Chapter 400: Strange Clouds
In his previous life, Gu Biao was not very familiar with George Schultz.
But now that I've been studying international relations in Georgetown for two years, I know everything about the people in the U.S. diplomatic circle.
Three months have passed since George Schultz took office as secretary of state, and he has just become familiar with the situation thoroughly, taking over the situation, and the three fires of the new official taking office.
Schultz also had a two-year friendship with Kissinger - when Kissinger was secretary of state, Schultz was finance minister for two years.
On the whole, however, this kind of colleague relationship is rather general, and it cannot be compared with the friendship between Kissinger and Haig.
Gu Biao did not know that in history, Scholz would be a relatively long-term secretary of state, who could serve for five or six years, that is, until President Li Gen left office.
Although Kissinger cannot predict history, with his sophisticated vision of foreign affairs, he has seen that Scholz's diplomatic line and skills are very consistent with the kind of compatibility that President Reagan admires.
After three months of observation, Kissinger had a keen sense that Scholz was likely to stay with Reagan until the end of Regen's presidency.
In this way, it is necessary to bet and re-brush the sense of existence of the old qualifications - Kissinger's eyes are thieves and thieves, and he is a master who does not see rabbits and does not scatter eagles.
If, according to his observations in the previous three months, he did not feel that "Schultz is worthy of a great responsibility and can last a long time", then he would not have easily consumed the knot.
However, it now seems that it is very necessary to make a prosperous life in the consulting circles in the next few years, and after Scholz succeeds him, he will give full play to his residual enthusiasm and make creative contributions in the field of diplomacy and prevent the resolution of some crises, so that they will pay attention to the shining points of the fundamentalist forces.
After Gu Biao clarified the mentor's thoughts and interests, he said sincerely: "I will take this matter to heart, and try to find opportunities to find hot spots, but I am only a shallow learner, and I dare not guarantee it." ”
Kissinger smacked: "Try to observe as many opportunities as possible, I hope that before the end of this semester, you will be able to find the right direction of your efforts, and let's work together to do something and establish this power." ”
Kissinger also did not want to put off such a thing until his last semester before retirement, which would make his motivation to "make his presence felt" too obvious.
Everyone wants face, and when you want to be famous for being "not bad", you should look good when you eat.
After chatting about these extracurricular topics, Kissinger studied academic issues with Gu Biao for a morning, opened his mind, and then Gu Biao said goodbye and left.
The professor is also 60 years old, and it is normal for him to have low energy, and it is impossible to work all day.
Gu Biao had lunch at school, then borrowed a bunch of the latest journals on international relations analysis in the library and returned to the villa.
I took the fax and continued to stay at home to do business and read periodicals.
While thinking about whether there are any hot spots in diplomacy and international relations this year, I can help Kissinger and myself to make more connections.
Of course, the things that are worth Gu Biao's hands must not only have such a little benefit, but also have other opportunities to carry private goods, so that he will scatter eagles.
Just to make meritorious contributions to Kissinger and repay the favor of his mentor, Gu Biao, a delicate egoist, will not do it.
Therefore, he read a lot of journals, and found some chicken opportunities at a glance, but he didn't bother to really study in depth, and always wanted to wait.
"An analysis of the impact of Iran's forced dissolution of the Dude file on May 4 and whether it is possible for Iran to use this to ease relations with the United States...... Well, isn't it the Iranians who forcibly shoveled out their own GC attention files and expelled all Soviet diplomats.
Iran's thorn in the head is obviously very independent, and it doesn't care at all about playing dog brains with both camps, if you think that they will ease up with the United States if they break off diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union, then it's still a fool's dream, that kind of extremist who believes in scolding the whole world at the same time, and will not turn back. ”
The first of the most popular points of merit recently discussed in the Georgetown Journal of International Relations was rejected by Gu Biao with his prescient knowledge of the Iranian style and thrown into the waste paper.
"On the Possibility and Prevention of the Spread of S-Type Attacks in Lebanon and Changes in US-Israeli Relations Since the First Bombing of the Embassy in Lebanon on April 18...... What bullshit, this thing can't be solved in 30 years. ”
Another newsletter topic was thrown into the wastepaper heap by Gu Ao.
Lebanon, the birthplace of bomb vests, is just an appetizer for Americans this year. In the second half of the year, the Lebanese will invent trucks to burst into the US military camp in Beirut, killing 300 fourth-class Marun, and there is nothing to remind them of. Anyway, the dead are all American soldiers, and there are no innocent civilians, so the historical characterization is "guerrilla", not KB.
American soldiers are such a thing, it's cool to blow up for a while, it's cool to blow up all the time, and it's always cool to be blown up. Next year, the US embassy there will be bombed, blowing up the US and British ambassadors to Lebanon themselves, and finally causing the US and Britain to withdraw their embassies.
