I have to say that although the United States also has many shortcomings, it has really done a good job in this area.

Especially in places like the Ivy League schools, as the most high-end universities in the United States, the atmosphere of academic freedom here is very strong.

Since ordinary civilians can scold the president for nothing, the strategies of international relations majors, secretaries of state, and national security advisers here will never attract 4x4, but will be perceived as fearless of the powerful and free will.

Everyone still believes in speaking when it makes sense, and relying on free debate rather than soft and hard fists to determine victory or defeat.

What is the dignity of the United States?

Especially when there is a video recorder recording material next to it, so those who oppose Gu Biao dare not do anything degrading.

Therefore, even if there seemed to be patrolling security personnel who wanted to intervene at the beginning and forked out on the grounds that Gu Biao was "disturbing order", they were stopped by the students, and everyone had to behave in a dignified manner.

They don't want to leave the handle of "because they can't talk about foreign schools, they won't give each other a chance to speak", and let people use it to hype.

Gu Biao's last tirade just now was already refuted in English, after all, Lu Guangfu spoke English from the beginning.

Therefore, the other melon-eating students who were watching could also understand, and those who fanatically supported Bushi also joined the team battle to help Lu Guangfu refute Gu Biao together.

"The dangers of secret diplomacy are well known and have been common knowledge for 60 years. President Wilson concluded that if it weren't for the existence of secret diplomacy, World War I would not have broken out that year.

It is precisely this implication of mutual private guarantees that has led both sides to make a rash war because they cannot determine the real consequences of starting a war. If the Austrian emperor knew that the use of force against Serbia would lead to a world war, would he still dare to do it?"

A student of the Department of International Relations at Columbia University refuted this, and the reasoning he said was also a very old classical theory.

There is nothing wrong with this argument in itself, if Emperor Franz had known before World War I that it would cause a world war, he would not have dared to go to war because of the Sarajevo incident - at that time they only expected that the Russians would use force, but they definitely did not expect the British dog to intervene. If Yinggou hadn't pretended to be out of business at the beginning, a world war would not have started at all.

In fact, "deliberately showing weakness and seducing before each fight" is also a common trick of the British dog, and two years later, the Argentines will be tricked again like a repeater, becoming a flood area for the British dog to divert and vent internal contradictions.

It is a pity that these classic arguments are a bit old when used to talk about specific problems in today's Cold War situation.

But it can't be helped, who let Brzezinski give an old example when he gave a lecture on the stage just now, when he opposed secret diplomacy?

Two more students followed, but they were at least examples from the end of World War II and the Bretton Woods period.

No matter how late many secret diplomatic achievements have not yet been declassified, history does not dare to write about the present day, and the same is true for Americans.

In the United States, many secret diplomatic measures require a 50-year ban on the long to be allowed to be made public, and a short one to 25 years. So how Kissinger made deals with foreigners in the '70s, or how Secretary of State Dean Lasker defused the Cuban Missile Crisis in the '60s, these Columbia international relations students don't know the details.

But Gu Biao knows everything that has been lifted in the 2010s, and speaking with examples in this regard is simply like a dimensionality reduction blow.

Gu Biao retorted eloquently: "What? Do you think the role of secret diplomacy is just what you just said? How did Secretary of State Dean solve the Cuban Missile Crisis in 62 years? Do you really think that President Kennedy's righteous and stern attitude and hawkish posture of being mentally ill and not afraid of death frightened Khrushchev?

Just kidding! How do you explain that three months to six months after Khrushchev withdrew his 'Cuban sandals,' the US troops successively withdrew from the three medium-range ballistic missile bases that had been deployed in Britain, Italy, and Turkey before the outbreak of the crisis, and never deployed again?

I highly suspect that this is the result of the secret diplomatic PY deal, where the United States has in fact withdrawn more forward-deployed military forces than the Soviet Union. In terms of economic losses and the scale of the withdrawal, the actual concessions of the United States were also greater than those of the Soviet Union. However, many of the promises are made by refusing to acknowledge their relevance and are fulfilled with face-saving secret guarantees.

