Chapter 640: Adjustment Plan
Hu Wenhai thought for a while, nodded and said: "That's right, after Xinke Investment clears these chips in hand, it is almost about to withdraw from the oil market." Pen | fun | pavilion www. biquge。 info”
"May I ask, why did Mr. Hu choose to empty his futures contracts at this stage?" Huang Zongrui asked cautiously: "The current mainstream view in the market is that before the war starts, the price of oil should still have room to rise by ten dollars. ”
Hu Wenhai shook his fingers, pursed his lips, and said with a smile: "I don't know much about financial investment, I can only say that I am a layman." ”
Although what he said was the truth, whether it was Huang Zongrui or Chen Fa present, they obviously had an expression of "hehe, are you kidding me".
"But I know at least one thing-" Hu Wenhai didn't mind their appearance, and continued calmly: "In the financial market, if there is any criterion that can be agreed upon, it is that nothing will happen. ”
"When everybody thinks there's $10 more room for oil prices to rise, I think oil prices have reached their peak. ”
Huang Zongrui was a little surprised, couldn't help but widen his eyes, and hurriedly asked: "So, Mr. Hu thinks that oil prices will turn down?"
"It depends on the attitude of the Americans, what is the purpose of this war, which has already cost hundreds of billions of dollars?"
Hu Wenhai's eyes were blazing, and he decided to explain the basis for his decision: "Is it to do justice? Is it to let the Euro-Japanese Energy Group make a profit, or is it to maintain the financial status of the dollar?"
"I don't have any in-depth research on the financial industry, and I can't predict which stock will make a lot of profit, which is impossible for me. ”
"I know, however, that since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, Europeans have won once against the dollar. But this time, the Americans are going to make a comeback, using the superiority of force to create a new instrument of control over the global economy. This tool is oil. ”
"By winning this war, the United States will establish a strong influence in the international energy system, and then transfer the series of financial crises created by Reagan to the globalized market. This has nothing to do with whether Saddam Hussein is evil or whether Kuwait is innocent. ”
"Bush can pay any price to control the global energy market. The United States itself is an oil producer, and its huge oil reserves are not without the ability to influence the world oil market. In my judgment, the Americans are likely to put their oil reserves into the market in the next month or less, bringing oil prices down to pre-war levels. ”
The U.S. release of oil reserves into the international market and stabilize oil prices is basically an unquestionable action. However, the question of when the United States will choose to release its own crude oil reserves is a big question.
It is widely accepted in the international market that this is around the United Nations deadline for the withdrawal of Iraqi troops. At this point in October 1990, however, the United Nations had not even set a deadline for withdrawing its troops from Iraq, and the proposal to authorize force was in the midst of a difficult diplomatic process. The legal basis for the next two Gulf Wars, the United Nations resolutions 660 and 678, was not adopted until November 29.
Bush's identity as the spokesman of the US energy group is an afterthought for the future people to look forward. While he is still sitting on the presidency, who knows to what extent he is aligned with the interests of the American energy bloc?
Who knows how much Bush leaked to the US energy conglomerate, such classified information as preparations for war and diplomacy with the countries of the United Nations member states, especially with the Soviet Union, and when to intervene in the international energy market?
It is difficult for an outsider to imagine that Bush Sr. did not leak much information to the US energy group -- but that the entire war effort was built on the support and promotion of the energy group.
On the contrary, the CIA may still have to get funds from Bush Sr.'s business partners to get funding for its activities.
As the big boss of the Zapata offshore drilling company, Bush Sr. has an extremely extensive network of upper-level relationships in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. And the heavyweights in the energy field throughout the United States have a large number of business and cooperative relations with this company.
And there is an inseparable relationship between the energy conglomerates and the financial conglomerates in the United States.
The sorrow of the capital of Europe and Japan and other countries is here, and a large amount of capital is invested in this feast. However, in the final analysis, it is the Americans who are the protagonists who have the initiative in this war, so why should the American GIs shed blood and sacrifice, but let you benefit?
There is no such truth in the world.
These American energy groups and financial traders have already gotten inside information. In particular, the Soviet Union was unexpectedly weak and had no intention of interfering in the Gulf War, a US military operation that took place on its doorstep.
It is not surprising to think that at the most difficult time for the Soviet Union, the United States did not expect that the Soviet Union would collapse. Before the Soviets did this kind of thing, although everyone knew that the Soviet Union was no longer good, it was just "no more".
