Chapter 286: Words are not shocking, and death is endless
But Feng Yiping has no pressure to answer such a question.
He only found out now that Jin Ling was also a very gossip person in front of his father, and he said so many things about him, what he was most worried about was Director Jin's next question, "What do you think about marriage?"
Then he is a cup on a coffee table, full of tragedy.
"Uncle, you are the director of the Planning Commission, and you should know better than me how fast housing prices have risen in the past two years, and I think this is far from the end.
China's population is more and less land, this is a basic plate, reform and opening up to the present nearly 20 years, cities, especially the big cities in developed areas, the development of very fast, compared with 20 years ago, can be said to be earth-shaking, relatively perfect, developed public services, such as education, medical care, etc., so that many people try their best to come to the city to settle down.
After graduation, they have no intention of going back to their hometown, and their parents will definitely not agree with them to go back.
In addition, some post-70s generations who have not caught up with the division of houses should get married and start a family now, so they must buy a house.
Those post-50s and post-60s who are welfare-subdivided are now older, and the original small house is not enough to live in, so they have to change to a big house.
These things add up, the rigid demand is very large, and the government is also happy to see the housing prices rise, so the income from selling land is high, so the housing prices will definitely rise like a wild horse. ”
"There's some truth to that. However, the doubling of the price is a bit alarmist," Director Jin said with a frown.
"As far as I expected, this is not alarmist, it is very likely. The money you can afford to buy a house now may not even be enough for a down payment by then. Feng Yiping said very surely, this is the experience and lesson of the majority of post-80s blood, how could he be wrong.
"Take the provincial capital as an example, now in a few remote districts, you can still buy a house below 1500, and after ten years, 7500 is about the same. As for the capital, the average price of the house I buy now is less than 5,000, and ten years later, it is estimated that 50,000 will not be able to buy it in the current lot. Feng Yiping couldn't stop when he mentioned this.
"Okay, let's just think so," Director Jin raised his hand to stop him. "So what do you think the government can do in it?"
Push and splash. Feng Yiping almost slipped out of his mouth, "Actually, we have ready-made learning objects, many cadres go to Singapore to study every year, and Hong Kong has also returned, and we also know some of their practices."
In these two places, the land is more tight. But housing prices are not sky-high because they have built relatively reasonable low-rent housing and affordable housing.
At present, in our country, the government is absent in this area, and many local governments are in place. It is desirable to sell as expensive as possible, so that the financial revenue will be high. ”
"Low-rent housing, affordable housing," Director Jin tapped on the armrest of the couch, "bring me that notebook," he said, pointing to a notebook with a pen on his desk.
Looking at Director Jin writing these two words in his notebook, Feng Yiping didn't think that this could change anything, even if the director of the Central Planning Commission listened to it, it was estimated that it would not be very effective, and if it was said to the dean of their college, it might have some effect.
"Uncle, you can also persuade Sister Jin, buying a house now is really a very good investment. ”
"Hehe, my words are useless, but I will mention them to her more," Director Jin said with a smile, "In addition to these possible problems you mentioned, you are still very confident in our country's sustained and rapid growth?"
"Yes, there are actually examples to follow, according to the laws of other countries and regions that have developed first, such as South Korea, from 61 years, continuous growth to the present, there are 40 years, China's treasure island region, high growth from 50 years, to the end of 97 years, lasted 48 years, our country, from 80 years, to now only 20 years, I think, at least 10 years, then the total GDP should surpass Japan, jump to the second place in the world. He doesn't remember the exact number, but he remembers very well what year it was to catch up with Japan.
If it weren't for Feng Yiping's views in the magazine, which seemed incredible at the time, but later completely came true, Director Jin would probably scoff when he heard his words now, and of course the country would have a prospect and confidence in the development of the next ten years, but who is sure that it will surpass Japan and become the second in the world at that time? If you grow, others will not grow?
You must know that last year, China's total GDP was less than 1 trillion US dollars, while Japan, which ranked second, was already more than 4 trillion yuan, and the gap was not ordinarily large.
However, Director Jin did not dwell on this issue with him, he was more interested in the other data in Feng Yiping's words, "Why can other countries and regions maintain rapid growth for more than 40 years, while you think we can only have more than 30 years?"
