629 Long & Short Battles (4K chapters)
The decision on the rise and fall of international crude oil futures is the buying and buying funds, the funds are provided by investors, and the investors who determine the flow of funds are based on a series of information to judge the future trend of this commodity.
The news that can really affect investors' judgment of the rise and fall is very, very confidential, and only a very small number of people in the whole world can be informed in advance, and some of these very few people are not allowed to participate in futures trading.
The outside world, digesting the news, requires a short process, and when the digestion is complete, the outbreak begins!
"Mao Ziguo's imminent military intervention in the Gulf of Aden pirates"
(There is no mention of Sergei, let alone Wu Qian)
The title of the official news does not mention Solan, but in the details, it still mentions military assistance to Solan.
First of all, the Gulf of Aden is an extremely sensitive topic, and piracy in the Gulf of Aden has been around for a long time, and no one has come forward for a long time to say that I am going to deal with pirates in the Gulf of Aden.
Moreover, the Solan State has not gained sovereignty, civil wars are continuous, and it has been eroded by surrounding warlords, why does Mao Ziguo provide military assistance to such a third world country?
Countless people have realized from the news that there is going to be a war in a local area!
To solve the problem of the Gulf of Aden, the consumption of oil is huge, which is good.
Military assistance to Solan will inevitably lead to an escalation of the war between the Solan government and the warlords, and oil consumption will continue to intensify, which is positive.
The news determines the flow of funds, and countless funds are thrown into the international crude oil futures market like 100,000 tons of TNT explosives, of course, gold and foreign exchange are also affected to a certain extent, but not as direct as crude oil.
Suddenly, countless long buy orders, that is, buy orders, smashed into Brent crude oil.
One stone stirs up a thousand waves!
Brent crude oil, which was originally entrenched at the price of 55.49 and remained motionless, was like a kitten with a needle prick in the buttocks, and it didn't take a minute for the price to climb rapidly by nearly ten percentage points, and it broke through the 60 level in an instant!
This increase is not unprecedented, but it is definitely very small, very amazing!
It can be seen that all over the world, countless speculators chose to go long after learning about the relevant news, that is, bullish on the crude oil market.
The chain reaction triggered by this further stimulated the mood of the bulls, and more people joined the ranks of longs.
At the same time, Wu Qian can see through the video screen that Woodward and Barbara are operating the computer intensively, and the light of the screen illuminates the cheeks of the two red, green and green, which is the light emitted by the candlestick chart.
Hundreds of millions of dollars in seconds, it's really not a joke!
"The Canadian account closed 5,000 lots and made a profit of more than 25 million pounds......," Woodward reported without taking his eyes off the screen, as he reported to himself.
The trading unit of international crude oil futures is "lot", one lot is 1,000 barrels, and the minimum trading limit is different, some trading platforms allow trading 0.01 lots, that is, you can buy at least ten barrels at a time, and some have to be 0.1.
Wu Qian took out two billion pounds in cash, and Woodward and Barbara used the allocation rules given by various national trading platforms to turn the two billion principal into three and five billion pounds.
In the crude oil futures market, fifteen times leverage is very conservative, and some radical investors will choose 50 times or even 100 times the leverage to game, which is extremely risky!
35 billion pounds, if the position is full, it is enough to buy about 500,000 contracts of about 500,000 hands, but since the use of leverage, it is impossible to operate with a full position, and it is necessary to leave a certain margin for replenishment, otherwise it will be forced to close the position and lose all the losses when it encounters short suppression!
The two used more than ten hours to open a position of 200,000 lots, nearly 40% of the position, which is in the trading platform accounts of many countries.
If you only use 2 billion pounds of principal to open a position, you can only buy a maximum of 50,000 contracts, but with leverage, the position is increased by four times, and a large part of the surplus can be used to cover the position, and the risk coefficient is greatly reduced.
The charm of leveraged trading will magnify the profitability, and at the same time, the risk of loss will be magnified! (novices do not touch!!)
This is definitely a rich man's game, the richer you are, the less risk you have, and if you make a mistake, you can use the pyramid to make up for your mistakes.
"3,800 lots closed on the Swiss account ......"
