesn't it admit that it is in a nest with Wall Street snakes and rats? What's more, if everyone asks the government to bear the loss, will this not make the government bankrupt in minutes?

So, in the process of this tug-of-war between the two sides, people kept coming in to join in the fun, and the processions became more and more numerous and larger, and there were hardly a few idlers and vagrants in the whole city—they were all dragged to be strong men!

Finally, on the eighth day, as the mood of both sides became more and more irritable, the physical clash began, and in the procession, I don't know which people shouted, and then began to throw stones;

People are all herd mentality, and even more so in this case?

As a result, the parade soon turned into a riot, but fortunately, these anti-explosion policemen had been vaccinated in advance, and with full equipment and restraint, they did not turn into a large-scale conflict as in the movie;

In fact, under the government's deliberate restraint, the police did not even make arrests, and just watched the group leave;

If this is the case, then this matter will not make much waves, after all, the United States and Western European countries are in the wind, tens of thousands of people march every year, what is the matter?

But the bad thing is that when the crowd was about to disperse, I don't know who shouted inside: "If the government doesn't compensate us, we will take it ourselves!" Then several people took the lead and rushed towards the store next to them, and under the nervous gaze of the clerk, they swaggered out with a bunch of goods;

Everyone suddenly realized, yes, there are so many people themselves, grab something, who dares to resist?

Besides, what people said is right, if the government does not compensate, will he be obediently a little sheep to be slaughtered?

Happiness needs to be "strived for" with your own hands!

So, a group of people did the same, and rushed to various stores to grab it;

This plague-like act spread throughout the city in just two days, and the streets were filled with shops and cars on fire, looting goods, beating people, setting up barricades to paralyze traffic, and billowing smoke turning an international metropolis into a World War II battlefield.

At this moment, the U.S. government couldn't sit still, this completely touched its own bottom line, so countless police officers were dispatched, and hundreds of people were arrested in one day, and there were many physical conflicts in the middle, and almost one out of every ten police officers came back injured.

Originally, if the U.S. government continued to crack down on it in this way, although the public opinion on the incident was not small after the fact, the incident itself might have been brought under control within a week;

But how could a certain unscrupulous guy design so many small actions to make them get their wish?

Thus, on the twelfth day, events took a rather significant turn;

On this day, a group of "demonstrators" of different compositions, as usual, were walking down the street with the booty in their hands, and suddenly, when they passed a gun shop, they turned around and rushed in, and the shopkeeper carefully looked at the appearance of several people, first threw a bunch of keys out, and then slammed his head against the burglar fence, and fainted bleeding from his head.

So the rest of the plot is easy to guess, the gang opened the gun cabinet with the key, called friends to get more people to get guns and ammunition, and in just two hours, all kinds of unknown demonstrators had an "armed force" of sixty or seventy people;

The same situation happened in various parts of the United States, there were always fireworks shops, gasoline stations, and gun shops that were attacked by "rioters", and then the rioters took the props in their hands and shot at the police who heard the news, threw gasoline bombs, and "fireworks".

Suddenly, the social security situation in the United States deteriorated sharply, police officers and demonstrators died and injured every day, almost all the shops on the street were closed, and the "demonstrators" completely learned from the movies, opened the doors of jewelry stores and luxury stores through various means, and even did not know what means, plundered a private bank, and gave birth to a group of "millionaires";

Under the trend of interests, more and more people joined this "carnival", and under the hesitation of the government, the whole United States was plunged into the greatest chaos in history;

Under such circumstances, under the inexplicable inducement of public opinion, more than 1,000 of the more than 6,600 gun-owning organizations in the United States have come forward, loudly denouncing the government's incompetence while claiming that they want to protect their property with weapons in their hands, and some even claiming that they want to "help others" and help the government subdue these mobs.

As a result, when these organizations came into play, the whole society became even more chaotic, and due to the laws of the United States, most of the members of the armed organizations did not dare to shoot at people before they were attacked, at most they only shot at the sky to intimidate and subdue the mob;

But their actions caused more chaos,

First of all, the sound of gunfire everywhere made the people panic even more, blocking the door so badly that they didn't even dare to go out, there was no flow and no trade, and the economy of the whole city was completely paralyzed;

Secondly, some mobs with ulterior motives and slightly more daring ones will not be frightened by your vain behavior, they jump over the wall in a hurry, they directly pick up guns to shoot, or use Molotov cocktails as weapons to counterattack, at the beginning it is the people of those organizations who are quite damaged, and in the back, it becomes a scene of a slight mistake, a real exchange of guns and guns, this situation makes the stress reaction of all organizations, including innocent civilians, more intense, and many people are injured and killed every day, of course, more by mistake;

In the end, the people of these groups caused a lot of trouble for the police and the members of the Wehrmacht who were gradually intervening, and walking down the streets, there were people with guns everywhere, and no one could tell who was organized with guns and who was a mob - even if they had agreed in advance to wear a mark on their bodies, wouldn't those mobs do the same? How difficult it is to wear a white towel on your arm or a Pikachu, people are now very well stocked!

