?? To tell the truth, in fact, in Hong Yanwu's view, the starting point of the vice president of the aquatic company Zhou is still good. Fastest updates

Although there is no shortage of people who are suspected of selling their reputation, his original intention is to lower the price of sea cucumbers so that the people can get some benefits.

But the sad thing is that he is a very business-ignorant but quite self-righteous person. The issuance of this order is a typical "pat on the head" policy, which is taken for granted and completely divorced from the actual situation.

In fact, there is no basis for the sea cucumbers in Ben Cheng to implement price reductions. With this price reduction order, not only may it be difficult to realize Vice President Zhou's original intention, but it will backfire in the end, and the possibility of causing the price of sea cucumber to soar is greatly existent.

Why?

Here, Hong Yanwu popularized a little bit of the market economics viewpoint that is known to the "sea bumpers" today. That is, whether a commodity is really worth or not is not determined by artificial pricing at all, but by supply and demand.

To put it bluntly, "scarce is expensive", and this is the same for any commodity.

There is a good saying, "If you want to know about the sea, you must ask the fisherman".

In fact, through the investigation in the warehouse in the past few days, Hong Yanwu also found out a set of real and already occurring data by the way, that is, the annual output of sea cucumbers in Bincheng in recent years.

He consulted with several veteran warehouse managers with deep qualifications, and knew that before the "movement" in Bincheng, the highest fishery output was nothing more than about 10,000 tons of fresh sea cucumbers per year, which was converted into three or four hundred tons of light dried ginseng.

After the "movement", due to the waste of production in all walks of life, the output of sea cucumber has also decreased year by year, rapidly falling to about 2,000 tons per year, and in recent years, less than 100 tons of dried ginseng can be produced.

So this year, even if the output is doubled according to the forecast of the aquatic company, it is nothing more than 200 tons of light dried ginseng.

As for the "sea bumpers" in Bincheng, although there are a large number of people, roughly about several thousand, the level is uneven, and the fishing methods are also quite backward. Even if it is calculated according to the average amount of 4,000 people and 50 catties of light dried ginseng per person, it is the sky, that is, the catch of 100 tons of light dried ginseng in the whole year.

In this way, the largest total amount of sea cucumbers in Bincheng this year can be estimated. The official and private individuals in Bencheng together do not exceed 300 tons of dried sea cucumbers.

And to be honest, the supply of sea cucumbers in Bincheng has never been sufficient, if calculated by the local urban population, when the fishery is at its best, the yield is enough for each person to get two taels of dried sea cucumbers.

At the same time, the dried sea cucumber is not a lot of seafood that can be preserved for a long time, and every year Bincheng has to supply a large number of well-known restaurants and restaurants in major cities across the country.

Not to mention the beautiful scenery in Ben Cheng, which has to receive many high-ranking officials and foreign guests who come to Ben Cheng for recuperation.

Therefore, fish shops and major restaurants are often cut off, and even if there are sea cucumbers in the fish store, it is difficult to see 30 top-notch goods.

And this is the basis for Hong Yanwu's decision to speculate on sea cucumbers from the beginning, and it is also the fundamental reason why he has always been able to quickly sell sea cucumbers to and from Bencheng.

So since we have talked about the data that Hong Yanwu has researched and scrutinized by himself. It is necessary to talk about the survey results and estimated data that Vice President Zhou relied on.

According to Hong Yanwu, Deputy Manager Zhou really shouldn't take these things too seriously.

First, these data have not yet happened, and unlike the data that Hong Yanwu investigated in the past, there are too many variables in between.

The second is that our official estimation method itself is too distinctive, basically belonging to the category of reporting good news but not bad news, like the "satellite" incident brought about by the incident many years ago, this kind of atmosphere has not yet dissipated.

The only thing that is certain is that there is certainly moisture in such estimates and figures. Imagine that the grassroots level reports through the leaders at all levels, and there are always people who will make the leaders happy, but it is just a matter of how many problems.

In other words, even if these numbers are true, we must not forget the saying that "the sky is unpredictable".

