Chapter 928: Explanation
Liu Lang admired Yang Huijian's father Yang Lao very much, not to mention anything else, when New China was founded, Yang Lao was able to give up tens of millions of family businesses to return to China to serve, even if he was hit by a huge impact later, for no reason, this loyalty is worthy of respect.
"Mr. Liu, the name is admirable, my father admires Mr. Liu very much, saying that it is the future of the country, but I couldn't admire it before, but now I finally see it!"
Yang Huijian is very clear about what Liu Lang has done, and the other party's contribution to the country is no less than that of the entire Guoxin Group, so he has put Liu Lang's identity above himself and spoke very politely.
"Old Chen, Brother Yang, let's look for me for the affairs of the island country!"
Liu Lang never beats around the bush when he speaks, Chen Deming represents Yongli Group, Yang Huijian represents Guoxin Group, and Guoxin Group is actually a central enterprise, obviously the information he provided this time has attracted the attention of the two major departments, and they are going to join forces.
"That's right, the two of us are here for that news, and we can guess what we represent behind us!"
Chen Deming poured tea for Liu Lang as he spoke, and the young man behind him hurriedly stepped forward to help, he should be Chen Deming's guard.
"Xiao Wang, I'll come personally!"
Chen Deming waved his hand, and the other party immediately stood behind him again.
"Come, this is a new tea in early spring, specially prepared for He Zhendong, and ordinary people can't drink it!"
"Thank you, Mr. Chen!"
Liu Lang was not polite, picked up the slightly hot teacup and drank it all, only to feel a hot current rushing into his stomach, and then there was a mouth full of aroma, as if the pores were full.
"Good tea, good tea!"
Liu Lang was not polite, and poured another glass by himself.
"If you like to drink, I'll let Mingtao get a catty......... Take two pounds, I don't have any more!"
It seems that this tea is indeed very precious, otherwise it would be more than two catties of tea just because Liu Lang made the other party earn more than 10 million US dollars in vain last time.
"Mr. Liu, what is the basis for saying that the economy of the island country will undergo great changes in the future?"
Yang Huijian asked.
Liu Lang smiled, picked up the teacup on the table and took a sip gently.
"The economy of the island country began to grow rapidly in the 50s, and up to now, the GDP has grown by more than 5 percent for more than 30 years.
All this is true, and the island country's industrial, computer, and other high-tech industries are really strong.
When the people have money, in order to stimulate consumption, the state must first lower the bank interest rate and force the people to take their money out of the bank.
In addition to consumption, the common people's money should also be invested, and what should they invest in? The only things suitable for ordinary people are the stock market and real estate, and those who have more money buy houses and wait for housing prices to rise, and those who have less money invest in stocks and wait for the stock market to rise.
In 85 years, the island countries signed the "Plaza Accord" with the United States and Europe, and the yen appreciated, and since then a large number of the United States and Europe have entered the island countries, which are tens of billions of hot money, which has once again promoted the rapid improvement of the stock market and real estate.
If it were our country, the real estate industry would definitely be able to withdraw the economic strength of our country, that is, the housing prices in the core areas of the capital would probably not exceed 200 US dollars per square meter.
Do you know how high the housing prices are in the core of the capital of the island country? 20,000 US dollars per square meter is equivalent to 100 times the housing price of our capital, and their economy is very strong, last year's GDP was 3 trillion US dollars, and our country barely exceeded 300 billion yuan, which is 10 times that of ours, even if the real estate price is slightly higher than the actual price, they should not be 100 times our price, which means that a large number of economic bubbles have begun to be generated in it.
You may not know what an economic bubble is, for example, it is equivalent to a soap bubble, which looks very big, but it is empty inside, and when it blows, it bursts, and when it bursts, everything becomes empty.
The economy of the island nation has been blown into a big bubble, and it is on the verge of bursting at this point!"
Liu Lang explained to the other party, Yang Huijian didn't say anything, not because he was frightened, but because he didn't understand too much, and he didn't understand the professional words of economic bubbles and hot money.
Twenty years later, even the grandparents on the street know these words, but in this era when the Chinese people have just eaten enough, even many high-level people in the country do not understand the meaning.
Yang Huijian hadn't heard of these "new words", but he still understood the meaning, and after thinking about it slightly, he immediately nodded yes, as for Chen Deming, he didn't understand it at all, but he felt that Liu Lang's words seemed to sound very reasonable.
"Mr. Liu, your words really make me feel like an epiphany, in this way, the stock market and real estate of the island country are virtual, since it is virtual, just remove it, its economy itself will not be too affected, right?"
Yang Huijian asked again.
"A country's economy includes all industries, and the three major industries are among them, and the industry of the island country has nothing to say, the world is second only to the United States, and may not even be comparable to West Germany and Britain, this is a fact, and no one can deny it.
It's just that in recent years, there has been too much hot money in island countries, all of which are concentrated in real estate and the stock market, and it is the human factor that has raised their true value, and this value cannot increase forever, and when those hot money manipulators realize this, they will choose to withdraw, and this is the beginning of the economic crisis.
The first one leaves, then the second and the third, and without support, the bubble will burst, and this process will cause more panic among people who will sell their stocks and properties, and this will start another chain reaction that will make the stock market of the island nation detached from its true value again, only this time in the opposite direction.
The value of the island country's stock market is now higher than the real value, the reason is that everyone is blindly pursuing, and a year later, the island country's stock market will collapse with the disappearance of the bubble, and then begin to go the opposite, the reason is that everyone is too pessimistic, this is two processes, each process is not affected by objective truth, but by investor sentiment, which is also part of economics, or can become economic psychology. ”
Liu Lang gave two people an economics lesson, Chen Deming basically didn't understand, Yang Huijian understood a rough idea, but Yang Huijian took a pen and wrote down Liu Lang's words without a word, and he still had to report these to the top and let the senior management decide.
"Mr. Liu, I am really taught today, no wonder even the country adopts your theory, it is really a high opinion, it really benefits me a lot!"
Yang Huijian felt that his economic level was not a fart in the other party, far behind!
"Mr. Liu, I have another question, that is, how do you know that the stock market of the island country will reach its highest point in December this year and fall to 20,000 points in October next year?
Yang Huijian asked again.