630 Daydreaming

Professor Lang was talking on the stage, expounding his main research results in the past few years, that is, the establishment of a professional manager system in state-owned enterprises to prevent the loss of state-owned resources.

But the problem is that three-quarters of the audience are relatively successful private entrepreneurs, why did he come to talk about this today?

Song Weiyang listened with a smile on his face throughout the whole process, and Brother Xiao Ma leaned over sideways and said in a low voice: "It is said that Professor Lang only breaks and does not stand, and only raises questions and does not solve problems, but what he just said is very level." ”

"There are some levels, but the operation is too difficult, and the hasty implementation will inevitably lead to chaos. Song Weiyang said.

Brother Pony thought about it carefully, nodded and said, "That's true." ”

As early as 2002, the central government promulgated the "2002-2005 National Talent Team Construction Planning Outline", which initially proposed to explore and formulate a professional manager qualification evaluation system. The central authorities have long been aware of this problem and have begun to try to establish a relevant evaluation system; in the past two years, dozens of universities have set up EBMA classes at the same time, do you think they have suddenly appeared? The purpose of setting up EMBA classes in Chinese universities is, first, to train elite backbones for China's private enterprises after China's accession to the WTO, and second, to train reserve talents for professional managers for state-owned enterprises. Professor Lang's speech today is something that the central authorities have already made preliminary attempts, so what is new?"

Brother Xiao Ma was surprised: "You actually remember the ordinary policy documents from two years ago so clearly?"

"Of course I do. Don't you usually watch "News Network" and "People's X Daily?" Song Weiyang asked rhetorically.

Little Pony said, "I don't think much of it. ”

"Hardly looking, right?" asked Song Weiyang.

"Pretty much. Little Pony smiled a little embarrassedly.

In 2015, Wu Xiaobo said in an interview: "Whether it is Ma Xiaoyun or Brother Xiaoma, their publicness is much worse...... This has something to do with the growth of the whole generation. The amount of Lao Liu and Wang Shishi must be much larger than Ma Xiaoyun, Ma Xiaoyun is not a person who reads much, and Xiao Ma's accumulation in the field of social sciences is also very low...... When the whole microphone is handed to them, they are sometimes too busy to say anything. They don't pay enough attention to public issues, but they become opinion leaders. When a person becomes an opinion leader, people ask him all the public questions. He has to answer any question, and then he will find that the humanistic quality of this generation must be behind the previous generation. ”

Brother Xiao Ma realized this problem early on, and he also had some foreign appearances, but he soon knew how to restrain himself, and his whole person became more and more low-key.

Ma Xiaoyun is keen to act as an opinion leader, so much so that saying that 996 is a blessing was a nonsense was predicted by Wu Xiaobo in advance. As for Ma Xiaoyun to carry books in his bag whenever he goes out, those books are either martial arts or mysterious metaphysics books of Lao Zhuang, and his social science cultural accumulation is really poor.

"Next, I would like to invite Mr. Song Weiyang to speak on stage, everyone applauds and welcomes!"

The Entrepreneur Forum lasted for three days, the first day was to review the 20-year development history of Chinese companies, the second day was to discuss the various difficulties faced by entrepreneurs, and the third day was a free discussion in small groups.

At this time, it was the second day, Song Weiyang walked to the main podium amid applause, coughed twice and said: "I basically agree with what Professor Lang said just now, but the specific operation needs to be studied and discussed. Moreover, I am the owner of a private enterprise, and it is not my turn to talk about the reform of state-owned enterprises, so I don't want to say much about this aspect. However, Professor Lang said that the real estate bubble in Chinese mainland is too serious and will burst in another ten years at most, which I do not agree with. There must be a bubble and it will have to burst one day, but let's not forget that China's urbanization rate is still very low. Our migrant workers are now providing a demographic dividend for China's manufacturing industry, and they will also provide a demographic dividend for China's real estate in a few years. This is a very cruel reality, I sympathize with them very much, and I only hope that the real estate CEOs will have a little conscience in the future, at least don't cut corners in order to rush the construction period......"

