The first round of "Hujiang Beach" ended on September 16, because of the strong social repercussions, CCTV officially decided to broadcast another round directly from the beginning the next night, which can be regarded as creating a record in the history of Chinese film and television.

Although the autumn tiger has not yet faded, the black trench coat is once again selling wildly, even more rapidly than the wave of trends brought by Ken Takakura a year and a half ago.

At the same time, the crew of "Shaolin Temple" has finished filming the part of the exterior scene in Zhongyue Temple in Taimur Mountain, and officially moved to Qiantang Flower Port Fish Watching and Jingci Temple for filming. Director Zhang also gave Gu Biao many times to give feedback on the progress, saying that the filming speed was not as expected, but Li Lianjie would definitely be able to come back in December, and Gu Biao would not be delayed.

Gu Biao didn't know that the historical "Shaolin Temple" was filmed for nearly a year.

But that doesn't mean that this movie will have to be made for a year.

Because the reason for the slowness in history is that there are some communication barriers in the cooperation between the mainland and Hong Kong, and there is a reversal in the middle, a change of directors, and a waste of more than 400,000 Hong Kong dollars of investment. When it came time to choose a new location, it took several months to communicate with the tourism departments of other local governments.

Now that there is experience from other co-productions, it is naturally more convenient for the two parties to communicate, these twists and turns can be saved, and it is slow to really follow the progress of Hong Kong films, calm down and shoot well, and it is already slow to get a movie in three months.

However, for Gu Wei, who has been in retreat for half a month and sorting out the final report of the project, these small and good news cannot arouse his interest.

Also on September 16, a first-hand message sent back to China from Zhang Zhong in Baghdad was what Gu Biao had been waiting for.

President Hussein of Iraq, has officially launched an attack on the Iranians!

The outbreak time of this "black swan" was slightly earlier than another time and space, perhaps this is also the butterfly effect caused by Gu Biao, Zhang Zhong and others' early intervention in Iraq.

Perhaps President Hussein made preparations for war a few days in advance because he had an extra way to buy Chinese arms.

In the early hours of the same day, the Iraqi Air Force concentrated hundreds of warplanes and raided 15 cities and air bases on Iran's front line, and then dispatched six divisions and more than 1,200 tanks to launch an attack on Iran's province of Khochistan, which is close to the mouth of the two rivers. Attempt to besiege Abadan, the capital of Khuchistan and an important port in the Persian Gulf.

And for the Western world, the biggest impact is clearly the financial markets.

When news of the outbreak of the war reached the United States, the futures trading market in New York was closed due to the time difference.

But futures are different from stocks, because the world's major exchanges sell these types of futures, and there is no problem that "a certain stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, so London and Tokyo cannot buy and sell".

The three major exchanges in London, New York, and Tokyo have a time difference of seven or eight hours each, and there is always one that is in business hours.

Therefore, the futures exchange in Tokyo was the first to react, and the international oil price instantly jumped by 30%, and the price of crude oil rose from $6 per barrel to $27.7 per barrel.

However, this is not the end of the story, because in the first few hours of the war, the relevant departments of the Iranian government and the press department have not yet gone to work, and there is no official announcement that the export of crude oil will be stopped immediately.

If Americans are willing to be diligent at this time, such as those institutional investors who are guarded 24 hours a day, then they can still chase a wave of interest rate differentials and bet that oil prices will deteriorate further for a while. As for retail investors who want to sleep at night, they can only wait to wake up and watch the opportunity slip away.

(In 1980, futures were mainly traded by telephone, and delivery was relatively slow, which could not be compared with high-frequency trading in the information age.) If you are well-informed in communication and information, when you encounter a big event, even if you are not a traverser, it is still possible to make a small amount of money by relying on the time difference. ）

Sure enough, when the markets in London and New York opened one after another, first-hand news reports on the scale of the war had already appeared in the media, and the oil departments of Iraq and Iran had also officially spoken, and the price of 60-day crude oil futures jumped again.

From more than 28 yuan before the news announcement, it has risen to 30 yuan after the news announcement, and 32 yuan after the public statement of the oil departments of the two countries.

……

When the war broke out on the Iraqi side, the time in the capital was already four or five hours earlier than in Iraq, about 6 o'clock in the morning.

At that time, the domestic media did not react so quickly, and it was impossible for the morning news to catch up with the report.

At 7 o'clock in the morning, when Gu Biao was about to go to the library to discuss the final report with everyone, he was reminded by Liang Jinsong, an agent trader in Xiangjiang, and Lu Guangfu, a cousin in New York, by phone.

Liang Jinsong is a professional trader, of course, he must always keep an eye on the market. After discovering the black swan, he immediately called Gu Biao to ask if he wanted to throw away the order.

"Don't panic, wait a little longer. Gu Biao instructed Liang Jinsong on the phone not to worry, and then asked him to send him a quote every two hours. In addition, if the price of oil fluctuates by more than $1, it is also reported every $1.

