Monday, May 24th, was also the day after the graduation of Senior McCarron.

Gu Biao officially devoted himself to the last five semesters of his doctoral studies. (American semester, 4 months per semester, 3 semesters a year.) ）

Because he had just entered the state, he rarely did not hold the script to speak in the presentation assigned by Professor Kissinger, but listened and asked questions with other master's students.

Today's keynote speakers are only two Ph.D. students, Senior Patrick and Senior Sarah Sandberg.

The topic of this issue is still the analysis of current affairs in the research direction of secret diplomacy, and it is closely related to the current hot topic - "On the gains and losses of secret mediation between Afghanistan and Buso in the process of armed conflict".

The background of the project is this: at the beginning of the month, before the escalation of the armed conflict, diplomatic relations between the State of Brittania and Argentina were severed.

In fact, neither side has any actual interests in this war, and the Falklands are after all a poor island that does not pull S, and it is not on any important international commercial routes.

Therefore, the war is not actually endless, and President Galtieri and Prime Minister Margassa are only trying to maintain their own approval ratings and canvass for the next year's general election, so that they can pull the army out to divert domestic conflicts.

Hundreds or thousands of lives or something are just bargaining chips for these despicable Western politicians to pursue their own interests, and no one should be suspicious of anyone, and it is fair to say that Galtieri is as black as Magisa.

Since the war is fought to save face, it is inevitable to sever diplomatic relations openly and mediate through a third party in private.

The Bretanians chose Switzerland as the speaker, while the Argentines chose Peru. In this way, the two sides can actually maintain a dirty deal behind the scenes in the event of a severance of diplomatic relations.

However, it can only be said that both sides are not very good at it, so this wave of third-party secret mediation in 82 failed very much, and there were no commendable results at all.

In the eyes of Kissinger, who is now among the top three in the world in terms of secret diplomacy, he is like a child playing at home.

So, last week, I decided to use Peruvian and Swiss as anatomical materials for class presentations.

Let Patrick, the Frenchman, take the Swiss side, and Sarah, the native American, side the Peruvian side, each analyzing what they did wrong in the process.

Because of the different positions and the fact that it was current politics, it was inevitable that the class debate would be a little angry, and then Patrick and Sarah each began to pull their younger siblings to help and cross-argue.

As the only one of the three doctoral students that Kissinger is still taking now, Gu Biao has not been assigned a position, and he has always been very convincing in his academic standards in the field of international relations, so he should have been the focus of the seniors' competition for support.

……

At this moment, Senior Sister Sarah on the field was attacking: "I think that when the cruiser General Belgrano was sunk by the Britannes the day before yesterday, the reaction of the Swiss mediators was a major mistake on your part!"

At that time, the General Belgrano was cruising in non-belligerent waters more than 200 nautical miles from the Falklands, and the course was heading in a direction far away from the Falklands.

However, in the face of this sudden situation, how did the Swiss side explain to Peru on behalf of the Falklands? They actually said that they could intercept and steal the historical trajectory information of the warship's coordinates captured by the Soviet spy satellite intercepted by Norway, and that it had once invaded the 200-nautical-mile range of the Falklands. This kind of justification is meaningless, and will not only offend more countries that are not related to it, but will not help the situation in any way......"

Sarah Sandberg's analysis is obviously quite correct, and at this point, after she finished speaking, Patrick had no objection at all, and only said some painless scenes.

Even Professor Kissinger nodded slightly.

He has taught good students, at least more than Swiss diplomats in the ability to pass the buck.

"What do you all think? Gu, you can talk about it first. The professor took the roll call first.

Since this is the case, Gu Biao couldn't hide, so he had to say:

"I agree with Sarah. If the Swiss side had been more professional at that time, it should have been emphasized that the submarine that fired the torpedo, the orders it received, and the actual combat behavior were all patrolling within a 200-nautical-mile cruising circle of the Falklands. It is to find the enemy in the warning circle, and forget how far you have been chasing, and after catching up, you will fire a torpedo. It's also much better than saying that they stole Soviet satellite communications through the Norwegians. ”

Kissinger's eyes lit up slightly.

I didn't expect Xiao Gu to be inconspicuous, and he didn't prepare for this report and display, but the countermeasures that he thought of casually were so diplomatic and minimized the scandal.

He was obviously a step further than Sarah, who just said that the Swiss couldn't find a good excuse when they exonerated Brittania this time, and Gu Biao directly thought out what a better excuse was.

After an hour and a half of analysis, the debriefing class ended.

However, everyone is still unsatisfied and is still discussing current affairs.

It's just that it's no longer a discussion from the perspective of professional diplomatic mediation, but a casual conversation about the progress of the war.

Senior Patrick, who had just lost the debate, breathed a sigh of relief and said unwillingly: "Actually, I don't think the Swiss really have this level, they may just be passive and slack, thinking that even if the explanation is vulgar and provokes the Argentines, the Argentines have little ability to fight back." They could only obediently accept the bitter fruit of the sinking of the cruiser, and then be incompetent and furious. ”

"Well, there is ......a tradition of the Breton navy being strong," Sarah chimed in.

