In the end, it was Hu's reputation as "always right" that played a role, and although it was tough, Norton chose to believe in his plan in the end. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ

Premised on the outbreak of war between Iraq and Kuwait, a war between the two major oil powers will undoubtedly pose an immeasurable threat to the oil market.

The oil market is stimulated in this way, and the risk will definitely be reflected in the price of oil.

From now on, we will lay out oil futures, the stocks and financial markets of the world's arms groups. Negotiate with the bank, enlarge the scale of funds in your hands through leverage, and quietly go into the village to shoot guns.

This process of collecting chips will continue until the day the Gulf War begins.

After the start of the Gulf War, historically, oil prices did not rise as expected, but continued to fall.

This is because the Americans had already pushed oil prices to the level of $40 a barrel long before the war began. Wait until the war starts to stock up, by then it will be too late.

Hu Wenhai and Grumman have a total of $6 billion in funds, which are amplified by bank loans and leverage, and if they rush into the market, they will have to set off a financial tsunami.

Compete with the professionals on Wall Street and in the City of London, until you have to be eaten a penny.

Therefore, this investment layout can only be carried out quietly and quietly, and it is impossible to stimulate Wall Street gentlemen with such fanfare as Black Friday.

In this regard, Hu Wenhai was a little disappointed like a brocade nocturnal walk.

Fortunately, at least there will be enough small money to make up for his wounded heart.

After sending Norton away, Qinglan came to the door.

Hu Wenhai has rarely returned to China in the past two years, and domestic affairs have piled up, but no matter how important things are, they are not as important as the secretary of Qingda to come to the door.

The business of Xinke here in the imperial capital is not too much, and the two main bases are in Xiucheng and Modu.

But thanks to modern communication technology, even if Hu Wenhai is hiding at the ends of the earth, he can't escape the pursuit of these official duties.

"Maslyukov's matter, has Mr. Hu come to a conclusion?"

As soon as she sat down, Qinglan couldn't wait to get into the theme.

Hu Wenhai went to Eastern Europe for two months, and even the Chinese New Year was eaten in Ukraine for instant noodles, and the secretary of Qingda, who knew the inside story, tried his best to drag things down.

But the drag has reached its limit now, and Maskyukov cannot stay in China for much longer. The situation in the Soviet Union was terrible, so bad that he could not put all the bets on China.

By now, China must give Maslyukov an answer.

During this period, the senior leaders did not only ask Hu Wenhai's opinion, but in fact, many domestic and international research institutions and think tanks were consulted.

However, the top management did not get a convincing answer from these experts, and the reasons given by many people lacked fundamental convincing.

What the country needs is a perspective that stands at the crossroads of history and can be keenly judged for the future. However, these so-called experts and institutions usually don't have a lot of money to make money, let alone judge such a big historical trend.

Only those who are well versed in the global international situation can analyze how China should choose based on intelligence.

But unfortunately, there are too few such talents. And people like Hu Wenhai, who have an in-depth understanding of the situation in China, the United States and the Soviet Union, look at the whole world, I am afraid that there is no second person.

His opinion is undoubtedly the heaviest weight for high-level judgments.

"I think Maslyukov's request should be acceded to. Hu Wenhai didn't sell it, and gave the answer directly.

In addition to counting on the Soviet Union to be an MT for China, which is increasingly unable to wear rabbit skin, Hu Wenhai has also thought a lot in the past two days.

The damage to the cause of socialism after the fall of the Soviet Union was undoubtedly devastating, and the flower of communism that once bloomed all over the world withered in an instant.

North Korea is a feudal dynasty in the skin of Juche.

Cuba is a poor socialist country, and the two enemies of Laos and Annan have no weight in the international community at all, and only China, which is desperately turning to the right, is still wearing the skin of the China Special News Agency.

Che Guevara said, "When we leave, they will build you schools and hospitals, and they will raise your salaries." It's not because they've become good people, it's because we've been here."

As long as there is still the Soviet Union in this world, capital will not dare to be too rampant.

Think about the jokes about "Han Zhao Liang" on the Chinese Internet in the future, sometimes it really makes people laugh.

The woolly bear itself did not do very well, and it can even be said that the history after the 80s was very poor.

But as long as the Soviet Union remained, the socialist movement could only be said to have fallen into a low ebb, but it could not be said to have failed.

Just for such a reason, it was enough for Hu Wenhai to make a decision.

"Can you elaborate on your reasons?" Qinglan took out a notepad and pen, made an inquiring gesture, and began to record after Hu Wenhai nodded.

Hu Wenhai pondered for a moment and said slowly.

