Chapter 0406 There is Moore's Law There is a commercial monopoly
Cui Ning was accosted by a young man in his thirties, who spoke not very pure Mandarin, and he was a southerner when he heard it.
"Hello, Cui Ning, if you come here to travel, what you say casually is actually just a little emotion, and there is no discussion value."
"I think you are a person who understands, I know a lot of investors, or technology nerds, they are too obsessed with technology, they don't understand the true meaning of business, and they are destined to be difficult to achieve in business," said a man in southern Mandarin.
"By the way, my name is Cai Wensheng, I just returned to China not long ago, I used to do business, I just started to do a business that many people look down on, domain name investment, I invested in a lot of domain names at once, many people said I was crazy, and many of my friends also laughed at me, saying that what I did did did not have any scientific and technological content. It's self-entertainment.
I said, that's because you attach too much importance to the so-called technical content, you see that the real technology has reached the stage of civilian use, it is all industrialized production, what is the scientific and technological content, what is the real technical content, maybe it will take more than ten years and decades to be commercialized, so I often say that the so-called technology is often a false proposition.
In the tech industry, Moore's Law is widely admired, but it's actually a standard hoax.
When the price remains the same, the number of components that can fit on an integrated circuit doubles approximately every 18-24 months, and the performance doubles. In other words, every dollar that can be bought for a computer will more than double every 18-24 months. This law reveals the speed at which information technology is advancing.
In fact, this is Microsoft's Moore's Law, and it is also the conventional law of digital product upgrading, that is, let our ordinary users upgrade the hardware products in our hands every one to two years, and then match the software, so that both hardware and software vendors have enough reasons to constantly propose new products, and then continue to stimulate consumption.
I also heard what this lady said just now, this year the world's digital cameras have been upgraded to 2 million pixels, but the market is still in its infancy, so digital cameras have not been popularized, the main reason is because of the interests of film and traditional cameras, they are still the market leader, and the related interest chain is too large.
Once the digital camera really reaches 5 million pixels, a larger benefit chain will be formed, and it will soon enter Moore's law, that is, 5 million is not enough, 6 million, 8 million, 10 million, in fact, enterprises can do 10 million pixels in one step.
However, the cost of R&D is too high, and the profits generated are not high enough, so from 2 million to 5 million, or even 10 million, the first thing is the world's interest chain, and enough profit driven, not just the realization of technology."
"Mr. Cai, I really agree with what you said, in fact, Moore's Law is the disguised Helios scrapping plan, if there is no plan, many of our technology and home appliances can be used longer.
I remember when I was a child, a chair and a stool could be used for hundreds of years, but now the technology seems to be more and more developed, but chairs and stools are used for ten or eight years at most, not to mention the so-called new technology products.
Although Moore's Law is not a scam, it is essentially an alliance of interests of the whole world, and the most terrible thing is that the whole world has accepted this kind of business rules, so our oriental culture and ideas have declined, which is not accidental, because the Helios scrapping program that began in 1924 is too powerful."
"Mr. Cui, I didn't expect you to be such a knowledgeable person, there are really not many people who know about the Sun God's scrapping plan" Cai Wensheng carried a bag that was not big or small, and said with a smile:
"Look at the bag you carry, you know that you are a traditional thinking person, everything is ready, like my father's generation, in fact, although there are few things sold here, but we walk for a few hours, rent tents, accommodation places, you can carry a little less things, and you can rent a tent when the time comes."
Cui Ning smiled:
"This has nothing to do with traditional culture, the main thing is that my lover and I are a little clean, and it's better to use my own things, besides, I used to be an athlete, and this thing is not heavy.
By the way, if you invest in domain names, if you invest a lot of money, the cost is not small, but you really need a vision and a kind of foresight of the Internet industry."
"Yes, because I have been abroad for six or seven years and have seen more, I have some confidence in the domestic Internet market, but I predict that there will soon be a cold wave of the Internet, and many of the current so-called portals will tremble, and even a number of companies will die in the cold winter."
"Ah, why is there such a prediction? Tell me about your understanding of the portal, especially the recent ideal has also made a portal, which is the very popular M365, and it is said that the response is not bad."
"I'm not optimistic about M365, they haven't even thought about what they want, many industries are not more money to succeed, not more money can survive the winter, the so-called Internet, technology secondly, first of all, the business model, and consortium interests, the ideal kind of website has neither a business model, nor does it involve world-class consortium investment, how can there be an opportunity?
On the contrary, websites such as Xinlang and Fox, after all, there are international capital and consortia behind them, and they will also encounter winter, but in essence, the capitalists want to circle money, and they want to temporarily freeze the market for a period of time, so that shareholders can continue to pay attention to this industry, and then they will unfreeze, of course, according to my immature observations, there is also a suspicion of looting domestic capital, which is the consistent style of Western capitalists."
Cui Ning nodded involuntarily and said:
"I know a lot of so-called Internet, investment, Mr. Cai, you are the first one to see things more clearly, I have my own cultural media company in Longdu, to Longdu, you are welcome to the company as a guest.
Ruoqing, give my business card to Mr. Cai, Mr. Cai, the ideal M365 is my customer, including Xie Tianfeng's endorsement is also planned by me, but you are right, there is no clear business model, and then just chasing hot spots, and the technology is lackluster, which is a problem".
