How did the USSR fall?

There are a lot of rumors on the Internet, some say that the central bank of the Soviet Union at that time had trillions of dollars, but they were all lost, anyway, it is quite mysterious.

As far as we are concerned, there are very, very many reasons, yes, there are really many reasons, because if you want to bring down such a superpower, it is useless for you to use just one move, just like the head of state in World War II, he only carried out military strikes, although he achieved certain results, but it is still useless, the strength of this country is too strong, and it is too tenacious.

Leningrad and Stalingrad were fought so badly, the whole city was besieged for several years, if it had been a European city, it would have surrendered a long time ago, really, it had surrendered a long time ago, how long did France hold out?

Therefore, if you want to hit the Soviet Union, this is simply too difficult to do, and you must use a variety of means.

In terms of ideology, this is indispensable, and Wu Xiangna is very familiar with this aspect.

On the other hand, we can't use force, because we all have nuclear weapons, so how can we use force? It's very dangerous.

Therefore, we must start from the economic aspect, but we must know that the economy between the United States and Russia is almost a state of old and dead contact, and when did the first seller of pawn labor open in the Soviet Union?

So, how do you start from the economic side? Sanctions alone are useless.

In this analysis report of Mr. Song, a point is very clearly pointed out, that is, oil!

We all know it now. Russia is a big oil-producing country, and it is very bullish in the oil market, but in fact. In the last century, the former Soviet Union was also a large oil producer, and the Tyumen oil field was not newly discovered, it was already available.

It is precisely because the trade between the Soviet Union and the United States back then was actually very small, but you must know that no matter how good a country is, it has to conduct foreign trade. If there is no foreign trade, then it will be a bad calf, and the relations between the Soviet Union and the United States were not good and the trade was small. Relations with China are also bad, right?

Then, for the sake of trade, it is basically a big trade object. It's Europe. So what is it selling?

It's oil and gas!

Of course, there are some individual things, such as some special products of the Soviet Union, salmon roe and other special agricultural products, because in the century, the Soviet Union wanted to trade, he wanted dollars, and the most important thing was to solve his domestic food problem.

The Soviet Union is very large, but the grain production area is not large, otherwise Kangxi would have given up such a large piece of land in Siberia. You can't grow food there!

Moreover, the USSR in those years was a planned economy. It is a very ruthless planned economy, then we know that the economy of the Soviet Union will get worse and worse, this is necessary, and we did the same back then.

Then, the Soviet Union is more dependent on his resource exports, that is, oil exports, to put it bluntly, the Soviet Union back then, and the current Russia is not much different, but the Soviet Union's oil exports back then were relatively small.

Well, the people in the economy in the Soviet Union thought that I only needed 40 million tons of grain a year, and as long as I earned dollars from oil exports, I could do that.

Everyone knows that oil is more expensive than grain, so this trade is a sure deal, but!

There is a problem here, and there is a big problem, just like Nixon's 'Watergate' scandal, which is only a small problem now, but once someone seizes the opportunity to fight to the death, it will become a huge problem.

In fact, there is an internal and external cause in this problem, and the combination of these two factors finally leads to that big problem.

Let's talk about the internal causes, the Soviet Union was very corrupt at that time!

Yes, it is the Nixon period, which corresponds to the Brezhnev period, Nixon was actually Eisenhower's vice president before he became president, and this American general president actually didn't deal with government affairs much, so it can be said that Nixon was against Brezhnev.

Brezhnev was very corrupt at the time, those corruption cases can be scared to death now, didn't he say before that the Soviet Union would export salmon roe to Europe, one year, there was a guy in a supermarket in Europe who was very lucky, he bought a canned salmon, and it turned out to be a can of salmon!

The price difference between salmon roe and fish meat is geometric multiples, which is actually the then Minister of Agriculture colluded with European businessmen, they changed the foreign trademark, and then the manipulable profits in the middle are simply amazing.

Just this year was more than 100 million dollars of black money, and that dollar was really called US dollars at that time. The point is that this case, if you find out about it, you can't go on, because either Brezhnev's son-in-law or his son was involved, and a few small flies were dealt with later, and as for the big tiger, it was really hehe.

And Brezhnev also came up with a lifelong system for officials, hey, yes, or how to say, these guys themselves have lost democracy!

This is an internal cause, but at that time it seemed that this internal cause was not very large.

Then an external cause is needed, and this external cause is oil!

In the last century, many people must still have the impression that the price of oil seemed to be very cheap, and in the nineties, it was not more than twenty or thirty dollars a barrel, right?

Compared with the oil price at that time, the oil price is simply a cheat now, but why was it so cheap at that time?