He continued to look down and saw something slightly more interesting.
"On the 7th of last month, Grenada Prime Minister Maurice Bishop made a secret visit to the United States and made an understanding, discussing the long-term significance of the understanding to ease relations between the two countries......
(Note: All foreign ZL official positions are called "Prime Minister", because ZL is an official position that China has, so it does not appear.) )
When Gu Biao saw this, his eyebrows raised slightly.
In his previous life, his history was not very good, but he still knows what wars have occurred in the world, but he doesn't know the specific course of the war, the United States invaded Grenada in the early 80s, and it was quite famous.
It is estimated that the popularity is slightly lower than that of Iran and Iran and the Middle East, and higher than that of other less well-known armed conflicts.
Gu Biao couldn't remember exactly when this war happened, but at least in the years since he was reborn, he has never heard that the United States has invaded other countries, so this has not happened yet.
Then it's only in the past year or two.
Now, seeing a fellow student at the Georgetown Wales School of Foreign Service who wrote an analytical article analyzing the trend of US/Georgia relations, Gu Biao can't help but feel a little strange.
It has only been a month and a half since Grenada's Prime Minister Maurice Bishop made a secret visit to the United States to beg for mercy, and it happened on June 7.
So far, the outside public has not known about it, and it has not been reported in the news media. It is only when Gu Biao is a Ph.D. student at Waltz Diplomatic University that he can find out these internal papers.
Maurice Bishop, who was the leader of Grenada's "New Jewel Movement", came to power in '79 and became a country that was one-sided diplomatically towards the Soviet Union and Cuba. Over the next three years, however, the United States engaged in strong diplomatic pressure to prevent Grenada from becoming a "second Cuba."
Judging by the internal papers, the secret diplomacy of the United States has done so well that Bishop is on his knees and promises not to allow the Soviet army to establish a base in Grenada again.
And the Soviets also seem to realize that the current situation is not like the situation when Bishop was first supported to come to power in 79, and acquiesced in this situation, Bishop knelt for a month and a half, silent, and did not seem to hold back the big move.
Gu Biao carefully read the views in the student's paper and explained the Soviets' subduedness as "When the Soviet Union changed Bishop's armament in '79, the Soviet Union was just on the eve of the war against Afghanistan, and it itself had not yet fallen into the quagmire, and it was extremely strong against the United States militarily."
Three and a half years later, because the Soviet Union itself was dragged down by the quagmire of Afghanistan and could not afford to move westward, it completely abandoned in the Caribbean and abandoned the puppet that it had once laid out. ”
In the end, Gu Biao took a look at the payment, and the junior was studying for a doctorate with Professor Brzezinski.
Gu Biao covered up the journal and muttered alone: "This paper is analyzed very correctly, the Soviet Union really doesn't have the energy to support Grenada, Bishop also saw through the Soviets and came to beg for mercy and relent, so why did the war still start later?"
I remember that it seemed that the Soviets temporarily changed their minds and let the No. 2 person of the 'New Jewel Movement' secretly lead troops to shoot Bishop, who had already defected to the United States, and then build a pro-Soviet government, and then the United States sent troops to fight back...... There must be a trigger in this that I don't know. ”
Gu Biao thought about it for a long time, but he didn't figure it out for the time being, so he gave up.
"No matter, why do you want to do so much, this matter has no personal benefit value for the time being, and it is not convenient to write an article to predict and warn. This is an emergency, how can it be seen in advance?
Is it too far-fetched to write the words 'beware of the Soviet Union infiltrating the country from the bottom in the process of the transition from the democratically elected government'?
However, if the prediction can be correct, let the United States advance the embankment, or even find a more legitimate excuse and diplomatic fig leaf for the United States to send troops, it will be a very good achievement. It will definitely allow Mr. Ki to maintain his presence and think tank status during Secretary Moritz's tenure......"
In fact, it doesn't matter if it's far-fetched, as long as the prediction is correct, no matter how unbelievable the previous reasoning is, others will think you are awesome and far-sighted.
If you are engaged in the analysis of international relations, the conclusions are right, the solutions are right, and the deduction process can be seen a little bit.
Gu Biao didn't want to put too much effort into it, just because the benefits weren't big enough to make it.
He is not prepared to be an American for a long time, so he will not work for the United States for a long time, at least "he will profit seven points for himself, and the United States will profit three points, and at the same time, it is best to scrape off the interests of the traditional allies of the United States at the expense of others and self-interest, and divide them among the United States."
It's better to put this idea here and slowly hold on to the stock and wait and see, and then see if there are any better and more suitable materials.
Anyway, the task set for him by Kissinger is still "before the end of this semester, pay attention to hot topics while writing books".
Gu Biao still has nearly two months to find a spare tire.