For the technology that cannot be disguised at the use level, Gu Biao does have another way to solve it, that is, to cover up at the identity level of the purchaser:

Just as a brother buys a helicopter gunship, of course, he can dismantle the rocket launch nest and Hellfire missiles and ship them separately, and then declare the body itself as a "humanitarian attention rescue helicopter", fill in a Burkina Faso delivery address, and finally give it to the customs officials of some key nodes of the arms exporting country secretly cannot be described. (This plot in the movie is based on a real case from the 80s)

But if my brother bought a small missile, so small that he couldn't change the warhead into a satellite, then of course it would be impossible to make up a non-military use for this missile.

At this time, you have to obediently live up to your name, waving the banner of buying missiles, and also take the road of buying missiles.

However, it is still possible to cheat on who the missile buyer is.

In peacetime, the arms sales of Americans or the sale of equipment related to industrial machine tools are strictly monitored throughout the whole process.

To take the most popular example, just like Gu Biao went to Hollywood to buy sensitive high-end equipment, people will also send a technical support engineer to follow the whole process, nominally to provide technical services, but in fact, part-time to prevent you from disassembling surveying and mapping.

But such surveillance is only effective in a peaceful and transparent environment.

What if the person who wants to buy a missile next year is not the government of a certain country, but the Afghan travel team? How can the Americans ensure that the accounts are checked?

Theoretically, he would send one CIA agent after another to infiltrate him as a coach and monitor the use by the way. But the coach will always be killed by the evil Soviet army, or there will be various accidents, in short, it is not as transparent as in peacetime.

(Note: Solemnly declare that the protagonist is only the one who gives advice to the outline, and is the one who summarizes the experience and sets the guidance document, and is not responsible for specific actions, please don't treat the protagonist as a spy.) He won't go to Afghanistan himself, and there is no plot for this book. It will never trade with the evil forces from outside Afghanistan, and this is just an analogy. ）

Another example is that the U.S. government is obviously hostile to both Iraq and Iran – because it has been hostile since Hussein's nationalization of the oil fields in '73, and to Iran after the Iranian changes in February '79.

Since it is inconvenient for the United States to sell to two countries that they define as evil countries, it has to find agents.

At this time, if a procurement company in Iraq that clearly has a vague background of the Iraqi government and military has bought something through agents. And they did end up blowing up on the Iranians.

It's just that in the time lag before the explosion, has anyone disassembled, studied, or cut corners to get the next piece of material back for testing......

You Americans can't take care of it, do you?

Everything was blown up, there was no proof of death, what happened to the tiny time difference before death, who knows.

Historically, Afghanistan and Iraq have indeed played a role in certain countries that are decades behind the United States in technology and are interested in re-industrialization.

But alas, the effect is not so great.

Because they did not anticipate a war between Iraq and Iran, they did not prepare and do their homework in advance. When the Iran-Iraq war officially broke out at the end of September 80, I didn't even think it would be a protracted war at first.

Because in the first months of the war, everyone thought that Iraq was taking advantage of the sneak attack advantage to attack one after another, and it was not until the end of February 81 after Iran's first counteroffensive that international analysts believed that the war had the possibility of a long-term tug-of-war.

In the same way, the Soviets' use of force against Afghanistan was also regarded as a second-kill crushing at the beginning, and many countries did not expect that the Afghan travelogue would last until the Americans secretly groped for assistance channels, nor did they expect that the Americans would really be willing to spend money to help.

When everything is clear, it will be at least in the middle of '81. It was the second half of 82 years to make a plan, do a feasibility study, and consider the chronic children of the 80s, dare not let go, and really do it.

The domestic catch-up of the Ba bucket gray area technology can be completed naturally in about 84 or 85 years without relying on external forces, so in the end, it will be shortened by a few months. The input is not small, and the output is not very large.

In contrast, now that Gu Biao has intervened in this topic of the Foreign Affairs University, it is equivalent to knowing the results in advance and then reversing the argument.

Before Iraq started fighting and Afghanistan was still in the quagmire, he had first thought of a countermeasure of "how to use the quagmire after that," and then he would be able to implement it immediately after October this year......

Naturally, it will be 18 months faster than the same period in history. In order to finally achieve the goal of "saving the scientific research capacity of 20 national scientific research institutes for one year through the project of Gu Biao".

Of course, this is only a supplement to the previous one, after all, military procurement is only a backup for technologies that cannot be disguised as harmless civilian procurement. For civilian things, we should still take the civilian work route, grasp it with both hands, and be hard with both hands.

At the same time, "how to use Iran and Afghanistan to set up a shell" is the task of the second half of the project.

Just like many people who have studied in graduate school, they know that the first year of graduate school is just to attend classes normally and understand cutting-edge technologies, and the second year is to do a "proposal report" and finally complete the "proposal defense".

In the third year, the countermeasures were made in a real way.

The first thing Gu Biao has to face now is the "opening defense".

He had to use his clever words to convince President Liu and even the senior leaders of the Foreign Investment Commission, and even Minister Huang: Afghanistan will really become a quagmire, and Iraq will really invade Iran in the second half of the year.

