After the 11th National Day holiday, Gu Biao's two topics are about to usher in the final defense.

Mina was encouraged by Gu Biao, and she also readjusted her mentality and joined the defense together.

On Sunday, October 5, the first thing to be answered was the topic that was put on the bright side, that is, "predicting the U.S. election, analyzing and discussing the impact of the election results on Japan's U.S. policy, and the development of various tasks such as "market for technology."

As for the issue of countermeasures against the Bapao gray zone in the shadows, it will be defended after the official election in early November.

Because of the grade of the project and the degree of contribution, the defense was usually attended by the director and the minister to listen to the report.

This is not so much a final defense as it is another think tank consultation.

After the four members of the research group made energetic statements and answered a few questions, President Liu helped them summarize with words that were suitable for non-professionals to understand.

“…… Director, Minister, according to the latest information, both Iraq and Iran have issued new statements on plans to reduce oil exports due to the war.

On the U.S. side, the Carter administration has neither openly supported Iraq nor publicly condemned it or come up with any effective national policy because of the Iranian hostage crisis.

According to the latest poll conducted by relevant US institutions on October 1, Carter's approval rating has fallen to a critical point, and it is almost impossible to turn around in the final month's sprint. Lee Gen, who we once thought was hopeless, is now miraculously on the verge of victory because of his opponent's successive cowardly performances. ”

After Principal Liu finished speaking, he basically finished the motions.

The minister thought for a while, and finally asked a rhetorical question: "So, your conclusion is that the topic of these students has perfectly analyzed and predicted the trend of relevant data? Can the question be concluded? Are there no other unexpected factors that have not yet been analyzed?"

Principal Liu hurriedly pointed to the defense materials and turned to a certain page at the back:

"Of course, there are unexpected factors, isn't this what Comrade Xiao Ye mentioned in the fourth part just now - the only uncertain factor left at present is the 'October Surprise'.

That is, the Carter administration suddenly opened its mind, figured out how to exchange arms for hostages, and looked for intermediaries to deal with Iran. The length of this part was limited by time just now, so Xiao Gu was not allowed to expand. Xiao Ye, don't explain it to the minister yet. ”

"Good principal, we don't think we should be overly concerned about the risk of 'October Surprise'. Based on the estimation of the Lee Geun-joon cabinet, it is entirely possible that they will engage in covert reverse diplomacy to prevent the Iranians from handing over their ...... in October."

The content of the follow-up dialogue is too insidious and will cause Xiaobai to feel uncomfortable with politics, so I will not repeat it in detail.

In a word, it cannot be ruled out that although Li Gen has not yet come to power, he has used the option of power to promise through an unscrupulous secret envoy that "no matter how many weapons and equipment Carter now promises to secretly give you, in exchange for your release." I've promised to give you double or more gear when I come to power, in exchange for not letting me go now, and staying up until Carter collapses. ”

Of course, Gu Biao knew that the secret envoy that Li Gen used to do this dirty work was the infamous Robert McFarlane, the third national security adviser during his presidency. (It can also be transliterated as "Robert.Bought or Cold.") ）

Because McFarlane later ganged up in '86, this incident led to a major crisis of confidence in the Reagan administration, and the American people had to face it completely for the first time: it turned out that their president had been making deals with evil countries all along.

This matter is very big, so people with a little historical knowledge in later generations know it, and Gu Biao is no exception.

It's just that he can't say it at the moment, and all that can be reflected in the text is various analyses and speculations, and the reasons for finding arguments from the results backwards.

After listening to the cause and effect, the leaders had no doubts, and then made a decision.

“…… I see, then let them finish the question. You can send the relevant results directly to your school's monthly academic report, pay attention to the wording, try to use an analytical tone, and do not make judgments about any facts that did not happen. ”

As for the official graduation of Gu Biao and the others, it was also scheduled in November, after the secret topic on the barrel was also defended (of course, to ensure that the US election was not unexpected).

At that time, the relevant departments will naturally accept two fresh graduates.

These are all details, and they don't need to be personally cared about by the director-level bigwigs.

In October 1980, the inaugural issue of the Foreign Affairs Review was quickly published in black and white, and it was printed and distributed to major universities that had opened international relations majors.

This book, also known as the "Journal of the Foreign Affairs University", is a Chinese academic journal of international politics sponsored by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and sponsored by the Foreign Affairs University, and the journal of the China International Relations Association (the competent unit of the association is also the Ministry of Foreign Affairs).

In 1980, of course, this publication should not have been published yet. But since the Foreign Affairs University was officially reopened two years ahead of schedule because of Gu Wei's butterfly effect, this kind of journal naturally has to be advanced accordingly-

This is because the "Foreign Affairs Review" was originally founded when the first batch of senior students of the Foreign Affairs University were about to write their papers. According to President Liu's original plan, he also thought about reissuing the inaugural issue in January next year.