"The French account closed 10,000 lots and made a profit of 60 million pounds......"
Barbara and Woodward's voices came and went, and the good news was repeated.
The sharp fluctuations in Brent crude oil caused great concern around the world, and after a round of sharp increases, the price remained between 61 and 61.5, stabilizing.
In less than five minutes, Wu Qian's side closed a total of 80,000 lots, making a profit of more than 400 million pounds, and the profit margin reached an astonishing 20%!
Wu Qian stood in front of the computer, listening to the strings of numbers, and realized what it means to be excited, the kind of nervousness when trading, the race against time, and the sensory stimulation is too strong.
In particular, when these software are successfully closed, there will be a loud sound of gold coins falling into the bag, which is very beautiful!
At this moment, the picture of the crowds in the London and New York Stock Exchanges came to his mind, and he could fully understand why some traders would tremble and be excited when their fingers hit the keyboard!
No wonder so many people are keen on capital operation, it is too attractive and the money comes too quickly.
Five minutes earned 400 million pounds, but the war is not over yet, because Wu Qian still has 120,000 contracts in his hands, and this part must also be delivered in full in order to be regarded as a real profit escape.
If you can't do that, if the remaining positions are lost, you may make all the previous victories go to naught!
At this moment, Woodward, who was on the video call, let out an exclamation, as if he had discovered something terrible.
Although the two sides were connected, there was actually a slight delay, and a second after Woodward exclaimed, Wu Qian discovered the problem.
The price of crude oil, which had already rushed to 61.37 yuan, fell sharply, falling to 59.68 at once.
Some people buy up, some people buy down, long and short are always on the opposite side of the transaction, and it is difficult to achieve a one-sided situation for the interpretation of a news and trend prediction.
It was not over until 59.68, and it remained at this level for about fifteen seconds, followed by another decline, the price hit 57.52, and then it seemed to stabilize, fluctuating up and down a few cents.
This round of smashing is quite violent, and the bulls are caught off guard, and the bullish investors who have just entered the market are afraid that they will be directly frightened.
In an instant, the loss of 5% is 5%, and under the amplification of the leverage effect, it may be a loss of hundreds of percent!
In just such a moment, if it is an investor who uses 100 times leverage and has a heavy position, he has been forced to liquidate!
Bloody capital market!
The same is the sound of gold coins falling into the pocket, when making money, the gold coins fall into their own pockets, and when they lose money, they fall into other people's pockets!
"Boss, there's a short head into Brent, it's very, very strong!Fake!" Woodward's face was nervous, and sweat could be seen on his forehead, it was a cold sweat rushing wildly.
Futures trading is a game between people, funds and funds, and counterparty transactions.
When the information from the outside world shows that it is good, the vast majority of scattered groups and some large investors, and even the vast majority of large investors are optimistic about the market, we must beware of the emergence of opponents.
It is clear that at this moment, there is an army of bears in Brent crude oil!
Rosalind's hand on the keyboard clenched into a fist, because the price fell again from 57.52, and the short orders like swiping appeared in the transaction records of various trading software, hitting the price to 54.98!
This price is already lower than the average price for ten hours before ten o'clock in the Celestial Empire.
You must know that if there is no major news announced, there will be no violent fluctuations in international futures such as crude oil, gold and foreign exchange.
The average price of the more than 200,000 contracts held by Wu Qian is 55.3, that is to say, at today's price, his remaining 120,000 contracts are in full loss!
The long-short battle of Brent crude oil has appeared!
Wu Qian looked at the price that had fallen, a little puzzled, and asked, "Why didn't you close all the positions when you closed the position just now?"
The first position to be closed was the Canadian account, at that time the price of crude oil had not yet reached the highest point of the previous round of climbing, and if all positions were closed at the same time, the profit of 200,000 lots would also be a billion pounds, which is very, very amazing.
Wu Qian thought it was Woodward and Barbara who were greedy, but it wasn't like that at all.
"It takes time to match a transaction, boss, the blow of the bears is very fast, and your contract system has not had time to match, and the price has been suppressed. ”
Barbara explained.
In principle, as long as the price arrives, there will be no failure to close the position, but there is also a short time difference involved here.