How was the petrodollar established?

Isn't it that Nixon persuaded the Saudi king, and then they took dollars, then they established, why is Saudi Arabia so awesome? Because people produce a lot of money, but in fact, there is another one, that is, Saudi Arabia produces oil very easily!

The world's largest oil field is in Saudi Arabia, this oil field is a self-blowing oil field, although you have a pickaxe and you don't necessarily have to dig oil casually, but just drill a well, and the oil will bubble out.

The cost of mining is low, extremely low!

In 1977, CIA intelligence officers came up with a very accurate one. And very important information is that they estimate that the oil production capacity of the Soviet Union will reach its peak by 1985. And then it will fall sharply.

Could it be that the oil field is out of oil?

No, it was because of the corruption of the Soviet upper echelons, who did not invest the money earned from foreign trade in the oil industry, but enjoyed themselves.

To put it bluntly, because of the aging of the equipment, the exploration capacity and drilling capacity are declining, and the production cannot be guaranteed.

That's good now. The conditions are all in place.

1. The USSR needed 40 million tons of grain per year.

2. They are corrupt internally. Oil production will be reduced.

3. Now it is Saudi Arabia, an ally of the United States, that can control the price of oil, and he can sell it for as much as he wants.

So if we want to kill the big monster of the Soviet Union without blood, what should our heroic United States do?

It's so simple. It only took place in 1985 or even in the 90s. If the oil price is beaten to the death, then when the time comes, the Soviet Union will not be able to exchange oil for enough dollars to buy grain, and no matter how much her foreign exchange reserves are, it will not be enough, because grain must be guaranteed, and if he does not have enough food, there will be big problems within the country, and all kinds of prices will skyrocket. All sorts of mess is coming.

History sues us that the Saudis helped. They also helped very happily, because the dollar at that time was still very valuable, it was not like now, QE several times, the world is full of green paper, so, even if it was twenty or thirty dollars at that time, it was the same, Saudi Arabia also made a lot of money.

The exploitation of a barrel of oil in Saudi Arabia is really less than 5 US dollars, even lower than this, and our relationship between China and Saudi Arabia is also very good, because we sold a lot of artillery, when we went to Saudi Arabia to buy oil, this ship was 100,000 tons, but we can buy 70,000 tons without money, it doesn't matter, people fill up, you see people don't care about these, big dogs.

But twenty or thirty dollars a barrel, this price the Soviet Union really can't stand it, and the history we can see is unfolding in front of us, and the small problems before have all become bigger and uncontrollable.

And so, a behemoth collapsed with a bang!

Of course, the Soviets at that time were not clear in their minds, they were dazed by the ideological bomb, and the key was that the Soviet leadership was indeed very corrupt.

So what do these things have to do with Wu Xiang? Russia and the United States can pinch whatever they want, so what can they do?

This matter has something to do with many people, which is why this analysis article will be so solemn and so top-secret.

Because of this, it looks like it's going to happen again!

Is it a reenactment? Are you sure? Does Wu Xiang know?

Wu Xiang doesn't know, he really doesn't know, his memory is until 2014, and there were no big events in that year, just a lot of things in the Middle East, and there is also a Ukrainian problem.

And if this thing happens again, that is, Saudi Arabia helps the United States to fight the price of oil to the death, if it is really analyzed, then this is definitely a super top secret thing.

Yes, if we can predict that the price of oil will fall sharply in such and such a time, then the profit that can be made in this is simply incalculable.

To be honest, the prediction of this time does not need to be very accurate, it can be very broad, that is, it is okay to be an error for one year, because there is a word, called 'hedging', simply put, it is a company that estimates how many raw materials can be used in the next year, and then he can sell so many raw materials in the commodity market at a price that he thinks is reasonable, or the current price.

It sounds like this is buying short and selling short, but in fact, they are doing this to avoid risks, that is, no matter how the raw materials rise or fall in the future, the impact on them is not very great, and if it falls, it can still make money.

As long as you can predict an approximate time, then for example, the price of oil will fall by $50, and I will sell it at the current price of $80, and then it will be $50, then I will earn $30 in it. Note that there is leverage in the commodity market, and one dollar may be magnified to a hundred.

But where is this time?

It's a pity that Song Hongbing didn't give a clear answer in October 2013, that is, Song Hongbing didn't dare to make a prediction, so let's put it this way, if he can give such an accurate answer, then this analysis article will not be top secret, this article should not be in Wu Xiang's hands, and the price of this article will be an astronomical amount!

But this time ...... Wu Xiang himself seems to have analyzed it. (To be continued......)

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