"But for a giant customer like Ideal, it's no problem to spend the winter, when the time comes, as long as there is a receiver, maybe you can make a small profit" Cai Wensheng took Cui Ning's business card with a smile, gave Su Ruoqing a chapter of his brightness, and continued:
"However, compared with the success of an industry and a business model, making a small amount of money is the biggest failure for large enterprises."
"This truth is too profound, so don't you have a very optimistic Internet company?" Cui Ning asked rhetorically.
"I will go to Longdu recently, one by one to visit the Internet companies in Longdu, after all, I am not familiar with them, and now I dare not easily draw conclusions, but I know a personal webmaster, he made a HAO123 homepage, that is, hundreds of websites on a homepage, convenient for everyone to quickly surf the Internet, now many Internet cafes set this HAO123 as a browser homepage.
The screen name of this personal webmaster is called Black Apple, and his real name is Li Xingping, who is from Meizhou, 79 years old, very young, just 21 years old, and I am somewhat familiar with him.
According to him, when he was born, he couldn't speak, and his family thought he was mute, until he was four years old, when there was a sudden heavy rainstorm, lightning and thunder all night, that day, he was really carried outside by his father, and then it rained, and he was also frightened by lightning and thunder, but from that day on, he suddenly could speak.
However, when he was a child, his family was poor, he didn't go to school for a few days, and he dropped out of school relatively early, and last year he developed this HAO123, which is a simple personal homepage navigation website.
His thinking is the same as mine, some things are not necessarily more advanced technology, the key is the demand of the market, and the study of netizens, he developed this website when he was playing bar management, so he has a lot of right to speak.
Just like me, where technology is needed for domain name investment, is a market prediction, and when certain domain names are at a low price or no one cares, make a decisive move.
But I'm just starting to do it, and I'm paying for tuition, but when I saw that the most expensive domain name could buy millions of dollars, I knew there was an opportunity. ”
"I know a lot of Internet companies and investors in Rendezvous, and I can introduce you to it when the time comes, I think Mr. Cai, you are a really knowledgeable investor, and you look at problems especially sharply, my investor friends will definitely be willing to talk to you."
"That's a good feeling, I went to Longdu recently, after all, it is an economic and cultural center, and there are more opportunities there" Cai Wensheng beckoned to Cui Ning and Su Ruoqing, because Su Ruoqing was going to frolic in the stream again, Cui Ning also walked slowly, Cai Wensheng said goodbye to Cui Ning, and temporarily walked to the front.
When Cai Wensheng walked a little farther, Su Ruoqing asked embarrassedly:
"Husband, tell me, what is the Sun God scrapping plan?"
"It turned out that I heard a new term, and I didn't understand it all the time. No wonder the expression was a little strange just now." Cui Ning smiled and told Su Ruoqing about the so-called Sun God scrapping plan.
Before he said enough, Cui Ning still asked a question:
"Ruoqing, why do you say that a light bulb, a refrigerator, or a digital camera has a mission life?
Su Ruoqing washed her little feet in the stream, then put on her shoes, looked at Cui Ning who had been staring at her feet, blushed, and asked:
"Do my feet look good?"
"Of course it's good-looking, my wife is a fairy, and she looks good everywhere."
Su Ruoqing washed her hands, then beckoned Cui Ning to put down her backpack, rest for a while, wash Cui Ning's face with mountain spring water, and then secretly kissed Cui Ning on the face, sat on a stone, and began to answer Cui Ning's question:
"I still answer with the light bulb, I think, tungsten filament or the key component in it, should have a service life, or in other words, to a certain time, it will reduce the effect of use, such as not bright enough, or electricity consumption or something, you see that now incandescent bulbs are getting less and less, and they are beginning to use energy-saving lamps."
"Not to mention the energy saving thing, energy saving is still because of technological progress, I mean, in fact, the mission life of many products, and the life cycle are artificially designed, if they are not designed this way, their mission life will be very long.
For example, a light bulb can be used for decades, and a refrigerator can be used for decades, that is, thrift, good quality and low price, and genuine goods, in fact, do not conform to the current business rules.
I'll tell you about the Helios scrapping plan, because after the advent of electricity, Edison invented the electric light bulb, which was of very good quality and could serve for many years, which infringed on the interests of the light bulb manufacturers, because only by replacing the bulb frequently, this is in the interests of the capitalists.
So in 1924, some of the world's most famous companies at that time, including Osram in Germany, which we know, the Electrical Industry Federation of Eagle Country, and General Electric of Meiguo, conspired to limit the service life of light bulbs to 1,000 hours.
This is the infamous "Cartel of the Sun Gods" that conspires to control the production of incandescent lamps worldwide. The details of the scandal were only revealed decades later in government and journalist investigations.
Anyway, the core meaning is that as long as some products involve the so-called technology, electrical appliances and the emerging concepts of environmental protection and safety, they must be constantly updated, and they must be scrapped in a planned manner, so that these enterprises can generate more opportunities and more profits.
However, the great thing about this scrapping plan is that the whole world has acquiesced to it, and now, whether it is automobiles, home appliances, or digital products, they are all acquiescing to the scrapping plan, because the purpose of capitalists all over the world is the same, that is, to make money.
Now you understand why computers will be eliminated in a year or two, in fact, they are all planned by hardware and software manufacturers, otherwise, in fact, a computer can be used for a few more years."
Su Ruoqing kissed Cui Ning on the face again and said:
"My husband is so talented, he knows everything, by the way, husband, if we do the opposite, if we have the support of capital, can we make great enterprises and products?"