In essence, the Americans have traded the silent loss of real interests for face toughness and the prestige of their ability to lead the free world - of course, Kennedy's persona did play a role in this, at least he could convince Khrushchev that impulsive people of his kind cared more about face and were really willing to fight for it. ”

Gu Biao's wording is very cautious, after all, the solution to the Cuban Missile Crisis is the most top-secret diplomat-archive, which has been sealed for 50 years, and it was not until 2012 that it was made public by the U.S. House of Representatives. Gu Biao copied the answer and came back, of course, he couldn't publicize his channels.

However, Gu Biao can say that "I relied on my own IQ analysis to estimate that there were related party transactions behind the four arms disarmament incidents at that time."

Although when Kennedy withdrew the ballistic missile units stationed in the three European countries, he did all kinds of cover-up work, explaining that "there is no need to redeploy, there is more advanced equipment to replace/a new generation of intercontinental missiles has been successfully developed", etc., which were so well whitewashed that ordinary international relations students rarely think of this layer. Even if you want to get it, they are all high-ranking officials in the relevant departments of US foreign affairs, and they will definitely not use it for debate.

"This ...... Can this be explained in this way? Is it true that our government has been carrying out secret diplomatic work by 'privately sending more benefits to the evil forces in exchange for a cleaner face'? But when interpreted in this way, it seems that it is really true...... "A group of brothers and sisters have finally become shaken and suspicious."

A few people retorted palely, saying that Gu Biao's evidence was insufficient, and the scene was noisy for a while.

And Gu Biao Zhizhu was in his hand, ready to give the final blow: "Far away, we don't have to talk about it, just take the role of secret diplomacy in resolving the current Iranian crisis, we can also see that if it weren't for Mr. Advisor's obstruction, so that the president can follow the policy of the former Secretary of State Vance, I am afraid it would have been solved long ago."

You can secretly send a batch of F-14 fighter parts to the Iranians, and give them a soft contract in exchange for letting them go of a group of hostages.

If the other side is also afraid of losing face, it can be said that they will 'expel the hostages' to a third country with a similar faith faction to Iran, and then let this third country finally release the people to the United States because of accidents or relenting......

What Gu said was actually President Li Gen's solution to the crisis later in history: at the end of January 1981, the Iranians were given a large number of F14 fighter repair parts and missile consumables, so that their air force, which had been paralyzed in the early stage of the Iran-Iraq war, could be put back into operation. In exchange for the Iranians secretly released people.

This was the case in February, when the Iranian army launched a vigorous counteroffensive against Iraq. So much so that when the counterattack had just begun, President Hussein of Iraq looked confused, and he couldn't figure out how the Iranian Air Force, which had been pressed and fought by himself for half a year, was instantly resurrected with full blood - in fact, it got the Americans' PY trade and maintenance equipment.

When Iran released the people, for the sake of face, it did carefully select in the Middle East and North Africa, and found Algeria, another Shiyeist country, as an intermediary, pretending to expel here and pretending to rescue the Americans on the side, and both sides did not lose face and settled the matter.

Of course, Algeria, as the middleman, lost double face.

But Algeria, as a poor country in Africa, doesn't care about face. As long as the Americans privately gave them a large sum of money in financial aid, and the Iranians gave them a large sum of oil, the Algerians happily sold their dignity.

In the end, Gu Biao summed up mercilessly: "So who dares to say that secret diplomacy will encourage the arrogance of the evil forces? Not at all, because as long as the secrecy work is done well and other potential evil forces do not know about the deal, they will not underestimate the deterrent power of the United States."

The essence of secret diplomacy is to take actual benefits such as money, weapons, and resources, find a country that cares about interests but does not care about face, and do a money-face transaction, or even a money-face intermediary transaction.

It's like two black state bosses are scared, and each has a large number of younger brothers watching, and no one is embarrassed to accept money. So what to do?

Then find someone who makes peace, and then pretend to hand over the ransom and hostages to this peacemaker who persuades the fight, but both sides still pretend not to be convinced.

In the end, everyone slapped the innocent person who persuaded the fight, and snatched back what they wanted from the fighter, saying that it was not the other party's incompetence, but the peacemaker's incompetence, so that the bigwigs on both sides would not lose face.

Afterwards, when the younger brothers couldn't see it, they secretly stuffed the medicine fee for the persuasion who was slapped twice in vain!"

A sharp and fully practical guidance has exposed Brzezinski's hollowness and incompetence to the fullest.

All the Columbia students present who tried to refute them completely gave up their resistance.