Under these circumstances, deliberate attacks became relatively easy, police incidents were frequent, and the seemingly unarmed marching crowds brought the entire United States back to the guerrilla warfare that had caused a headache on the battlefield of "Big Food".

At this time, you ask the economy of the United States?

I'm sorry, the U.S. economy has long been finished, when the crowd of demonstrators have weapons in their hands, that is, when the whole city sets off fireworks, the U.S. stock market began to dive, and under the chain reaction, the capital that shorted the U.S. economy was happy to set off fireworks all day to celebrate, and any investors who were long in the U.S. lost even their underwear, not to mention those CDOs and MBS, which are now completely equal to half a piece of papyrus;

After 7 days of fireworks, countless capital, including those in their own country, fled from the United States, and the U.S. economy completely collapsed.

Well...... If calculated according to this time, the prediction of the movie "The Second Depression" actually failed, because the time displayed on the LED screen at that time was still 4 days!

………………

Looking at the carnivals on TV across the United States and the various media attacks on the incompetent government, Yang Zhu casually turned his head sideways and asked:

"Have you recovered all your accounts?"

Lin Xiong on the side stared closely at the disordered Chinese characters on the old-fashioned mobile phone text messages, his eyes were red, he hadn't slept much for five days, at most he spent an hour on the sofa, and then watched various stock market indicators and other financial information in the United States through a specific financial channel;

Hearing Yang Zhu ask, he replied in a hoarse voice: "The money in the stock market has been transferred out, and the compensation for CDS has basically been received, and most of it has been transferred out;"

"But there are still two private banks that are prevaricating with various reasons, hoping that their payouts can be postponed by a week;"

"These two banks bought $40 million in CDS contracts at the beginning, and the amount of compensation was as much as $1.1 billion."

"Hmph, I think they actually want to file for bankruptcy protection!"

Yang Zhu said disapprerovingly: "At present, the best purpose is to transfer all the funds in your hands safely, don't stay in the United States for too long, otherwise it will be fun if something goes wrong." ”

"As for the $1.1 billion in compensation, you can just transfer the debt rights to Ian, and the rights should be paid off. ”

Lin Xiong and the Lin brothers and sisters looked at him with a very strange look, clearly saying, "How can there be such a brazen person in the world?"

You must know that if the other party enters the bankruptcy liquidation link, the $1.1 billion will basically be considered a waste, and it would be good to recover 1/4 of it in his lifetime; besides, after the economic crisis in the United States, the Federal Reserve will definitely have to release water to offset the loss of its own assets, and at that time, the actual value of the money will shrink by a large margin.

Looking at their eyes, Yang Zhu shrugged: "Don't look at me like this, what if Ian will be very pleased to accept this gift?"

"You know, for them, they don't care about the $1.1 billion, maybe they will happily take over these two private banks?"

"You know, as long as the operation is hidden enough, the acquisition of these two private banks will not be known to the outside world at all, and for Ian, these two private banks may be more valuable. ”

Everyone stopped talking, this Yin Enshen was mysterious, except for Yang Zhu, no one knew what they were trying to do, but he still didn't ask much, this world is very dangerous, and it is a good thing to know less.

Somewhat intoxicated and trembling, he swept the line of numbers calculated in front of him, and Lin Xiong said to Yang Zhu: "Your part of the income looks scary enough now, do you want to open a Swiss bank account for you and deposit the money in it?"

At the beginning of the action, in order to show his confidence, Yang Zhu also invested all his savings, and the cumulative income of several movies was a little more than 100 million yuan, and he chose to invest in CDS at that time, and he got a lot of money with nearly 30 times leverage;

In addition, this plan was proposed by him, and there were many key nodes in the middle that were his opinions, which even dealt with the forces on Ian's side, which provided a lot of help for the smooth progress of the plan, so his "operation commission" was a lot.

Although it seems to be only 2%, but thinking about the massive amount of funds harvested this time, the funds obtained from this commission alone exceed the market value of most domestic enterprises.

