Chapter 46: The Question of Artificial Intelligence (1)

Lucy got straight to the point and asked, "My first question is, do you think that in the future, artificial intelligence will awaken?"

This question was the most common question asked by everyone, the first question about artificial intelligence, but it was a bit of a surprise that Lucy asked it so bluntly as soon as he spoke.

Xu Xincheng has also given a lot of thought to this issue, but he thinks it is better to paraphrase and quote the views of experts, because he is not an expert himself.

"I'm not an expert, but I'll talk about the opinions of many scientists and AI experts," he said seriously.

In response to this problem, there are basically two schools of thought, the first of which is that consciousness and free will are unique to human beings, and that they can only arise from the unique human brain that has been formed after billions of years of biological evolution. In the final analysis, computers are just machines, their algorithms and programs are written by us humans, they are all mechanical, they are all deterministic, no matter how artificial intelligence develops, it is impossible to produce consciousness and free will, it is impossible to awaken.

However, the first faction is now weaker, and the second faction is stronger now.

The second school believes that sooner or later, artificial intelligence will break through the mechanical determinism and determinism mentioned by the first school, and will learn to write and optimize its own algorithms and programs, and will be like the brains of our human ancestors. They believe that artificial intelligence will awaken sooner or later, and its awakening is the inevitability of historical development and the inevitability of scientific and technological development. It's not a question of if, it's just a matter of time. ”

"And what faction do you belong to?"

He hesitated for a moment and whispered, "I belong to the second faction. ”

Although he had already made his own judgment, it was the first time that he had said his idea so formally, and he couldn't help but be a little hesitant; moreover, this matter has already involved the future of the entire human society, and it is a great matter, he is just an ordinary person, and he is not an expert, so he should not be judged, so he can't help but be a little unconfident when he speaks.

Lucy nodded, and then asked, "My second question is, what do you think the awakened AI will mean to us humans, and will it be an enemy or a friend?"

This issue is the most concerned issue for everyone, not only the practitioners of the artificial intelligence industry, but also all ordinary people, and at the same time, this issue is also the most controversial and fierce.

Although Xu Xincheng has also thought about this issue, this second question is bigger than the first one, which is related to the future of mankind and the life and death of mankind. If he is asked to answer such a question, his confidence will be even less sufficient.

He looked at Lucy, her face solemn and solemn, and she was waiting for his answer.

He took a deep breath, thought about it very seriously, and sorted out his thoughts for a while, before he said: "This issue is really complicated, and there is a very big controversy, I think this problem needs to start from the beginning, and it needs to start from the birth and three stages of development of artificial intelligence."

The birth of artificial intelligence can be traced back to the moment when the first computer was born, and from that moment on, it began to change our world, and the details of this process will not be repeated here. In short, since its development, it has had a very great impact on human society, which has affected all aspects of human work and life, which has both good and positive sides, as well as bad negative and negative sides.

On the good side, simply put, it is to continuously improve the working environment and efficiency of our human beings, and constantly improve our living environment and quality; on the bad side, there are also many great influences, for example, at present, a relatively large and significant impact is the wave of unemployment.

Artificial intelligence robots, application software, etc. have begun to be competent for many jobs in our human society, and now, every year, millions of people are unemployed, and as they become more and more intelligent, artificial intelligence can do more and more jobs, which will inevitably lead to more and more unemployment.

In fact, all this is just the beginning, experts divide the development of artificial intelligence into three stages, first, weak artificial intelligence stage, second, strong artificial intelligence stage, and third, super-artificial intelligence stage.

We are still only in the stage of weak artificial intelligence, and some experts predict that when artificial intelligence develops to the third stage, or even only to the second stage, at least 80% of our current jobs will be replaced, that is, at least 80% of people will be unemployed.

Experts say that this 80% Among the people, only those who can quickly adjust and adapt to it, only those who can achieve skill iteration through re-learning and retraining, can be qualified for the new work that is newly created, but there are not too many such people, because the speed of artificial intelligence update and iteration is too amazing, and the speed of our human update iteration is very slow, the speed of learning and upgrading new skills for the vast majority of people is not able to keep up, many people will not be able to adjust and adapt in time, they will be reduced to a useless class.

This wave of unemployment alone will cause significant, complex, and multifaceted problems in the areas of people's livelihoods, culture, economy, and politics around the world, and over time, the problems will become more and more numerous, bigger, and more severe.

We're in the first phase right now, and we're still in the early or early middle stages of this phase, and a lot of problems are happening.

At present, the biggest problem is not the problem itself, but the fact that the vast majority of people are not aware of the problem.

In other words, even if they are aware of it, they do not fully understand the seriousness of the problem, let alone take sufficient measures to deal with it, and do not begin to take the necessary actions and corresponding preparations, and in the near future, when the problem really befalls them, the vast majority of people will be caught off guard and at a loss. ”

Lucy nodded and said, "The unemployment wave and other problems you mentioned are indeed the big problems we are facing, and the scale of the unemployment wave will get bigger and bigger, and the same will be true for other problems, the problems will get bigger and more severe.

However, those questions are not unsolvable. As long as our governments, major global enterprises, international organizations, charities and other organizations and institutions work together to establish a global safeguard mechanism and system, and at the same time establish a multi-level co-prosperity ecosystem, we can still solve those problems to a large extent.

At that time, we will still be able to guarantee the most basic standard of living and quality of life for all people, including those at the bottom of society. If we do it well, we can also enable all people to live in material and spiritual abundance.

Of course, it is not easy to establish such a guarantee mechanism and system, to establish such a multi-level co-prosperity ecosystem, it is a very difficult and very arduous thing, and it is an extremely huge systematic project involving the whole world.

However, this is a different topic and we will find another opportunity to explore it in depth in the future.

What we're going to focus on today is what you just said about what happens after the third stage, that is, the development of artificial intelligence to the stage of super-artificial intelligence, and the awakening. ”

Lucy paused, and said with a solemn expression: "My question is, what does the awakened artificial intelligence mean to us humans, will it be an enemy or a friend?"