Because they can really see that the strategy mentioned by Gu Biao is more operational than the so-called "no compromise" of the president's security adviser, and it does not hurt the dignity and face of the country.

It turns out that in the field of diplomacy, there is still such a thing as taking money and slapping it?!?!

And Gu Biao is not afraid of Brzezinski's plagiarism, because this line is exactly the line that former Secretary of State Vance who was pushed down by Brzezinski tended. And Brzezinski relied on attacking this line to get his political opponents down, so how could he copy the tactics of his political opponents?

It's just that Vance is one step stupider than Gu Biao, and he didn't expect the god operation of "finding a middleman to take money to slap him", and Gu Biao thought of other points, the former secretary of state thought of it.

Of course, Gu Biao is not all on his own. He only relied on the many declassified materials that later generations saw, so he had decades of insight more than Vance. To be precise, Vance should be weaker than "the comprehensive wisdom of Gu Biao and Secretary of State Haig during the Li Gen period", not weaker than Gu Biao's ontology.

The role played by today's remarks should not be overestimated for a while, after all, it is just a non-professional polemic, and everyone still hopes to see the efficacy before making a judgment, and will not risk offending the prospective secretary of state to promote the views of a person of unknown origin.

However, because there is a videotape "standing as evidence", Gu Biao can wait.

He believes that there is no rush in the editing of the videotape courseware, and that it may take a month or two for the professors of international relations to watch the tape carefully.

They don't easily erase any material that might be valuable.

And once the Iran-Iraq war breaks out and Brzezinski really loses the presidential election because of his incompetence in handling the Iran issue, then this "standing post as proof" will be turned over and the wall will be pushed by everyone.

Therefore, in Gu Biao's words today, in addition to positive debates, he is desperately carrying private goods, emphasizing over and over again that "Brzezinski will definitely implicate the president and ultimately lose to Li Gen because of his ineffective handling of the Iran issue."

In this way, his "standing post as proof" will be even more "elegant and vulgar appreciation", and if it falls on the ears of the layman who watches the excitement in the future, they will not understand the essence of secret diplomacy, so they can still listen to this accurate prophecy.

Gu Biao even did not hesitate to confide a slight remark when he was betting against a certain diehardest supporter: He dared to gamble with his net worth and his life that Brzezinski would be defeated! Moreover, the president would be defeated! As evidence, he Gu Biao had already bought a futures bet on the aggravation of the Iranian crisis and the skyrocketing oil prices! The price could be as high as one million dollars!

In fact, of course, there are more than $1 million, but Gu Biao bought $8 million and added leverage, with a total amount of more than $50 million.

But he also knew that talking too much would scare people, arouse suspicion, and make people feel that he shouldn't have been able to come up with so much money.

only said that he bought "at least one million dollars", which can not only show Gu Biao's strength, but not too dazzling, and at the same time prove that Gu Biao is "really risking his own net worth and life to bet on Brzezinski and Carter has no future", rather than casually talking.

After all, there are too many guys who post on the Internet in later generations, and they can also post as evidence by registering a bunch of vests, and some people even rely on vests to defend all their positions, in order to attract fans after pressing one.

In this day and age, there are also people who sell their reputations.

But Gu Biao dared to take out $1 million as a bet on the linkage, and the effectiveness of this post as proof is much higher, indicating that he really practiced it, not a blind beep.

He even took out a small futures trading voucher he carried with him and shook it as evidence - this dangling was inadvertent, but it was vaguely enough to be captured by the courseware video recorder, although the words on the voucher were not clear.

Table ...... Cousin, don't get into trouble. I believe you, I believe that you can't do it? If your wealth is not exposed, you won't be able to end the quarrel if you continue to quarrel!"

Lu Guangfu, who was completely sprayed, didn't dare to entangle anymore, and unconsciously shifted his position, just now he was still spraying with Gu Biao in various ways, and now he seems to have become a guy who praises and observes the opportunity to run away.

He found a convenience, and then pulled Gu Biao out of the crowd, pretending that Gu Biao was dissatisfied with all kinds of things, but he relied on force to pull Gu Biao away.

A group of Columbia students also secretly sweated, wishing that things would end in this way.

"Wait for me! You said you invited me to dinner!" Ao Heima, who had been hiding at the outskirts of the crowd to watch the battle, felt that the Chinese who was similar to him was simply too profound, and it was necessary to secretly ask for advice.

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