Therefore, Lin Xiong asked him if he wanted to open a Swiss account, it was also for his good, although the benefits of this transaction were amazing, but the same risk was not small, in case Yang Zhu was accidentally exposed in the future, in case there was a murder link in the movie, Yang Zhu had a Swiss bank account, and it would be easier to buy his life with money.

When Yang Zhu heard this, he rolled his eyes: "What am I doing with Swiss banks, do you really think Swiss banks are so insured?"

"It's better to keep it in the country, in case I hang up at that time, it will be more convenient for my son to inherit, otherwise maybe the Swiss bank will find all kinds of reasons to be greedy for this money!"

Lin Xiong knew this stalk, and was a little speechless, do you think you are those Jews during World War II, such a little money, people go to great lengths to embezzle?

But since the lord said so, he didn't bother to toss.

Suddenly, he remembered something, and his face became a little serious: "Virtuous nephew, there is something I forgot to tell you." ”

Seeing the look on the old fox's face, Yang Zhu had a bad premonition: "What's the matter?"

The old fox was a little stumbling, and rarely showed some twisted expression: "That...... You're going to be back in a few days, and when you get back, someone wants to talk to you. ”

Yang Zhu heard his words, thought about it for a while, and knew what it was, and said with an indifferent face: "Just talk about it, what a big deal!"

But there are some indescribable emotions in my heart,

This day has finally come......

PS: To answer the opinion of a deacon-level scholar in the special article:

First of all, from a global perspective, the series of reactions triggered by the epidemic belongs to a composite state of exogenous disasters combined with endogenous economic crises, and on the whole, the economic impact of this epidemic may even exceed the Great Depression of 1929-1933.

Secondly, the biggest opportunity brought by this epidemic to China is that it can try to compete with the United States for the right to dominate the world, which must be the core of China's strategy during this period, and all actions are very likely to be carried out around this purpose (including the use and compromise of external capital as discussed later);

Of course, this process depends on many factors;

The most important internal factors are:

1. Whether the domestic economic vitality and stability can be quickly restored;

At a time when exports are limited and the internal economic cycle is sluggish, if this problem is not solved, then the struggle for the right to speak in the world is like tightening the belt to aid Africa a few decades ago.

2. Whether the core technology of China's manufacturing industry can get rid of the sanctions and constraints of Western countries;

You know, not to mention anything else, photolithography machines, industrial design software, and many program source code, which are essential things for Chinese manufacturing, in fact, seven inches are currently pinched in Western countries, once it is really locked, then China can really only continue to do primary processing (without these things, mobile phones as the representative of electrical appliances, software, automobiles, and even military industry, there is no advanced at all.) ）。

3. Able to quickly upgrade the manufacturing industry;

We must be clear that, in fact, for many countries, there are only two kinds of goods that are the most valuable and lifeblood;

One is low-cost, T0~T1 level livelihood products that can meet the minimum living requirements of the domestic people, because these things can allow the ruler to manage the whole society with the lowest cost and the highest fault tolerance rate;

The other is a sufficiently sophisticated commodity and technology, because these are related to strategic factors such as energy, transportation, national defense, science and technology ecology, production efficiency, etc., (please think of the Dutch lithography machine and China's mobile phone industry, France's original engine technology in China's military industry, the Soviet Union's metallurgical technology at that time in China's heavy industry; the Windows system and Google's code platform in China's software industry, you can generally understand the importance of these things.) ）

In fact, at the moment when China's traditional trade categories are shrinking, the rapid upgrading of the manufacturing industry can be a good way to expand new market categories, in addition to solving a large part of the food problem, but also to feed back the domestic consumer economy. (In the past, a state-owned enterprise supporting a city is the best proof that although the scale is not comparable in the future, it has one meaning.) ）

4. Whether it is possible to quickly establish a new global economic standard and order based on overtaking in technological corners

The simplest example is Huawei's 5G technology, once it becomes the technical standard of the global communications industry, then we can continue to draw profits from countries around the world like the United States at the beginning, and derive a variety of competitive products and new industries.

Of course, there are many other potentials, such as real blockchain technology, he can play a very terrible role in finance, accounting, auditing, big data and other fields, if China really takes the lead in entering the practical, and derives a series of ecological products and services, it is equivalent to pinching the pulse of the world economy (as for the experts said that the upcoming use of electronic RMB is not blockchain technology, hehe, just listen. ）

As for the external issues, although they are also complex, in simple terms, they are nothing more than the following;

1. Can you withstand the soft and hard attacks of the United States and a group of his younger brothers, after all, this world still speaks with fists in its bones, and it doesn't have enough strength, unless it has to, who is willing to follow you one-sidedly?