The amount of contracts in Wu Qian's hand is too large, where can it be all closed in an instant, unless it is a private large transaction, just like he and Australia's Macquarie Investment Bank traded shares in Thames Water.
Either there is another way, which is lower than the current price to match the transaction, for example, the current price is 60, and the transaction speed will be greatly improved.
But when there is no turning point, few people will place orders in the opposite direction.
Human nature is still more or less greedy.
Woodward and Barbara didn't dare to do that, 200,000 lots, 0.5 per barrel, and in the end they made 100 million pounds less, who can afford to bear this responsibility?
And after the decline begins, if you want to place an order at a low price, unless the operation speed is extremely fast, otherwise the price will fall further before the order is placed.
"The British account closed 20,000 lots and lost 20 million pounds...... Woodward saw that the price was stable, and hurriedly closed the position, not daring to delay for a moment.
Seeing that the situation is not good, you need to stop the loss immediately, otherwise it may be deeper and deeper, if you can close all the positions at the current price, you can still lock in a profit of more than 100 million pounds, which is still considerable.
"Shet !!"
However, before Woodward and Barbara could continue to close their positions, the price of Brent crude oil fell again, falling to 53.35!
A new low in 24 hours!
This phenomenon is very bad, the bears are very strong, and the bulls are caught off guard and appear to be defeated.
Not to mention Woodward, who was already more impatient, even Barbara and Rosalind had very solemn faces.
Closing the position at today's price, the first 400 million pounds will be paid for nothing!
Facing the nervousness of several people, Wu Qian couldn't understand it a little, he said: "Isn't it normal to go up and down? Don't be so nervous, since you didn't have time to match just now, just wait a while, it will go up in a while, that ...... Forget it, nothing. ”
Wu Qian originally wanted to say whether to buy some more while it was falling now, but he felt that it was better not to affect the judgment of professionals at this time, so he did not express his opinion.
Barbara heard the boss's comfort, smiled reluctantly, and said: "Boss, the long and short game in the futures market is not so simple, judging from the volume of transactions, the bears are extremely resolute and strong, just a few minutes, at least 200,000 short contracts have been bought!"
200,000 lots, Wu Qian's contract list at the beginning was also so much, but it took more than ten hours to buy slowly, and it didn't have any impact on the whole, but if the 200,000 lots were condensed into a few minutes, it would be very terrible!
Wu Qian didn't speak, he looked at the K-line chart on the screen seriously, he really didn't understand futures trading, but he had a very strange feeling in the dark, and a flash of inspiration flashed in his mind.
But that moment of inspiration was too short-lived, and he didn't have time to catch it.
"Gold is rising, and so is the dollar...... Boss, this is not a good sign. "Woodward analyzes crude oil through other dimensions, and feels that it is not easy for the bulls to win this battle!
"Hey, the situation has changed......"
It seems that in order to confirm Wu Qian's previous words, the bulls began to organize an effective counterattack, in the face of the attack of the bears, the bulls could not sit still, boosted by the blessing of good news, the bulls investors smashed a lot of money into it.
Behind the long black candle, a long white candle appeared, and the price rose to 56.22, and then ten seconds later, it rose again, reaching 57.5 where the bears had previously stepped on the market.
Wu Qian looked at the trading data that kept flashing on the screen, as well as the K-line chart that jumped violently in seconds, and suddenly said loudly: "57, close all positions!"
It was quiet at night in the harbor, and even more so in the ship's top rooms, and Rosalind was startled by the roar overhead.
Woodward and Barbara, who were far away in the UK, didn't keep up with Boss Wu's brain circuits for a while.
"Hang low clearance? Okay!"
Although Woodward questioned, his hands were not idle, and the two of them hurriedly operated.
At this time, the counteroffensive of the bulls is not over, and the price of crude oil is still steadily climbing.
57.5、57.6、57.7......
Every 10 seconds and 15 seconds, the price goes up one step further.
This kind of market, to put it nicely, is that the bulls are steadily and steadily taking action, but if it is another way to put it, it is ......
Wu Qian said: "Look at this bird's appearance is going to be finished, take a step and rest for a while, so difficult and painful, difficult to walk, hurry up, throw it quickly!"