Chapter 800: The Herd Effect and the Free Rider Theory

The Huaxia region has been a locust plague-prone area since ancient times, and there are records of locust plagues as early as the Shang and Zhou dynasties. Even in the Book of Songs, it is recorded that "remove its moths and its thieves, and harm my Tianzhi." Tian Zu has a god, and he is a fire."

Among them, "beetles" are locusts.

On the land of China, Shandong has always been a locust plague-stricken area.

If there was a locust plague in previous years, the common people would naturally be miserable.

But this year is different - just after a big flood raged, crop yields in most areas were reduced or harvested, and another guy like this really cost the lives of ordinary people!

The news of the discovery of the locust plague in Shandong Province did not leak out at first.

However, within two days, the locust plague in the eastern region had already become a climate, and it could not be cured in the eyes of the eyes.

As a result, the news of the locust plague after the flood in Shandong Province broke out.

While the masses in various places are sighing for the many disasters and difficulties of the people of Shandong this year, in a hotel in Jinan, a group of foreigners are also discussing the news in the province broadcast on the TV.

"Rolange, what's in the news?"

Although many foreign professors have been in China for several years, their Chinese language proficiency is not high.

It's not that Chinese is difficult to learn, but that most of these people have translators from the government and their respective units after arriving in China. At present, there are not too many foreigners in China, and even fewer high-level intellectuals. The government attaches great importance to it, and even insurance companies have a special translation department. Handling of foreign nationals' insurance in China.

However, it was an accident, Laurengue was French, but he spent his childhood in Hong Kong. I have a certain foundation for the Chinese language, and it is because of this advantage that I became the first batch of representatives of the European Community Economic Center to come to China.

"Roughly speaking, there is a relatively serious locust plague in the eastern part of Shandong Province and some areas, and the government is actively organizing manpower to control the spread of the disaster. ”

Translating the news, Rolander found his colleagues silent around him.

Obviously, such a serious disaster occurred at this juncture, which is not a good thing for Shandong, which has already broken a ship.

Among them, several experts who have studied economics, especially post-disaster economics, are also well aware of the impact of post-disaster disasters and locust plagues on the economic field.

What is the locust plague like?

Unlike natural disasters such as floods, which may leave a small impression, locust plagues are biological disasters. Once a large-scale locust plague occurs, a large number of adult locust and larvae will devour the fields and vegetation wherever they go, completely destroying the agricultural products in the area!

It is a catastrophe for the economy and ecology in the area where it occurs!

In ancient times, it could even lead to severe food shortages and famine uprisings, which could bring down the entire state administrative structure.

From this aspect, we can see the horror of the locust plague.

"Hell, so our plans had to be changed. After the locust plague, the government will definitely focus its efforts on this aspect, and I am afraid that the plans we have formulated will not be completed in a short period of time!"

"There are only 20 days left before the agreed time of the bet with Li Xian, and if we revise the plan and re-persuade the government to implement it, I am afraid it will not be enough. Damn,"

"No one can do anything about this kind of accidental event. Rolange was also helpless. Shrugging his shoulders, he asked one of the people beside him, "By the way, what are the new movements on Li Xian's side now?"

He asked if it was none other than Wang Hongyang, who had just been discharged from the hospital and rushed to Shandong with a group of professors in the college.

"It's still like that, Taishan Chamber of Commerce is using its own enterprises to stop the flood and recruit employees for the society, and the number of people has expanded a little in the past two days. However, hehe," Wang Hongyang smiled coldly, "to say that this locust plague is out of our favor, and it is not a good thing for him Li Xian." As soon as the locust plague came, the projects of the Taishan Chamber of Commerce would have to be temporarily suspended and cooperate with the province to extinguish the disaster. Our plan won't work, and I'm afraid that the layout before Li Xian won't work anymore. ”

"Oh?" Luo Lange heard Wang Hongyang say this, and his heart moved: "Professor Wang, what do you think?"