There were at least 20 real estate bosses present, and when they heard Song Weiyang say that "China's urbanization rate is still very low", their brains reacted at once, and they couldn't wait to hug Song Weiyang and kiss him a few times on the spot.

Song Weiyang continued: "I don't think there is any problem with China's economic turmoil this year, and there is no predicament for Chinese companies. Now is the golden period of China's manufacturing development, in the golden period can encounter difficulties, that can only be said to be your own problem. So today I will not discuss the current predicament, we might as well predict what the predicament of Chinese enterprises as a whole will be in five years' time. Can anyone answer?"

"Boss Song, we are not immortals, how can we guess what will happen in five years, and solving the current problem is the most urgent. One of the bosses spoke up.

The crowd burst into laughter.

"Then I'll be a god," Song Weiyang said with a smile, "There is no doubt that China has now become the world's factory, and the goods made in China are being sold all over the world, which is the fundamental reason why China's economy has grown by leaps and bounds for three consecutive years." If this momentum continues, five years later, the traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States will be washed away, the unemployment rate in Europe and the United States will rise rapidly, and the European and American economies will continue to decline. What should the people of Europe and the United States do if they run out of money? What should they do if they can't afford to buy Chinese goods?"

"Hahahaha!"

The crowd laughed wildly because the topic was so funny.

The traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States has been completely swept away by China? The economy of Europe and the United States has been in a total recession? The common people of Europe and the United States cannot afford to buy Chinese goods? This is simply like a fantasy, and it is more like the babbling of a madman, which can make people laugh until their stomachs ache for days.

Song Weiyang laughed with everyone, and after laughing, he said: "Last year, the Commercial Press translated and published a book. P. Kindleberg, World Economic Hegemony 1500-1990. In the book, Kindleberger said meaningfully that the most important thing for a country's economy is to be productive, and most of the economic hegemony in history has undergone a transformation from productive to unproductive, which makes the economic hegemonic country have a life cycle nature, so that it cannot escape the fate of turning from prosperity to decline. Now the global manufacturing industry is frantically moving to China, the European and American manufacturing industry will inevitably lose the market in globalization, non-high-tech products are at a price disadvantage, and the market is constantly squeezed. The countries of Europe and the United States are losing their 'productivity', and economic decline is a matter of time, and I think it will begin to manifest itself in five years' time. Professor Lang, do you believe my prophecy?"

Professor Lang didn't expect Song Weiyang to ask him by name, and suddenly smiled: "I don't agree with this point of view." The shift of manufacturing from Europe and the United States to Asia stems from their own industrial upgrading. Take Nike's sneakers as an example, if the profit of a pair of shoes is 100 yuan, then the Chinese responsible for OEM production can only earn 1 yuan, and the remaining 99 yuan is earned by Nike. To put it bluntly, we are working for Europe and the United States, and our productivity is the lowest, while the productivity of European and American countries is even higher, and European and American countries have not lost their productivity. ”

"The capitalists in Europe and the United States have not lost, but the common people in Europe and the United States have lost," Song Weiyang said, "If the traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States is washed away, then where will their people go to make money? All of them will go to the service business, or will they all go to finance or high-tech? When there are a large number of unemployed people in a country, and the unemployment rate is rising year by year and cannot be reduced, then the country's economic recession will become inevitable. ”

Professor Lang was thoughtful, and he didn't know how to refute it for a while. Because Song Weiyang's words have too many slots, professional economists don't know where to start complaining, but the core idea seems to be correct.

Song Weiyang said: "Those who do not seek eternity are not enough to seek a moment." Those who do not seek the overall situation are not enough to seek a corner. As a business, we should not only see the general trend, but also anticipate and promote the general trend, so I would like to ask you to prepare as soon as possible. Five years later, the economies of Europe and the United States began to recession, which inevitably affected the export of Chinese goods. Then we have only three choices: first, the state will take the lead in expanding domestic demand, and you will jointly build the local market; second, we will upgrade our enterprises, gradually shift from low-end manufacturing to mid-to-high-end, and compete with high-end products from Europe and the United States to compete for the market; third, we will lay out the markets of Asian, African and Latin American third-world countries and sell Chinese products to every corner of the world. Thank you, and that's all I have done. As for whether you believe it or not, whether you listen or not, that's your own business. By the way, friends who want to test the car can go downstairs, and my Tesla is parked in the plaza downstairs and try it casually. ”

Song Weiyang directly chose to hide and no longer participated in the forum on the third day, but took Shen Si to wander around the Special Administrative Region.