One of the two poles of the world, of course, needs to be respected. But who would have thought that the Soviet Union would be Gorbachev who took the lead in self-denial, and naturally it did not have the heart to show its presence in the Gulf War, and it was no longer able to exert influence on Saddam.
The diplomatic effort has progressed beyond imagination, and the news has of course been kept strictly secret. Bush Sr. and the energy and financial groups plan to take this opportunity to make a trick and cut another piece of meat from the European-Japanese consortium.
Putting a large amount of oil reserves on the market before the UN resolution was passed, and bringing the price of oil down to the level before the Iraqi invasion is a big business of transferring hundreds of billions of dollars!
Huang Zongrui's information is naturally not so well-informed, but when it comes to Hu Wenhai's identity, his intelligence-gathering ability, and his network in the Soviet Union, his eyes have long gone beyond the oil market.
He may not really have much knowledge of finance and economics, but the whole system of the world is what he expected, and it is probably more powerful than any expertise.
Huang Zongrui exhaled deeply, and his heart was really uncontrollable and a little excited. He pursed his lips, his lips trembling slightly, and said in a nervous voice that was a little out of tune.
In other words, Mr. Hu thinks that international oil prices will soon fall back to the level before the war because the United States released oil reserves.
"Huh?" Hu Wenhai was slightly stunned and frowned slightly: "What does Manager Huang's words mean?"
Huang Zongrui licked his lips, his eyes lit up like a searchlight at night: "I mean, since Mr. Hu thinks that oil prices will fall unexpectedly, then why not go short-handed after clearing the contract in hand? After all, no one will be disgusted with making too much money, right? Mr. Hu made more than $10 billion in the process of going long in the early stage. Even if we want to seek stability, we are willing to continue to follow up. The one-to-three leverage provided before can also be completely increased to the level of one-to-ten. In this way, won't Mr. Hu be able to earn another 30 billion US dollars?"
This time, Hu Wenhai and Chen Yifa couldn't help but gasp, the expected income of 30 billion US dollars, plus more than 10 billion yuan of longs in the early stage, that is to say, the operation of the Gulf War in the oil market is very likely to obtain 50 billion US dollars?
Five tens of billions!
Eggless.
It's Hu Wenhai, and he feels that the chrysanthemum is tight.
With $50 billion in 1990, Hu Wenhai thought that in the 90s, he would no longer have the opportunity to be "rich and rival the country."
In the face of such a business, it is impossible to say that you are not tempted.
Hu Wenhai didn't expect to go long on the backhand because he was not familiar with the financial market, so he mainly aimed his energy at the process of going long. And Chen Fa and Fang Jiange simply didn't dare, at first they were afraid to go long, their hearts beat to their throats, where did they dare to have the slightest idea of falling.
I have to say that Huang Zongrui is a blind student who discovered Huadian.
Huang Zongrui's words undoubtedly pierced the window paper, which made Hu Wenhai's eyes light up suddenly.
No one would be afraid to make too much money, let alone make three times the income from the backhand, 50 billion US dollars, which makes people shudder with excitement just thinking about it.
Unlike Chen Fa and Fang Jiange, who were scared, Hu Wenhai knew history and knew how far oil prices would fall. What is a matter of risk for others is a matter of certainty for him.
"Well, I need to think about it. Although Hu Wenhai has made a decision in his heart, he is still silent on the surface.
After Huang Zongrui finished talking about this topic, he didn't say more. The rest of the training and the rest of the time the three of them talked casually, and the meeting was over.
When Huang Zongrui was sent out of the door, Hu Wenhai turned his head and walked in the room.
He thought a lot, thinking of the scientific research plan of the New Academy of Sciences in the new year, which requires advanced instruments and equipment imported from abroad in large quantities. Thinking of the pressure of equipment upgrade faced by Xinke fab, the IC design center under construction is planned.
I even thought of Jiang Hefu and Tu Jida's hard work of breaking a penny in half, the spirit of hard work is admirable, but isn't it better to be rich and struggle?
To support the development of the WS-10A, it is necessary to invest in phases and batches, and he really can't believe in Jiang Hefu's ability? There are so many places to spend money in the future, and of course the more dollars, the better.
There's nothing more to think about.
Hu Wenhai stopped, looked at Chen Fa and said, "Secretary Chen, inform Fang Jiange that I want to adjust the plan." ”