Chapter 5: Small Calculations
"Forget it, let's not go to your classmates, let's find another place to ......" Chang Tianhao said decisively, "It's good to call your classmates to come together." ”
"Where to go?"
Chang Tianhao smiled mysteriously: "Go to the bar......"
"Bar?" Yun Feiyang was stunned, "Why?"
"There's an atmosphere in the bar. I don't know your classmates and parents, and adults can't call or jump when watching the ball, how restrained are they? Go to the bar and watch, I'll have a treat!"
"Really going to the bar, isn't it?"
"What's wrong? You haven't been?"
"I've been there, but at this juncture, I'm afraid that my family will ......"
Chang Tianhao smiled slightly, and said in a low voice: "On Saturday, during the holiday, I told my classmates that we were going home, and I told my family that we would stay at school for evening self-study, who was so idle and bored to talk a lot?"
Yun Feiyang felt that what the other party said was quite reasonable, in terms of the atmosphere of watching football, it was indeed a hundred times stronger than his classmates in the bar, and he was heartbroken: "Sacrifice your life to accompany the gentleman, why don't I dare to go?"
Chang Tianhao smiled: "Don't say it so exaggeratedly, it's just a matter of watching the game, we did everything over the wall back then, what's wrong with going to the bar? It's good not to drink, let's have some soda drinks." Besides, if you are not allowed to watch the game, you will feel uncomfortable in your heart, and won't it affect the state of the three modes and the state of revision even more? The so-called best state must be physical health and mental satisfaction, which is conducive to getting high scores!"
Yun Feiyang gave a thumbs up: "Reasonable!"
Whether it is true or false, it is good to be able to convince yourself, this remark is exactly what you want.
Compared with Yun Feiyang, who is mentally satisfied and has a sense of expectation, Chang Tianhao is completely different. From the early hours of the morning to now, he has circled a lot of scenes in his mind, in a high degree of excitement, except for the college entrance examination, the core is to consider how to make a fortune, no matter what you do, you have to have capital, the lottery and don't remember the number, everything is difficult for a clever woman to cook without rice, just when he was embarrassed, Yun Feiyang's words reminded him of a wake-up call, just now the inspiration was not really because of the warm atmosphere of watching the game in the bar, but suddenly thought of two things:
First, will there be any changes in the world line after rebirth? If not, then the experience of 20 years of rebirth will be very useful; if it will, it will be bad, and the prophetic advantage will be cut in half;
Second, if he can't, then he can find a way to make money - gambling and rapidly expanding his capital in a low-cost way.
In the 98 World Cup, the Chinese football lottery has not yet been issued, and it is impossible to buy lottery tickets through formal channels, but this can't stop people watching and gambling on football. Chang Tianhao knew that many people went to Hong Kong and Macao to gamble on football in those days, and gambling very much, and many people who did not have the opportunity to go to Hong Kong and Macao or play small games gambled in big cities, which was called underground gambling.
Generally speaking, underground gambling is most popular in bars, and it feels good to bet while watching the game, and even those fans who don't want to gamble on the ball can't help but bet on the game after being infected by the atmosphere - a small gamble!
Based on this demand, the bold bar owner will open a gambling game, guessing the ball, guessing the score, etc. are all pretexts, the core is gambling! While attracting more customers for the bar, while making a fortune from it, how can you miss the four-year fortune plan?
Gambling is a very deep thing, and there is a difference between real gambling and fake gambling.
Regular gaming companies in Hong Kong and Macau usually open two ways: European handicap and Asian handicap. The so-called European handicap is simply to guess the win, draw or lose, and there will be a prize if you bet on it, the scene is more intuitive, but it is not very beneficial to the game with clear strengths and weaknesses. For example, Brazil vs China, the ghost knows that Brazil will win, and in the European handicap of winning and drawing, even if the odds of Brazil winning are low, there are a lot of people betting on them.