When he said that, it was reported by major media, which caused widespread discussion in Chinese society for a while. There's no way, it's news that the richest man sneezes, not to mention that Song Weiyang's speech is too incredible.

China's richest man predicts that the European and American economies will usher in a big recession in five years

"Song Weiyang: European and American countries are losing their productivity, and economic hegemony will inevitably end its life cycle"

"China, as the world's factory, will crush the traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States within five years"

……

Most people listen to this as a joke, because it is so incredible that it completely breaks through the imagination of the Chinese people.

Not to mention saying this kind of thing in 2004, even in 2006, the prophecy sticker on the Tianya Forum was hung up and ridiculed for a long time. In the Shen post, netizens predicted that the Chang'e-1 lunar probe was successfully launched in 07; in the 08 Olympic Games, China's 45 gold medals ranked second, Shenzhou 7 was successfully launched, and the astronauts walked out of the capsule; in 09, the cross-strait three links were realized; in 10 years, the Beijing-Shanghai and Beijing-Guangzhou high-speed railways were put into operation, China's foreign exchange reserves reached 2 trillion US dollars, and China's GDP surpassed Germany to rank third...... In 13 years, a large number of domestic TV dramas were exported, and Hanfu began to become popular in China; in 14 years, China's high-speed rail network was initially completed, which solved the economic constraints caused by insufficient railway transportation...... In 16 years, China's total GDP surpassed Japan, ranking second in the world, with an average GDP of more than 6,000 US dollars in Chinese, the country's urban population exceeded 60%, and the agricultural population was less than 40%, China completed the transformation from an agricultural country to a post-industrial country, and the difference between rural and urban hukou was canceled in the same year, and China's industrial upgrading was initially completed in 17 years, and Chinese enterprises transferred production lines to Africa, India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, and the proportion of China's local manufacturing gradually declined......"

From the perspective of 2019, there are too many slots in this post. What South Korea and North Korea formed a free economy, Loongson chips accounted for more than 10% of the international CPU market share, mobile phones were eliminated in 2018, handheld computers replaced mobile phones and desktop computers, and the penetration rate exceeded 80%, these contents are ridiculous - in terms of mobile phones, this brother's prediction is very accurate, the handheld computer he predicted is actually a smart phone, and the penetration rate is really far more than 80%.

But more of the predictions in the post were fulfilled by China ahead of schedule.

In particular, the world ranking of GDP, China had just reached fourth place at the time of posting, and it ranked third in the second year of posting (07). However, the poster predicted that it would rank third in 2010, and at that time, netizens from all walks of life took turns to ridicule it, believing that China's GDP could not surpass Germany soon. As for predicting that China will surpass Japanese benzene in GDP2016 years, it is a pipe dream, but China surpassed Japanese benzene in the second year after surpassing Germany, eight years earlier than the forecast.

The current mainstream public opinion is that although China has become the world's factory, it is only picking up the leftovers of others, China is very weak, China is very poor, and China is decades behind Europe and the United States!

Song Weiyang ran out to say that, and everyone was naughty again when they were the richest man. Some people even ridiculed Song Weiyang for having a bad brain after he became rich, and he only knew how to daydream all day long, completely detached from China's actual national conditions, and completely unknown that the people at the bottom of China Everbright were still struggling to make a living.

But it is undeniable that Song Weiyang has become popular again, and his domestic popularity has become higher, and even the sales of Shenzhou electronic products endorsed by him are increasing.

There are also people on the Internet who ridicule that there are three strange flowers among Chinese entrepreneurs: Shi Yuzhu only knows how to squat at home and play games all day long, Wang Shishi only thinks about where to climb the mountain all day long, and Song Weiyang talks big words with his eyes closed all day long.

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