The eyes of the people in the room were focused on Wang Hongming.

Wang Hongming cleared his throat and said with a smile: "Presumably, everyone here knows the herd effect. ”

Hearing him say this, Rolange was stunned: "Professor Wang, you mean ......?"

"That's right. Wang Hongming nodded, "The Taishan Chamber of Commerce should be the biggest honor guard that Li Xian bet with us, to be honest, this community of interests composed of local entrepreneurs does have considerable energy." If nothing else, with the help of this part of the enterprise and the government's economic initiatives, it will not be a problem to complete the post-flood reconstruction work. But, gentlemen. Li Xian, a person, thought a little simpler. It is a good thing for social recruitment, but large-scale and low-condition recruitment can easily cause a herd effect. ”

The herd effect, also known as "herd mentality", means that when people do not have enough information, they often extract information by observing the behavior of the people around them. In this constant transmission of information, many people's messages will be roughly the same and reinforce each other, resulting in herd behavior. It is a non-linear mechanism that ultimately leads to collective irrational behavior by individual rational behavior.

In the field of economics and finance, this is a buzzword.

Commonly found in the stock market...... It even gave rise to another buzzword - sheep cutting.

After Wang Hongming finished speaking, many people in the room immediately got what he meant.

"In addition to the herd effect, the current situation of the Taishan Chamber of Commerce, if there is a hand behind it, then push it......" Wang Hongming smiled coldly: "When the rational individuals in the collective provide limited public goods, and the larger the organization of public goods demanders, the more the supply of public goods is lacking." You say, 'When the time comes...... What will the Taishan Chamber of Commerce do?"

The eyes of Rolange and others lit up!

"The Taishan Chamber of Commerce is not a government, and they will not sacrifice their own unbearable costs to provide a large number of low-value jobs for the public!

Wang Hongming and Luo Lange looked at each other and smiled: "That's right, they will definitely stop recruiting workers altogether and push this tricky and completely unaffordable trouble to the government." ”

Immediately, a professor clapped his hands: "At that time, if Li Xian still insists that his entrepreneur has social responsibility, then what awaits him will be the bankruptcy of the Taishan Chamber of Commerce! But if he doesn't accept it, everything he has done in the flood before, including the theories he has said recently, will naturally become rootless duckweed, and it will not be able to stand!"

……

Li Xian was also taken aback when he saw the news of the locust plague in Shandong Province.

Are there so many calamities?

In the aftermath of the floods, Li Xian reached a series of investment negotiations with the government, which promoted New Taipei's next few projects in Shandong Province, including liquor pharmaceutical and health care products branches.

Originally, the plan was good, but after this locust plague, I am afraid that it will be completely disrupted.

Just as he was watching the news in the newspaper, the phone rang.

"President, something is wrong!"

It was still Operation Kong.

Listening to Kong Xing's anxious voice, Li Xian replied in a deep voice: "Old Kong, I know about the locust plague. Don't panic, the province will definitely deal with such a big disaster. We can contribute to the flood, but the prevention and control of the locust plague is a technical matter, and we can't help. Just do your own thing. ”

"Oh, President! That's not it!" Kong Xing, who was on the other side of the phone, roared urgently: "Since two days, I don't know why, the victims of the locust plague have come to our Taishan Society's enterprises one after another, and they have all come to look for jobs! At the beginning, the association studied the appropriate acceptance of some of the victims in the affected areas, after all, the locust plague is more harmful than the flood, and it is quite miserable. But we didn't expect that this time it would be bad! Now the outside of the various recruitment factories is already full of people, and they can't be pushed and scattered, so why don't we discuss and leave! It has far exceeded the number of recruits we expected!"

Well?!

Hearing this, Li Xian's eyes widened.

Wrong!

It's so fast!

The locust plague had only been happening for two days, and someone immediately came to the Taishan Chamber of Commerce.

Here, I'm afraid there is something strange!

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