Fortunately, Gu Biao is very familiar with the Iraqi issue, and ran with Mina for two months, and talked and laughed with the president of the other party, and presented a pearl of "cultural governance" to the president.

Therefore, he can be called one of the few Iraq experts in the country today. In this field, Gu Biao's analysis is very weighty.

If it really doesn't work, he can fool President Hussein again and buy some cheap weapons and equipment or something. Or let Zhang Zhong, a good brother who is now ambushed in Iraq, help mediate.

At least let Zhang Zhong use what he has seen and heard lurking this year to endorse Gu Ao's judgment.

In this way, most of the leaders are willing to believe - even the president of the country that is preparing to start a war, and the president who has almost poisonous power, has all kinds of secret signs, these are first-hand information, why don't you believe it?

Historically, it was impossible to grasp the intelligence, it was nothing more than that it had not been infiltrated in advance.

In another time and space, Zhang Zhong was sent to China Construction Company in Iraq, which was already after the outbreak of the war. It was the appearance of Gu Biao that accelerated Zhang Zhong's departure abroad for 14 months, and he did business there well.

……

"Ahem, Gu Biao, why are you writing nonsense on your own initiative? I asked you to analyze the feasibility and name of the use of those 370 gray zone technologies in Batumi, and who asked you to discuss whether Iraq will start a war or not! You are overstepping your authority!"

After Principal Liu looked at the research report that Gu Biao and Ye Su had carefully polished for more than ten days, he couldn't take a sip of wolfberry strong tea and spew it out.

This kid is so bold and reckless, he dares to point out anything.

If it weren't for his repeated meritorious contributions, he wouldn't be so used to him......

"Headmaster, this is just a family opinion, what you think is inappropriate, you can discuss it slowly. ”

Principal Liu wanted to say: I, a person who is so resourceful, do I have time to discuss with you a random unmentioned request from the beginning?

However, he pondered for a few seconds, and after all, it was Gu Biao's previous historical exploits that played a role.

In the second semester of his sophomore year, Gu Biao earned a total of 30 million US dollars in orders for the country in Iraq, which did not count the follow-up situation opened up by Zhang Zhong and others sent by the Ministry of Ordnance Industry.

After all, it was Gu Biao who fired the first shot to enter the Middle East market.

In the first semester of his junior year, Gu Biao won the first shot of breaking through the blockade of the gray zone of the barrel "by disguising the real use", and directly contributed to the establishment of the current project after summarizing.

No matter how you look at it, his abilities are all in the same vein and very convincing. Just like an ancient painting, if it is dug up from a tomb, no one may believe that it is real, but if the "inheritance is orderly", and the direct collection of each dynasty and generation is followed by an inscription and recorded in history, then the credibility will be greatly increased.

Let's waste an hour listening to this kid's nonsense.

"Is this your opinion after discussion?"

"This is my personal opinion, classmate Ye still stopped me, hoping that I would not venture into it. "Gu Biao is taking the credit alone, and of course the risk is also alone.

Since Ye Kun has always been cautious, this time there is nothing to do with her.

Ye Su breathed a sigh of relief on the side, as if he wanted to do so.

can only say that her temperament is too delicate, too suspicious and too stable.

"Let's talk about it. Principal Liu lifted his glasses, "Why do you think Iraq will have a war with Iran?"

As Gu Biao spoke, he took out some of the first-line information he could grasp and the first-line information he had just found after talking to Zhang Zhong on the phone last night.

(Specifically, as mentioned above, there will be no more water again)

President Liu also realized that this was not the time for a formal defense, and after a few cross-examinations, he turned to a new question of "how do you ensure that the two Irans will enter a long-term tug-of-war and attract international involvement?"

At the same time, the question of Afghanistan was also brought in.

In fact, this is a more convenient way to grasp the big and let go of the small questions when the defense time is limited.

For example, in 2016, if a Chinese person wants to discuss the question of "whether a trade war will break out", it can actually be broken down into two questions: first, he is asking Donald if he can win the position, and second, he is asking Donald whether he will really implement de-globalization as he preaches after winning the position.

Anyone who refutes any of these points would prove that there will be no trade war, and at the time, it was clear that the first point was easier to refute, so they focused on the weakest points.

The same is true of the Iran-Iraq issue, and if the country wants to take advantage of it, it must ensure that there will be a fight, and that it will be fought for several years.

And President Liu obviously felt that "even if he fights, it will never be able to fight for several years".

Because people for 80 years have believed that the United States will not intervene, and the United States hopes that both Iran and Iraq will lose, and no one will sell equipment, and then soon one side will run out of ammunition and food.

How can a small country that does not have the ability to localize its military industry afford to fight a protracted war?

The case they are targeting is the Fourth Middle East War seven years ago, and this is also the most recent case in the Middle East that can be benchmarked.

In '73, Egypt and Syria had only been fighting with Israel for a long time?

"So, on this issue, even if you know President Hussein any better, it's useless. I'll just take a step back and believe that your judgment of Hussein is the most professional and accurate in China, so what? He can only decide whether to fight or not, and he can't decide how long or how big he will fight. It is the president of the United States, not Hussein, who will decide the longevity of the war. ”

Principal Liu pointed out the absurdity of Gu Biao to the point.