In order to overcome this drawback, Southeast Asia has developed a "handicap" system based on the "handicap" method of Go matches, in which the dominant team handicaps the weaker team, so that the odds of both sides are roughly balanced. Also taking Brazil vs China as an example, the Brazilian team may concede 3 goals: the Brazilian team has a goal difference of less than 3 goals in a single game after the game, betting on Brazil to lose, equal to 3, the handicap, both sides do not lose or win, and more than 3, betting on Brazil to win.
The so-called "Asian handicap" has developed around the handicap system. The simplest signs that distinguish the European handicap from the Asian handicap are two: one is whether there is a handicap or not, and the other is that there are several bets - the European handicap is usually three wins, draws and losses, and the Asian handicap is only two!
Because the Asian handicap is relatively convenient and convenient for counting wins and losses, calculating gains and losses, it is more popular in the Chinese cultural circle.
From the bookmaker's point of view, the comprehensive odds of the Asian handicap are between 1.85-1.9, such as Juventus vs Milan, the betting odds will open a handicap of 1.85 vs 1.9, the left wins, bet 100 yuan to recover 185 yuan, and the right side wins, bet 100 to recover 190 yuan. As long as the balance between the two sides is maintained as much as possible, the organizer can enjoy a profit of 10-15% of the unilateral bet amount - rake, and in the long run, it will be profitable.
In the mainland, due to the downline and multi-level pumping, the comprehensive odds are usually only 1.75-1.8, and the additional loss is 5-15%, commonly known as local gambling.
For example, Juventus vs Milan has 20,000 bets, pressing the former 8,000 and the latter 12,000, and there is no need to press out 20,000, as long as you press 4,000 Milan to Hong Kong, and the rest will pay each other with local bets.
After such hedging, no matter who wins or loses in the end, the bet is always balanced, and the loser's bet can be safely paid to the winner after the bet (rake). In a game with a total bet of 80,000 yuan, many bar owners who serve as the head of the land can get more than 10,000 yuan, which is very impressive!
It's a sure-fire approach, and it's a real gamble.
There is also an unrighteous approach, that is, not going to Hong Kong and Macao to hedge at all. Betting 80,000 and drawing 10,000 seems too small and too unpleasant in some places. If there is a gap of 4,000 yuan in the case just now, the bold person may not put the hedge at home or Hong Kong at all, and directly become a bet against the bettor.
Assuming Juventus wins, he can get a part of the 8,000 yuan pump, but the loss of 4,000 yuan needs to be paid by himself; if Milan wins, not only can he pump smoothly, but also can directly swallow 4,000 yuan to block, and the money is far faster than the real bet after hedging, which is equivalent to becoming a small banker.
Chang Tianhao knows that this is very risky, and it is a risk exposure to explain it in finance, but he can't stand someone who is willing to take risks, because in their opinion, even if they make a mistake, the loss will not be too big after offsetting part of the margin and betting, and if the bet wins, the money is much stronger than normal hedging. This idea is usually correct, but in extreme cases, there will be black swans: there are too many bets in the gap part, and the land is lost, then it is difficult to come up with money to pay for it, which means disputes, runaways, fights and even criminal cases.
Of course, there are also downlines who honestly hedge according to the rules, but the upline runs away and creates risk exposure, which is another kind of risk, and this risk happens almost every time the competition happens.
Despite all these problems, every bar, as long as it focuses on the World Cup, will not give up this path. How much money do you make by selling positions and drinks? Gambling and pumping is king! The bosses deliberately set a relatively low bar consumption price, which actually attracts fans to bet, and in order to set off the atmosphere, the clever boss will also arrange for the younger brother to cushion the field to create an atmosphere, and the feeling of spending a lot of money will become very common after a few glasses of beer.
Chang Tianhao, who had 500 yuan in hand, decided to gamble on the second game, because he knew that Spain was an upset in this game, losing 2:3 to Nigeria, and falling into the observer's glasses.
If history is going well, then he can make a fortune, and if there is a major deviation in the historical line, then honestly think about more issues......