I don't know why, but I just know, "This is just my personal opinion, and I can't do it accurately, but I think there are many factors that restrict the sustained and rapid development of our country."
For example, whether it is South Korea or the treasure island area, while their rapid development, they are also accompanied by urbanization, and urbanization is also an important growth point of economic growth.
However, in view of the high housing prices in the future, it would be good for 1% of these people who are now moving to the cities, the main force of various factories, and migrant workers, to buy houses and settle down in large cities, and the vast majority of them can only go to the cities when they are young, and still return to their rural hometowns when they are older, and this urbanization is interrupted.
In addition, in view of the intensity of family planning, there will be a large labor gap in the future, and if the labor force gap is large, the labor cost will be high.
As the population decreases, domestic demand will also decrease, and with the deepening of globalization, it will not be able to guarantee a high growth rate, and it will even lead to weak global economic growth."
This point of view is even more sensational: "Do you mean that we adhere to the basic national policy of family planning ......?" Director Jin did not finish speaking.
"This is certainly true, but with the development of society, corresponding adjustments should be made," Feng Yiping said before his rebirth, and the policy of having two children in a single family had been adopted, "When family planning was implemented, it was measured by the concept of an agrarian society, how much the population grew, how much rations to eat, and the growth was too much, and the society could not afford it."
But now it's an industrial society, the conditions are different, and on the whole, with the increase in education level, with the increase in the cost of monetizing the cost of raising children, and with the increase in population mobility, everyone's willingness to have children is decreasing, and I personally think there is still a need for adjustment,"
…………
Although Feng Yiping knew that it should be useless to say this to Director Jin, it was definitely useless to hold it in his heart, and now he has the opportunity to talk more, and systematically publish some articles in the magazine in the future, which can bring a little change and be reborn, he feels that he has this obligation.
For Director Jin, Feng Yiping's ideas and views are completely different from those of the government's think tanks and experts.
From the fact that Feng Yiping can say these points, his knowledge is very wide, his basic skills are solid, and Feng Yiping's vision seems to be broader and more long-term than that of him, a senior cadre.
He didn't know that after years of edification on the Internet, there were many people who were more powerful than Feng Yiping's mouth cannon.
So as soon as this question was answered, I talked until ten o'clock unconsciously, and Feng Yiping drank four cups of tea.
"Xiaoling is right, you are a very thoughtful and insightful child, today's views of yours have inspired me a lot, and when you come to the provincial capital in the future, you will come to see me when you have time. ”
The two of them were eating supper in the restaurant at this time, and it was not a precious thing, just egg noodles, Director Jin himself was a small bowl, Feng Yiping was a big bowl, and there were two double yolk eggs lying on it.
"Uncle Kim, you also know that at our age, we always think things are too simple and ideal, and you don't have to laugh at what I said today. "There were some words just now, too absolute, Feng Yiping must be humble and humble now, leaving people with the impression of being crazy, not what he wants.
"Not to mention right or wrong, it's rare that you can think of this," Director Jin said with a smile.
When he went out, the treatment was finally improved again, and Director Jin personally sent him to the gate, "Come when you are free in the future, as if you are your own home,"
Not long after getting in the car, Jin Ling's phone called, "My dad said that you performed well tonight and have the potential to enter politics,"
"Don't scare me, I know that I'm not that material, besides, I still want to live a leisurely life," he just wants to get rich, how can he be willing to be an official? No matter how good a person is, when he first enters the officialdom, he has to be a grandson, and he doesn't have that hobby.
It seems that the appointment has been made, and as soon as Jin Ling's phone hung up, Huang Jingping called again, "How is the matter? When will you come back?"
"So far, it's going well, I'm going to come back tomorrow,"
"By the way, have you gone to see Zhang Yan?" Huang Jingping asked suddenly.
"No," to be honest, Feng Yiping is really a little afraid to see Zhang Yan now.
"Since you're back, let's go and see you, really," Huang Jingping said sincerely.
Feng Yiping parked the car on the side of the road, is this to see or not to see? (To be continued......)
PS: Ps: Feng Yiping is very worried, it's the last day of the month, and there are only so many tickets, how can he still have the face to see Zhang Yan!