631 [Bullish Crude Oil Futures]
"Boss, are you sure it won't be long before there will be a war between Iran and Iraq?" Davide didn't quite believe what his boss said.
The Middle East is indeed chaotic, and wars are commonplace. But now there has been a ceasefire for several years, and there are often small-scale frictions, but they are not enough to affect international crude oil prices. In addition, with the coercive constraints of European and American countries, it is even more impossible to say that it will be cracked down.
Even if you really want to fight, it is definitely not for your own boss to know the inside story in advance, after all, this kind of thing is usually known to those real consortium giants for the first time.
"I can't guarantee if it's true. Huo Yaowen relied on the convenience brought by the memories of later generations, and knew that there would be chaos over there in the near future, but this kind of thing could not be said to David Deming.
So he shook his head, relied on the Middle East information he had just collected by Yin Wenyao, and made a reason: "However, in February this year, the Alang revolution was successful, and Meni, who was very popular with the local people, came to power. This move may make the Rak side take action, after all, they have always wanted to dominate the entire Gulf region. ”
Hearing this, Davide frowned, he had just read a little bit of information from the Middle East, although he didn't look closely, but as a qualified investment manager, he has a keen observation ability that is not comparable to ordinary people.
Coupled with the past contradictions between the two Irans, as well as the information deliberately revealed by Huo Yaowen in and out of his words, Davide really didn't know if this would really happen for a while.
The Iran-Iraq war really broke out on that day, Huo Yaowen can't remember clearly, only that it was October 1979. For unknown things, although he knew that it would be very profitable, Huo Yaowen didn't want to invest too much money in it. He is afraid of an unknown butterfly effect, and is in a conservative consideration, and only intends to buy a small amount, and if he earns it, it will naturally be good, and it doesn't matter if he doesn't make it.
At this time, Davide asked curiously, "Boss, how sure are you about this?"
Huo Yaowen shook his head with a smile and said: "I don't know, I also wanted to take a stake in the charter king's global shipping not long ago, and then I found out that the charter ship king sold oil tankers on a large scale, so I asked Yin Wenyao to help check it." It was only when I saw the information from the Middle East that I came up with this idea. ”
Davide also knew about the boss's desire to take a stake in Global Shipping, so when he heard that Huo Yaowen had guessed it himself, he nodded slightly.
After thinking for a moment, he said: "Actually, boss, if you really want to raise international crude oil, it won't have much impact if you buy more." I just asked Yin Wenyao, and he said that the current international crude oil prices have been relatively stable in recent months, so even if the war does not start at that time, as long as we close the position in time, there will not be too much loss. ”
Most people know a little bit about short and high in the stock market, and a little professional can also say a lot of stock market terms, but there are still many people who don't know the rules here.
To take a very simple example of shorting, you predict that the price of rice will be reduced in the next few days, but you don't have that much money now, so you have to take your ID card and rent a bag of rice in the rice shop.
Then you sell the rice at the current price of 180 yuan, and after three days, the price of rice falls to 120 yuan a bag, and you buy another bag and return it to the rice shop, and the rice shop returns your ID card to you, then you make a profit of 60 yuan.
Going up is similar to going short, it's relatively simple, and you don't need to take an ID card as collateral. For example, the price of rice is now 180 yuan, you buy some, if the price of rice rises to 200 yuan, we close the position, sell all the rice, buy 180 and sell 200, then you make a profit of 20.
"And what do you mean?"
Huo Yaowen doesn't understand the speculative method of shorting and rising in the stock market, so he knows that there is a possibility of war between the two countries, he is in a conservative consideration, and he doesn't want to invest too much money.
But looking at Davide's appearance now, it seems to be quite supportive.
"These two countries are both major international oil producers, you know this very well, so as long as these two countries fight in the near future, as expected by the boss, then the price of crude oil will definitely rise. ”
"If the boss is wrong, as long as the crude oil futures we buy are closed in time, there will be no losses. Even if the price of crude oil falls, our loss will not be too big, not to mention that the international crude oil price has been flat for several months......"
After Davide analyzed the detailed process of making a rise and the possible loss problems with Huo Yaowen, he kept staring at the boss's face to see how Huo Yaowen decided the next step.
After Davide's analysis, Huo Yaowen squinted slightly, pondered for a moment, and asked: "According to your meaning, if we buy crude oil futures, no matter whether these two countries fight in the end or not, as long as we close the position and sell it in time, there will not be too much loss?"
"Not bad. Davide nodded and said: "Going up is different from shorting, short is very risky, and if you go up, it is much less risky, and you don't need to pay margin, and you don't have to worry about being forced to close your position by the bookmaker." ”
"Then buy some and try it. Huo Yaowen thought about it, since there would not be too many losses, and he was certain that the two Iraqs would go to war in the near future, so he would buy more and try it.
"Okay boss, I'll contact the people below to prepare to raise international crude oil futures!"
Seeing that the boss had decided, Davide immediately ran out excitedly to gather his subordinates and began to prepare for the rise of crude oil futures.
To raise international crude oil futures, Huo Yaowen only gave Davide $30 million in his private capacity, and at the same time allowed Davide to close the position directly or use the company's money to continue to buy without notifying him when the form changes and fluctuates.
only took 30 million out, not that Huo Yaowen had no money, mainly because he wanted to be safe, he was not Soros, let alone those stock speculators who specialized in the stock market. He didn't need to rely on the international crude oil futures to bring much benefit, but just happened to be at the meeting, just remembered this matter, and pondered to try.
As long as this attempt is successful, then in a few years, before Japan and the United States sign the Hiroshima Agreement, he will be able to try again.
......
A few days later, when Davide was preparing to go to the United States with his men to raise crude oil futures, a big event happened in Hong Kong.
There is a rumor that the charter king sold 20 of its oil tankers to Wheelock in a package, and borrowed a huge amount of money from HSBC, scraping together a full 2 billion Hong Kong dollars, in order to win the remaining shares of Wharf in one fell swoop.
Although this news is not known to be true or false, the people of Jardine Matheson are very vigilant, and after two days of internal discussions, they announced that they will fully recover Wharf shares at a price of 10 yuan per share higher than the market price.
Nowadays, Wharf is about 80 yuan per share, and Jardine Matheson has suddenly increased to 90, which is not a simple problem of 10 yuan more.
Today, Jardine Matheson has only 20 percent of the shares, and if it wants to achieve full control, it must collect another 20 percent.
According to the calculation of the shares issued by Wharf over the years, 20% is almost 20 million shares, and 90 yuan per share, that is 1.8 billion!
Such a large purchase price has never happened since the opening of Hong Kong, and it has never happened.
For a time, there was an uproar inside and outside Hong Kong Island.
...