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Plastic (6355, -500, -008) information, you and I share

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Plastics daily closing summary

This week, the price of polypropylene powder rose slightly and then fell, and the price fluctuated little. At the beginning of the week, due to the fact that many powder manufacturers have not produced brushed powder for the time being, the market is in short supply of brushed powder, and the polypropylene futures market has risen, boosting the mentality of the industry, and the price of powder has risen slightly. The price of powder is close to that of pellets, traders are cautious in taking goods, downstream factories are generally enthusiastic about procurement, and the market trading atmosphere is weak. After that, the polypropylene futures market was weak and volatile, coupled with the low price of some pellets, impacted the powder market, and the price of powder fell slightly. According to Zhuochuang statistics, the average price of powder this week was 74,875 yuan/ton, up 292 from last week. (The above prices are based on Shandong as an example)

It is predicted that the price of propylene monomer will be strong next week, but at this stage, the price difference between powder and propylene monomer is large, and there is no pressure on the cost of powder. In terms of substitution, some low-priced pellets hit the powder market, and the high-priced powder was sold under pressure. On the supply side, the profit margin of the powder industry is considerable, and the powder manufacturers maintain a high enthusiasm for production, and the supply of powder in the market will increase slightly. On the demand side, downstream factories are operating steadily, and it is difficult to significantly improve the demand for raw materials. On the whole, the price difference of powder and granules is small, and the price of powder is limited, although propylene monomer may be raised, but the profit of powder is acceptable, and there is still room for profit concession in powder

This week, the domestic PC market sentiment is positive, moderate and wait-and-see. After the May Day holiday, with the support of the cost side, the prices of domestic manufacturers continued to rise, with an increase of 300-500 yuan/ton during the week, and the market was difficult to find a low-price supply, but the rise was still relatively slow. The price change of imported goods in the market is limited, the trading atmosphere is weak, the terminal just needs to purchase light, and the business mentality gradually shows wait-and-see with the moderate atmosphere of the market. Most of the domestic factory starts this week remained normal, and the industry started hovering at the 59 level. As of Saturday's close, the low-end PC market reference in East China was 11,300-12,200 yuan/ton, stable compared with last week, and the mid-to-high-end market reference was 12,200-14,800 yuan/ton, stable compared with last week.

Predicting the increasing cost, the price of domestic PC source manufacturers after the holiday, the market is relatively lacking, Lihua Yiweiyuan device plans to resume construction next week, Shengtong Juyuan device genuine supply or will be launched, the market spot supply has increased slightly. At present, the market mentality is slightly differentiated, the terminal demand is insufficient, and it is difficult to stimulate the buying mentality of merchants; and this week, the market import supply is limited, and the price difference between the internal and external sources is not obvious.

ps

This week, PS prices rose first and then fell slightly, and the price center of gravity continued to move up slightly. During the May Day holiday, the price of crude oil rose, and styrene actively followed the rise after the holiday, driving the price of PS higher, most of the holders pursued profit maximization, and the willingness to ship with profits weakened. Subsequently, crude oil pulled back slightly, styrene followed suit, PS prices fell slightly, and market trading continued to be weak. According to Zhuochuang statistics, as of this Saturday, the mainstream price of ordinary benzene in East China market is 7800-7950 yuan/ton, of which the average price of CITIC 525 in Yuyao market this week is 7838 yuan/ton, up 246 from last week's average price of 7650 yuan/ton, and the average price of Yuyao SECCO 123P this week is 7938 yuan/ton, up 50 from last week's average price of 7560 yuan/ton.

It is predicted that the PS market price may adjust in a narrow range next week. At present, the cost side has given strong support to PS prices, and the short-term prices of crude oil and styrene have been adjusted in multiple ranges, and there is no obvious downward pressure for the time being. Supply and demand have changed from tight supply and good demand to increased supply, limited demand increment space and possible decline in storage, which has dragged down PS prices. In terms of supply, at present, most PS manufacturers maintain high-load operation, and the source of imported goods is gradually increasing, and the supply continues to increase. In terms of demand, the market transaction has slowed down significantly since late April, and the start of the home appliance industry is expected to decline, and the overall demand may not increase but decline.

abs

The ABS market has risen steadily after the holiday. During the long holiday, there are not many regional arrivals, the market needs to fill the gap, and the mainstream market prices continue to strengthen after the holiday. Especially on the first day after the holiday, boosted by higher oil prices overnight and the rise in the styrene market, the ABS market rose significantly. Some short orders were replenished, and the transaction price of low-end ABS successfully broke through the 10,000 yuan/ton mark. In the later part of the week, as the external market cooled down, the market momentum weakened, but the holders were reluctant to sell at a low level. Up to now, some domestic materials have been quoted at 10,100-11,450 yuan/ton, the low-end price has increased by 600 yuan/ton compared with the last trading day before the holiday, and the high-end price has risen by 150 yuan/ton on the last trading day before the holiday.

