After Ye Kun shook President Liu's judgment, Gu Biao took over the conversation and finished the follow-up analysis and argumentation:

We further concluded that the behavior of these presidents who come across the circle is often strongly unpredictable, because they do not have the character of a perennial politician to sell, and foreigners and interest groups will be intimidated by the unpredictability of their behavior.

For example, Rotherford was a disabled person who was dying, so his toughness could scare his opponents in World War II, and Kennedy was a playboy who had never been in politics, and he had various mental illnesses, and he had to take more than 40 tablets of various drugs a day, so he was a guy who behaved unpredictably, was drunk one day and drunk next, and dared to die with others at any time.

So in Cuba in 62, Khrushchev was frightened by him - it was not that Khrushchev was weak, but that Khrushchev had been in politics for too many years, and what kind of person he was, and his personality had long been thoroughly studied. Even if he dared to press the nuclear bomb button at that moment, his enemies would not believe it.

Kennedy, on the other hand, was a playboy suffering from all kinds of painful diseases, a madman who was misanthropic and looking for excitement, and he said that he dared to believe Khrushchev.

It's just that this kind of madman, disabled, layman, actor, mathematician, talk show host, alternative lawyer who doesn't take black money, and a purely idealistic university professor...... We collectively call them "amateur politicians," that is, they did not step up from the classic 'pre-presidential positions' of governors, ministers, and senators.

They always end up touching too much, so although they can do something groundbreaking, everyone else will always get a few shots, except for Wilson, a university professor, who escaped by covering up all the contradictory prosperity.

And a professional politician who follows the rules will not encounter such radical things when he becomes president. Because they can be persuaded by the conventional mediation methods in the political sphere, they are born with the surname compromise, and there is no need to be so ugly and force people to use knives and guns.

The same is true today, any politician in the United States who has set up a mature politician is more afraid of death than the Soviets, and cannot scare the Soviets. So they need a layman who is so reckless that he doesn't know the nuclear button and will be curious to press it, to scare the Soviets.

And once such a person comes up, it will not be a problem to secretly sell weapons to Iran, or to play with fire in Afghanistan. In fact, the decision-making is not made by him, but by his think tank, which just needs a 'president who is emotionally unstable' to intimidate imaginary enemy countries. ”

Historically, Reagan came to power on January 21, 1981, Iran launched a counteroffensive against Iraq in February, and the Afghan resistance was alive and well a month later.

Who believes that there is no such thing as how and how indescribable?

And Dean Liu was also stunned by Gu Biao's whimsical analysis of the international situation.

The greatest advantage of a madman is not that he has any abilities of his own, but that the persona of a madman can scare other elegant people, like a bull that rushes into a porcelain shop and smashes everything.

Anyway, the poor in the United States are repeaters, and they are used to repeating them once every 20 years, or once in a generation.

The more Principal Liu listened, the more he felt that Gu Fuqu had wasted it.

Such penetrating views are actually only used as evidence of the plan to cover up the Iran-Iraq and Afghanistan cover-ups......

It should be taken out separately, it's a huge issue!

Although every argument has been thought of in China, it is really not interpreted in series.

This is definitely a major achievement in the field of international relations analysis.

"It's a bit interesting, I think this hypothesis is very promising when taken out alone!" Principal Liu rolled his eyes and suggested with satisfaction,

"It's better to do this, if you have time at that time, you can do two graduation projects, and the analysis of this topic can see the light, so use it to cover it up. The topic of the bucket is top secret, so you can do it secretly, don't make a noise. Anyway, if you do a lot of topics, you will never lose your academic status and future. The former issue can also be used as a prerequisite for countermeasures to the Pakira issue. ”

"Thank you, Principal, for your advice. Gu Biao and Ye Su agreed in unison.

"Go back and work hard and come up with something more concrete as soon as possible. Principal Liu finally encouraged.

……

Today's remarks, of course, President Liu will not believe it immediately.

Because it's too rough and not academic.

But he also knew that it was useful.

As the saying goes, we all talk about people and talk nonsense, and we all know how to talk when talking to diplomats and experts on international issues. And what to say when talking to people who are not so professional.

Therefore, today's words are taught to President Liu and will be used in the future to persuade some big leaders who are not in this field.

When you talk to the big leaders about rigorous academics, people don't listen, but you give a summary of the mysterious historical fate, which can strengthen people's confidence.

What's more, in the process of mediation, Gu Biao's words hinted at some specific forms of cooperation:

Didn't they need a semester to get the opening report and defense of the topic of "bypassing the supervision of the Ba Bucket gray zone"?