2. Can you feed back enough soft and hard interests to other countries, this world pays attention to convincing people with money, let you be the boss, you have to give us some benefits, right?

In fact, over the years, China has been engaged in the Southeast Asian bridgehead strategy, the Belt and Road strategy, in fact, to put it bluntly, is the path taken, which is obviously effective.

………………

Okay, back to business;

I have said so much earlier, but in fact, I am paving the way for the fate of foreign capital that will pour into our country in large quantities this year (in fact, there has already been a large influx). ）

We must understand a truth, many of the technologies that can be stuck in our necks mentioned above are, in the final analysis, in the hands of those big capitals.

And everyone knows very well that whether the Western world led by the United States imposes strict technological blockade and economic sanctions on our country is actually up to those big capitals;

This leads to a very interesting topic - China's attitude towards these global capitals that are eager to take refuge will largely determine whether China's current strategic goals can be achieved quickly.

You must know that capital is profit-seeking, and if our country can give him enough fat, the restrictions on it are completely a piece of waste paper;

And with the help of that capital, we can easily build a second Wall Street, with a steady stream of profits from countries around the world.

But......

The book friend said very well, China has always implemented an independent, not completely open financial policy, and everything is based on stability;

Then there is a very serious conflict of interest between the two;

If those capitals want to preserve the value of the money in their hands, it will inevitably require the appreciation of the RMB, but this will inevitably harm the interests of all the people and substantially reduce the economic vitality and quality of life in the country.

If those capitals want to continuously extract profits, it will inevitably require our country to completely open up its financial policy, but the story of Wall Street and the United States tells us that there is no need to repeat what the negative effects of these capitals will bring about when they play in this way, and we do not want to become a second America.

Therefore, I said that the most likely choice for China is to compromise a little, slightly increase the value of RMB, and let some industries allow these capital to enter, such as the field of non-performing assets, such as some IT fields, such as the overseas bond market;

But completely liberalizing monetary policy, I don't think it's possible,

Therefore, what can we do with a small amount of half-full capital? There is still so much money that has nowhere to go, and the global economic environment is so bad that it is not safe to go anywhere except China.

Therefore, the biggest possibility is to divide the money into three, part to eat the fat that China throws at it, part to fight in the relatively safe countries in those high-profit areas, and the last part to pour into China's normal commercial market - at least some certainty of maintaining value, or to make a small profit through normal business means.

Under this assessment, my big brother and I believe that by this time next year, there will be 5-10 trillion yuan of funds pouring into China.

Therefore, you can guess why China has suddenly banned the outflow of large amounts of RMB recently, and the group of people who ran between China and abroad began to make a fuss about their household registration.

………………

Finally, for the question of the strong capital power of my country mentioned by the book friend, I am sure to tell you that under China's national conditions, compared with foreign counterparts, capital is simply humble!

Do you think that more than ten years ago, "garlic you are ruthless", "Wenzhou real estate speculation group", this year's "where did the scallops go", "Nanshan Pizza Hut" and other events are called strong capital?

Tell you, it's far from it!

You don't see the country's crackdown on floating capital, you don't see the country's defense against P2P and other capital that steals concepts, and you don't see the deep intention of "fighting tigers" and "swatting flies" in recent years.

Even the upcoming electronic RMB, to put it bluntly, in addition to the indescribable strategic ambitions, a big function is to supervise these capitals through information traceability to prevent them from being demons!

Hmph, I also said in the book that my country now has an attitude towards capital, that is, be obedient and contribute your own strength to the construction of the motherland, otherwise......

In general, my country does not want to become another United States kidnapped by capital, so under the mentality of vigilance, my country's capital is fat, but it is like a fat pig whose teeth have been stripped away, and can only lie obediently in the circle, basically unable to set off any storms.

Finally, the book friend said that after the epidemic eases, Asia will explode with terrifying purchasing power - this I have relatively reservations;

If China quickly recovers its economic vitality, then no one will dispute this conclusion, after all, the people of all countries in the world now look at our people like looking at a golden fat pig;

But if this recovery time is relatively long......

Well, the rebound in revenge consumption is not enough to last, and if the economic environment does not improve, everyone's purse is a source of water, so what is the purchasing power?

Well, it's all a family's words, indiscriminate YY, can't be taken seriously, let's just take a look, welcome everyone to discuss.