Chapter 797: It's good for you
"Two, do you think that even if China is not engaged in the research and development of coal-to-liquid technology, other countries will not engage in the same research?" Feng Xiaochen began to reason with Bradman.
Graeme thought for a while, shook his head, and said that Feng Xiaochen's question was reasonable, the technology of coal-to-liquid has been around for decades, and even if China does not study it, other countries will also study it. However, if China invests $3 billion in this research in one go, I am afraid that it may not be able to find it. Graeme thought of this, but he was not in a hurry to say it, he decided to listen to Feng Xiaochen's reasoning first.
"China is a country rich in coal resources, and whether we can get oil supply from OPEC or not, the coal-to-liquid technology is something we must develop. If we don't develop ourselves, and in the future other countries develop such a technology, and we will be very uncomfortable to go back and use this technology to stick our necks. Feng Xiaochen continued.
"How could other countries use this technology to jam your neck?" asked Graeme curiously.
Feng Xiaochen said: "It's very simple, if the Americans or the Japanese break through this technology first, and the cost of coal-to-liquid drops to the level of $200 per ton of refined oil, do you say that it is better for us to import crude oil to refine refined oil, or to use our abundant coal resources to refine cost oil?"
"It's impossible, the cost of coal-to-liquid can't come down to this level. Bradman directly rejected Feng Xiaochen's hypothesis.
Feng Xiaochen smiled and said, "Mr. Bradman, don't make such arbitrary conclusions. We have now validated a new conversion process in the laboratory, and the next step will be industrial experiments on small installations. If the process can be put into large-scale production, the cost of $200 per ton of refined oil is quite achievable. ”
"What you said is true?" Graeme asked as he glared at Feng Xiaochen.
Feng Xiaochen shrugged his shoulders and said, "Of course, Mr. Graeme can think that I am bragging. By the way, did you feel the same way the last time you came? ”
One sentence made the faces of the two OPEC officials turn purple with anger. It's really a pot that can't be opened, I really ignored the threat of this General Manager Feng last time, and as a result, I caused such a big passivity to myself. But this does not mean that from now on you must fully trust the other party's words and reduce the price of refined oil to $200 per ton, isn't it a fantasy?
However, before the foundation stone of the Chinese's Shanbei coal-to-liquid project was laid, didn't I also think that the price of $650 per ton was a fantasy? I misjudged the situation last time, and if I misjudged the situation again this time, the consequences would be very serious.
"What Mr. Feng means is that if the Americans or the Japanese master this kind of technology, then you will be in a state of backward technology. You're going to have to import technology from the Americans or the Japanese, and that's going to give them the opportunity to get stuck in your neck. Graeme straightened out the logical relationship for Feng Xiaochen.
Feng Xiaochen nodded: "Mr. Graeme summed it up right. ”
"And what are your plans?"
"We will continue to invest in coal-to-liquids projects. At present, this project in Shanbei Province is still experimental in nature, and we must build it, and then accumulate relevant data during operation to guide the next step of research and development. ”
"Until you get the cost of refined oil down to $200?"
"Maybe it could be lower. ”
"What do you want us to agree to before you can give up your current research? Bradman asked bluntly. Of course, he does not have the authority to agree to all the conditions of the Chinese side, but he needs to at least ask the Chinese side what the conditions are, so that this information can be brought back and the OPEC top brass will think about it.
Feng Xiaochen shook his head and said, "We will not give up this research under any circumstances. The further development of coal-to-liquids technology is outside the scope of our negotiations. ”
"Then we don't have to agree to the conditions that Mr. Xu put forward just now. If this is the case with China, we can only adopt a retaliatory policy and impose stricter export quotas on China. Bradman said with a straight face.
Feng Xiaochen said-for-tat: "If this is the case, then we can only transfer this technology to Australia and other countries as quickly as possible to help them increase the production of coal-to-liquid, so as to reduce the global demand for crude oil, so as to ensure our interests." ”
"I think the Australian side might have something else in mind. We can enter into a separate crude oil supply agreement with Australia, and the Australian government will not be interested in coal-to-liquids projects if we have access to cheap oil supplies. Bradman said.