Sea cucumber is different from ordinary commodities in that it is not produced in a factory, nor is it something that a farmer can dig out a large basket with a wave of a hoe.

It is completely born by the sea, the growth cycle is slow, and the requirements for the growing environment are also picky. You have to rely on people to dive into the sea to fish it out, and you have to do a good job of post-processing after you fish it out.

And there are uncontrollable factors in each of these links, which are also closely related to weather and environmental changes. If any link goes wrong, it can cause significant losses in sea cucumber production.

Therefore, Vice President Zhou does this, the risk is definitely greater than the certainty, and 99% of the situation will occur.

Since this is the case, no matter how you look at it and how you say it, the sea cucumber is also in short supply.

As long as this article does not produce a fundamental reversal, then sea cucumbers will always be a hot commodity in the market, and the price cannot be reduced by just one official price.

The most typical example is the representative of those in-demand goods on the market.

Due to the limited industrial level in our country, the output cannot meet the needs of the whole people. These ordinary light industrial commodities are not only expensive, but they also have to be bought with tickets.

And if the common people want to get these goods, they have to spend a lot of extra effort just to get the industrial vouchers, and even spend a sum of money, so they are all eager and willing.

When these products are in short supply, you have to buy gifts to match people's favors. But no matter how much it costs, as long as you can buy it, thank God, no one feels a loss at all......

Hong Yanwu said it very happily, but although the things he said were clear and reasonable, they finally surpassed the cognition of this era.

The cultural level of the "sea bumpers" is not very high, in fact, after listening to it for a long time, most of them still half-understand and half-understand. So some people couldn't help but start questioning.

For example, "Shrimp Crawler" said, "The 'three turns and one sound' is different from sea cucumbers, they are all daily necessities that can be used repeatedly, and if you don't buy them, you won't be of use." But if you eat sea cucumbers, they will be gone? Moreover, the official price of 'three turns and one ring' itself is high, and the price of sea cucumbers has dropped now, so how can they be compared?"

His words made many people nod their heads, and apparently this was also the opinion of most people.

It's just that this question seems a bit naïve and ridiculous when you look at it today. Of course, Hong Yanwu was not asked, and calmly gave another example.

"What's wrong with not necessities? What's wrong with low official pricing? Have you forgotten Moutai?"

Indeed, to put it this way, Moutai should be a more appropriate example.

Because Moutai is also a relatively luxurious consumable, the common people have little demand for this thing in their daily lives. And the official price is only about ten yuan. Whoever encounters a happy event worth celebrating, if they really want to buy a bottle or two, almost everyone can afford it.

But this is not the case. Because of the limited production of Moutai, although the official price is not high, it will definitely not benefit the public.

For people in high positions and have a way, it is, of course, ten dollars. But there are no ordinary people in this way, so you can only find someone who can get it and add money obediently, twenty is it, thirty is it, forty or fifty is also it.

Like a while ago, for the wedding of the "general", Hong Yanwu bought Moutai through Manager Xie in the guest house for twenty yuan a bottle.

That's still the friendship price within the commercial system, and I don't want to buy more, a box of 12 bottles is Manager Xie's greatest ability. Why don't you give Manager Xie two bottles?

There is no way, no matter how low the official price is, you can't buy the goods.

In fact, in this era, there has always been a "dual-track system" for all commodities in society, and when the state officially discovered that this situation was serious and had to issue relevant management policies, it was already an afterthought.

As soon as this example came out, the "shrimp crawler" had nothing to say, and he had to admit that it was a real objective existence.

But after thinking about it, there is still a very key question that I don't understand. He asked, according to Hong Yanwu's theory, the price of sea cucumber should be like Moutai, far higher than the price of aquatic stores? But why is it diametrically opposite in reality?

Hong Yanwu was not embarrassed by this question, he thought about it and quickly answered to the point.

