Chapter 152: Collapse
At two o'clock in the afternoon, Miyuki Aso's phone call brought good news to Zheng Yan, and the Nikkei index fell.
Although Zheng Yan himself did not pay attention to the situation of the Japanese stock market, he arranged for Miyuki Aso to keep an eye on it.
Originally, according to Zheng Yan's memory, there were still a few days before the Nikkei index fell, but because he joined forces with Sir Huo and others to short the Nikkei, this time was advanced.
It's not just time that has changed, the Nikkei has reached a maximum of 38,915 points according to history, but now it has reached 39,253 points.
When Aso called, the Japanese stock market was closing, and the Nikkei Stock Average fell from 39,253 points to 38,145 points, a full drop of more than 1,000 points, which was even greater than Zheng Yan's known decline.
At about three o'clock in the afternoon, after Li Bin, Sir Huo and others got the news, they all rushed to Zheng Yan's house.
Li Bin looked preoccupied yesterday, but now he is full of spring breeze, as if he is a completely different person.
"Uncle Li, is it in your stomach now?" Zheng Yan quipped.
After Li Bin heard Zheng Yan's words, he couldn't help but feel a little embarrassed. Yesterday, I was still in a hurry, for fear that Zheng Yan's judgment would be wrong, but after one night, Zheng Yan's judgment came true.
"Alright, you kid has a vision. ”
When Sir Huo and the others saw Li Bin's expression, they couldn't help but feel funny. Li Bin is already at the helm of the Li family, and in Hong Kong City, except for a few old men, no one dares to squeeze him like this.
"Zheng Yan, you must already know the changes in the Japanese stock market, when do you think it is appropriate for us to close the position?"
Although the Nikkei has already begun to fall, no one knows how much it will eventually fall. As for when to close the position and close the net, Sir Huo still wanted to hear Zheng Yan's opinion.
"Huo Lao, the decline in the Japanese stock market this time is even more serious than I expected. Originally, according to my estimates, there should be a few days before the fall, and the decline will not be so large. However, it is a good thing for me. ”
"As for when the position will be closed, I can't say for the time being. Since the stock market has begun to fall, it shows that the Japanese authorities are powerless, and the various measures taken in the early stage are only useless. ”
"But the Japanese authorities are not going to let the stock market fall, and there will definitely be a series of rescue measures in the future. The current downward trend is very fierce, and no matter how much money is invested to save the market, it is a meat bun that beats the dog and has no return. Therefore, Japan's official bailout action will definitely start after the stock price is relatively stable. ”
"The cycle of the Nikkei decline should be very long, but we don't need to wait until the lowest point to make a move. According to my plan, the Nikkei index fell to about 20,000 points before making a move. ”
Originally, according to Zheng Yan's known situation, the Nikkei index would fall below 20,000 in about ten months, but now the decline will exceed what he knows, and it may not take so long. As for continuing to grow the holding cycle, Zheng Yan didn't think about it at all.
"Zheng Yan, do you think the Nikkei index can fall below 20,000? Are you too optimistic? You must know that 60 percent of the data on the Japanese economy comes from the stock market, and if the Nikkei index falls below 20,000, it means that 30 percent of Japan's book funds will evaporate in an instant. The Japanese government will not sit idly by, and if the government intervenes strongly, it may be able to stop the decline in the stock market. ”
Although Zheng Yan's prediction of the Japanese stock market has become a reality, Li Bin still finds it difficult to believe Zheng Yan's judgment on the next stock market.
Although Sir Huo and the others did not speak, they also had similar opinions to Li Bin.
"Under normal circumstances, it may be difficult for the Nikkei to fall to the extent I said, but the situation in Japan is different. ”
"On the one hand, there are big problems with the current structure of Japan's economy. Japan's economy was mainly reflected in the stock market and the real estate market before the stock market fell. When the stock market falls to a certain extent, it is believed that there will also be problems in the real estate market, which will also deal a blow to the stock market, causing the Nikkei to fall further. ”
"On the other hand, most of Japan's economy is concentrated in a few major conglomerates, but all of these conglomerates will be severely affected by the stock market crash. In addition, because of the crazy overseas mergers and acquisitions of Japanese consortiums, and many of them are loss-making mergers and acquisitions, each consortium does not have sufficient funds, and it is difficult to save the stock price of their own companies. ”
"Anyway, at the moment, I really can't think of any way to change the decline in the stock market in Japan. Of course, the 20,000 points I mentioned are just a reference. In the next period, after the Nikkei has fallen to a certain extent, there should be a few rebounds. At that time, we will see whether to close the position according to the actual situation. ”
Zheng Yan's pursuit was not to maximize the benefits of an investment, but to see if there was a better investment direction that could make greater profits in the short term. And Zheng Yan happened to know this kind of opportunity, so he didn't plan to stumble in the Japanese stock market.
"Uncle Li, a few old men, do you think this is okay? The Japanese stock market crash is certainly a long-term process, but we are sure to make a profit. Let's wait a few months to see. ”
"In the past, I agreed with you that you were not allowed to exit before the stock market crashed, but now the crash is a foregone conclusion, and I will not interfere with when each company closes its position next, but my suggestion is still about 20,000 points. ”
Now that everyone's profits are guaranteed, and each family has at least billions of profits, Zheng Yan's favor has fallen, as for the amount of profit, it depends on whether everyone listens to their own opinions.
Zheng Yan still had a determined expression, which made others start muttering in their hearts again. After all, so far, Zheng Yan's judgment is all correct. If it weren't for Zheng Yan's desperate dissuasion, when the loss of 200 million was lost, everyone would have cleared the position and stopped the loss.
"Zheng Yan, when you are ready to close the position, notify me of the Huo family, and we will close the position together. ”
"It's the same with our Zheng family. ”
"So is our Li family. ”
In the end, it was Sir Huo who made up his mind first. Zheng Lao and Li Lao also decided to believe Zheng Yan after Sir Huo made a decision. After all, the profit is a foregone conclusion, even if the position is not closed in time, at most it is a little less profit, and it does not affect the overall situation.
"By the way, Zheng Yan, what were you discussing before we came just now? Is there a good investment opportunity? If you have any investment opportunities, don't forget about us. ”
Although Sir Huo is not familiar with Zhao Weimin, Liu Wei has still seen it. After the cooperation with Japan, I was even more convinced of Zheng Yan's investment vision, so I asked more.
After hearing Sir Huo's words, Zheng Lao and the others also became interested.