After the class, there were no academic disputes, and her personal relationship with Patrick was still good. Obviously, she judged the same situation as Patrick on the course of the war.

The professor also listened to the discussion on the side, and did not express his opinion, but just looked at everyone kindly, and the academic atmosphere was very relaxed and free, and everyone was able to speak freely.

After 20 minutes of messing up, seeing that it was almost time for lunch break, most of the master's students had expressed their opinions, only Gu Biao was still silent.

Kissinger is also familiar with Gu Biao, after all, he has taught him for half a year, and he has cooperated in so many major things, so he knows that Gu Biao must have read opinions again, but he is too lazy to say.

Kissinger had no choice but to name him: "Gu, what do you think? Why don't you participate in the discussion again?" ”

Gu Biao had no choice but to reluctantly say: "Well, I think it would still be useful for the Swiss to help Brittania find a snack when they were soft at that time." Now the excuse is so rough, it is inevitable to give the Argentine hawks the risk of retaliation. ”

Senior Sister Sarah on the side was surprised: "Do you think the so-called Argentine revenge will be useful?" As far as I know, you Chinese have an old saying, 'The anger of cloth clothes, without crowns, and the ears of the ground with the head'. What is the difference between the strength of the Argentines today and the 'cloth clothes'?"

"No, no, no, since you are so good at sinology and even know this sentence, then you must also know the second half of the sentence. The wrath of the horseman, the blood is splashed in five steps, and the world is vegetarian. The Argentines were equipped and technical and tactical, although one era behind the Brittanans. However, the Argentines fought on the ground and the Bretanians fought on the oceans.

In today's world, with the exception of the United States, the combat strength of the naval aviation of other countries is already one era behind the combat strength of the shore-based air force. The most advanced aircraft of the Bretanians, although they crushed Argentina, could not play this time. If you are desperate by Argentina, it is normal to bite something hard. ”

"Is there one?" Sarah was obviously not very good at military affairs, and when she subconsciously asked back, she did not ask Gu Biao, but asked other boys at the same time.

"Like...... I don't know, there are no practical examples to prove it. Prince Hussein and Patrick replied.

Gu Biao shrugged: "Just because there is no actual combat example does not mean that it cannot be deduced, I think this phenomenon is obvious - I can take a hypothetical example to deduce, you can think about it, during the Korean War, the US Navy was strong enough, and so many Essex-class aircraft carriers and carrier-based aircraft units were dispatched to the Korean Peninsula."

However, in 1950, the carrier-based aircraft used on the Essex class, which was 46 years old at the latest, were still piston propeller aircraft, with a top speed of less than 700 kilometers and could not carry any missiles.

If the Volunteer Air Force in the East at that time could really get the Il-28 jet attack aircraft that the Soviets had just entered service in small batches for 50 years, it could carry 3 tons of bombs/torpedoes and penetrate 900 kilometers. It would have been possible to destroy the aircraft carrier formations of the Americans a long time ago.

Because the combat radius of the US Air Force's shore-based jet fighters cannot enter the Yellow Sea to provide continuous escort to the aircraft carrier formation. The propeller carrier-based fighters on the aircraft carrier itself are 200 percent slower than the enemy bombers, and they can't keep up. Sony, you have to be glad that 50 years ago, the Eastern Coalition had not asked the Soviets for jet attack aircraft.

It is only 4 years behind, and if you take 46 years of carrier-based aircraft and 50 years of shore-based aircraft, you may die so miserably. Now that the Bretanians are counting on the Harrier against the supersonic fighters of the Super Banner and even the other Argentines, I don't think it is foolproof.

You know, although the Argentines do not have aircraft carriers, they have purchased C130 large air tankers from 'us' the United States. As long as you make up your mind, it will not be difficult at all to let the high-combat power shore-based aircraft that take off from the mainland fly into the sea area of war. ”

In his last paragraph, he naturally mentioned the words "we are American".

In fact, he certainly doesn't think of himself as an American. But since I am studying in a place like Georgetown, it is still necessary to read between the lines and make mistakes.

It's a kind of protection for yourself.

"That's right, the Argentines have also bought a lot of American-style equipment, even if it is not the most advanced, but if Gu's setting of 'shore-based has a generational advantage over HNA' is true, this matter is really ......possible," several boys began to analyze along Gu Wei's train of thought.

Even Professor Kissinger couldn't help but conclude: "Gu is right, not every country's naval aviation can have a masterpiece like the F-14 Panda available." Therefore, when you think about problems in the future, you must take into account the poverty and backwardness of the outside world, and you cannot always use the perfection of us Americans to deduce. At this point, Gu's understanding is more comprehensive than yours. ”

"Cut, doesn't he know better than we know how poor a poor country is. Some unconvinced juniors complained silently in their hearts.

However, while they were discussing, an update came from the radio news broadcast on the campus during lunch break.

"What's new this morning: The Sheffield, a new destroyer of the Brittan task force, was sunk by the Argentine Air Force. The ship was attacked by anti-ship missiles earlier this morning, and after several hours of firefighting, the fire could not be extinguished, and the ship was abandoned before noon.

Fortunately, most of the crew was evacuated, and only 70 casualties were imposed. For more details, we will continue to report for you. ”