When the time comes, before June, let's have a "post as proof" to figure out how to do it and why it can be done.

Then Gu Biao began to continue to demonstrate the specific operation methods later.

The latter step also takes nearly a semester.

It's going to be at least October.

Gu said to President Liu that he analyzed when Iraq would be ready for war.

At that time, whether the new president of the United States is Reagan or not, and whether General Hussein will start a war against Iran, can be verified by history.

If Gu Biao's two consecutive steps to block the academic reputation of "post as proof" are exactly the same, then the credibility of his specific plan will explode directly.

In the United States, how many people who serve as the president's national security adviser are originally in a relatively low position as a member of a think tank, tweeting and hype, and then predicting and analyzing it accurately a few times, and then they have become famous and in high positions.

Experts in international relations analysis have been eating this bowl of rice in the first place.

For example, Carter's national security adviser, Zbigniew Brzezinski. In the next eight years of Li Gan's rule, this guy was notorious as "the main reason for the external failure of the United States at the end of the 70s".

But it was only because Brzezinski was a descendant of the Jews in Tsarist Russia and he was born with extreme hatred of the Soviet Union out of personal feelings, so he had no brains to advocate the demise of the Soviet Union. As a result, I didn't expect that after 11 years, the Soviet Union really died.

Then he suddenly regained his reputation in academic circles, international relations research and diplomatic circles, and was regarded by many people as a master of the world.

In fact, when he predicted it at the beginning, he didn't expect that the Soviet Union would really die, he just had the mentality of madly stabbing the villain's curse.

Who knows, I bumped into the dog S luck.

From this point of view, it is really easy for a time-traveler to become a diplomat and an expert in international relations analysis.

Because you don't even need to understand anything, as long as you know the general trend between relations between countries in history, and then you get the first bucket of credibility, and then you can find a gunman to outsource -

Is there still a lack of two down-and-out literati in this world? If you want to analyze why Hee L won the election, he will give you an analysis, and if you want to analyze Donald's victory, he will give you an analysis.

Then you report the answer, win the bet a few times, and you will become famous and become an authoritative expert on international issues that has attracted worldwide attention, and a confidant and think tank of the US Secretary of State......

A traveler may not remember what important events have happened in his province or city in the past 20 years.

But who can't remember who became president and who started the war in the world? So for the traverser, on the premise that someone helps you write the proof process, in fact, the bigger the topic, the easier it is.

Of course, you have one more prerequisite before you can earn your first bucket of prophetic fame.

That is, the results of the college entrance examination are in the top 10 in the province, and you are admitted to the Foreign Affairs University, so that you have a chance to speak.

Otherwise, you won't even be qualified to say the first word.

Gu Biao's level is, of course, much stronger than those Xibei goods who only remember conclusions and outsource the proof process.

He really worked hard at the Foreign Affairs Academy for three years.

So his achievements and the level of informativeness of his arguments are not comparable to those guys.

What's more, he also convinced Ye Kun and asked Ye Kun to be responsible for helping him write the proof process.

Outsiders think that Ye Kun is neutral, and both sides have been well demonstrated. In fact, Ye Kun blindly believed Gu Wei's conclusion, so the deception was even greater.

A solid and stable opening report has gradually taken shape.

……

Three weeks have passed since the meeting with President Liu.

Since Gu Biao returned to school, he has been fighting for seven weeks in a row.

Because he came back to school later than the rest of his classmates, it was already time for the midterm exams.

Gu Biao and Ye Kun are also still more than 30 credits and 9 courses away from graduation. Schools will not give cheating opportunities in this regard.

Their only preference is that they no longer have any compulsory courses, but are allowed to choose any courses that are helpful according to the needs of the graduate project.

Linking the course with the thesis can save some energy.

Gu Biao easily passed the midterm exam, and successfully got two credits directly in the midterm, leaving him with only 7 cultural courses left in his entire undergraduate and graduate years.

The proposal report after the detailed completion was also completed at about the same time.

After learning about the progress, President Liu informed them that they were ready to accept the defense three days after the mid-term examination and the 51st Labor Day holiday.

(This is not an opening question on the "Pablo Barrel" issue, but a defense on the topic of "Predicting Who the next President of the United States will be and how his policy toward the Middle East will change.") However, during the defense, you can also answer some questions from the leader of the previous topic. ）

"You prepare carefully, this time I specially picked May Day, just to hope that the leaders are also free. At the end of the defense, you will be able to meet with the Director and the Minister, who may ask questions in person. ”