But since Gu Biao and them are so competitive, and the first wave of graduation projects has been done in advance, then Gu Biao will publish articles and when will they start a journal for him. (However, the name of the tutor still has to be hung in the author)

The inauguration of such a high-level journal as the "Foreign Affairs Review" was like a spring rain falling silently into the water, and it did not cause any repercussions among ordinary people.

The spring and white snow, the introduction of business and carved feathers, mixed with the flow of signs, the high and the low.

However, in the world's major academic powers, the response to the impact has been very swift at the top universities that specialize in international relations.

In 1980, there were still too many unknowns in China, which needed to be excavated by foreigners who were eager to invest. Since that mysterious eastern country has issued the inaugural issue in the field of "Foreign Affairs Review", how can you not read it?

At least in the United States, Georgetown, Columbia, Harvard, and Yale are the four universities that first got the "Foreign Affairs Review".

They went directly through Ambassador Woodcock's channel, got a batch of books, and then took the only Boeing 747 flight to the United States, which flew between China and the United States, and consigned them back to the United States, where they were handed over to relevant professionals for inquiry.

……

Professor Tillerson, a professor of international relations at Columbia University, got the book at such a time.

Professor Tillerson is in his 40s and has just been promoted to the title of professor.

In the past 18 years of his career, the first 15 years started as a teaching assistant to Professor Brzezinski, and gradually worked his way up to lecturer and associate professor.

Until three years ago, after Brzezinski's predecessor resigned from his teaching position to serve as national security adviser to the president. Tillerson also happened to have enough years of seniority and academic achievements to become a professor of international relations.

Professor Brzezinski was a few assistants to Professor Brzezinski when he was in school, and Tillerson was not considered to be highly supported.

But it is precisely because of this that he has been able to continue to teach. Others, who are more important, may be introduced to other positions in the president's staff.

There are no tigers in the mountains, and the monkeys are kings.

Today, when Brzezinski occasionally returns to the university to give lectures, all the recordings of the lectures are finally edited and edited by Tillerson to confirm that they can be released publicly.

Some time ago, mainly at the end of September, after the sharp fluctuations in the oil market were finally stabilized, Tillerson received a number of requests from students asking him to publish all the materials for a public course on international relations taught by Brzezinski at the end of July.

Professor Tillerson was a little puzzled at the time, because he hadn't had time to review the class at the time—in college, it's normal for a job like a lecture video to drag on for two months, and no one is in a hurry to review the past.

After being urged by the students who answered the questions, Tillerson noticed an accidentally photographed after-class material in the courseware.

For example, a foreign colonel dared to question Brzezinski's adviser's strategy toward Iran? And dared to predict that Brzezinski's "anti-secret diplomacy" strategy would lead to further deterioration of the situation, soaring oil prices, and personally buying up the market with heavy sums of money.

In the end, the bet was right.

While Tillerson was researching the details of the guy's origins, his assistant brought him the Diplomatic Review.

"Professor Tillerson, this is the latest and most authoritative academic journal in the field of international relations on the Chinese side, Foreign Affairs Review. It is run by China's Foreign Affairs University, and this issue is still the first issue. ”

"Thanks, I'll watch it. Professor Tillerson was unimpressed at the time.

However, as soon as he picked it up, he had just scanned the first few important papers, and his eyes immediately couldn't pull it out.

Of course, the content he saw was similar to what President Liu saw, but as a specialized academic journal, the biggest difference between the papers in the "Foreign Affairs Review" and ordinary articles was that the formation process was "inherited in an orderly manner and the formation process can be examined".

Translated in human terms, it means that the results of each part, the months, the content cited and borrowed, and the phased conclusions are all endorsed by the academic credit of the journal.

In other words, Tillerson could see that everything Gu wrote was a "divine prophecy", and many points were analyzed before they happened.

Even, in the end, the discussion on "preventing October surprises" directly quoted two loopholes that Gu Biao seized from Brzezinski's lecture when he was observing Brzezinski's public class.

This directly confirmed that Gu Biao was the Asian student from another school in the courseware video.

"Do you want to give this journal and the last video to Brzezinski's adviser and remind him of it? However, everything is still unclear, and Brzezinski's advisers may not appreciate it, and maybe they will think that I have seen too much...... Why don't you let it go, and when President Carter is really finished, sell it to Reaghan's people?"

Professor Tillerson struggled intensely.

The book "Foreign Affairs Review", Tillerson believes that the big bulls can get it. However, the courseware tape he has at hand is also a powerful supplement, and if used well, it will be of great benefit to him personally.

"Why don't you rip a disc first, and ask His Excellency Kissinger to see it in private? He is the former secretary of state for the nuclear file, and although it is impossible for Li Gen to make him come back, he must consult the other party's opinion first......