"There is still a difference, Moutai is a kind of thing, the people can't produce it themselves, and the channels that can get it must go through the official. But there are many 'sea cucumbers' that can be fished. From the perspective of output, the annual 100 tons of 'sea cucumbers' can basically support half of the production of sea cucumbers in Bincheng, and it is definitely the most effective supplement to the supply. ”

"In addition, the private sale of sea cucumbers by 'sea bumpers' is an idle transaction, it is difficult to form a scale, and there is a lack of consensus on the transaction price. It's no wonder that the price can be sold. ”

"However, it is not necessarily true to say that none of them make a fortune by selling sea cucumbers, and those who go to the beach to buy them in batches during the peak season every year are smart people who understand the true value of sea cucumbers and can sell them at a high price. ”

As soon as these few words were said, no one had any doubts. The truth told by Hong Yanwu is not only logical and humane, but also empirical, which is completely convincing and admirable.

Although the comprehension ability of the "sea bumpers" is uneven, there are some theoretical things that many people still can't digest. But when it comes to this, everyone feels refreshed and understands some economic principles and economic phenomena to some extent.

At least many people are beginning to feel that this time the price reduction of sea cucumbers is not as menacing as it seems. The price of sea cucumber seems to be going up.

Even a person with a flexible brain like "Shrimp Crawler" faintly sensed that there were really some unspeakable good opportunities inside. I couldn't help but ponder in silence, wanting to chew on the Tao again.

At this time, the "general", who had been silent, was a little impatient to watch.

He was not only the one who listened the most clearly, but also the one who trusted Hong Yanwu the most, so he said directly to Hong Yanwu, "You are our God of Wealth and our head, and no one understands this matter better than you.

The sentence "general" had an obvious effect, and at that time, the people who had been stunned for a long time woke up, and they echoed it again and again.

Needless to say, those things that have passed have long made them unable to question Hong Yanwu's ability to make money, who has nothing to do but compete with others to compare this?

Without the "flying crabs" and the "generals" taking the lead and supporting them, this small group could easily reach complete unanimity.

But Hong Yanwu, who said that his mouth was dry, did not get carried away because of this, he drank his saliva, and he still had a kind and tepid attitude.

He said that in this kind of matter that concerns everyone's interests, there can be no sloppiness, and we must try to explain it as clearly as possible, so that everyone can support him with confidence. And he said that he just said so much to everyone, mainly to illustrate the following points.

First, he can guarantee that even in the worst outcome, everyone's interests will at least not be less than they are now.

Second, because there is no actual basis for the price reduction of sea cucumbers, it is difficult to ensure the supply of goods. He judged that the duration should not be very long, and the pressure on the fishery company to persist would increase.

Third, in this case, he can also conclude that the space for sea cucumber price reduction is relatively limited, but the room for price increase is unlimited.

In his opinion, even if the official price really drops again and again, the price of the private transaction of "Hai Bangzi" is not high, and it will be the end of one or two yuan lower.

Because sea cucumbers are not eggplants after all, they can be harvested in one acre of land, and they will rot if they can't be sold. If the price is really low to a certain extent, I believe that as long as there is no urgent need for money, the "sea bumpers" would rather smash their hands than sell them cheaply.

As for the opportunity to increase prices. On the one hand, this is due to the fact that official inventories are quickly depleted due to price cuts. On the other hand, due to the low price, the "sea cucumber" will no longer be keen on fishing sea cucumbers, and at the same time, when the price is acceptable, it will also be more anxious to clear the inventory.

But in any case, these will directly lead to a decrease in the spot on the market, if the supply of goods that Vice President Zhou is counting on in the end really has a problem. coincides with the peak demand season, and the price of sea cucumbers in Bincheng will inevitably turn around.

It is believed that the price rebound under such strong pressure will be doubled and exaggerated!

So if you look at it this way, who can say that this price cut is not a good thing?

The last remark is definitely a fixed star, and it is stupid for the "sea bumpers" to listen to it again.

"Shrimp crawler" asked, "You mean, the price of sea cucumbers will rise soon? Wouldn't the people who sell them now lose money?"

"Sanjiazi" also said, "Can it be higher than before? Isn't this Vice President Zhou a great favor for us......?" Is it possible?"

Hong Yanwu said firmly, "I don't mean anything else, just one, I'm afraid our chance to break out is already at hand!"