Lu Guangfu, on the other hand, was in the habit of a graduate of the Department of Finance of Columbia University, and after seeing the news of the outbreak of war on CNN's 8 o'clock news in the evening, he immediately went to inquire about the opening market in Tokyo, and then called his cousin to confirm the other party's opinion.

Not to mention that Lu Guangfu is also quite courageous, knowing that in the time lag between the opening of the Tokyo market and the opening of the New York market, there can still be a wave of market that will not have time to rise, so he still bought decisively at a high level of 28 yuan, and even urgently borrowed all the cash of relatives and friends who could borrow to buy, and added high leverage. (Previously, Gu Biao did not tell his cousin the prediction of the oil crisis in order to keep it secret, and Lu Guangfu's capital could not increase much profit)

In the end, he really gambled on it, and made a difference between 28 and 32 yuan. However, it is precisely because Lu Guangfu is only chasing the ups and downs, earning the time difference, and the leverage is too high, he is also very empty in his heart. After only earning more than 4 yuan of the price difference, I held it for 24 hours and then sold it decisively, lest there be reverse news in the follow-up or panic ebb and squeeze myself out.

Because the principal is not much, and the price difference is not much, even with leverage, Lu Guangfu only made 70,000 or 80,000 US dollars in the end.

However, this also allowed him to earn back the expenses of studying at Columbia University. Save a little, and it is enough for the tuition and living expenses of doctoral graduation.

At the same time, because the money is legal and reasonable, and he earns it with his own eyes, Lu Guangfu's sense of confidentiality is definitely not so strong, and there is no need for him to keep it secret. He could have shown off his courage and ability a little among his classmates.

"I heard that Asian made tens of thousands of dollars!

"Really? Is it the wave of market after 28 yuan? Why didn't I think of it! Damn, I didn't expect Asian cowards to have this kind of courage. ”

Soon the gossip spread among the international business law graduate students of this year, and the next time the international relations class is held, when the international relations students communicate with the students, this "achievement" will also be slowly passed on.

Finally, the staff who produced the "Master Open Class Courseware Clip" for the International Relations Class will also notice.

"Eh, it seems that this Lu Guangfu has an Asian friend who caught a group of people debating after Brzezinski's big class more than a month ago. At that time, it was mentioned that the more unstable the Middle East, the more unfavorable the Secretary of State and Security Advisers were, and the more volatile the oil prices, the more dangerous President Carter's re-election became.

"Yes, I was there, as if that Asian was Lu Guangfu's cousin, and in order to prove his vision, he also said that he bought $1 million in oil price futures, betting that there would be a big rise before the election. I don't know if there is really $1 million, but I didn't expect it, I didn't expect it, so inconspicuous, it has such a poisonous vision. ”

"That class seems to be an open class, and there is a video recording of the courseware, let's go, go to the professor in charge of the courseware to check it. ”

……

While the columbia side is gradually brewing and fermenting, the domestic conspirators who know the depth of Gu Biao's ability are also dumbfounded.

Mina was the first to reflect, after all, she was by Gu Ao's side.

At the beginning, out of trust, she also diverted most of the working capital of her family's winery, as well as various low-interest and interest-free loans under various clever names, and invested nearly $1 million in total. Now that the price of oil is really skyrocketing, she is so worried that she has to ask every half an hour: "Senior Gu, can you sell it!"

The next day, even Han Ting flew back from the Special Economic Zone - the Special Economic Zone does not have an airport, so she first flew to Yuezhou and then flew from Yuezhou.

Her questions were similar to Mina's.

"Wait! We opened a position at 17 yuan 8, and now we can't blow up no matter how it falls. Wait until the first pullback inflection point appears above 32 yuan, and we will definitely have time to run! The first two days were all kinds of news when all kinds of news were circulating, and it certainly didn't finish rising! The trend of prolonging the war has not yet appeared, and once this trend appears, it will definitely be a new bullish point, what are you anxious about!

Gu Biao tried his best to appease, but after all, he could only provide them with a reference, and he couldn't make a decision on his behalf.

Everyone didn't do anything, just guarded the phone that could make international calls, ready to entrust transactions to traders in Xiangjiang at any time.

"35 yuan 2, a new high in early Tokyo today!"

"London's morning pullback to 34 yuan 1, the pullback is more than $1!

After a fierce internal debate, Gu Biao still accepted the suggestion and settled in the bag.

"Forget it, take it when you see it, we are not greedy. When the impact of the war has a tendency to weaken, let's go short a little more. In the end, Gu Biao was around $34 and withdrew the funds one after another.

Later history proved that the peak of this wave of market occurred at the end of November, when oil prices reached a peak of 41 US dollars.

Gu Biao shot at 34 yuan, and still made one or two percent less.

But after all, he only earns money by predicting the black swan of war and policy, and who dares to really step on the highest point.

If the moon is full, it will be lost, and when the water is full, it will overflow, and too greedy will often not end well.

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