Chapter 844: Three Strategies
"But ......" Xu Zhenbo spoke, "Xiaochen, have you thought about it, Western countries have an economic crisis, their imports have decreased, and our exports are mainly for Western countries." The research center of the Ministry of Commerce estimates that the country's exports may have negative growth next year, and the situation is very serious. ”
"Indeed, many of our large companies have also expressed concern that the subprime mortgage crisis in Western countries will reduce investment, and next year's export orders will be affected. An official from the SASAC added.
Feng Xiaochen looked at Han Hong, Han Hong nodded to him, and said to everyone: "Since everyone has talked about this topic, then I will ask Xiao Feng to tell you his thoughts here." Last week, he gave me a separate briefing, and I think there is still some merit in his ideas, and now the comrades from all ministries and commissions are there, and I asked him to speak out and discuss it together. ”
Among the officials of this cadre committee, Feng Xiaochen does belong to the junior generation, and most of the people present are qualified to call him Xiao Feng. However, everyone also knows that Feng Xiaochen is a wise star of the National Development and Reform Commission, and he has repeatedly been able to have some good opinions, and Han Hong asked him to speak so solemnly, obviously his views have won the approval of the leaders of the National Development and Reform Commission, and to a certain extent, it also represents the attitude of the National Development and Reform Commission on this issue.
Feng Xiaochen was not hypocritical, he sat up straight, and said: "Everyone, Director Han asked me to speak, then I will say a little bit of my own shallow opinion, the right to throw bricks and lead jade, please correct more." ”
"Haha, don't dare to correct it, your Xiao Feng's point of view has always been refreshing. Xu Zhenbo smiled and praised Feng Xiaochen, and at the same time spread out the notebook in his hand and began to prepare for the record. The other officials also picked up their pens one after another, ready to write down Feng Xiaochen's views so that they could go back and report to their respective leaders.
Feng Xiaochen said: "This time the subprime mortgage crisis is actually not surprising. As the old saying goes, it's unexpected, it's reasonable. Just now, Lao Qi has introduced the views of the mainstream economic circles in the West, believing that this crisis has been symptomatic as early as five years ago. The reason for such a major crisis is that the entire Western world has been detached from the real economy and has relied on the drumming of the financial market to maintain prosperity. This kind of game always ends in the end, and when the game ends, it is when the crisis erupts. ”
"That's a good analogy!" agreed, "We have analyzed that the financial markets in the United States seem to be prosperous, but in fact they are hyping each other, and some concepts that are not supported by the real economy at all are sky-high." We've long said that hype like this is going to collapse sooner or later, and now it seems that our previous predictions were completely correct. ”
Feng Xiaochen smiled at him, and then said: "It is precisely because the cause of this crisis is the weakness of the real economy, so we think that it will be very difficult for Western countries to recover from the crisis. Such a crisis is a danger for Western countries, but for us, it is an opportunity, that is, an opportunity. My view is that we should seize the opportunity of the economic contraction of Western countries and strike boldly, which is called taking advantage of your illness and killing you. ”
Wang Zhenbin said with a smile: "Xiaochen, what you said is too vulgar, don't write it in the document." ”
Han Hong followed Wang Zhenbin's words and said solemnly to the audience: "Let me remind you that the content of our meeting today can only be reported to our respective leaders and cannot be leaked to the outside world. This is related to our country's economic strategy in the coming years, which cannot be known to others. ”
"Understood!" the officials agreed unevenly, and the expressions on their faces became a little more solemn.
Feng Xiaochen continued: "Regarding our strategy to deal with the crisis, I have considered three aspects, which are not mature, and I will ask you to add them after I finish speaking. Among these three aspects, the first is to vigorously promote domestic investment and domestic consumption, and replace external demand with domestic demand. In terms of consumption, I think the comrades of the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Commerce should have more methods. In terms of investment, the NDRC needs to make a decision. According to Keynes, in times of economic crisis, the government should start large-scale public works to stimulate the economy. Our country owes a lot of infrastructure and is still very backward compared to the developed countries of the West. We can take advantage of this crisis to carry out comprehensive infrastructure construction, such as building railways, roads, and infrastructure. ”
"Tie Gongji ......" Everyone present laughed dumbly, this name is indeed creative enough.