"From my knowledge of the current domestic situation in the USSR, it seems that the development of the political situation is becoming more and more dangerous. The deterioration of the ruling ability at the grassroots level is very serious, and the problems of lazy government and corruption among the bureaucrats that damage the ruling foundation are very common and prominent, and there is even a gap between the living standards of the people at the bottom of the Soviet Union and those of ordinary developed countries. However, relatively speaking, the financial situation of the three Baltic countries is much better, and they have taken on a lot of responsibilities, but they have little say in the alliance. In the Caucasus, the Soviet Union was faced with a very complex situation in which many problems were concentrated and sudden. ”

"Let me say that a food-for-trade program alone will not be able to reverse the current situation in the Soviet Union. ”

Qinglan was a little puzzled and asked, "Then is it necessary for us to do this?"

"If you want me to say, it is precisely because it cannot be reversed in the Soviet Union that it is necessary. Hu Wenhai said: "Say a damning word, a dead Soviet Union is a good Soviet Union." From a geopolitical point of view, a strong Soviet Union is not in China's interest. ”

"But on the other hand, once the Soviet Union can't hold out, have you thought about what the result will be?"

"Political turmoil, the CPSU may face more opposition...... Qinglan thought about it, and found that he really couldn't say what the Soviet Union would become if it continued with this development.

Hu Wenhai's eyes were blazing: "The Soviet Union will disintegrate and re-split into fifteen independent countries, and the socialist camp will be completely defeated." ”

"No, it won't...... Right?"

Secretary Qing opened his mouth, in fact, this speculation had already been predicted. However, these words coming out of the mouths of ordinary experts and scholars obviously have a completely different gold content from those spoken from Hu Wenhaikou.

"The three Baltic countries have long held grudges against the Soviet Union, there is a lot of opposition to subsidizing the underdeveloped regions, and the separatist forces are already very strong. Hu Wenhai shook his head, breaking Secretary Qing's last bit of luck: "The forces that hate the pig temple in the Caucasus also have a strong tendency to separat, and the ethnic issues in Central Asia are also very complicated. Let's put it this way, even Ukraine felt that it would be better off to live on its own without the Soviet Union. However, these voices were only superficial after all, and the underlying factors were the deterioration of the CPSU's ability to govern, its inability to suppress opposing voices, the proliferation of bourgeois liberalization ideas, and the general bureaucratic corruption. ”

"The CPSU has lost the trust of the people in it, and this is the fundamental reason for the collapse of the Soviet Union. Having not been to the USSR, it is difficult to imagine what the situation is like there now. The collapse of the USSR was already inevitable. ”

"How can this be, this is the Soviet Union, the Soviet Union will disintegrate......"

Secretary Qing still has some instinctive disbelief that for his generation, the Soviet Union is a myth. Now to believe in the collapse of the Soviet Union is to ask Christians to believe that all the priests in the Vatican like little boys.

"The collapse of the Soviet Union is a judgment that I am convinced of. Hu Wenhai emphasized his argument in an aggravated tone, saying: "Nothing can save the Soviet Union, unless Gorbachev is willing to immediately relinquish power in his hands." ”

"But that could never happen. ”

"Yes, it can't be. Secretary General Qing sighed, as if he had been hit hard.

"Considering our position on this premise, the disintegration of the Soviet Union will do more good than harm to China. But the Soviet Union was too declining, which was also not a good thing for China. To get the most out of it, it's a more skillful job than walking a tightrope. ”

"If the countries of the former Soviet Union are in serious decline, especially if Russia no longer poses a threat to the United States and Europe, China will inevitably become the next target of the Western world. China's development to the point it has reached today is inseparable from its transcendent position between the Eastern and Western worlds. Once the independent forces fought for by both the United States and the Soviet Union become the only seedlings of socialism on a global scale, what will happen next?"

As the saying goes, the drum does not need a heavy hammer, and Hu Wenhai's words quickly turned into a series of actions by the United States against China since last year in Qinglan's heart.

In fact, the United States is directed against China, and there is no need for the collapse of the USSR at all. At the end of the 80s, when the Soviet Union's layout in Eastern Europe was completely shattered, China's use value was lost.

This was followed by a renewed blockade of China by the United States and the Western world, the suspension of cooperation, the reversal of contracts, the tightening of diplomatic channels, and even overt economic sanctions.

Is it difficult to say that China is not enough to "cook Ren Quan"? When China and the United States established diplomatic relations in the 70s, was China more in line with the universal values of the Americans?

In the final analysis, it's just that the Soviet Union has stopped cooking, and the Americans want to unload the mill and kill the donkey.

This is only the retreat of the Soviet Union from Eastern Europe, and once the Soviet Union completely ceases, it is difficult to imagine what will happen to China's international environment.

And now China is not qualified to confront the United States head-on.