It is predicted that the external market will improve and the short-term circulation field will be insufficient, and some regional markets of ABS will once again stage a short-selling market after the holiday, but with the decrease in buying follow-up in the later part of the week, the market will show a high-level volume contraction. Judging from the current trend, the positive boost from the external market next week may be limited, and participants pay more attention to the actual digestion and follow-up efforts of downstream factories. In addition, due to the low cost of some oversold goods in the early stage, the buyers are not optimistic about the actual ability to absorb the current high market prices. As a result, it is expected that the short-term ABS market will be mainly digested and sorted out, and a narrow range correction is not ruled out.

pa6

This week, the PA6 slice market rose widely, and the aggregation plant was reluctant to sell at a low price, and the offer rose. As of Saturday's close, the mainstream shipment center of conventional spinning light chips in the polymerization factory was 10,700-10,800 yuan/ton cash pickup, up 1,436 from last Thursday's closing price. This week, the average price of conventional spinning light chips was 10,213 yuan/ton, an increase of 788 yuan from last week's average price. After the holiday, oil prices rose, the spot supply of raw material caprolactam was relatively tight, the price of caprolactam rose, the support of the slice raw material end was sufficient, the slice followed the upward trend, and the downstream customer inquiry was better during the week, but the overall high-level transaction was still relatively weak, and the early orders of the polymerization plant were still being handed over. The mainstream negotiation center of gravity in the spot market of high-end high-speed spinning chips was 10,600-11,000 yuan/ton, up 485 from last Thursday's closing price.

It is predicted that the current domestic PA6 market will rise at a high level. The raw material caprolactam has risen steadily, and the new transactions in the slice market are still relatively average. In the future, the crude oil market price is expected to continue to fluctuate repeatedly, the raw material caprolactam market continues to rise, the cost of slices may continue to be boosted, the price of slices is still expected to rise, and downstream customers are cautious in taking goods. Overall, Zhuochuang expects the short-term PA6 market to be volatile.

bopp

This week's domestic BOPP is consistent with the pre-holiday Zhuochuang forecast, the price first rises and then falls, and the actual trading volume is discussed. As of the 9th, the thick light film in East China was 9100-9500 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton from before the holiday, 300 yuan/ton higher than the previous month, and 1100 yuan/ton lower than the same period last year, 9500-9600 yuan/ton in North China, and 9200-9800 yuan/ton in South China. The retail market price is narrow, the thick film does not include value-added tax Chaoshan 8700 yuan/ton, Henan 9600 yuan/ton, including tax Qingdao 10000 yuan/ton. PP futures performed strongly after the holiday, coupled with the continuous rebound of crude oil during the holiday, and the PP spot continued to rise after the holiday, driving the price of BOPP up. After the film price rose, it entered the finishing period, and some high prices fell back after rising.

It is predicted that the probability of BOPP downside next week is relatively large, and the range may be limited for the time being. From the perspective of oil prices, oil prices are expected to fluctuate repeatedly, giving guidance to the market or unclear. The current price of the PP market is at a high level, although the petrochemical inventory is relatively low, but its downstream demand procurement enthusiasm is not enough to support the current high price market, so the PP shock will be loosened next week. The number of orders received by BOPP enterprises after the holiday is average, user procurement maintains rigid demand, the market is looking forward to a strong decline, and the terminal rigid demand is lacking. Zhuochuang expects that next week's BOPP shock will be weak, and the real transaction will focus on negotiation, and the thick light film will be 8700-9500 yuan/ton in East China.

soda ash

This week, the domestic soda ash market declined weakly, and the market trading atmosphere was light. This week, the number of manufacturers overhauling and limiting production increased, Shilian and Southern Alkali stopped for maintenance, some manufacturers in Northwest, North China and Southwest China limited production, and the weighted average operating load of soda ash manufacturers was lowered to 802. Although the operating load of soda ash manufacturers has been significantly reduced, most of the downstream products of soda ash are under-started, and the demand for soda ash continues to shrink. The contradiction between supply and demand in the industry is still prominent, soda ash manufacturers are mainly flexible in receiving orders and shipping, end users are not reducing their efforts to reduce prices, and the supply of low-price goods in the market is increasing. Since the May Day holiday, the domestic light alkali price has been reduced by 30-50 yuan/ton, the current domestic light alkali mainstream ex-factory price is 1100-1300 yuan/ton, and the mainstream terminal price of light alkali is 1200-1400 yuan/ton. This week, the average ex-factory price of light alkali in China was 1230 yuan/ton, down 33 from last week's average price.

It is predicted that the starting load of soda ash manufacturers will continue to decline in the near future, but the amount of soda ash used in the main downstream products of soda ash continues to shrink, the overall inventory of soda ash manufacturers has reached more than 20 days of output, and the soda ash inventory days of most float glass (1322, 800, 061) manufacturers are more than 30 days, and the inventory of some float glass manufacturers is as high as 2 months. Soda ash prices have fallen to a low level in nearly seven years, and some end users have moderately increased their purchases. Demand is sluggish, market confidence is insufficient, and traders are more cautious. Under the high inventory, soda ash manufacturers are still actively receiving orders and shipments, and the end users are not reducing their price reduction efforts, and the domestic soda ash market is still under certain downward pressure in the short term.

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