Feng Xiaochen smiled: "Is it? Mr. Bradman might as well give it a try." Our bottom line is to supply coal-to-liquids units to Australia free of charge. ”
"Gratuitous?" Bradman's eyes widened. A set of devices is worth more than a billion dollars, why did the Chinese give it to Australia for free, just to gamble with OPEC?
Feng Xiaochen said: "When I say gratuitous, I mean that the Australian government does not need to come up with cash to purchase it immediately, but can use the profits from the coal-to-liquid project to repay the equipment payment." At the same time, we can eliminate the cost of technology patents, so that the cost of equipment can be greatly reduced. ”
"What if we grant your request?" Bradman asked in turn.
Feng Xiaochen replied quickly: "Then we can promise not to start construction of coal-to-liquid projects in Australia within two years, and at the same time, we will increase the cost of technology patents by more than three times, so that the Australian government will retreat and give up considering this project." ”
"That's what you mean by being more cautious?"
"Yes. ”
Bradman and Graeme were silent for a while, Feng Xiaochen's threat is not empty, if the Chinese really want to tear their faces with OPEC and transfer their current coal-to-liquid projects to other countries for free, other countries will not accept it. This is a salary draw for OPEC, and OPEC does not dare to gamble with the Chinese. But to say that it is too embarrassing to say that it is too embarrassing to say that it is only agreed to so many conditions in China, and that it is only "more cautious" when transferring technology to other countries.
"Mr. Feng's commitment is of very limited value to us, and it is not a cooperative attitude. OPEC has a long-standing relationship with China, shouldn't you consider the feelings of your old friends?"
Bradman began to play the emotional card. The general manager in front of him seems to be not afraid of being tricky, so will the effect be better if he is polite?
Feng Xiaochen said: "Mr. Bradman, how can you think that my promise is worthless? Representatives of the Australian Department of Industry are in Beijing, and they want to obtain coal-to-liquid technology from China to replace oil imports. If we don't transfer this technology to them for the time being, won't they just have to accept OPEC's high crude oil?"
"They don't really want to get the technology, they just want to use it as a reason to force us to lower the price. Bradman replied angrily.
Feng Xiaochen laughed and said, "Congratulations, Mr. Bradman, now they don't have this reason. ”
"Huh?" Bradman was stunned for a moment, and his face began to have some of the smell of a living person, by the way, he and Graeme's faces were no different from the mummy just now.
"Can you guarantee that Australia won't have access to this technology?" Bradman asked.
"For at least three years, they won't be able to get this technology," Feng said. As for three years from now, I can't guarantee it. In case other countries also break through this technology and are willing to export to Australia, we can't just look at the opportunity to make money, right?"
"What if Australia is willing to pay a premium for this technology from China?" Bradman asked.
Feng Xiaochen said: "If they can afford to pay a high price, of course it is inconvenient for us to refuse,...... However, you should know that it takes a while to build a set of such devices. This time is enough time for OPEC to make some necessary responses. ”
"I see. Bradman nodded. Not only did he understand the meaning of Feng Xiaochen's words just now, but he also understood Feng Xiaochen's entire abacus.
Feng Xiaochen meant not to transfer coal-to-liquid technology to other countries in exchange for OPEC's preferential terms for China, and at the same time did not promise to abandon the construction of coal-to-liquid projects in his own country. OPEC has suffered losses in China and can earn back from other countries. As long as China does not transfer coal-to-liquids technology to these countries for the time being, these countries will have to put up with high OPEC oil prices. Australia wants to use the introduction of coal-to-liquids technology to force OPEC to give them special treatment, and with Feng Xiaochen's promise, OPEC can ignore their threats.
"We have developed advanced coal-to-liquids technology, which is good for OPEC. Feng Xiaochen saw that Bradman was on the road, and continued to brainwash him, "If you think about it, the price of oil will definitely rise, and once the price of oil rises to a certain extent, the coal-to-liquid technology will be economical." Even if the Chinese do not develop this technology, other countries will. Now that we have developed this technology, other countries will not dare to invest in this technology easily. If they invest heavily in developing this technology and China transfers it at a very low price, their development investment will be wasted. It can be said that China's technology has built a wall for OPEC so that other countries cannot develop coal-to-liquid projects, and OPEC can raise oil prices as much as it wants, so that the people of oil-producing countries can live in luxury...... Oh no, it's a life of peace and contentment, so why not?"