Han Hong said: "Let me explain this issue. A few days ago, the central leaders gave instructions on economic work in the next one to two years, urging us to actively deal with the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis, ensure that the domestic economic growth rate does not decline sharply, and ensure the stability of domestic employment. To this end, the NDRC plans to approve a number of infrastructure projects in the near future, including the construction of no less than 10 passenger rail lines, 20,000 kilometers of highways, and several airports and large ports. In order to ensure the realization of these construction projects, the state should also increase investment in electricity, energy, steel and other fields. ”
"No wonder I saw Mr. Feng's mouth smiling from ear to ear. If you want to invest in these aspects, isn't it all the business of your equipment industrial company? Mr. Feng, are you not afraid of indigestion after eating so many projects in one go?" an official joked.
"No, we've spent more than 20 years sharpening this good tooth for gnawing on these hard bones. Feng Xiaochen replied with a smile.
"If that's the case, then we're relieved, at least our big companies won't go hungry. An official from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission said.
Feng Xiaochen continued: "Second, as I just said, we want to occupy the market of third world countries. The markets of Western countries are shrinking, and we should make up for it from third world countries. In the past ten years, we have been developing in Asia, Africa and Latin America, and have established some sales channels. Now, it's time to make these sales channels work to the fullest, and we need to turn the original point-like breakthrough into a surface-like breakthrough. In Africa, for example, we need to make an all-out effort to drive the Europeans out. ”
"You're ruthless. Xu Zhenbo smacked his tongue and said, "Africa is a traditional colony of Europeans, and although it is now independent, it is still heavily dependent on Europe economically, and Europeans regard Africa as their backyard." You go to people's backyards to wander around, and you still want to drive the Europeans out, and you are not afraid that the Europeans will find you desperately?"
"This is the third point I want to make, that is, we don't have to wait for the Europeans to come to us desperately, we have to take the initiative to go to Europe and raid their nests. Feng Xiaochen said his third suggestion murderously based on Xu Zhenbo's statement.
"What do you mean?" Xu Zhenbo was stunned. The first two points Feng Xiaochen said are still within the scope of his cognition, and the third point seems to be a little too liberating, right?
Feng Xiaochen said: "This subprime mortgage crisis started in the United States, but we estimate that Europe should be the most affected. When the United States encounters such a thing, it is accustomed to beggar-thy-neighbor. Moreover, the establishment of the European Union has always been a pain in the heart of the United States, and the United States will definitely try to weaken Europe by all means, and preferably bring the European Union into a situation of falling apart. Based on this analysis, I believe that Europe could have a severe sovereign debt crisis in the next few years, with many countries in trouble. At this time, we should make a decisive move and go to Europe to buy the bottom. ”
"What does it mean to buy the bottom?" an official asked.
Feng Xiaochen said: "Buying the bottom is to buy their high-quality assets, of course, it refers to industrial assets and technical assets, such as Pumai, Shuangluo, Ximanzi and the like, as long as they are willing to sell, we will eat them." Of course, we don't need to buy those entertainment industries, real estate and the like. ”
"Mr. Feng, your heart is too big, isn't it?" an official frowned, "Pumai, Shuangluo, and Ximanz, they are all top big enterprises in Europe, how can they sell them?"
Feng Xiaochen said confidently: "Everything is possible. Now the Western world is in an economic crisis, and investment is sluggish. We have to guard our own market and not let the Europeans get involved. We have to grab the market of developing countries. In this way, these big European companies will have no way to survive, and how many days will they be able to survive?"
"This is what you said to take advantage of your illness and kill you?" Xu Zhenbo repeated the old words.
Feng Xiaochen nodded and said: "Yes, this is a good opportunity, if we can seize and maximize the acquisition of a number of old enterprises from the West, then our technical level will be able to have a significant improvement, and then we will change from the original followers to competitors on a par with the West." ”
"That's a good idea!" the SASAC official high-fived, "our company has also merged with some old Western enterprises in the past, and after eating each other's technology as a whole, its competitiveness has indeed improved considerably." This time, if we can really win a large number of Western companies as Mr. Feng said, we can basically rank among the top in the world. ”
The official of the Ministry of Finance smiled: "If this can really be the case, then there is nothing to say, our financial side will definitely fully support, even if it is to sell pants, we will provide you with enough funds." ”
Everyone's emotions were mobilized by Feng Xiaochen. Although he said it very simply, the officials present were also experienced, and with a little thought, they could understand what he meant, and were able to assess the feasibility of his three strategies. Expanding domestic demand, entering the third world market, and going to Europe to buy the bottom are of course very arduous tasks, but if they can succeed, the benefits are also very obvious.
With excitement, everyone spoke one after another, supplementing the three strategies proposed by Feng Xiaochen, and at the same time making various guarantees on behalf of their own ministries and commissions.